Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Crescent City, FL
May 19, 2024 7:41 PM EDT (23:41 UTC) Change Location
 | Sunrise 6:28 AM Sunset 8:14 PM Moonrise 3:53 PM Moonset 3:07 AM |
AMZ454 Expires:202405200730;;493128 Fzus52 Kjax 191831 Cwfjax
coastal waters forecast for northeast florida/southeast georgia national weather service jacksonville fl 231 pm edt Sun may 19 2024
atlantic coastal waters from altamaha sound ga to flagler beach fl out to 60 nm.
seas are provided as a range of the average height of the highest 1/3 of the waves, along with the occasional height of the average highest 1/10 of the waves.
amz450-452-454-200730- coastal waters from altamaha sound to fernandina beach fl out 20 nm- coastal waters from fernandina beach to st. Augustine fl out 20 nm- coastal waters from st. Augustine to flagler beach fl out 20 nm- 231 pm edt Sun may 19 2024
Rest of today - Southeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas around 2 feet. Wave detail: southeast 2 feet at 5 seconds. Intracoastal waters light chop. A chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Tonight - Northeast winds 5 to 10 knots, becoming north 10 to 15 knots after midnight. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Wave detail: east 2 feet at 5 seconds and northeast 2 feet at 8 seconds. Intracoastal waters a moderate chop. Thunderstorms likely with a chance of showers in the evening, then a slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms after midnight.
Monday - Northeast winds 15 to 20 knots. Seas 2 to 4 feet, occasionally to 5 feet. Wave detail: northeast 4 feet at 6 seconds. Intracoastal waters choppy. A slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the morning.
Monday night - Northeast winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas around 4 feet, occasionally to 5 feet. Wave detail: northeast 4 feet at 7 seconds. Intracoastal waters a moderate chop. A slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the evening, then a slight chance of rain after midnight.
Tuesday - Northeast winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas around 4 feet, occasionally to 5 feet. Wave detail: northeast 4 feet at 8 seconds. Intracoastal waters a moderate chop. A slight chance of rain in the morning, then a slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Tuesday night - Northeast winds 10 to 15 knots, diminishing to 5 to 10 knots after midnight. Seas 3 to 4 feet, occasionally to 5 feet. Wave detail: northeast 4 feet at 7 seconds. Intracoastal waters a moderate chop.
Wednesday through Thursday - South winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Intracoastal waters a moderate chop.
winds and waves higher in and near Thunderstorms.
coastal waters forecast for northeast florida/southeast georgia national weather service jacksonville fl 231 pm edt Sun may 19 2024
atlantic coastal waters from altamaha sound ga to flagler beach fl out to 60 nm.
seas are provided as a range of the average height of the highest 1/3 of the waves, along with the occasional height of the average highest 1/10 of the waves.
amz450-452-454-200730- coastal waters from altamaha sound to fernandina beach fl out 20 nm- coastal waters from fernandina beach to st. Augustine fl out 20 nm- coastal waters from st. Augustine to flagler beach fl out 20 nm- 231 pm edt Sun may 19 2024
winds and waves higher in and near Thunderstorms.
AMZ400 Synopsis For Altamaha Sound Ga To Flagler Beach Fl Out To 60 Nm- 231 Pm Edt Sun May 19 2024
Synopsis -
a slow moving cold front will continue to drift southward over the coastal waters through the afternoon, with numerous showers and Thunderstorms developing over the coming hours into the evening. Some of these storms may contain strong gusty winds and heavy downpours at times. Breezy flow from the north- northeast overnight into Monday behind the cold front. Wind speeds will be near small craft advisory levels over the southeast georgia waters Monday morning. High pressure builds directly over the waters during the middle part of next week.
Gulf stream -
the approximate location of the west wall of the gulf stream as of may 18, 2024 at 1200 utc - .
64 nautical miles east of flagler beach. 73 nautical miles east of saint augustine beach. 82 nautical miles east of jacksonville beach. 101 nautical miles east southeast of st simons island.
this data courtesy of the naval oceanographic office.
a slow moving cold front will continue to drift southward over the coastal waters through the afternoon, with numerous showers and Thunderstorms developing over the coming hours into the evening. Some of these storms may contain strong gusty winds and heavy downpours at times. Breezy flow from the north- northeast overnight into Monday behind the cold front. Wind speeds will be near small craft advisory levels over the southeast georgia waters Monday morning. High pressure builds directly over the waters during the middle part of next week.
the approximate location of the west wall of the gulf stream as of may 18, 2024 at 1200 utc - .
