Thursday, January20, 2022
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Marine Weather and Tides
World Golf Village, FL

Version 3.4
NOTICE
3/30/2021 -- ANZ330 has been split into ANZ331 and ANZ332. Click EDIT in Marine Forecast and select your new zone.
1/26/2021 -- The West Coast Satellite images havd been updated. They now use GEOS-17.
1/1/2021 -- The 7 day forecast are now working well. Thank you NOAA for your support.

Sunrise 7:20AMSunset 5:54PM Thursday January 20, 2022 5:53 PM EST (22:53 UTC) Moonrise 8:31PMMoonset 9:21AM Illumination 88% Phase: Waning Gibbous; Moon at 18 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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AMZ454 Coastal Waters From St. Augustine To Flagler Beach Fl Out 20 Nm- 231 Pm Est Thu Jan 20 2022
.small craft advisory in effect from Friday evening through Sunday morning...
Tonight..West winds 5 to 10 knots becoming northwest 5 knots towards daybreak. Seas 1 to 2 feet with a dominant period 8 seconds. Mostly smooth on the intracoastal waters.
Friday..North winds 5 to 10 knots increasing to 15 to 20 knots in the afternoon. Seas 2 to 3 feet with a dominant period 7 seconds. Choppy on the intracoastal waters. Slight chance of rain in the morning, then chance of rain in the afternoon.
Friday night..North winds 15 to 20 knots. Seas 4 to 6 feet with a dominant period 4 seconds. Choppy on the intracoastal waters. Chance of rain.
Saturday..North winds 20 knots. Seas 6 to 8 feet. Choppy on the intracoastal waters. Chance of rain in the morning, then rain likely in the afternoon.
Saturday night..North winds 15 to 20 knots. Seas 6 to 8 feet. Choppy on the intracoastal waters. Chance of rain in the evening, then slight chance of showers after midnight.
Sunday..North winds 15 to 20 knots becoming northwest 10 to 15 knots in the afternoon. Seas 5 to 7 feet. Choppy on the intracoastal waters.
Sunday night..Northwest winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 4 to 6 feet.
Monday..Northwest winds 5 to 10 knots becoming northeast in the afternoon. Seas 3 to 5 feet.
Monday night..Southeast winds 5 knots becoming southwest after midnight. Seas 3 to 4 feet. Chance of showers.
Tuesday..Northeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Showers likely.
AMZ400 Synopsis For Altamaha Sound Ga To Flagler Beach Fl Out To 60 Nm- 231 Pm Est Thu Jan 20 2022
Synopsis.. High pressure to the west will push a cold front across into the local waters tonight. Northerly post frontal winds will develop tonight and increase with a northerly surge on Friday as low develops to the northeast. Hazardous small craft conditions will develop late Friday afternoon and last through at least Sunday morning. Pre frontal showers are expected tonight then transition into a chilly overrunning rain Friday through most of Saturday. Winds and seas will relax early next week as high pressure builds from the west.
Gulf stream.. The approximate location of the west wall of the gulf stream as of jan 15, 2022 at 1200 utc... 37 nautical miles east northeast of flagler beach. 46 nautical miles east of saint augustine beach. 61 nautical miles east of jacksonville beach. 68 nautical miles east southeast of st simons island. This data courtesy of the naval oceanographic office.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near World Golf Village, FL
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location: 29.86, -81.55     debug


Area Discussion for - Jacksonville, FL
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FXUS62 KJAX 202107 CCA AFDJAX

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Jacksonville FL 403 PM EST Thu Jan 20 2022

. COLD AND WET CONDITIONS FRIDAY AND SATURDAY . . LIGHT FREEZING RAIN POSSIBLE OVER NORTHERN PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST GEORGIA EARLY SATURDAY MORNING . . VERY COLD TEMPERATURES SUNDAY NIGHT .

NEAR TERM [Through Tonight].

Enjoy the warm, sunny conditions today because they won't return for a while. A jagged cold front west of the forecast area will continue to slide southeastward tonight bringing chances for light rain showers ahead it along a weak prefrontal trough. Shower coverage will increase from the west with light rain arriving late this afternoon across inland southeast GA and the Suwannee valley. Shower coverage will decrease tonight as convergence along the front weakens tonight. Not much accumulated precip expected with prefrontal showers, generally less than a tenth of an inch. The front will sag into our southern zones by sunrise tomorrow with increasing cold air advection in its wake. Temperatures tonight will be on the warm side as low stratus layer develops across most of the region. Lows expected to read in the low to mid 50s in NE FL and mid/upper 40s across SE GA.

