Monday, October25, 2021
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Marine Weather and Tides
West University Place, TX

Version 3.4
NOTICE
3/30/2021 -- ANZ330 has been split into ANZ331 and ANZ332. Click EDIT in Marine Forecast and select your new zone.
1/26/2021 -- The West Coast Satellite images havd been updated. They now use GEOS-17.
1/1/2021 -- The 7 day forecast are now working well. Thank you NOAA for your support.

Sunrise 7:29AMSunset 6:41PM Monday October 25, 2021 3:43 PM CDT (20:43 UTC) Moonrise 9:12PMMoonset 10:59AM Illumination 76% Phase: Waning Gibbous; Moon at 20 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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GMZ335 Expires:202110260915;;765186 Fzus54 Khgx 252028 Cwfhgx Coastal Waters Forecast National Weather Service Houston/galveston Tx 328 Pm Cdt Mon Oct 25 2021 Upper Texas Coastal Waters From High Island To The Matagorda Ship Channel Out 60 Nautical Miles Including Galveston And Matagorda Bays Seas Are Provided As A Range Of The Average Height Of The Highest 1/3 Of The Waves...along With The Occasional Height Of The Average Highest 10 Percent Of The Waves. Gmz330-335-260915- Matagorda Bay-galveston Bay- 328 Pm Cdt Mon Oct 25 2021
Tonight..South winds 5 to 10 knots. Bay waters smooth. Patchy fog after midnight.
Tuesday..Southeast winds 5 to 10 knots increasing to 10 to 15 knots in the afternoon. Bay waters smooth becoming slightly choppy in the afternoon. Patchy fog early in the morning. A slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Tuesday night..Southeast winds 10 to 15 knots becoming south 15 to 20 knots after midnight. Bay waters slightly choppy becoming choppy after midnight. A slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the evening, then a chance of showers and Thunderstorms after midnight.
Wednesday..Southwest winds 15 to 20 knots becoming west in the afternoon. Bay waters choppy. Showers and Thunderstorms.
Wednesday night..Northwest winds 15 to 20 knots. Bay waters choppy.
Thursday..Northwest winds 15 to 20 knots increasing to 20 to 25 knots in the afternoon. Bay waters choppy becoming rough in the afternoon.
Thursday night..Northwest winds 15 to 20 knots. Bay waters choppy.
Friday..Northwest winds 15 to 20 knots. Bay waters choppy.
Friday night..Northwest winds 10 to 15 knots. Bay waters slightly choppy.
Saturday..North winds 5 to 10 knots becoming northwest in the afternoon. Bay waters smooth.
Saturday night..Southwest winds 5 to 10 knots becoming southeast after midnight. Bay waters smooth.
GMZ300 Synopsis For High Island To The Matagorda Ship Channel Out 60 Nautical Miles Including Galveston And Matagorda Bays 328 Pm Cdt Mon Oct 25 2021
Synopsis for high island to matagorda ship channel out 60 nm.. Light onshore flow and low seas will continue through early Tuesday. A gradual increase in onshore flow is expected on Tuesday as a cold front approaches the region. The front is expected to move through the area on Wednesday with moderate to strong onshore flow ahead of it Tuesday night and then strong offshore flow developing in its wake through the end of the week. Showers and storms will accompany the approaching front with some strong storms possible. Seas will build in the wake of the front from 5 to 8 feet offshore. Moderate to strong offshore winds will continue through Friday evening.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near West University Place, TX
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location: 29.72, -95.36     debug


Area Discussion for - Houston/Galveston, TX
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FXUS64 KHGX 251735 AFDHGX

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Houston/Galveston TX 1235 PM CDT Mon Oct 25 2021

AVIATION [18Z TAF Issuance].

CIGs and VSBY slowly improving this morning as area now split between MVFR and VFR. Expecting over the next couple of hours this will shift decidedly towards VFR, with light SEish winds until evening.

Like last night, should have an opportunity for low stratus and/or fog late tonight. No 1/4SM explicitly in the TAFs for now, but there is some potential for a TEMPO or a couple hours of that if winds go slack.

