Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Perry, FL
May 5, 2024 4:49 AM EDT (08:49 UTC) Change Location
 | Sunrise 6:48 AM Sunset 8:19 PM Moonrise 4:04 AM Moonset 4:48 PM |
GMZ730 Apalachee Bay Or Coastal Waters From Keaton Beach To Ochlockonee River Fl Out To 20 Nm- Coastal Waters From Mexico Beach To Okaloosa Walton County Line Fl Out 20 Nm- Coastal Waters From Mexico Beach To Apalachicola Fl Out 20 Nm- Coastal Waters From Ochlockonee River To Apalachicola Fl Out To 20 Nm- Coastal Waters From Suwannee River To Keaton Beach Fl Out 20 Nm- Waters From Mexico Beach To Okaloosa Walton County Line Fl From 20 To 60 Nm- Waters From Apalachicola To Mexico Beach Fl From 20 To 60 Nm- Waters From Suwannee River To Apalachicola Fl From 20 To 60 Nm- 317 Am Edt Sun May 5 2024 /217 Am Cdt Sun May 5 2024/
Today - Southeast winds 5 to 10 knots, becoming south late. Seas around 2 feet. Wave detail: southeast 2 feet at 5 seconds. Protected waters a light chop.
Tonight - South winds 5 to 10 knots, becoming southeast after midnight. Seas around 2 feet. Wave detail: south 2 feet at 6 seconds. Protected waters a light chop.
Monday - Southeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas around 2 feet. Wave detail: south 2 feet at 6 seconds. Protected waters a light chop.
Monday night - South winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Wave detail: south 2 feet at 6 seconds. Protected waters a light chop.
Tuesday - South winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Wave detail: south 3 feet at 6 seconds. Protected waters a light chop.
Tuesday night - South winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Wave detail: south 2 feet at 6 seconds. Protected waters a light chop.
Wednesday - South winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Protected waters a light chop.
Wednesday night - South winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Protected waters a moderate chop.
Thursday - South winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Protected waters a moderate chop.
Thursday night - Southwest winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Protected waters a moderate chop.
GMZ700 Synopsis For The Suwannee River To Okaloosa-walton County Line Out To 60 Nm 317 Am Edt Sun May 5 2024
Synopsis -
generally light south to southeast winds are expected through the middle of next week with high pressure off to our east. Seas will remain around 2 to 3 feet. Some increase in winds are possible mid to late week as the pressure gradient tightens ahead of a cold front on Friday.
generally light south to southeast winds are expected through the middle of next week with high pressure off to our east. Seas will remain around 2 to 3 feet. Some increase in winds are possible mid to late week as the pressure gradient tightens ahead of a cold front on Friday.
Area Discussion for - Tallahassee, FL
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FXUS62 KTAE 050735 AFDTAE
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Tallahassee FL 335 AM EDT Sun May 5 2024
New NEAR TERM, SHORT TERM, LONG TERM, MARINE, FIRE WEATHER, HYDROLOGY
NEAR TERM
(Today and tonight)
Issued at 333 AM EDT Sun May 5 2024
Isolated to scattered showers and storms will be possible this afternoon and evening, although coverage is expected to be much less than yesterday as the shortwave has pushed off to the northeast.
Forecast soundings for this afternoon show an inverted V shape along with DCAPE around 800-900 J/kg, indicating a favorable environment for gusty winds with the stronger storms that develop today. Storm motion appears to be fairy slow again today, so some isolated pockets of heavy rainfall will be possible. However, PWs are forecast to be a little less than yesterday's, and overall coverage of storms today is forecast to be much less which should together limit the flood threat. Highs are forecast in the upper 80s to low 90s with lows tonight generally in the mid to upper 60s.
SHORT TERM
(Monday through Tuesday night)
Issued at 333 AM EDT Sun May 5 2024
One more day of isolated to scattered showers and thunderstorms is forecast Monday before high pressure takes over Monday night into Tuesday. Temperatures will manage the upper 80s to near 90 Monday afternoon and be a degree or two warmer Tuesday afternoon. Overnight lows will generally remain in the middle to upper 60s both nights, but Tuesday night is forecast to be a degree or two warmer than Monday night.
All this is thanks to an H5 shortwave moving through the Tennessee Valley, or well north of our area. Enough moisture will be in place Monday afternoon to allow a 30 to 50 percent chance for rain for our eastern time zone counties, or east of the Chattahoochee and Apalachicola River. Lower chances, around 10 to 20 percent, for rain are forecast across SE Alabama and the Florida Panhandle as the sea breeze pushes inland.
