Sunday, January16, 2022
Privacy Policy
L-36.com

Marine Weather and Tides
New Territory, TX

Version 3.4
NOTICE
3/30/2021 -- ANZ330 has been split into ANZ331 and ANZ332. Click EDIT in Marine Forecast and select your new zone.
1/26/2021 -- The West Coast Satellite images havd been updated. They now use GEOS-17.
1/1/2021 -- The 7 day forecast are now working well. Thank you NOAA for your support.

Sunrise 7:16AMSunset 5:48PM Sunday January 16, 2022 5:12 AM CST (11:12 UTC) Moonrise 4:41PMMoonset 6:28AM Illumination 98% Phase: Waxing Gibbous; Moon at 14 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
    EDIT      (on/off)   Help
GMZ335 Galveston Bay- 325 Am Cst Sun Jan 16 2022
.small craft advisory in effect until 9 am cst this morning...
.low water advisory in effect until 6 pm cst this evening...
Today..Northwest winds 15 to 20 knots decreasing to 10 to 15 knots in the afternoon. Bay waters choppy becoming slightly choppy in the afternoon.
Tonight..West winds 5 to 10 knots. Bay waters smooth.
Monday..Northwest winds around 5 knots becoming south in the afternoon. Bay waters smooth.
Monday night..South winds 5 to 10 knots. Bay waters smooth.
Tuesday and Tuesday night..South winds 10 to 15 knots. Bay waters slightly choppy.
Wednesday..Southwest winds 10 to 15 knots. Bay waters slightly choppy. A slight chance of showers in the late morning and early afternoon. A slight chance of Thunderstorms in the late morning and afternoon. A chance of showers late in the afternoon.
Wednesday night..Northwest winds 10 to 15 knots becoming north 15 to 20 knots after midnight. Bay waters slightly choppy becoming choppy after midnight. A slight chance of Thunderstorms in the evening. A chance of showers.
Thursday..North winds 15 to 20 knots. Bay waters choppy. A slight chance of showers until late afternoon, then a chance of showers late in the afternoon.
Thursday night..Northeast winds 15 to 20 knots. Bay waters choppy. A chance of showers in the evening, then a slight chance of showers after midnight.
GMZ300 Synopsis For High Island To The Matagorda Ship Channel Out 60 Nautical Miles Including Galveston And Matagorda Bays 325 Am Cst Sun Jan 16 2022
Synopsis for high island to matagorda ship channel out 60 nm.. Moderate to strong northwest winds, rough bay waters, and high seas early this morning will gradually decrease as the day progresses. Gale warnings will be replaced with a small craft advisory in the morning. Mariners can expect low water conditions to persist with a continuing risk of vessel groundings. Onshore flow should resume late Monday along with recovering water levels. This flow will strengthen on Tuesday and remain elevated until the next cold front moves into the area late Wednesday afternoon or early Wednesday evening. Elevated offshore winds and seas can then be expected for the remainder of the week.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near New Territory, TX
   Hourly   EDIT   Help
location: 29.58, -95.7     debug


Area Discussion for - Houston/Galveston, TX
      (on/off)   Help   NOTE: mouseover dotted underlined text for definition
FXUS64 KHGX 160930 AFDHGX

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Houston/Galveston TX 330 AM CST Sun Jan 16 2022

DISCUSSION.

Another cool day is ahead after yesterday's early morning cold front, but at least the winds will not be quite as strong as yesterday. They're still only gradually coming down though, so we are looking at wind chills in the 20s this morning - so be sure to dress warmly if you are watching people run today.

From there, we'll look at a few more days of fair weather and a warming trend into the mid-week until temperatures are again cut down by the next cold front. Like this past front, the next one will try to manage some showers (and maybe a thunderstorm?) but may not find enough moisture to work with until it is nearly to the coast.

After the front, we'll cool down again to finish the week, while multiple weak upper disturbances try to carry low rain chances into the weekend. If you hear something about a wintry mix on Thursday night north of Houston . well . it's not impossible, but everything would have to come together just right/wrong for it to happen. Stay tuned as we refine the details on those puzzle pieces.

SHORT TERM [Through Monday Night].

A downward trend in wind speeds can be expected today as the storm system moves further off to the east. Skies will be sunny, and high temperatures are expected to warm up into a low to upper 50s range. High pressure overhead and light winds tonight will allow low temperature to bottom out generally in a low to mid 30s range inland and in a mid to upper 40s range at the coast. Skies will be clear. The high will be working its way eastward during the day on Monday, and we are still anticipating having high temperatures around ten degrees warmer (low to upper 60s range) than what the area will be seeing today. Again, look for another day with sunny skies. With a weak southerly flow beginning to set up on Monday night, anticipate warmer low temperatures, mainly ranging from the upper 30s to around 40 well inland to the low to mid 50s at the coast. Moisture levels will remain low enough for clear skies to prevail. Overall, a quiet forecast for the short term period.

