Sunday, January16, 2022
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Marine Weather and Tides
Panacea, FL

Version 3.4
NOTICE
3/30/2021 -- ANZ330 has been split into ANZ331 and ANZ332. Click EDIT in Marine Forecast and select your new zone.
1/26/2021 -- The West Coast Satellite images havd been updated. They now use GEOS-17.
1/1/2021 -- The 7 day forecast are now working well. Thank you NOAA for your support.

Sunrise 7:33AMSunset 6:00PM Sunday January 16, 2022 8:53 PM EST (01:53 UTC) Moonrise 4:53PMMoonset 6:42AM Illumination 100% Phase: Full Moon; Moon at 14 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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GMZ730 Apalachee Bay Or Coastal Waters From Keaton Beach To Ochlockonee River Fl Out To 20 Nm- Coastal Waters From Suwannee River To Keaton Beach Fl Out 20 Nm- 257 Pm Est Sun Jan 16 2022
.gale warning in effect until 1 am est Monday...
.small craft advisory in effect from 1 am est Monday through Monday evening...
Tonight..Northwest winds 20 to 25 knots with gusts to around 40 knots. Seas 6 to 9 feet with occasional seas up to 11 feet subsiding to 5 to 7 feet with occasional seas up to 9 feet. Dominant period 8 seconds after midnight. Protected waters rough. Slight chance of showers in the evening.
Monday..Northwest winds 15 to 20 knots. Seas 3 to 5 feet with occasional seas up to 6 feet. Dominant period 6 seconds. Protected waters choppy.
Monday night..North winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 2 to 4 feet. Dominant period 5 seconds. Protected waters a moderate chop.
Tuesday..Northeast winds 10 knots in the morning becoming light and variable winds. Seas 1 to 2 feet. Dominant period 5 seconds. Protected waters smooth.
Tuesday night..Light and variable winds becoming southeast 5 to 10 knots in the late evening. Seas 1 to 2 feet. Dominant period 5 seconds. Protected waters mostly smooth.
Wednesday..Southeast winds 10 knots. Seas 1 to 2 feet. Dominant period 4 seconds. Protected waters a light chop.
Wednesday night..South winds 10 knots. Seas 1 to 2 feet. Dominant period 3 seconds. Protected waters a light chop. Slight chance of showers after midnight.
Thursday..Southwest winds 10 to 15 knots becoming west 10 knots late in the afternoon. Seas 1 to 2 feet. Dominant period 3 seconds. Protected waters a light chop. Slight chance of rain showers in the morning, then chance of showers in the afternoon.
Thursday night..North winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 1 to 2 feet. Protected waters a light chop. Chance of showers.
Friday..North winds 15 knots. Seas 1 to 2 feet. Protected waters a moderate chop. Chance of showers.
GMZ700 Synopsis For The Suwannee River To Okaloosa-walton County Line Out To 60 Nm 257 Pm Est Sun Jan 16 2022
Synopsis.. A strong and strengthening low pressure center will continue to move from georgia into the carolinas this afternoon and evening, with gale-force westerlies continuing over the northeast gulf until the low exits later this evening. Strong northwesterly breezes will continue on Monday morning, then decrease quickly on Monday night as high pressure passes directly across the waters. Southerlies will prevail on Wednesday and Thursday, as high pressure moves well off to the east and low pressure gathers over the lower mississippi valley.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Panacea, FL
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location: 29.9, -84.41     debug


Area Discussion for -
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FXUS62 KTAE 170000 AFDTAE

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Tallahassee FL 700 PM EST Sun Jan 16 2022

AVIATION. [Through 00Z Tuesday]

Widespread MVFR cigs and gusty west winds are the primary concerns overnight. An expansive strato-Cu deck decreases from west to east tmrw morning, paving the way for VFR conds in the second half of the TAF period. However, breezy winds stick around while gradually turning out of the NW up to around 13 kts (gusts in excess of 20 kts).

PREV DISCUSSION [344 PM EST].

NEAR TERM [Through Monday].

A strengthening low center east of Atlanta continues to bring gusty winds this afternoon, with recent gusts near 40 mph near Thomasville and Moultrie. Meanwhile, satellite imagery shows a large field of strato-cu extending all the way back through MS. This will keep the evening cloudy, but then large-scale subsidence will start to take hold overnight. This will lead to clearing skies on Monday morning.

Winds will not be as strong on Monday, but it will still be breezy. With highs only in the 50s, this will add a bite to the air in the form of wind chills.

Otherwise, gale-force westerlies across the Northeast Gulf will start to diminish later this evening. Dangerous high surf will continue along southwest-facing beaches through tonight, but surf will drop sufficiently by sunrise Monday morning to let the High Surf headlines expire.