SHORT TERM [Friday Through Saturday Night].

Big changes are expected Friday as strong cold air advection develops behind a front slowly sliding south of the forecast area. Temperatures will be falling most of the day with highs for day likely occuring during the predawn hours Friday. A amplified upper trough will swing into the Deep South and enhance isentropic lift (overrunning). Light rain and drizzle will overspread the entire area by Friday as upper forcing enhances. The combination of light rain/drizzle and dropping temperatures will create raw sensible weather conditions Friday through Saturday.

Temperatures will fall to near freezing across the northernmost areas of Southeast GA overnight Friday into Saturday leading to the potential for light freezing rain/drizzle and mixed precip and minor travel impacts through Saturday morning. Guidance has been fairly consistent on freezing rain being the secondary precip type and has kept ice accumulations generally less than 1/20th of an inch. The biggest threat will be icing of elevated structures (bridges/overpasses) for locations generally of Highway 82. Despite low ice accumulation, minor travel impacts are still possible and a Winter Weather Advisory will likely be needed to highlight the potential travel hazards early Saturday morning.

The parent upper trough will shear out Saturday morning with a fast-moving shortwave lifting across the Gulf and overhead Saturday afternoon. A chilly light rain/drizzle will continue over NE FL Saturday morning ahead of the shortwave as drier air aloft begins to intrude across SE GA, limiting precip. Temperatures will be quite cold Saturday and struggle break into the 50s in NE FL. Cold air advection will strengthen Saturday night as northwesterly drainage flow develops. With skies clearing, a widespread freeze and potentially hard freeze is expected Saturday night. Will need to keep a close eye on "Black Ice" development along the I-10 corridor Saturday night with precip tapering off at or just after sunset. Lows will plummet into low to mid 20s across inland SE GA and into the upper 20s to mid 30s across NE FL. Along with potential for black ice, stakeholder will need to keep the 4 Ps - pets, plants, pipes and people - in mind Saturday night..

LONG TERM [Sunday Through Thursday].

Northwesterly flow will usher a COLD and dry airmass across the area through Sunday. Temperatures likely peaking in the 50s areawide Sunday, setting up another widespread inland freeze/frost Sunday night. Northwest flow will continue into Monday as high pressure builds from the west. Temperatures will begin to gradually moderate Monday as high pressure settles overhead and shortwave ridging builds aloft.

Prevailing flow will transition from northwesterly to southerly as another frontal system develops across the northern Gulf of Mexico on Monday night. Guidance is in particularly good agreement that a wave of low pressure will develop eastward along the northern Gulf coast with warm frontogenesis across the forecast area Tuesday. Scattered showers are likely to develop along the warm front and within the warm sector through Tuesday evening. The low is progged to weaken as it quickly jumps across the peninsula into the Atlantic Tuesday night. In the wake of the low, a trailing cold front sliding southward into the forecast area will usher in another dry, cold airmass. Temperatures will be the warmest on Tuesday with southerly flow before plummeting below normal once again Wednesday.

Tremendous uncertainty in the pattern beyond Wednesday with GFS bringing a dynamic Gulf system into the area whereas the ECMWF features a much drier, colder solution.

AVIATION. [Through 18Z Friday]

Southwest surface winds prevail around 8-12 kt with an occasional gust to 20 kt this afternoon. These winds continue ahead of a cold front which is located from east central GA to srn AL into the northern Gulf of Mexico. Showers and rains are located along and behind the cold front. This convective activity will be pushing toward the area with the front moving to SSI around the 23Z-02Z time frame, with JAX metro TAFs and GNV closer to 03Z-07Z, and then SGJ around 05Z-08Z. Expect deteriorating cloud conditions tonight with periods of light rain and a few showers. The rain and showers not expected to be heavy and in fact may diminish a bit after 06Z Sat. As for ceilings, forecast SSI to go down first into IFR shortly after midnight and the rest of the TAFs going to IFR toward the 08Z-13Z time frame. The specific times will likely need some adjustment in subsequent TAFs. Did not show any LIFR conditions due to fairly low chances but can't rule that out for Saturday morning.

MARINE.

High pressure to the west will push a cold front across into the local waters tonight. Northerly post frontal winds will develop tonight and increase with a northerly surge on Friday as low develops to the northeast. Hazardous small craft conditions will develop late Friday afternoon and last through at least Sunday morning. Pre frontal showers are expected tonight then transition into a chilly overrunning rain Friday through most of Saturday. Winds and seas will relax early next week as high pressure builds from the west.