LONG TERM [Tuesday Through Sunday].

Let's start with the "easy" part of the long term. At Tuesday's open, we'll be underneath/just on the backside of a weak shortwave ridge. Between that and a surface high centered around Panama City (isn't it a bit early for Spring Break?) we'll be looking for increasing dewpoints and high temperatures making their way back into the 70s. Meanwhile, back in the Panhandles, a lee-side low will begin to form as a shortwave trough drops off the Rockies. This will become important for our next cold front, but likely not until we squeeze in one more unseasonably warm day on Wednesday. In our far southwest around Matagorda Bay, we could see some isolated spots make a run for 80 degree highs.

But also through the day on Wednesday, the upper trough will be crossing the Plains and the developing low will scrap along the Red River, dropping a cold front into Central Texas as it goes. This will probably help to boost onshore flow for much of Wednesday thanks to the low strengthening the pressure gradient, enhancing our temps that afternoon. The front looks to sweep across Southeast Texas Wednesday evening. If the front ends up being a little faster, it may arrive soon enough to chop down temps some in the Caldwell, B/CS, Madisonville, Crockett area in our northern forecast area . but this may be mitigated somewhat by the fact that guidance looks to keep the colder post-frontal air back a little bit. I'm not sure if that's a vertical resolution problem in the global models I have available to me right now, or if it will take the 1045ish high pushing into the Great Plains from Canada to really force the issue. For now, I'll be optimistic and keep things on the warmer end for the entire forecast area.

From here . things break down in a hurry. I'm still pretty confident in temperature trends, as Thursday should be chilly, and Friday looks colder yet. Then the weekend will see slow warming, but still with below average temps. Where things get rough though is in the potential for showers, and perhaps even a chance at some wintry mix in the north on Thursday night???

I've been talking about this for a few nights now, and I'm still waiting for any more clarity on the important details I need to make a confident forecast at the end of this week. I've got one more shift left in this string, and I don't know if I'm going to get it by then. It certainly hasn't come tonight. But here's what I do know: the second half of the week should see multiple upper disturbances moving through the flow in the southern stream. Where those disturbances track will be very strongly dependent on what we're looking at for precip for the days following our mid-week front. It may be vitally important on Thursday night, which may be our best shot at some wintry precip in the northern part of the forecast area.

Some of the guidance (tonight, it's the GFS) suggests the upper flow will set up well to our south, which might be chilly for us here in Southeast Texas, but also considerably drier. Less aggressive guidance (tonight, the Euro) sets up the disturbances to track right over us, which would keep precip chances higher (particularly towards the coast) but also be a bit warmer. The question is . do these upper troughs track far enough north to give us precip, but still get cold enough for some of it to be frozen?

The NBM distribution sure seems to think so. It is VERY aggressive with the wintry potential, showing 20-30 percent chances of snow in the northern part of our area, and as high as 10-15 percent as far south as Houston. I suspect it may be inappropriately overlaying the cold air and lingering moisture, though. While the guidance has been wildly inconsistent from run to run and model to model, it does seem to hold a trend of warmer guidance being more moist and colder guidance being drier, which would tend to mitigate wintry potential more than the NBM is showing. This makes sense, as our winter weather near-misses frequently involve cold air chasing retreating moisture.

So, myself and the neighbors got together, chatted it over, and for Southeast and South Texas, decided to undercut the NBM for precip and wintry potential, given the uncertainty involved at such a long range. But just because we aren't confident enough to explicitly put a mix into the forecast right now, doesn't mean it isn't possible. We'll want to keep an eye on how things evolve this week and refine our thinking as we draw closer. One can hope that we'll finally get some real solid confidence on a yay or nay going forward. It just may not be soon enough for me specifically to be the one making that more confident forecast.

AVIATION [06Z TAF Issuance].

VFR. Main issue is wind with 310-320 at 08-20g14-28kt should continue to gradually relax becoming less gusty toward morning then gust pick back up after 13-15z as winds mix down again. By mid afternoon ridging should win out and wind gusts relax and sustained winds drop off and start to respond as ridging moves out the Hill Country and into the Gulf. Light and variable winds/calm should develop after sunset.