64 nautical miles east of flagler beach. 73 nautical miles east of saint augustine beach. 82 nautical miles east of jacksonville beach. 101 nautical miles east southeast of st simons island.
this data courtesy of the naval oceanographic office.
Area Discussion for - Jacksonville, FL
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FXUS62 KJAX 192315 AFDJAX
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Jacksonville FL 715 PM EDT Sun May 19 2024
New UPDATE
UPDATE
Issued at 704 PM EDT Sun May 19 2024
For the latest NE FL and SE GA Daily Key Messages please visit: https:// www.weather.gov/media/jax/briefings/nws-jax-briefing.pdf
Outflow boundary that originated in SE GA has pushed into NE FL extending from coastal Duval County through the northern Suwannee Valley this early evening. The outflow will continue to push southward this evening with surface cool front lagging behind near the Altamaha River Basin. Most residual and isolated convection remains along and ahead of the outflow boundary. The cool front is expected to push through most of the forecast region during the overnight hours. The convection mainly be isolated to widely scattered over the land areas the remaining daylight hours, become isolated during the mid to late evening. A northeasterly flow will become established during the overnight hours as the cold front clears the area and high pressure begins to build down from the northeast.
NEAR TERM
Issued at 303 PM EDT Sun May 19 2024
For the latest NE FL and SE GA Daily Key Messages please visit: https:// www.weather.gov/media/jax/briefings/nws-jax-briefing.pdf
Line of showers and storms are currently skirting the Altamaha River Basin in SE GA along the cold front. Showers and storms will begin to develop across SE GA and eventually towards NE FL once the cold front begins to meander south during the late afternoon.
Main concern for any storms which do develop will be damaging wind gusts up to 60 mph, as DCAPE values hover around the 1000 J/kg range. Activity will shift towards the coast during the early evening hours. Isolated Coastal showers will linger through the overnight hours over the SE GA coast, with some activity possible during the pre-dawn morning hours along the coast in NE FL. A northeasterly flow will become established during the overnight hours as the cold front clears the area and high pressure begins to build down from the northeast. Overnight lows in the mid to upper 60s for inland locations, with coastal locations hovering near the 70 mark. Current forecast has these trends well in hand with only minor and subtle changes to the POPS to mirror the forecast convective chances over the next few hours.
SHORT TERM
(Monday through Tuesday night)
Issued at 303 PM EDT Sun May 19 2024
High pressure wedges down the east coast Monday with an upper level trough in place. Onshore flow will allow the sea-breeze to make itself well inland, pulling some PWAT values of 1-1.4" along with it. Rain and storm potential will be between 25-45% in the morning along the coast and inland to the 301 corridor, increasing inland for NE FL to 50-60%. Chances drop below 10% after sunset. Partly cloudy skies and onshore winds will keep high temperatures in the low to mid 80s area wide with temperatures in the upper 70s to low 80s along the coast. Winds will die down in the evening hours, with skies becoming mostly clear inland.
Overnight temperatures will be in the low to mid 60's staying in the upper 60s to low 70s along the coast. Tuesday, weather will be similar to monday just a bit drier, causing lower chances of 20-40% for storms and precipitation for NE FL in the morning and afternoon.
LONG TERM
(Wednesday through next Sunday)
Issued at 303 PM EDT Sun May 19 2024
High pressure continues to build into the area Wednesday with an upper level ridge moving in from the west. Expect mostly clear skies for the rest of the week, becoming partly cloudy Friday afternoon. Models show the next best chance for rain will be over the weekend in the afternoon and evening igh pressure wedges down the east coast Monday with an upper level trough in place. Onshore flow will allow the sea-breeze to make itself well inland, pulling some PWAT values of 1-1.4" along with it. Rain and storm potential will be between 25-45% in the morning along the coast and inland to the 301 corridor, increasing inland for NE FL to 50-60%. Chances drop below 10% after sunset. Partly cloudy skies and onshore winds will keep high temperatures in the low to mid 80s area wide with temperatures in the upper 70s to low 80s along the coast.hours as PWAT values increase to 1.5"+ and an upper level trough moves into the area.
