Hedwig Village, TX Marine Weather and Tide Forecast
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Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Hedwig Village, TX

May 19, 2024 6:49 PM CDT (23:49 UTC) Change Location
Sunrise 6:24 AM   Sunset 8:11 PM
Moonrise 3:52 PM   Moonset 3:04 AM 
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NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.

Marine Forecasts
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GMZ335 Galveston Bay- 319 Pm Cdt Sun May 19 2024

Tonight - Southeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Bay waters smooth.

Monday - Southeast winds around 10 knots, rising to 10 to 15 knots late. Bay waters smooth, rising to slightly choppy late.

Monday night - Southeast winds 10 to 15 knots. Bay waters slightly choppy.

Tuesday - Southeast winds 10 to 15 knots. Bay waters slightly choppy.

Tuesday night - Southeast winds around 15 knots. Bay waters slightly choppy to choppy.

Wednesday - Southeast winds 10 to 15 knots. Bay waters slightly choppy.

Wednesday night - Southeast winds 10 to 15 knots. Bay waters slightly choppy.

Thursday - Southeast winds 10 to 15 knots. Bay waters slightly choppy.

Thursday night - Southeast winds 10 to 15 knots. Bay waters slightly choppy.

Friday - South winds 10 to 15 knots. Bay waters slightly choppy.

Friday night - Southeast winds 10 to 15 knots. Bay waters slightly choppy.

GMZ300 Synopsis For High Island To The Matagorda Ship Channel Out 60 Nautical Miles Including Galveston And Matagorda Bays 319 Pm Cdt Sun May 19 2024

Synopsis for high island to the matagorda ship channel out 60 nm including galveston and matagorda bays
light to occasionally moderate southeast winds become established today, and this southeast flow will then persist through the week. Expect winds to gradually strengthen later on in the week, and there may be times when small craft will need to exercise caution.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Hedwig Village, TX
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Area Discussion for - Houston/Galveston, TX
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FXUS64 KHGX 192316 AFDHGX

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Houston/Galveston TX 616 PM CDT Sun May 19 2024

New AVIATION

SYNOPSIS
Issued at 313 PM CDT Sun May 19 2024

For the first time in a while, we have several days without rainfall forecast. And even when we do have rain chances on Wednesday and Thursday, activity may struggle to push too deeply into our area from the north. Despite that, however, things are not really quieting down here at The Bureau. Area rivers remain swollen, with roughly a dozen gages at or forecast to be in flood stage, with major flooding persisting on the Trinity River. Also, as rain chances take a break from plaguing us, it will be spelled by early summer heat, and temperatures may find themselves firmly into the range of full summer. Some key things to remember about the week ahead: - Major flooding continues on the Trinity River, moderate flooding on the East Fork San Jacinto, and minor flooding on other area rivers and streams. Please continue to heed the advice of local officials, and try to avoid flooded areas as possible.
- Expect heat to build through the week, as we may see highs begin to push towards the mid-90s and peak heat index values around 105 degrees towards the end of the week. Though not rising to the level of our heat advisory threshold, this is still strong early heat, and it will be important to practice heat safety as we acclimate to summer conditions. This is particularly important for any remaining areas with significant power outages, as it will be difficult to find respite in air conditioned locations.
- The "sneakier" avenue of heat will also be on the scene this week, with warm temperatures overnight. After Monday morning, it will be difficult for anywhere in the area to fall below 70 degrees, and later in the week, lows only in the upper half of the 70s are expected to expand out from the Gulf coast to become widespread.



SHORT TERM
(This evening through Monday Night)
Issued at 313 PM CDT Sun May 19 2024

A weak shortwave at 700mb coupled with onshore flow has led to a scattering of cumulus clouds across SE Texas this afternoon. These won't amount to anything more than little cotton ball clouds as WV imagery reveals a pretty bone-dry airmass and subsidence from high pressure will suppress vertical growth.

Tonight will feature pretty mild and humid weather as lows loom in the 70s for most of the area. Locations in the Piney Woods and Brazos Valley may dip into the upper 60s. With low-levels/surface allowed to dry out more today, this should keep fog development a little more sparse tonight into Monday morning. Patchy fog may still be possible across portions of the Brazos Valley and Piney Woods.

Monday will feature another day of benign weather, and this meteorologist is pretty thankful for that! The warming trend will continue as the work week kicks off. Highs for Monday will be in the upper 80s to low 90s.

One thing to bear in mind, that while the weather will feature beautiful sunny skies and warm temperatures, the increasing humidity combined with increasing temperatures will lead to heat indices in the upper 90s approaching 100F...

Breezier winds may provide some relief from the rising temperatures tomorrow. A shortwave trough will push through the Great Plains and generate an area of low pressure. This area of low pressure will deepen and swing eastward which will lead to a tightening pressure gradient and consequently increasing winds.

