Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Horseshoe Beach, FL
May 7, 2024 6:38 PM EDT (22:38 UTC) Change Location
 | Sunrise 6:46 AM Sunset 8:20 PM Moonrise 5:15 AM Moonset 7:06 PM |
GMZ775 Expires:202405080815;;798884 Fzus52 Ktae 071912 Cwftae
coastal waters forecast for florida national weather service tallahassee fl 312 pm edt Tue may 7 2024
gulf coastal waters from the mouth of the suwannee river to okaloosa-walton county line out to 60 nm.
seas are provided as a range of the average height of the highest 1/3 of the waves - .along with the occasional height of the average highest 1/10 of the waves.
gmz730-750-752-755-765-770-772-775-080815- apalachee bay or coastal waters from keaton beach to ochlockonee river fl out to 20 nm- coastal waters from mexico beach to okaloosa walton county line fl out 20 nm- coastal waters from mexico beach to apalachicola fl out 20 nm- coastal waters from ochlockonee river to apalachicola fl out to 20 nm- coastal waters from suwannee river to keaton beach fl out 20 nm- waters from mexico beach to okaloosa walton county line fl from 20 to 60 nm- waters from apalachicola to mexico beach fl from 20 to 60 nm- waters from suwannee river to apalachicola fl from 20 to 60 nm- 312 pm edt Tue may 7 2024 /212 pm cdt Tue may 7 2024/
Tonight - South winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Wave detail: south 2 feet at 6 seconds. Protected waters a light chop.
Wednesday - South winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Wave detail: south 3 feet at 6 seconds. Protected waters a moderate chop.
Wednesday night - South winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Wave detail: south 3 feet at 5 seconds. Protected waters a moderate chop.
Thursday - South winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Wave detail: south 3 feet at 5 seconds. Protected waters a moderate chop.
Thursday night - Southwest winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Wave detail: south 3 feet at 6 seconds. Protected waters a moderate chop. A chance of showers with a slight chance of Thunderstorms after midnight.
Friday - Southwest winds 10 to 15 knots, increasing to 15 to 20 knots in the afternoon. Seas 2 to 4 feet. Wave detail: southwest 4 feet at 6 seconds. Protected waters choppy. A chance of showers with a slight chance of Thunderstorms.
Friday night - West winds 15 to 20 knots, becoming north after midnight. Seas 3 to 4 feet. Protected waters choppy. A slight chance of Thunderstorms. A chance of showers, mainly in the evening.
Saturday - North winds 10 to 15 knots, becoming northwest in the afternoon. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Protected waters a moderate chop.
Saturday night - Northwest winds around 10 knots, becoming north after midnight. Seas around 2 feet. Protected waters a light chop.
Sunday - Northeast winds around 10 knots, becoming east in the afternoon. Seas around 2 feet. Protected waters a light chop.
Sunday night - Southwest winds 5 to 10 knots, becoming north after midnight. Waves 1 foot or less. Protected waters a light chop. A slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms after midnight.
winds and waves higher in and near Thunderstorms.
coastal waters forecast for florida national weather service tallahassee fl 312 pm edt Tue may 7 2024
gulf coastal waters from the mouth of the suwannee river to okaloosa-walton county line out to 60 nm.
seas are provided as a range of the average height of the highest 1/3 of the waves - .along with the occasional height of the average highest 1/10 of the waves.
gmz730-750-752-755-765-770-772-775-080815- apalachee bay or coastal waters from keaton beach to ochlockonee river fl out to 20 nm- coastal waters from mexico beach to okaloosa walton county line fl out 20 nm- coastal waters from mexico beach to apalachicola fl out 20 nm- coastal waters from ochlockonee river to apalachicola fl out to 20 nm- coastal waters from suwannee river to keaton beach fl out 20 nm- waters from mexico beach to okaloosa walton county line fl from 20 to 60 nm- waters from apalachicola to mexico beach fl from 20 to 60 nm- waters from suwannee river to apalachicola fl from 20 to 60 nm- 312 pm edt Tue may 7 2024 /212 pm cdt Tue may 7 2024/
winds and waves higher in and near Thunderstorms.