For wrap-up thoughts on coastal flooding, see the Hydro section.

SHORT TERM [Monday Night Through Tuesday Night].

Cooler, drier conditions are expected through the short term as high pressure slides eastward across the region. With subsidence in place we can expect winds to weaken and become light overnight Monday into Tuesday, leading to potential frost Tuesday morning. Expect overnight lows in the upper 20s to low 30s with daytime highs in the mid to upper 50s.

LONG TERM [Wednesday Through Sunday].

Throughout the long term a surge of cP air moves south across the eastern half of CONUS allowing the free and unobstructed passage of several shortwaves that dig themselves into troughs. The first one of which is will move across the eastern CONUS on Wednesday. With high pressure over the Atlantic, southerly flow returns ahead of this trough contributing to an increase in moisture with PWAT in the 1.2 to 1.5 inch range. However, instability seems to be lacking with this event, thus robust convection isn't currently anticipated. A brief dry period is expected after this trough until Saturday evening when a potential Gulf low moves across the Gulf Coast states.

This second disturbance is may follow the first one in that instability will be lacking, but moisture will be present. However, this system may also have moderate shear as a better defined low level jet appears to set up across the region. There's uncertainty with this event and it's potential impacts, be sure to check back for updates.

Expect overnight lows to generally be in the upper 20s and 30s with the exception being Thursday and Friday morning as temps warm up slight ahead of the cold front. Expect daytime highs to warm slightly over the next few days reaching the low to mid 60s by Thursday, followed by a drop into the 40s after Friday with highs struggling to reach 50 degrees through Sunday.

MARINE.

A strong and strengthening low pressure center will continue to move from Georgia into the Carolinas this afternoon and evening, with gale- force westerlies continuing over the northeast Gulf until the low exits later this evening. Strong northwesterly breezes will continue on Monday morning, then decrease quickly on Monday night as high pressure passes directly across the waters. Southerlies will prevail on Wednesday and Thursday, as high pressure moves well off to the east and low pressure gathers over the Lower Mississippi Valley.

FIRE WEATHER.

Winds will decrease tonight. High pressure will move across the districts on Monday, leading to low mixing heights and weakening transport winds. This will lead to low afternoon dispersion values. Otherwise, a cool and somewhat dry air mass will be in place through Tuesday. The next chance of rain will come on Wednesday night and Thursday.

HYDROLOGY.

Freshwater: After last nights' rainfall, conditions are expected to be relatively dry through the next seven days with WPC QPF indicating up to one inch of precip accumulation. Mainstem rivers are currently rising and will be in action stage over the next several days, however, river are expected to remain within their banks.

Saltwater: Recently ended the Coastal Flood Warnings around Apalachee Bay. We were fortunate that surge values peaked a couple hours off high tide and Apalachicola, while surge peaked during low tide from Wakulla to Dixie Counties. This kept coastal flooding in the minor category for the early morning high tides, with no criteria met during the early-mid afternoon round of high tides. Surge values continue to drop, and the coastal flooding threat has ended.

SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT.

Spotter activation is not requested. However, spotters are always encouraged to safely report significant weather conditions when they occur (while following all local, state, and CDC guidelines) by calling the office or tweeting us @NWSTallahassee.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS.

Tallahassee 35 58 30 58 36 / 0 0 0 0 0 Panama City 40 58 34 58 45 / 0 0 0 0 0 Dothan 33 52 27 55 34 / 10 0 0 0 0 Albany 34 52 29 55 33 / 10 0 0 0 0 Valdosta 35 56 29 57 34 / 0 0 0 0 0 Cross City 38 58 32 59 35 / 20 0 0 0 0 Apalachicola 39 58 35 56 44 / 10 0 0 0 0

TAE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. FL . Wind Advisory until 1 AM EST /midnight CST/ Monday for Calhoun- Central Walton-Coastal Bay-Coastal Dixie-Coastal Franklin- Coastal Gulf-Coastal Jefferson-Coastal Taylor-Coastal Wakulla-Gadsden-Holmes-Inland Bay-Inland Dixie-Inland Franklin-Inland Gulf-Inland Jefferson-Inland Taylor-Inland Wakulla-Jackson-Lafayette-Leon-Liberty-Madison-North Walton- South Walton-Washington.

High Rip Current Risk through late Monday night for Coastal Bay- Coastal Franklin-Coastal Gulf-South Walton.

High Surf Advisory until 6 AM CST Monday for South Walton.

High Surf Advisory from 10 PM EST /9 PM CST/ this evening to 7 AM EST /6 AM CST/ Monday for Coastal Bay-Coastal Gulf.