Monday night's lows will provide little relief from the daytime heat as temperatures remain in the mid to upper 70s with a muggy feel.
This will be the beginning of the warm trend that will continue through the long-term period. Echoing the words of the previous forecaster: Please take precautions to protect yourself and loved ones from the heat. Make sure to stay hydrated, take frequent breaks, avoid strenuous activity during the hottest part of the day, and LOOK BEFORE YOU LOCK!

LONG TERM
(Tuesday through next Saturday)
Issued at 313 PM CDT Sun May 19 2024

There is not a lot in the way of PoPs even in the long term, so let's just get our chat about that out of the way. Our traditional summertime subtropical ridge is trying to work its way into the picture - hence the lack of PoPs - but it is not yet dominant, with an active northern stream shooting a near continuous string of upper troughs through, beating back the ridge. Since they're only blunting the ridge, I'd expect the impact to our area will generally be minimal but this is the time of year where we still have to watch developing convective complexes warily. A sufficiently developed complex could alter the mesoscale environment enough to persist into parts of Southeast Texas, even though the models insist they will all die out before arriving.
Right now, the best days I see for that are Wednesday and Thursday evenings, when a trough running through the subtropical jet stream may phase up well with a more significant northern stream trough. Even then, however, I still only bring slight chance to chance PoPs to the northernmost stretch of our area, roughly from Brenham to Huntsville to Lufkin northwestward.

Beyond that, the big story is the emerging summertime conditions, particularly by next weekend. The NAEFS ensemble mean has 850 mb temps generally over the 90th percentile (and occasionally higher, like Monday and Tuesday nights), and by the weekend, consistently topping the 97.5th percentile. The Euro ensemble mean 850 temps are right in the same ballpark, though perhaps just a touch lower for the weekend...but only in the sense that large swaths of the area see things reach the 97.5th percentile, instead of most/all of the area. In exploring potential alternate scenarios, I checked out our multi-model ensemble clustering tool
And
well...it wasn't very interesting. The top cluster was consistently very near the multi-ensemble mean for high temps, and only sporadically in lower clusters showed spotty deviation slightly up or down. Ultimately, I am seeing pretty high confidence that we'll see some typically full summertime conditions going into the Memorial Day weekend.

What do I mean by "full summertime"? I'm looking at temperatures rising into the 90s area-wide, with a number of places pushing into the middle 90s. Combine that with Gulf Coast humidity, and this will bring us to heat index values peaking out around 105 degrees. These kinds of numbers would be perfectly in place in July and August, but it is a bit on the high side for late May.
We're not quite at the point where we'd need heat advisories, but it is kinda close, it's a holiday weekend, and a number of people may still be without power due to last Thursday's storms as a complicating factor.

On top of that, things don't get any better at night. With persistent onshore flow, high dewpoints will be the overnight temperature floor elevated. After Monday night, we'll struggle to see anywhere in the area fall below 70 degrees, and deep into the week, lows in the middle to upper 70s will spread outward from the Gulf Coast to swallow much of the area. This will be particularly important if getting into air conditioned places overnight is a challenge, since being unable to find times to shed the accumulation of heat stress creates a more dangerous situation for heat illness/injury. Heat stress also tends to have greater impacts in a largely unacclimated population, which we may see with this first big outdoor holiday weekend of the summer. Should numbers drift any higher, advisories are something we might need to give more serious thought to.

AVIATION
(00Z TAF Issuance)
Issued at 611 PM CDT Sun May 19 2024

Mostly VFR conditions expected for the TAF period. There might be a few hours early Mon morning where MVFR cigs could develop along with patchy fog but is to quickly lift and disperse near sunrise.
Light SE winds expected through around 14Z, then strengthening to around 10 KTS and continuing for the rest of the day.

24

MARINE
Issued at 313 PM CDT Sun May 19 2024

Though still drifting back to being more ESE at times, generally southeasterly winds are coming to prevail across the area today, and this onshore flow can be expected to persist through the week, generally around 15 knots across the waters. While most of the time this will be in the 10-15 knot range, at times they will drift upwards into the 15-20 knot range, and occasionally prompt stretches of caution flags.

HYDROLOGY
Issued at 312 AM CDT Sun May 19 2024 Updated at 313 PM CDT Sun May 19 2024

Minor to major river flooding continues for parts of Southeast Texas, particularly along portions of the Trinity, Brazos, and San Jacinto rivers. The following river points are either currently in flood stage or are forecast to reach flood stage (as of early Sunday morning):

MAJOR// ------- - Trinity River, Liberty - Trinity River, Goodrich

MODERATE// ---------- - Trinity River, Riverside - Trinity River, Moss Bluff - East Fork San Jacinto, New Caney

MINOR// ------- - Menard Creek, Rye - Lake Creek, Sendera Ranch Rd.
- West Fork San Jacinto, Humble - Navasota River, Normangee - Brazos River, Rosharon - Brazos River, Richmond (forecast)
- Brazos River, Sugar Land (forecast)
- Brazos River, West Columbia (forecast)

Remember to heed any instructions from your local officials and to never travel through ANY flooded areas or roadways. TURN AROUND, DON'T DROWN. Please monitor updated forecasts via the NWS AHPS website and/or the new NWS NWPS webpage (https://water.noaa.gov/) as the river flood threat persists. 