Temperatures will slowly climb into the 90s by Thursday and stay through the weekend with overnight temperatures will be in the upper 60s to low 70s.
AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 140 PM EDT Sun May 19 2024
VFR clouds around at this time with scattered to broken cumulus around 3500-4500 ft. First signs of convection so far over inland southeast GA, but deepening cumulus field will result in chance of showers and storms rest of the aftn with TEMPO groups in place, with lowest confidence for SGJ and GNV at this time. Could be strong gusty winds that accompany storms around SSI and then near JAX by 22z and 00z, respectively. Showers and storms expected to diminish in coverage and intensity after 02z-04z time frame as frontal boundary sags southward. Low clouds will begin to develop overnight into Monday morning that may be close to IFR but mainly MVFR. Sfc winds prevail from the west about 8-12 kt and will shift to northerly and northeast by Monday morning.
MARINE
Issued at 303 PM EDT Sun May 19 2024
A slow moving cold front will continue to drift southward over the coastal waters through the afternoon, with numerous showers and thunderstorms developing over the coming hours into the evening. Some of these storms may contain strong gusty winds and heavy downpours at times. Breezy flow from the north- northeast overnight into Monday behind the cold front. Wind speeds will be near small craft advisory levels over the southeast Georgia waters Monday morning. High pressure builds directly over the waters during the middle part of next week.
Rip Currents:Low risk of Rip Currents for the remainder of the day for all area beaches. A moderate risk of rip currents is forecast for NE FL and SE GA beaches Monday.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
AMG 85 65 84 63 / 80 10 10 0 SSI 86 69 80 70 / 60 20 10 0 JAX 89 67 81 66 / 30 20 30 0 SGJ 89 68 81 69 / 40 30 30 10 GNV 87 67 83 62 / 20 10 50 0 OCF 87 68 86 65 / 20 10 50 0
JAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
FL...None.
GA...None.
AM...None.
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Jacksonville FL 715 PM EDT Sun May 19 2024
New UPDATE
UPDATE
Issued at 704 PM EDT Sun May 19 2024
For the latest NE FL and SE GA Daily Key Messages please visit: https:// www.weather.gov/media/jax/briefings/nws-jax-briefing.pdf
Outflow boundary that originated in SE GA has pushed into NE FL extending from coastal Duval County through the northern Suwannee Valley this early evening. The outflow will continue to push southward this evening with surface cool front lagging behind near the Altamaha River Basin. Most residual and isolated convection remains along and ahead of the outflow boundary. The cool front is expected to push through most of the forecast region during the overnight hours. The convection mainly be isolated to widely scattered over the land areas the remaining daylight hours, become isolated during the mid to late evening. A northeasterly flow will become established during the overnight hours as the cold front clears the area and high pressure begins to build down from the northeast.
NEAR TERM
Issued at 303 PM EDT Sun May 19 2024
For the latest NE FL and SE GA Daily Key Messages please visit: https:// www.weather.gov/media/jax/briefings/nws-jax-briefing.pdf
Line of showers and storms are currently skirting the Altamaha River Basin in SE GA along the cold front. Showers and storms will begin to develop across SE GA and eventually towards NE FL once the cold front begins to meander south during the late afternoon.
Main concern for any storms which do develop will be damaging wind gusts up to 60 mph, as DCAPE values hover around the 1000 J/kg range. Activity will shift towards the coast during the early evening hours. Isolated Coastal showers will linger through the overnight hours over the SE GA coast, with some activity possible during the pre-dawn morning hours along the coast in NE FL. A northeasterly flow will become established during the overnight hours as the cold front clears the area and high pressure begins to build down from the northeast. Overnight lows in the mid to upper 60s for inland locations, with coastal locations hovering near the 70 mark. Current forecast has these trends well in hand with only minor and subtle changes to the POPS to mirror the forecast convective chances over the next few hours.
SHORT TERM
(Monday through Tuesday night)
Issued at 303 PM EDT Sun May 19 2024
High pressure wedges down the east coast Monday with an upper level trough in place. Onshore flow will allow the sea-breeze to make itself well inland, pulling some PWAT values of 1-1.4" along with it. Rain and storm potential will be between 25-45% in the morning along the coast and inland to the 301 corridor, increasing inland for NE FL to 50-60%. Chances drop below 10% after sunset. Partly cloudy skies and onshore winds will keep high temperatures in the low to mid 80s area wide with temperatures in the upper 70s to low 80s along the coast. Winds will die down in the evening hours, with skies becoming mostly clear inland.
