Wednesday, January19, 2022
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Marine Weather and Tides
Taylor Lake Village, TX

Version 3.4
NOTICE
3/30/2021 -- ANZ330 has been split into ANZ331 and ANZ332. Click EDIT in Marine Forecast and select your new zone.
1/26/2021 -- The West Coast Satellite images havd been updated. They now use GEOS-17.
1/1/2021 -- The 7 day forecast are now working well. Thank you NOAA for your support.

Sunrise 7:13AMSunset 5:48PM Wednesday January 19, 2022 1:52 AM CST (07:52 UTC) Moonrise 7:30PMMoonset 8:39AM Illumination 97% Phase: Waning Gibbous; Moon at 16 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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GMZ335 Galveston Bay- 848 Pm Cst Tue Jan 18 2022
Rest of tonight..South winds 10 to 15 knots decreasing to 5 to 10 knots after midnight. Bay waters slightly choppy becoming smooth after midnight.
Wednesday..South winds around 10 knots. Bay waters smooth to slightly choppy. A slight chance of showers until late afternoon. Isolated Thunderstorms early in the afternoon, then a chance of showers and isolated Thunderstorms late in the afternoon. Some Thunderstorms may produce heavy rainfall late in the afternoon.
Wednesday night..Southwest winds 10 to 15 knots becoming north 15 to 20 knots after midnight. Bay waters slightly choppy becoming choppy after midnight. Showers and Thunderstorms likely in the evening, then a chance of showers and Thunderstorms after midnight. Some Thunderstorms may produce heavy rainfall.
Thursday..North winds 15 to 20 knots. Bay waters choppy. A chance of showers in the late morning and afternoon.
Thursday night..North winds 15 to 20 knots. Bay waters choppy. A chance of showers. A chance of light freezing rain and sleet after midnight, then a slight chance of light freezing rain and sleet late.
Friday..North winds 15 to 20 knots becoming northeast 10 to 15 knots in the afternoon. Bay waters choppy becoming slightly choppy in the afternoon. A slight chance of rain early in the morning. A slight chance of light freezing rain and sleet in the morning.
Friday night..Northeast winds 10 to 15 knots. Bay waters slightly choppy.
Saturday..Northeast winds 10 to 15 knots. Bay waters slightly choppy.
Saturday night..Northeast winds 10 to 15 knots. Bay waters slightly choppy.
Sunday..Northeast winds 10 to 15 knots becoming north 5 to 10 knots in the afternoon. Bay waters slightly choppy becoming smooth in the afternoon.
Sunday night..North winds 5 to 10 knots. Bay waters smooth. A slight chance of showers late.
GMZ300 Synopsis For High Island To The Matagorda Ship Channel Out 60 Nautical Miles Including Galveston And Matagorda Bays 848 Pm Cst Tue Jan 18 2022
Synopsis for high island to matagorda ship channel out 60 nm.. Onshore flow will continue to strengthen this evening with building seas. A small craft advisory is in effect for the offshore waters. Onshore flow tonight and Wednesday has and will continue to allow tide levels to recover to around normal but in the wake of the cold front tide levels will plummet. A cold front and associated showers and possibly some isolated strong Thunderstorms will push through the coastal waters Wednesday night and will usher in a strong offshore flow and elevated seas. A gale watch is in effect for all gulf waters from late Wednesday night through late Thursday night. Offshore flow will gradually become light to moderate through the weekend.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Taylor Lake Village, TX
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location: 29.56, -95.07     debug


Area Discussion for - Houston/Galveston, TX
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FXUS64 KHGX 190530 AFDHGX

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Houston/Galveston TX 1130 PM CST Tue Jan 18 2022

AVIATION [06Z TAF Issuance].

No significant changes from the 00Z TAF package. Light southerly winds and VFR conditions continue to prevail across all area sites. Around 11Z, expecting a downward trend in ceilings at most locations with a drop to MVFR for most locations. For the western sites (CLL & SGR) along with CXO, I added in a mention of 6SM BR from 13Z-16Z for the potential of patchy fog. CXO winds have already become light and variable, which has increased confidence for them to experience a reduction in visibility. Elsewhere, winds will remain elevated enough to only cause lowered cloud ceilings through the mid-morning hours of Wednesday. SH/TS are expected both ahead of and along the boundary of a cold front that will move through Southeast Texas late Wednesday. Timing seems to be consistent on initial SH/TS development south of I-10 around 19Z-20Z, while SH/TS along the frontal boundary fills in around 22Z-23Z as the front moves through. In the wake of the front, expect breezy northerly winds along with MVFR ceilings as moisture continues to linger. The chances for rain largely come to an end following the passage of the front through at least early Thursday afternoon.