MARINE.

Moderate to strong northwest winds, rough bay waters, and high seas early this morning will gradually decrease as the day progresses. Gale Warnings will be replaced with a Small Craft Advisory in the morning. Mariners can expect low water conditions to persist with a continuing risk of vessel groundings. Onshore flow should resume late Monday along with recovering water levels. This flow will strengthen on Tuesday and remain elevated until the next cold front moves into the area late Wednesday afternoon or early Wednesday evening. Elevated offshore winds and seas can then be expected for the remainder of the week.

FIRE WEATHER.

Gusty northwest winds have been hanging tough with us through the night, and will only gradually come down today. While relative humidity values generally look better today than yesterday in most of the area, low RH around 30 percent is still expected west of the Houston metro towards Caldwell, Brenham, Columbus, etc. By the time we enter the period of lowest RH for the day, winds should be up to 15 mph with some gusts in the upper teens. Those winds will continue to diminish into the 10-15 mph range when RH is at its lowest. While not a critical combination of wind and dry air, it could support more active fire behavior, particularly in fuel beds that are dominated by continuous, light fuels.

Winds will continue to become lighter this evening. Dry conditions continue on Monday due to warmer temperatures during the afternoon rather than any real significant decrease in moisture. Look for gradual improvement in the humidity situation into mid-week as onshore winds return. As one might expect given the moisture source from the Gulf, RH will be boosted first at the coast, and gradually work its way inland into mid-week.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS.

College Station (CLL) 56 33 66 40 73 / 0 0 0 0 0 Houston (IAH) 55 37 65 43 73 / 0 0 0 0 0 Galveston (GLS) 57 48 63 56 70 / 0 0 0 0 0

HGX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES.

TX . None. GM . Low Water Advisory until 6 PM CST this evening for the following zones: Galveston Bay . Matagorda Bay.

Small Craft Advisory until 9 AM CST this morning for the following zones: Galveston Bay . Matagorda Bay.

Small Craft Advisory from 9 AM this morning to 6 PM CST this evening for the following zones: Coastal waters from Freeport to Matagorda Ship Channel TX out 20 NM . Coastal waters from High Island to Freeport TX out 20 NM . Waters from Freeport to Matagorda Ship Channel TX from 20 to 60 NM . Waters from High Island to Freeport TX from 20 to 60 NM.

Gale Warning until 9 AM CST this morning for the following zones: Coastal waters from Freeport to Matagorda Ship Channel TX out 20 NM . Coastal waters from High Island to Freeport TX out 20 NM . Waters from Freeport to Matagorda Ship Channel TX from 20 to 60 NM . Waters from High Island to Freeport TX from 20 to 60 NM.



DISCUSSION . Luchs SHORT TERM . 42 LONG TERM . Luchs AVIATION . 45 MARINE . 42 FIRE WEATHER . Luchs


Weather Reporting Stations
   EDIT       (on/off)   Help   NOTE: Click on distance to see the station location on a map
Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
NCHT2 - 8770777 - Manchester, TX 25 mi54 min NW 7G8.9 36°F 1020.1 hPa
MGPT2 - 8770613 - Morgans Point, TX 39 mi54 min 51°F1020.3 hPa
EPTT2 - 8771013 - Eagle Point, TX 42 mi54 min WNW 8G16 36°F 49°F1019.8 hPa
LUIT2 46 mi54 min WNW 14G17 37°F 50°F1020.3 hPa
GRRT2 47 mi54 min WNW 7G11 35°F 41°F1020.2 hPa
FPST2 49 mi54 min WNW 17G26 39°F 56°F1020.2 hPa

Wind History for Morgans Point, TX
(wind in knots)    EDIT      (on/off)   Help
5
am
6
am
7
am
8
am
9
am
10
am
11
am
12
pm
1
pm
2
pm
3
pm
4
pm
-12
pm
6
pm
7
pm
8
pm
9
pm
10
pm
11
pm
12
am
1
am
2
am
3
am
4
am
Last 24 hrW15
G19
W21
W20
G28
W23
G28
NW26
G35
NW26
W27
G33
W26
W24
G32
W26
G34
NW24
G31
NW29
G35
W23
G30
W24
W21
G30
W27
G37
W21
G28
W28
G34
W22
G27
W13
G22
NW18
G24
W21
W15
1 day
ago
SW4
SW3
W3
--
W1
SW5
E2
SE4
SE4
E7
E5
SE6
SE9
G12
SE7
SE7
SE5
SE3
SE5
G9
--
E3
SE3
SE3
S2
G5
SW7
G12
2 days
ago
W2
SW3
SW7
SW6
G9
SW5
SW9
G13
SW5
G8
SW6
G9
NW5
NW4
NW1
G5
SE3
W3
SE1
SE1
SE1
SW2
SW4
SW4
SW1
--
SW2
SW4