Overnight temperatures will be in the low to mid 60's staying in the upper 60s to low 70s along the coast. Tuesday, weather will be similar to monday just a bit drier, causing lower chances of 20-40% for storms and precipitation for NE FL in the morning and afternoon.
LONG TERM
(Wednesday through next Sunday)
Issued at 303 PM EDT Sun May 19 2024
High pressure continues to build into the area Wednesday with an upper level ridge moving in from the west. Expect mostly clear skies for the rest of the week, becoming partly cloudy Friday afternoon. Models show the next best chance for rain will be over the weekend in the afternoon and evening igh pressure wedges down the east coast Monday with an upper level trough in place. Onshore flow will allow the sea-breeze to make itself well inland, pulling some PWAT values of 1-1.4" along with it. Rain and storm potential will be between 25-45% in the morning along the coast and inland to the 301 corridor, increasing inland for NE FL to 50-60%. Chances drop below 10% after sunset. Partly cloudy skies and onshore winds will keep high temperatures in the low to mid 80s area wide with temperatures in the upper 70s to low 80s along the coast.hours as PWAT values increase to 1.5"+ and an upper level trough moves into the area.
Temperatures will slowly climb into the 90s by Thursday and stay through the weekend with overnight temperatures will be in the upper 60s to low 70s.
AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 140 PM EDT Sun May 19 2024
VFR clouds around at this time with scattered to broken cumulus around 3500-4500 ft. First signs of convection so far over inland southeast GA, but deepening cumulus field will result in chance of showers and storms rest of the aftn with TEMPO groups in place, with lowest confidence for SGJ and GNV at this time. Could be strong gusty winds that accompany storms around SSI and then near JAX by 22z and 00z, respectively. Showers and storms expected to diminish in coverage and intensity after 02z-04z time frame as frontal boundary sags southward. Low clouds will begin to develop overnight into Monday morning that may be close to IFR but mainly MVFR. Sfc winds prevail from the west about 8-12 kt and will shift to northerly and northeast by Monday morning.
MARINE
Issued at 303 PM EDT Sun May 19 2024
A slow moving cold front will continue to drift southward over the coastal waters through the afternoon, with numerous showers and thunderstorms developing over the coming hours into the evening. Some of these storms may contain strong gusty winds and heavy downpours at times. Breezy flow from the north- northeast overnight into Monday behind the cold front. Wind speeds will be near small craft advisory levels over the southeast Georgia waters Monday morning. High pressure builds directly over the waters during the middle part of next week.
Rip Currents:Low risk of Rip Currents for the remainder of the day for all area beaches. A moderate risk of rip currents is forecast for NE FL and SE GA beaches Monday.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
AMG 85 65 84 63 / 80 10 10 0 SSI 86 69 80 70 / 60 20 10 0 JAX 89 67 81 66 / 30 20 30 0 SGJ 89 68 81 69 / 40 30 30 10 GNV 87 67 83 62 / 20 10 50 0 OCF 87 68 86 65 / 20 10 50 0
JAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
FL...None.
GA...None.
AM...None.