Batiste

PREV DISCUSSION /Issued 550 PM CST Tue Jan 18 2022/.

SHORT TERM [Tonight Through Tomorrow/Wednesday Night].

With the moderate to strong WAA continuing, will expect the return of clouds tonight and perhaps some very isolated showers by sunrise. The strong gusty S/SE flow this afternoon should also decrease during the early part of the evening. Low temperatures tonight should range from the mid and upper 50s north to the lower to mid 60s south.

We're still looking for the next cold front to start moving into SE TX late tomorrow afternoon (our northern CWA), then reaching the coast at or around midnight. SPC has the eastern portions of our area outlooked for a Marginal Risk of severe weather with this system. This is mainly based on somewhat favorable instability indicies and modest shear. The main threats look to be damaging winds and hail. High temperatures to- morrow afternoon should be warm (even with the clouds) with most sites climbing into the mid and upper 70s. With the colder air arriving late tomorrow night, the low temperature forecast will be a tricky one with numbers falling quickly behind the front. Lows across our northern CWA could be in the lower to mid 30s . lower to mid 40s elsewhere. 41

LONG TERM [Thursday Through Tuesday].

Showers from Wednesday's front will continue to push offshore Thursday morning. Gusty northerly winds behind the front will usher in colder temperatures. Combined with cloudy skies, high temperatures will only get into the 40s on Thursday. Moisture seems to linger in the wake of the front. With a few shortwaves at mid- level and upper level divergence from an approaching shortwave trough over W Texas/New Mexico, precipitation chances return across most of the area by Thursday night. Given the amount of dry and colder air filtering behind the front and a well- saturated boundary layer, the main question will be precipitation type. Most forecast soundings suggest a fully saturated profile in the mid-level dendritic zone, but a warm nose between 900:850 mb, suggests mixed precipitation across parts of the region. Uncertainty remains high as any changeover to freezing rain/snow/sleet will strongly depend on how fast the upper trough moves eastward and how quickly sfc/road temperatures cool off through the night. With that being said, areas south of Conroe may see some mixed precipitation (slight chance for rain/freezing rain/sleet), with better chances south of I-10. Still some uncertainty between models, though, with low levels drying, out no ice accumulation is expected. On the other hand, there is a moderate to high confidence that it will be cold by Friday morning. Breezy winds and cold temperatures will bring wind chills in the 20s overnight.

By Friday morning, lingering coastal showers will bring some rain/freezing rain. Seeing some marginal improvement in model agreement compared to yesterday. GFS has sped up the shortwave while keeping Gulf low further offshore, bringing it closer to the EURO's solution. With mid levels drying out and the shortwave passing to the east, rain chances should taper off Friday afternoon and stay down though Saturday. High pressure north of our area (near Arkansas) appears to build south, bringing clear skies into Saturday. This should increase radiational cooling, letting temperatures fall into the 20s to 30s early Saturday.

With another shortwave to the west and a Gulf low to the south, we'll likely get another round of rainfall late this weekend, into next week. There still a lot of disagreement between the models on how things will unfold. GFS has the shortwave moving faster, with the Gulf low staying far south. EURO is slower on the shortwave but brings the surface low much closer to our shoreline. Chances are we'll see some kind of rainfall late Sunday through Monday. Gradual but slow warming through the weekend will help temperatures rise into the 50s/60s by Tuesday.

03/05

MARINE.

Abnormally low water/low tides are expected to continue through at least Wednesday, though moderate to strong onshore flow will help to improve the tides to recover some. Onshore flow will gradually strengthen tonight, reaching advisory criteria during the overnight hours. A Small Craft Advisory is in effect through 4AM. Winds and seas will decrease by Wednesday before the next frontal passage. The cold front will push through the coastal waters Wednesday night, ushering in strong north winds. Gale conditions will be possible with gusts near 40 knots and building seas mainly from 7 to 9ft through late Thursday. A Gale Watch is in effect for all Gulf waters from late Wednesday night through late Thursday night. Offshore flow will gradually become light to moderate through the weekend.

05

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS.

College Station (CLL) 73 58 75 35 44 / 20 30 20 20 10 Houston (IAH) 73 60 76 42 48 / 40 60 30 30 10 Galveston (GLS) 71 64 71 48 54 / 30 70 40 60 20

HGX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES.