PREV DISCUSSION /Issued 628 AM CDT Mon Oct 25 2021/.

SHORT TERM [Through Tuesday Night].

Fog continues to expand across southeast TX during the early morning hours with patchy fog in most counties and dense fog focused in our SW counties. As expected with radiation fog, this should begin to dissipate after sunrise. Today will be another warm one with a subtle southwest wind driving temperatures up to the lower 90s for most areas and upper 80s along the coast. By tonight, temps will cool to the lower 70s along and south of the I-10 corridor while northern counties will be a few degrees cooler and near 70. Patchy to dense fog is possible again tonight with light winds, clear skies, and subsidence aloft enhancing the conditions for radiation fog once again.

Tomorrow begins a change in pattern as an approaching mid level shortwave from Central Mexico with a Pacific tropical maritime airmass begins to traverse Mexico and push northeast and into Coastal Texas. This feature will precede a developing lee cyclone in the Great Plains that will begin to push a cold front through Texas. Therefore, the mid level shortwave will begin to reach our SW coastal areas by early afternoon tomorrow, so rain chances will steadily increase along the coast and expand east and further inland throughout the day and into the evening. Carrying 20% PoPs by Tuesday evening. By late Tuesday night, rain chances steadily increase again across our CWA as the cold front approaches our northern counties and enhances the mid-level coastal weakness. Carrying 30-50% PoPs during the late overnight hours Tuesday. Daytime highs will be a few degrees cooler on Tuesday due to the help of increased cloud cover and a switch to southeasterly winds versus the previously warmer southwesterly wind. Therefore, temps reach the mid to upper 80s on Tuesday. Conversely, this increased cloud cover will keep overnight lows a few degrees warmer and temps will cool down to the lower 70s Tuesday night.

Lenninger

LONG TERM [Wednesday Through Monday].

Our next taste of fall will be knocking on our door Wednesday morning as a strong cold front moves through the region. The surface front will likely move through the College Station area before sunrise, down towards the Houston Metro area by the mid/late morning, and then off the coast in the early/mid afternoon. A line of showers and thunderstorms will by accompanying the FROPA bringing with it a chance of heavy rainfall. The ground is fairly dry and the front is pretty progressive, so not expecting much, if any, flooding issues. However, some isolated urban ponding may occur if a strong thunderstorm moves over an area of poor drainage. There is support for some isolated strong thunderstorms to develop out ahead of the front with the main threat being strong, gusty winds. The SPC has placed most of SE Texas in a Slight Risk for severe thunderstorms for Wednesday. Subsidence will be strong behind the front, so once the front is through, the precipitation and storm chance diminishes quickly. Between rain cooled air and a FROPA in the early part of the day, went on the lower side of guidance for high temperatures on Wednesday with highs in the upper 70s to low 80s.

Dry and cool conditions are expected to continue through the rest of the long term period. High temperatures will stay in the mid to upper 70s through Sunday with some slight warming into the low 80s by the start of next week. Overnight low temperatures will be quite chilly with overnight lows in the low to mid 50s south of I-10 and around the Houston Metro with areas north of Conroe dipping into the 40s. Friday night is looking to be the chilliest night of the stretch with the upper 40s creeping close to the Houston Metro area.

One thing that will be monitored over the next couple of days is the possible moderate to strong winds Thursday and Friday. A large cut off low develops across Appalachia by the end of the week with a strong low level jet developing on the backside of the low (so across east Texas). 850mb winds of 40 to 50kts across the area is possible Thursday morning and around 30 to 40kts on Friday. If these winds are able to mix down to the surface, then Wind Advisories will be possible. If you have any outdoor Halloween decorations (especially inflatables), you will want to make sure they area secured.

Speaking of Halloween, still looking like great trick or treating weather with high pressure overhead keeping conditions dry. An increase in southerly flow will warm temperatures slightly compared to the previous few evenings.

Fowler

MARINE.