GMZ700 Synopsis For The Suwannee River To Okaloosa-walton County Line Out To 60 Nm 312 Pm Edt Tue May 7 2024
Synopsis -
a high pressure ridge will extend from from south of bermuda across the florida peninsula through Thursday. Gentle southerly breezes will slowly increase to moderate southerlies as we move through the middle of the week. Chances for showers and Thunderstorms will increase Thursday night into Friday night as a cold front approaches. The front is expected to pass the waters Friday night with northwest winds in its wake. Seas will generally be 2 to 3 feet this week.
a high pressure ridge will extend from from south of bermuda across the florida peninsula through Thursday. Gentle southerly breezes will slowly increase to moderate southerlies as we move through the middle of the week. Chances for showers and Thunderstorms will increase Thursday night into Friday night as a cold front approaches. The front is expected to pass the waters Friday night with northwest winds in its wake. Seas will generally be 2 to 3 feet this week.
Area Discussion for - Tallahassee, FL
HIDE HelpNOTE: mouseover dotted underlined text for definition
FXUS62 KTAE 071919 AFDTAE
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Tallahassee FL 319 PM EDT Tue May 7 2024
New NEAR TERM, SHORT TERM, LONG TERM, AVIATION, MARINE, FIRE WEATHER, HYDROLOGY
NEAR TERM
(Through Wednesday)
Issued at 317 PM EDT Tue May 7 2024
The region will remain under the influence of high pressure tonight and on Wednesday. The main concern will be the potential for another round of fog late tonight into Wed morning. Confidence is highest in the FL Counties (particularly the Big Bend) into the I-75 corridor of GA. On Wed, cannot rule out an afternoon shower northwest of the FL Big Bend, such as the SE AL counties, but PoPs are NIL for now given the aforementioned ridging. A warm and humid pattern continues with lows around 70 tonight and highs around 90 on Wednesday.
SHORT TERM
(Wednesday night through Friday night)
Issued at 317 PM EDT Tue May 7 2024
An upper level low extending over the central plains will be traversing east-northeast through the day Thursday. Over the southeast U.S., the upper level ridge will be flattening while the aforementioned upper level trough moves east. Ahead of the trough, at the surface, a cold front is forecast to march its way east across the Apalachians and southeast Thursday into Friday.
Ahead of the front, scattered showers and thunderstorms are expected to develop into a MCS with damaging wind gusts, hail, and a few tornadoes may be possible. The upper level support for Thursday afternoon is expected to lift to the north, allowing for these storms to possibly weaken as they enter into our region. There will be short calm before another MCS makes its way (due to a shortwave perturbation) early Friday with the same severe threats, but is more likely to hold together. The SPC has highlighted areas along and north of I-10 in a Slight (2 of 5) risk for severe weather for Thursday night into Friday morning. The parameters for Thursday night into Friday morning are favorable as we will be in the right- entrance region of the jet stream, shear values will range 30-40 kts, and the instability will be around 2000 J/kg. It is also important to note that with PWATs approaching 2 inches and the east to west line in which the expected storms will be along the front, the WPC has placed a Marginal (1 of 4) risk for excessive rainfall across our region for Thursday through Friday. PoPs for Thursday begin to increase during the afternoon hours with a 40-60 percent chance for our SE Alabama counties and SW Georgia counties. Our Florida counties will have a 30 percent chance and below. Friday's chances increase for the entire CWA with a 50-80 percent chance area- wide Friday morning into the afternoon.
The cold front is expected to complete its passage through our region during the day on Friday. Temperatures during this term will have highs in the low 90s on Thursday and cooling to the low 70s Thursday night. Friday's highs will be in the low-mid to upper 80s, with the warmer temps along and south of I-10. Friday night's lows will be in the upper 50s to low 60s.
LONG TERM
(Saturday through Monday)
Issued at 317 PM EDT Tue May 7 2024
The front has cleared and a surface high will begin building in behind the front. Upper level ridging will soon be building to the west over the weekend and we can expect seasonal temperatures with highs in the low to mid 80s and morning lows in the upper 50s to low 60s. We can expect dry conditions through Monday, except for the daily seabreeze showers and thunderstorms.
AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 317 PM EDT Tue May 7 2024
SCT cigs in the 3-5k ft range this afternoon and evening. The main concern late tonight into Wed morning will be the development of fog/low clouds, with the highest confidence at ECP, TLH, and VLD, where IFR is possible. Meanwhile, at ABY and DHN, MVFR is possible.
Fog is expected to dissipate around 12-13Z with a gradual return to VFR. Winds South-Southwest through the period around 5-10 kts.
MARINE
Issued at 317 PM EDT Tue May 7 2024
A high pressure ridge will extend from from south of Bermuda across the Florida Peninsula through Thursday. Gentle southerly breezes will slowly increase to moderate southerlies as we move through the middle of the week. Chances for showers and thunderstorms will increase Thursday night into Friday night as a cold front approaches. The front is expected to pass the waters Friday night with northwest winds in its wake. Seas will generally be 2 to 3 feet this week.
FIRE WEATHER
Issued at 317 PM EDT Tue May 7 2024
The next chance of wetting rains will be north of I-10 on Thursday and across much of the area on Friday. The main concern will be pockets of high dispersion across much of the region on Wednesday and Thursday afternoons. Daytime highs climb into the lower 90s away from the immediate coast each afternoon through Thursday with heat indices pushing into the middle 90s.
HYDROLOGY
Issued at 317 PM EDT Tue May 7 2024
Heavy rainfall is possible Thursday and Friday, hence the WPC highlighting our region in a Marginal (1 of 4) risk for excessive rainfall. This could lead to localized flash flooding, particularly in urban and low-lying areas. Rivers are currently in good shape, and we are not expecting riverine flooding at this time.
SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT
Spotter activation is not requested. However, spotters are always encouraged to safely report significant weather conditions when they occur by calling the office or tweeting us @NWSTallahassee.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
Tallahassee 91 70 90 72 / 10 0 10 0 Panama City 84 73 85 75 / 0 0 10 0 Dothan 92 71 91 73 / 0 0 10 0 Albany 91 69 92 72 / 0 0 10 0 Valdosta 92 69 92 71 / 0 0 0 0 Cross City 88 67 89 69 / 10 0 0 0 Apalachicola 81 74 82 75 / 0 0 0 0
TAE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
FL...High Rip Current Risk until 10 PM EDT /9 PM CDT/ this evening for FLZ108-112-114-115.
GA...None.
AL...None.
GM...None.
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Tallahassee FL 319 PM EDT Tue May 7 2024
New NEAR TERM, SHORT TERM, LONG TERM, AVIATION, MARINE, FIRE WEATHER, HYDROLOGY
NEAR TERM
(Through Wednesday)
Issued at 317 PM EDT Tue May 7 2024
The region will remain under the influence of high pressure tonight and on Wednesday. The main concern will be the potential for another round of fog late tonight into Wed morning. Confidence is highest in the FL Counties (particularly the Big Bend) into the I-75 corridor of GA. On Wed, cannot rule out an afternoon shower northwest of the FL Big Bend, such as the SE AL counties, but PoPs are NIL for now given the aforementioned ridging. A warm and humid pattern continues with lows around 70 tonight and highs around 90 on Wednesday.
SHORT TERM
(Wednesday night through Friday night)
Issued at 317 PM EDT Tue May 7 2024
An upper level low extending over the central plains will be traversing east-northeast through the day Thursday. Over the southeast U.S., the upper level ridge will be flattening while the aforementioned upper level trough moves east. Ahead of the trough, at the surface, a cold front is forecast to march its way east across the Apalachians and southeast Thursday into Friday.