Airport Reports
    EDIT      (on/off)   Help   Click EDIT to display multiple airports. Follow links for more data.
AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Houston, Sugar Land Municipal / Hull Field Airport, TX4 mi79 minNW 710.00 miFair37°F24°F59%1021.3 hPa
Houston Southwest Airport, TX13 mi17 minNW 610.00 miFair35°F25°F69%1021.3 hPa
John Dunn Helistop, TX19 mi17 minVar 9 G 2410.00 miA Few Clouds34°F23°F65%1019.3 hPa
Houston Executive Airport, TX19 mi17 minNW 910.00 miFair36°F27°F70%1021.3 hPa
Houston, Houston Hobby Airport, TX23 mi19 minNW 1110.00 miFair37°F24°F59%1020.9 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KSGR

Wind History from SGR (wind in knots)
6
am
7
am
8
am
9
am
10
am
11
am
12
pm
1
pm
2
pm
3
pm
4
pm
5
pm
6
pm
7
pm
8
pm
9
pm
10
pm
11
pm
12
am
1
am
2
am
3
am
4
am
5
am
Last 24 hrNW13
G28
NW16
G25
N18
G30
N21
G34
N21
G32
NW18
G38
NW18
G31
NW24
G39
NW15
G36
NW21
G33
NW17
G36
NW21
G30
NW17
G30
NW12
G28
NW14
G24
NW16
G32
NW16
G30
NW13
G28
NW11
G20
NW8
G20
NW11
G18
NW8NW7NW7
G14
1 day ago000SW5W5SW5SW8SW8SW10SW12
G16
SW11S10S8S5S7S5S700S4S3W5W8NW19
G34
2 days agoSW3SW3W3W5W5W8NW7W5NW7NW6NW5W4000000000000

Tide / Current Tables for Clear Lake, Harris Co. Park, Texas
   EDIT   Weekend mode (on/off)   (on/off)   Help   One Week of Data
Clear Lake
Click for Map
Sun -- 12:33 AM CST     0.50 feet High Tide
Sun -- 05:02 AM CST     0.41 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 06:26 AM CST     Moonset
Sun -- 06:38 AM CST     0.42 feet High Tide
Sun -- 07:15 AM CST     Sunrise
Sun -- 03:43 PM CST     -0.62 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 04:38 PM CST     Moonrise
Sun -- 05:44 PM CST     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

Clear Lake, Harris Co. Park, Texas, Tide feet
12
am
0.5
1
am
0.5
2
am
0.5
3
am
0.4
4
am
0.4
5
am
0.4
6
am
0.4
7
am
0.4
8
am
0.4
9
am
0.3
10
am
0.2
11
am
-0
12
pm
-0.2
1
pm
-0.4
2
pm
-0.5
3
pm
-0.6
4
pm
-0.6
5
pm
-0.6
6
pm
-0.4
7
pm
-0.2
8
pm
0
9
pm
0.2
10
pm
0.3
11
pm
0.4


Tide / Current Tables for Clear Lake, Harris Co. Park, Texas (2)
   EDIT      (on/off)   Help   One Week of Data
Clear Lake
Click for Map
Sun -- 06:26 AM CST     Moonset
Sun -- 07:15 AM CST     Sunrise
Sun -- 03:50 PM CST     -0.44 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 04:38 PM CST     Moonrise
Sun -- 05:44 PM CST     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

Clear Lake, Harris Co. Park, Texas (2), Tide feet
12
am
0.7
1
am
0.7
2
am
0.6
3
am
0.6
4
am
0.6
5
am
0.6
6
am
0.6
7
am
0.6
8
am
0.6
9
am
0.5
10
am
0.4
11
am
0.2
12
pm
0
1
pm
-0.2
2
pm
-0.3
3
pm
-0.4
4
pm
-0.4
5
pm
-0.4
6
pm
-0.3
7
pm
-0.1
8
pm
0.2
9
pm
0.4
10
pm
0.5
11
pm
0.6


Weather Map
       (on/off)   Help Weather Map
wmap_A
GEOS Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: This section has been updated as of 1/26/2021. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: GEOS-West     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Ground Weather Radar Station



Gulf Stream Current



Please read website Cookie, Privacy, and Disclamers by clicking HERE.