Batiste/Luchs

CLIMATE
Issued at 312 AM CDT Sun May 19 2024

Still amazed with how much rain parts of our northern counties have received so far this year. Through May 17th, Huntsville's (UTS) 50.14 inches was 35.01 inches above normal and was the wettest on record start to the year (previous record was 22.37 inches in 2004). Huntsville's records date back to 4/1/1998.

42

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
College Station (CLL) 69 89 73 90 / 0 0 0 10 Houston (IAH) 71 90 74 90 / 0 0 0 0 Galveston (GLS) 75 83 77 84 / 0 0 0 0

HGX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
TX...None.
GM...None.




Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesinHgDewPt
NCHT2 - 8770777 - Manchester, TX 16 mi50 min S 6G8.9
MGPT2 - 8770613 - Morgans Point, TX 32 mi50 min ESE 8G11 81°F
EPTT2 - 8771013 - Eagle Point, TX 41 mi50 min SE 8G9.9 88°F
GRRT2 49 mi50 min E 8G11 84°F


Wind History for Manchester, TX
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisSkyWeatherTempDewPtRHinHg
KSGR SUGAR LAND RGNL,TX 14 sm56 minSE 0910 smA Few Clouds90°F70°F52%29.86
KIAH GEORGE BUSH INTERCONTINENTAL/HOUSTON,TX 17 sm56 minSSE 0810 smA Few Clouds90°F66°F46%29.86
KDWH DAVID WAYNE HOOKS MEMORIAL,TX 18 sm56 minvar 0510 smClear90°F68°F49%29.86
KHOU WILLIAM P HOBBY,TX 18 sm56 minSE 1010 smClear90°F64°F43%29.86
KTME HOUSTON EXECUTIVE,TX 18 sm14 minS 0610 smA Few Clouds88°F70°F55%29.88
KAXH HOUSTONSOUTHWEST,TX 20 sm14 minSE 0510 smClear88°F66°F49%29.88
Link to 5 minute data for KMCJ


Wind History from MCJ
(wind in knots)
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Tide / Current for Lynchburg Landing, San Jacinto River, Texas
   
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Lynchburg Landing
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Sun -- 01:44 AM CDT     0.39 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 04:02 AM CDT     Moonset
Sun -- 06:24 AM CDT     Sunrise
Sun -- 10:09 AM CDT     1.08 feet High Tide
Sun -- 03:03 PM CDT     0.93 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 04:49 PM CDT     Moonrise
Sun -- 05:25 PM CDT     0.96 feet High Tide
Sun -- 08:09 PM CDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

Lynchburg Landing, San Jacinto River, Texas, Tide feet
12
am
0.5
1
am
0.4
2
am
0.4
3
am
0.4
4
am
0.5
5
am
0.7
6
am
0.8
7
am
0.9
8
am
1
9
am
1.1
10
am
1.1
11
am
1.1
12
pm
1
1
pm
1
2
pm
0.9
3
pm
0.9
4
pm
0.9
5
pm
1
6
pm
1
7
pm
0.9
8
pm
0.8
9
pm
0.7
10
pm
0.6
11
pm
0.5


Tide / Current for Clear Lake, Harris Co. Park, Texas
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Clear Lake
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Sun -- 02:54 AM CDT     0.13 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 04:02 AM CDT     Moonset
Sun -- 06:25 AM CDT     Sunrise
Sun -- 09:33 AM CDT     0.63 feet High Tide
Sun -- 03:31 PM CDT     0.43 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 04:49 PM CDT     Moonrise
Sun -- 07:50 PM CDT     0.59 feet High Tide
Sun -- 08:08 PM CDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

Clear Lake, Harris Co. Park, Texas, Tide feet
12
am
0.3
1
am
0.2
2
am
0.2
3
am
0.1
4
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0.2
5
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0.3
6
am
0.4
7
am
0.5
8
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0.6
9
am
0.6
10
am
0.6
11
am
0.6
12
pm
0.6
1
pm
0.5
2
pm
0.5
3
pm
0.4
4
pm
0.4
5
pm
0.5
6
pm
0.5
7
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0.6
8
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0.6
9
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0.6
10
pm
0.5
11
pm
0.4


Weather Map
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GEOS Local Image of southern planes -- texas   
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Houston/Galveston, TX,




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