High Surf Warning until 10 PM EST /9 PM CST/ this evening for Coastal Bay-Coastal Gulf.

GA . Wind Advisory until 1 AM EST Monday for Baker-Ben Hill-Berrien- Brooks-Calhoun-Clay-Colquitt-Cook-Decatur-Dougherty-Early- Grady-Irwin-Lanier-Lee-Lowndes-Miller-Mitchell-Quitman- Randolph-Seminole-Terrell-Thomas-Tift-Turner-Worth.

AL . Wind Advisory until midnight CST tonight for Coffee-Dale-Geneva- Henry-Houston.

GM . Small Craft Advisory from 1 AM EST /midnight CST/ to 7 PM EST /6 PM CST/ Monday for Apalachee Bay or Coastal Waters From Keaton Beach to Ochlockonee River FL out to 20 Nm-Coastal Waters From Ochlockonee River to Apalachicola Fl out to 20 Nm-Coastal waters from Suwannee River to Keaton Beach FL out 20 NM-Coastal waters from Mexico Beach to Apalachicola FL out 20 NM-Coastal waters from Mexico Beach to Okaloosa Walton County Line FL out 20 NM-Waters from Suwannee River to Apalachicola FL from 20 to 60 NM-Waters from Apalachicola to Mexico Beach FL from 20 to 60 NM-Waters from Mexico Beach to Okaloosa Walton County Line FL from 20 to 60 NM.

Gale Warning until 1 AM EST /midnight CST/ Monday for Apalachee Bay or Coastal Waters From Keaton Beach to Ochlockonee River FL out to 20 Nm-Coastal Waters From Ochlockonee River to Apalachicola Fl out to 20 Nm-Coastal waters from Suwannee River to Keaton Beach FL out 20 NM-Coastal waters from Mexico Beach to Apalachicola FL out 20 NM-Coastal waters from Mexico Beach to Okaloosa Walton County Line FL out 20 NM-Waters from Suwannee River to Apalachicola FL from 20 to 60 NM-Waters from Apalachicola to Mexico Beach FL from 20 to 60 NM-Waters from Mexico Beach to Okaloosa Walton County Line FL from 20 to 60 NM.



NEAR TERM . Haner SHORT TERM . Oliver LONG TERM . Oliver AVIATION . IG3 MARINE . Haner FIRE WEATHER . Haner HYDROLOGY . Haner


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
SHPF1 - SHP - Shell Point, FL 13 mi119 min W 12G20 49°F 1008.3 hPa
APCF1 - 8728690 - Apalachicola, FL 33 mi53 min NNW 4.1G7 46°F 57°F1011.1 hPa (+2.8)
SGOF1 - Tyndall AFB Tower C (N4), FL 41 mi53 min NW 32G36 52°F 1010.3 hPa (+2.6)41°F
KTNF1 - Keaton Beach, FL 44 mi53 min W 22G29 51°F 1009.6 hPa (+2.9)45°F

Wind History for Apalachicola, FL
(wind in knots)    EDIT      (on/off)   Help
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Last 24 hrSE18
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Tallahassee International Airport, FL35 mi60 minW 13 G 1910.00 miMostly Cloudy45°F34°F66%1009.7 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KTLH

Wind History from TLH (wind in knots)
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Last 24 hrE13E12E14
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E16E12E9SE6W18
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1 day ago00000W30000000SE5E6SE55S8S9SE11SE8SE6E7E10
2 days agoW6W5W5W6W7W60000N300N5NW6N7N9N7W6NW4NW8NW6N30

Tide / Current Tables for Alligator Point, St. James Island, Florida
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Alligator Point
Click for Map
Sun -- 12:12 AM EST     2.23 feet High Tide
Sun -- 06:42 AM EST     Moonset
Sun -- 07:33 AM EST     Sunrise
Sun -- 07:53 AM EST     -0.53 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 02:03 PM EST     2.07 feet High Tide
Sun -- 04:53 PM EST     Moonrise
Sun -- 06:01 PM EST     Sunset
Sun -- 07:22 PM EST     0.88 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

Alligator Point, St. James Island, Florida, Tide feet
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1.9
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0.9
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1.9


Tide / Current Tables for Turkey Point, FSU Lab, Florida
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Turkey Point
Click for Map
Sun -- 06:43 AM EST     Moonset
Sun -- 07:34 AM EST     Sunrise
Sun -- 07:35 AM EST     -0.45 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 02:35 PM EST     2.14 feet High Tide
Sun -- 04:53 PM EST     Moonrise
Sun -- 06:01 PM EST     Sunset
Sun -- 07:07 PM EST     1.55 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

Turkey Point, FSU Lab, Florida, Tide feet
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2.6
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