Ahead of the front, scattered showers and thunderstorms are expected to develop into a MCS with damaging wind gusts, hail, and a few tornadoes may be possible. The upper level support for Thursday afternoon is expected to lift to the north, allowing for these storms to possibly weaken as they enter into our region. There will be short calm before another MCS makes its way (due to a shortwave perturbation) early Friday with the same severe threats, but is more likely to hold together. The SPC has highlighted areas along and north of I-10 in a Slight (2 of 5) risk for severe weather for Thursday night into Friday morning. The parameters for Thursday night into Friday morning are favorable as we will be in the right- entrance region of the jet stream, shear values will range 30-40 kts, and the instability will be around 2000 J/kg. It is also important to note that with PWATs approaching 2 inches and the east to west line in which the expected storms will be along the front, the WPC has placed a Marginal (1 of 4) risk for excessive rainfall across our region for Thursday through Friday. PoPs for Thursday begin to increase during the afternoon hours with a 40-60 percent chance for our SE Alabama counties and SW Georgia counties. Our Florida counties will have a 30 percent chance and below. Friday's chances increase for the entire CWA with a 50-80 percent chance area- wide Friday morning into the afternoon.
The cold front is expected to complete its passage through our region during the day on Friday. Temperatures during this term will have highs in the low 90s on Thursday and cooling to the low 70s Thursday night. Friday's highs will be in the low-mid to upper 80s, with the warmer temps along and south of I-10. Friday night's lows will be in the upper 50s to low 60s.
LONG TERM
(Saturday through Monday)
Issued at 317 PM EDT Tue May 7 2024
The front has cleared and a surface high will begin building in behind the front. Upper level ridging will soon be building to the west over the weekend and we can expect seasonal temperatures with highs in the low to mid 80s and morning lows in the upper 50s to low 60s. We can expect dry conditions through Monday, except for the daily seabreeze showers and thunderstorms.
AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 317 PM EDT Tue May 7 2024
SCT cigs in the 3-5k ft range this afternoon and evening. The main concern late tonight into Wed morning will be the development of fog/low clouds, with the highest confidence at ECP, TLH, and VLD, where IFR is possible. Meanwhile, at ABY and DHN, MVFR is possible.
Fog is expected to dissipate around 12-13Z with a gradual return to VFR. Winds South-Southwest through the period around 5-10 kts.
MARINE
Issued at 317 PM EDT Tue May 7 2024
A high pressure ridge will extend from from south of Bermuda across the Florida Peninsula through Thursday. Gentle southerly breezes will slowly increase to moderate southerlies as we move through the middle of the week. Chances for showers and thunderstorms will increase Thursday night into Friday night as a cold front approaches. The front is expected to pass the waters Friday night with northwest winds in its wake. Seas will generally be 2 to 3 feet this week.
FIRE WEATHER
Issued at 317 PM EDT Tue May 7 2024
The next chance of wetting rains will be north of I-10 on Thursday and across much of the area on Friday. The main concern will be pockets of high dispersion across much of the region on Wednesday and Thursday afternoons. Daytime highs climb into the lower 90s away from the immediate coast each afternoon through Thursday with heat indices pushing into the middle 90s.
HYDROLOGY
Issued at 317 PM EDT Tue May 7 2024
Heavy rainfall is possible Thursday and Friday, hence the WPC highlighting our region in a Marginal (1 of 4) risk for excessive rainfall. This could lead to localized flash flooding, particularly in urban and low-lying areas. Rivers are currently in good shape, and we are not expecting riverine flooding at this time.
SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT
Spotter activation is not requested. However, spotters are always encouraged to safely report significant weather conditions when they occur by calling the office or tweeting us @NWSTallahassee.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
Tallahassee 91 70 90 72 / 10 0 10 0 Panama City 84 73 85 75 / 0 0 10 0 Dothan 92 71 91 73 / 0 0 10 0 Albany 91 69 92 72 / 0 0 10 0 Valdosta 92 69 92 71 / 0 0 0 0 Cross City 88 67 89 69 / 10 0 0 0 Apalachicola 81 74 82 75 / 0 0 0 0
TAE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
FL...High Rip Current Risk until 10 PM EDT /9 PM CDT/ this evening for FLZ108-112-114-115.
GA...None.
AL...None.