| Stations | Dist | Age | Wind | Air Temp | Water Temp | Waves | inHg | DewPt |
| GTXF1 - Guana Tolomato Matanzas Reserve, FL | 27 mi | 56 min | WNW 6 | 89°F | 29.86 | 64°F | ||
| SAUF1 - St. Augustine, FL | 37 mi | 41 min | W 8G | 89°F | 78°F | 29.83 | 89°F | |
| 41070 | 43 mi | 66 min | 80°F | 2 ft |
toggle option: (graph/table)
| Airport | Dist | Age | Wind kt | Vis | Sky | Weather | Temp | DewPt | RH | inHg |
| KFIN FLAGLER EXECUTIVE,FL | 21 sm | 51 min | W 07 | 10 sm | Partly Cloudy | 86°F | 66°F | 52% | 29.84 |
Georgetown
Click for Map
Sun -- 04:07 AM EDT Moonset
Sun -- 05:08 AM EDT 3.94 feet High Tide
Sun -- 06:31 AM EDT Sunrise
Sun -- 11:15 AM EDT 3.91 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 01:55 PM EDT 3.93 feet High Tide
Sun -- 03:09 PM EDT 3.92 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 04:53 PM EDT Moonrise
Sun -- 05:10 PM EDT 3.93 feet High Tide
Sun -- 08:14 PM EDT Sunset
Sun -- 11:20 PM EDT 3.89 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Click for Map
Sun -- 04:07 AM EDT Moonset
Sun -- 05:08 AM EDT 3.94 feet High Tide
Sun -- 06:31 AM EDT Sunrise
Sun -- 11:15 AM EDT 3.91 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 01:55 PM EDT 3.93 feet High Tide
Sun -- 03:09 PM EDT 3.92 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 04:53 PM EDT Moonrise
Sun -- 05:10 PM EDT 3.93 feet High Tide
Sun -- 08:14 PM EDT Sunset
Sun -- 11:20 PM EDT 3.89 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Georgetown, St. Johns River, Florida, Tide feet
| 12 am |
| 3.9 |
| 1 am |
| 3.9 |
| 2 am |
| 3.9 |
| 3 am |
| 3.9 |
| 4 am |
| 3.9 |
| 5 am |
| 3.9 |
| 6 am |
| 3.9 |
| 7 am |
| 3.9 |
| 8 am |
| 3.9 |
| 9 am |
| 3.9 |
| 10 am |
| 3.9 |
| 11 am |
| 3.9 |
| 12 pm |
| 3.9 |
| 1 pm |
| 3.9 |
| 2 pm |
| 3.9 |
| 3 pm |
| 3.9 |
| 4 pm |
| 3.9 |
| 5 pm |
| 3.9 |
| 6 pm |
| 3.9 |
| 7 pm |
| 3.9 |
| 8 pm |
| 3.9 |
| 9 pm |
| 3.9 |
| 10 pm |
| 3.9 |
| 11 pm |
| 3.9 |
Welaka
Click for Map
Sun -- 02:57 AM EDT 3.83 feet High Tide
Sun -- 04:07 AM EDT Moonset
Sun -- 06:31 AM EDT Sunrise
Sun -- 07:07 AM EDT 3.60 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 07:35 AM EDT 3.60 feet High Tide
Sun -- 09:42 AM EDT 3.58 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 01:30 PM EDT 3.82 feet High Tide
Sun -- 02:34 PM EDT 3.82 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 03:09 PM EDT 3.82 feet High Tide
Sun -- 04:53 PM EDT Moonrise
Sun -- 07:09 PM EDT 3.61 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 08:12 PM EDT 3.61 feet High Tide
Sun -- 08:14 PM EDT Sunset
Sun -- 10:14 PM EDT 3.58 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Click for Map
Sun -- 02:57 AM EDT 3.83 feet High Tide
Sun -- 04:07 AM EDT Moonset
Sun -- 06:31 AM EDT Sunrise
Sun -- 07:07 AM EDT 3.60 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 07:35 AM EDT 3.60 feet High Tide
Sun -- 09:42 AM EDT 3.58 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 01:30 PM EDT 3.82 feet High Tide
Sun -- 02:34 PM EDT 3.82 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 03:09 PM EDT 3.82 feet High Tide
Sun -- 04:53 PM EDT Moonrise
Sun -- 07:09 PM EDT 3.61 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 08:12 PM EDT 3.61 feet High Tide
Sun -- 08:14 PM EDT Sunset
Sun -- 10:14 PM EDT 3.58 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Welaka, St. Johns River, Florida, Tide feet
| 12 am |
| 3.8 |
| 1 am |
| 3.8 |
| 2 am |
| 3.8 |
| 3 am |
| 3.8 |
| 4 am |
| 3.8 |
| 5 am |
| 3.7 |
| 6 am |
| 3.6 |
| 7 am |
| 3.6 |
| 8 am |
| 3.6 |
| 9 am |
| 3.6 |
| 10 am |
| 3.6 |
| 11 am |
| 3.6 |
| 12 pm |
| 3.7 |
| 1 pm |
| 3.8 |
| 2 pm |
| 3.8 |
| 3 pm |
| 3.8 |
| 4 pm |
| 3.8 |
| 5 pm |
| 3.7 |
| 6 pm |
| 3.6 |
| 7 pm |
| 3.6 |
| 8 pm |
| 3.6 |
| 9 pm |
| 3.6 |
| 10 pm |
| 3.6 |
| 11 pm |
| 3.6 |
Jacksonville, FL,
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