Patchy fog is possible this morning near the immediate coast and in the Bays, but conditions will improve shortly after sunrise. There will be increasing southerly flow on Tuesday to 15 - 20kts by sunset and then to 25kts after midnight. Seas increase to 4 to 6ft Tuesday night as well. An approaching cold front will bring showers and thunderstorms starting late Tuesday which will continue until the frontal passage Wednesday afternoon. The front will usher in strong northwesterly winds Wednesday through Friday. Small craft advisories will be likely Tuesday night through Friday with some wind gusts approaching Gale criteria Thursday night into Friday morning.

With the strong onshore flow on Tuesday, guidance is indicating high tide Tuesday night to be around 3.5ft to 4ft above MLLW. Then with the strong offshore flow behind the front, abnormally low tides will be possible.

Fowler

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS.

College Station (CLL) 70 87 69 78 54 / 0 20 60 90 0 Houston (IAH) 71 86 73 81 58 / 0 10 40 90 10 Galveston (GLS) 76 84 77 83 63 / 0 20 50 80 10

HGX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES.

TX . None. GM . None.



SHORT TERM . Lenninger LONG TERM . Fowler AVIATION . Luchs MARINE . Fowler


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
NCHT2 - 8770777 - Manchester, TX 5 mi56 min ESE 1.9G2.9 87°F 79°F1012.7 hPa
MGPT2 - 8770613 - Morgans Point, TX 20 mi56 min 79°F1013.3 hPa
EPTT2 - 8771013 - Eagle Point, TX 29 mi56 min ESE 6G7 81°F 80°F1012.9 hPa
GRRT2 38 mi56 min SSE 5.1G7 83°F 82°F1013.1 hPa
GTOT2 41 mi56 min SSW 6G9.9 83°F 79°F1013.3 hPa
GNJT2 - 8771341 - Galveston Bay (North Jetty), TX 42 mi62 min S 6G7 80°F 80°F1012.6 hPa
LUIT2 46 mi56 min S 6G11 82°F 82°F1012.9 hPa
RLOT2 - 8770971 - Rollover Pass, TX 47 mi56 min W 4.1G8 84°F 80°F1012.9 hPa

Wind History for Morgans Point, TX
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
John Dunn Helistop, TX2 mi49 minSE 410.00 miFair88°F70°F55%1012.9 hPa
Houston, Houston Hobby Airport, TX6 mi51 minSW 510.00 miPartly Cloudy91°F70°F50%1013.2 hPa
Houston / Ellington, TX12 mi54 minW 410.00 miPartly Cloudy90°F72°F55%1012.9 hPa
Houston, Pearland Regional Airport, TX15 mi51 minVar 410.00 miFair90°F71°F54%1013.5 hPa
Houston Southwest Airport, TX16 mi49 minN 010.00 miFair88°F71°F57%1013.5 hPa
Houston, Sugar Land Municipal / Hull Field Airport, TX17 mi51 minN 010.00 miFair91°F70°F50%1013.1 hPa
Houston Intercontinental Airport, TX17 mi51 minN 010.00 miPartly Cloudy88°F70°F55%1012.9 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KMCJ

Wind History from MCJ (wind in knots)
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Last 24hr5S5S9SE11SE10
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1 day agoS53S10--SE18
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--SE10--------SE10SE13SE13SE11SE12SE9SE10
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2 days agoS70SE12SE8
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Tide / Current Tables for Lynchburg Landing, San Jacinto River, Texas
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Lynchburg Landing
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Mon -- 03:10 AM CDT     1.32 feet High Tide
Mon -- 07:29 AM CDT     Sunrise
Mon -- 11:57 AM CDT     Moonset
Mon -- 06:26 PM CDT     0.04 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 06:39 PM CDT     Sunset
Mon -- 10:10 PM CDT     Moonrise
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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Tide / Current Tables for Clear Lake, Harris Co. Park, Texas
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Clear Lake
Click for Map
Mon -- 04:25 AM CDT     0.91 feet High Tide
Mon -- 07:28 AM CDT     Sunrise
Mon -- 11:57 AM CDT     Moonset
Mon -- 06:39 PM CDT     Sunset
Mon -- 07:54 PM CDT     0.05 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 10:10 PM CDT     Moonrise
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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