Rip Currents: Moderate Risk is expected Friday and elevates to High Risk over the weekend as strong northerly flow develops and surf builds.

FIRE WEATHER.

A jagged cold front to the west will press southeast across the region tonight through Friday morning. Winds will shift to the north behind the front and remain north or northwesterly through the weekend. Light prefrontal showers will accompany the front Tonight with overrunning showers developing Friday through Saturday. A strong inversion aloft will develop behind the front and restrict mixing and smoke dispersion Friday and Saturday.

HYDROLOGY.

Overall rainfall total from the cold and front and overrunning rainfall Tonight through Saturday will be in the quarter to a half inch range for NE FL with a half inch to an inch possible across SE GA. Most of the rain should be steady and light and flooding is not a concern.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS.

AMG 42 49 31 44 24 / 80 40 40 20 10 SSI 47 54 35 46 31 / 60 50 60 30 10 JAX 52 59 37 47 30 / 50 40 60 40 10 SGJ 55 64 44 53 36 / 20 30 50 50 20 GNV 54 64 39 51 32 / 30 30 50 40 10 OCF 53 69 43 56 35 / 20 20 40 40 20

JAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. FL . None. GA . None. AM . Small Craft Advisory from 10 PM Friday to 10 AM EST Sunday for Coastal waters from St. Augustine to Flagler Beach FL out 20 NM-Waters from St. Augustine to Flagler Beach FL from 20 to 60 NM.

Small Craft Advisory from 4 PM Friday to 10 AM EST Sunday for Coastal waters from Altamaha Sound to Fernandina Beach FL out 20 NM-Coastal waters from Fernandina Beach to St. Augustine FL out 20 NM-Waters from Altamaha Sound GA to Fernandina Beach FL from 20 to 60 NM-Waters from Fernandina Beach to St. Augustine FL from 20 to 60 NM.


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
SAUF1 - St. Augustine, FL 15 mi54 min WSW 7G9.9 74°F 64°F1017.1 hPa (-0.0)52°F
GTXF1 - Guana Tolomato Matanzas Reserve, FL 22 mi69 min SW 4.1 74°F 1017 hPa53°F
BKBF1 24 mi54 min 73°F 1016.9 hPa (+0.3)
41117 27 mi54 min 68°F 65°F2 ft
JXUF1 34 mi54 min 60°F
DMSF1 36 mi54 min 61°F
LTJF1 36 mi54 min 72°F 54°F
BLIF1 37 mi54 min W 5.1G9.9 74°F 1017.1 hPa (+0.6)56°F
MYPF1 - 8720218 - Mayport (Bar Pilots Dock), FL 38 mi54 min W 6G8 72°F 62°F1017.3 hPa (+0.6)
NFDF1 38 mi54 min W 1G6 73°F 1016.8 hPa (+0.4)60°F

Wind History for I-295 Bridge, St Johns River, FL
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Northeast Florida Regional Airport, FL14 mi2 hrsWSW 710.00 miFair75°F54°F48%1016.6 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KSGJ

Wind History from SGJ (wind in knots)
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1 day ago000000000000000--E3E5E5E5E7E7E6E6
2 days agoW5W3W3W4W4W3NW6NW9NW9NW9NW5W30NW4NW3NW9N10N745NE4E6E4NE4

Tide / Current Tables for East Tocoi, St. Johns River, Florida (4)
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East Tocoi
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Thu -- 03:53 AM EST     0.80 feet High Tide
Thu -- 07:21 AM EST     Sunrise
Thu -- 09:20 AM EST     Moonset
Thu -- 10:33 AM EST     -0.08 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 04:15 PM EST     0.95 feet High Tide
Thu -- 05:53 PM EST     Sunset
Thu -- 08:31 PM EST     Moonrise
Thu -- 11:16 PM EST     -0.04 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

East Tocoi, St. Johns River, Florida (4), Tide feet
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Tide / Current Tables for Palmetto Bluff, St. Johns River, Florida (6)
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Palmetto Bluff
Click for Map
Thu -- 04:20 AM EST     0.92 feet High Tide
Thu -- 07:21 AM EST     Sunrise
Thu -- 09:20 AM EST     Moonset
Thu -- 10:50 AM EST     -0.08 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 04:42 PM EST     1.09 feet High Tide
Thu -- 05:53 PM EST     Sunset
Thu -- 08:31 PM EST     Moonrise
Thu -- 11:33 PM EST     -0.04 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

Palmetto Bluff, St. Johns River, Florida (6), Tide feet
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