GM...None.
| Stations | Dist | Age | Wind | Air Temp | Water Temp | Waves | inHg | DewPt |
| CKYF1 | 49 mi | 51 min | W 9.9G | 80°F | 84°F | 29.88 | ||
| SGOF1 - Tyndall AFB Tower C (N4), FL | 50 mi | 39 min | 77°F | 29.91 |
toggle option: (graph/table)
Pepperfish Keys
Click for Map
Tue -- 02:23 AM EDT 3.32 feet High Tide
Tue -- 06:12 AM EDT Moonrise
Tue -- 06:46 AM EDT Sunrise
Tue -- 07:56 AM EDT 1.08 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 01:37 PM EDT 3.75 feet High Tide
Tue -- 08:03 PM EDT Moonset
Tue -- 08:14 PM EDT Sunset
Tue -- 08:51 PM EDT -0.79 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 11:24 PM EDT New Moon
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Click for Map
Tue -- 02:23 AM EDT 3.32 feet High Tide
Tue -- 06:12 AM EDT Moonrise
Tue -- 06:46 AM EDT Sunrise
Tue -- 07:56 AM EDT 1.08 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 01:37 PM EDT 3.75 feet High Tide
Tue -- 08:03 PM EDT Moonset
Tue -- 08:14 PM EDT Sunset
Tue -- 08:51 PM EDT -0.79 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 11:24 PM EDT New Moon
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Pepperfish Keys, Florida, Tide feet
| 12 am |
| 2.1 |
| 1 am |
| 2.9 |
| 2 am |
| 3.3 |
| 3 am |
| 3.2 |
| 4 am |
| 2.9 |
| 5 am |
| 2.3 |
| 6 am |
| 1.7 |
| 7 am |
| 1.2 |
| 8 am |
| 1.1 |
| 9 am |
| 1.3 |
| 10 am |
| 1.8 |
| 11 am |
| 2.5 |
| 12 pm |
| 3.2 |
| 1 pm |
| 3.7 |
| 2 pm |
| 3.7 |
| 3 pm |
| 3.4 |
| 4 pm |
| 2.7 |
| 5 pm |
| 1.8 |
| 6 pm |
| 0.8 |
| 7 pm |
| -0.1 |
| 8 pm |
| -0.6 |
| 9 pm |
| -0.8 |
| 10 pm |
| -0.5 |
| 11 pm |
| 0.3 |
Suwannee River entrance
Click for Map
Tue -- 02:17 AM EDT 3.35 feet High Tide
Tue -- 06:12 AM EDT Moonrise
Tue -- 06:45 AM EDT Sunrise
Tue -- 07:50 AM EDT 1.08 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 01:31 PM EDT 3.80 feet High Tide
Tue -- 08:02 PM EDT Moonset
Tue -- 08:13 PM EDT Sunset
Tue -- 08:45 PM EDT -0.79 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 11:24 PM EDT New Moon
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Click for Map
Tue -- 02:17 AM EDT 3.35 feet High Tide
Tue -- 06:12 AM EDT Moonrise
Tue -- 06:45 AM EDT Sunrise
Tue -- 07:50 AM EDT 1.08 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 01:31 PM EDT 3.80 feet High Tide
Tue -- 08:02 PM EDT Moonset
Tue -- 08:13 PM EDT Sunset
Tue -- 08:45 PM EDT -0.79 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 11:24 PM EDT New Moon
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Suwannee River entrance, Florida, Tide feet
| 12 am |
| 2.2 |
| 1 am |
| 3 |
| 2 am |
| 3.3 |
| 3 am |
| 3.3 |
| 4 am |
| 2.8 |
| 5 am |
| 2.2 |
| 6 am |
| 1.6 |
| 7 am |
| 1.2 |
| 8 am |
| 1.1 |
| 9 am |
| 1.3 |
| 10 am |
| 1.9 |
| 11 am |
| 2.6 |
| 12 pm |
| 3.3 |
| 1 pm |
| 3.7 |
| 2 pm |
| 3.7 |
| 3 pm |
| 3.4 |
| 4 pm |
| 2.6 |
| 5 pm |
| 1.7 |
| 6 pm |
| 0.7 |
| 7 pm |
| -0.1 |
| 8 pm |
| -0.7 |
| 9 pm |
| -0.8 |
| 10 pm |
| -0.4 |
| 11 pm |
| 0.4 |
Tallahassee, FL,
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