TX . None. GM . Gale Watch from late Wednesday night through late Thursday night for the following zones: Coastal waters from Freeport to Matagorda Ship Channel TX out 20 NM . Coastal waters from High Island to Freeport TX out 20 NM . Waters from Freeport to Matagorda Ship Channel TX from 20 to 60 NM . Waters from High Island to Freeport TX from 20 to 60 NM.

Small Craft Advisory until 2 PM CST Wednesday for the following zones: Waters from Freeport to Matagorda Ship Channel TX from 20 to 60 NM . Waters from High Island to Freeport TX from 20 to 60 NM.



SHORT TERM . 41 LONG TERM . 03/05 AVIATION . Batiste MARINE . 05


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
MGPT2 - 8770613 - Morgans Point, TX 10 mi59 min SE 4.1G6 59°F 57°F1015.4 hPa
EPTT2 - 8771013 - Eagle Point, TX 10 mi59 min SSW 12G13 64°F 57°F1014.9 hPa
NCHT2 - 8770777 - Manchester, TX 15 mi59 min SSW 2.9G4.1 64°F 62°F1014.5 hPa
GRRT2 20 mi59 min S 8G11 63°F 56°F1015.2 hPa
GNJT2 - 8771341 - Galveston Bay (North Jetty), TX 23 mi59 min SSW 8G8.9 69°F 61°F1014.5 hPa
GTOT2 23 mi59 min SW 4.1G11 65°F 62°F1015.3 hPa
RLOT2 - 8770971 - Rollover Pass, TX 30 mi59 min S 5.1G8 63°F 53°F1015.1 hPa
LUIT2 34 mi59 min SSE 5.1G7 64°F 61°F1014.6 hPa
HIST2 36 mi59 min S 7G9.9 64°F 56°F1015.2 hPa
42035 - GALVESTON 22NM East of Galveston, TX 42 mi43 min S 9.7G12 65°F 1015.5 hPa62°F
FPST2 45 mi59 min SSE 11G13 66°F 61°F1014.1 hPa

Wind History for Morgans Point, TX
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Last 24 hrSE1
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Houston / Ellington, TX7 mi63 minSSE 810.00 miMostly Cloudy61°F57°F88%1014.9 hPa
Houston, Pearland Regional Airport, TX10 mi60 minS 810.00 miMostly Cloudy67°F58°F73%1015.4 hPa
Houston, Houston Hobby Airport, TX13 mi60 minS 810.00 miMostly Cloudy67°F58°F73%1015.3 hPa
John Dunn Helistop, TX20 mi58 minS 13 G 1910.00 miOvercast64°F57°F78%1014.2 hPa
Houston Southwest Airport, TX22 mi58 minN 010.00 miMostly Cloudy60°F59°F96%1015.2 hPa
Galveston, Scholes Field, TX23 mi61 minSSW 710.00 miPartly Cloudy66°F60°F81%1015.9 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KEFD

Wind History from EFD (wind in knots)
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Last 24 hr--E3--SE6SE6SE6SE3SE8SE8SE16S19S21S18
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1 day ago00000000N4N4N50000E5SE4--S4S4S3SE3--SE5
2 days agoNW19
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Tide / Current Tables for Clear Lake, Harris Co. Park, Texas (2)
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Clear Lake
Click for Map
Wed -- 12:56 AM CST     0.65 feet High Tide
Wed -- 05:23 AM CST     0.57 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 07:15 AM CST     Sunrise
Wed -- 08:00 AM CST     0.60 feet High Tide
Wed -- 08:39 AM CST     Moonset
Wed -- 05:30 PM CST     -0.42 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 05:47 PM CST     Sunset
Wed -- 07:29 PM CST     Moonrise
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

Clear Lake, Harris Co. Park, Texas (2), Tide feet
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0.4


Tide / Current Tables for Bolivar Roads, Texas Current
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Bolivar Roads
Click for Map
Wed -- 12:56 AM CST     -0.00 knots Slack
Wed -- 07:13 AM CST     Sunrise
Wed -- 08:37 AM CST     Moonset
Wed -- 09:54 AM CST     -1.92 knots Max Ebb
Wed -- 02:49 PM CST     0.00 knots Slack
Wed -- 05:46 PM CST     Sunset
Wed -- 06:34 PM CST     1.99 knots Max Flood
Wed -- 07:28 PM CST     Moonrise
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

Bolivar Roads, Texas Current, knots
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