Tuesday will see the H5 shortwave up near the Delmarva Peninsula as a ridge builds in from the Gulf of Mexico. The subsidence from this ridge will put a lid on rain chances and generally keep them to 15 percent or less along the sea breeze Tuesday afternoon. The lack of rain in the forecast will also allow temperatures to nudge up a few degrees from Monday.
LONG TERM
(Wednesday through Saturday)
Issued at 333 AM EDT Sun May 5 2024
Warm and dry weather is forecast for the middle of the week before a cold front swings through sometime Friday. Temperatures ahead of the front are forecast to climb into the lower 90s for highs and near 70 for lows. A cold front is forecast to arrive, along with a few showers and thunderstorms, sometime Friday and bring cooler conditions next weekend.
An H5 ridge over the region should keep us mostly dry, except for a very isolated shower or storm along the sea breeze, Wednesday and Thursday. The recent trend in model guidance has been for the H5 ridge to be a little flatter thanks to the more progressive nature of the H5 trough moving through the middle of the country. This H5 trough will eventually push a cold front through the Southeast Friday into Saturday. There will be enough moisture associated with the front to produce showers and thunderstorms as it moves through the area. It's too soon to determine any severe potential with this system, but we'll keep an eye on it as it appears there could be some overlap of adequate shear and instability on Friday.
Temperatures will generally be in the lower to middle 90s away from the immediate coast Wednesday and Thursday before cooling back closer to normal, or the middle 80s, by Saturday. Overnight lows will follow a similar path with upper 60s to lower 70s Wednesday and Thursday nights before cooling back into the 60s as early as Friday night.
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 106 AM EDT Sun May 5 2024
A mix of fog and low stratus will be possible early this morning but should dissipate by mid/late morning. A few showers and storms will be possible this afternoon, particularly across the eastern FL Big Bend and SW Georgia, however coverage is expected to be too low to include in the tafs for now.
MARINE
Issued at 333 AM EDT Sun May 5 2024
Generally light south to southeast winds are expected through the middle of next week with high pressure off to our east. Seas will remain around 2 to 3 feet. Some increase in winds are possible mid to late week as the pressure gradient tightens ahead of a cold front on Friday.
FIRE WEATHER
Issued at 333 AM EDT Sun May 5 2024
Isolated to scattered showers and storms will be possible both Sunday and Monday afternoons with gusty and erratic winds possible nearby. High dispersions are expected Monday and Tuesday afternoons as mixing heights rise and southwesterly transport winds increase.
Otherwise, there are no fire weather concerns.
HYDROLOGY
Issued at 333 AM EDT Sun May 5 2024
A few locations picked up several inches of rain Saturday, notably Miller and Early County in SW Georgia. Any showers or storms that develop today will have the capability of dropping a quick inch or two of rain and could lead to localized flooding of poor drainage or urban areas. Riverine flooding is not anticipated due to the sporadic nature of the showers and storms the next couple of afternoons.
Drier weather is expected through the middle of the week before another chance for rain enters the forecast picture Friday as a cold front swings through the Southeast.
SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT
Spotter activation is not requested. However, spotters are always encouraged to safely report significant weather conditions when they occur by calling the office or tweeting us @NWSTallahassee.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
Tallahassee 90 67 89 67 / 20 10 30 0 Panama City 85 69 84 70 / 10 0 10 0 Dothan 89 67 88 67 / 20 20 30 0 Albany 88 67 89 67 / 20 20 50 10 Valdosta 89 67 88 67 / 40 20 50 20 Cross City 87 65 87 65 / 40 10 40 10 Apalachicola 81 71 81 71 / 10 0 10 0
TAE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
FL...High Rip Current Risk through late tonight for FLZ108-112-114- 115.
GA...None.
AL...None.
GM...None.
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Tallahassee FL 335 AM EDT Sun May 5 2024
New NEAR TERM, SHORT TERM, LONG TERM, MARINE, FIRE WEATHER, HYDROLOGY
NEAR TERM
(Today and tonight)
Issued at 333 AM EDT Sun May 5 2024
Isolated to scattered showers and storms will be possible this afternoon and evening, although coverage is expected to be much less than yesterday as the shortwave has pushed off to the northeast.
Forecast soundings for this afternoon show an inverted V shape along with DCAPE around 800-900 J/kg, indicating a favorable environment for gusty winds with the stronger storms that develop today. Storm motion appears to be fairy slow again today, so some isolated pockets of heavy rainfall will be possible. However, PWs are forecast to be a little less than yesterday's, and overall coverage of storms today is forecast to be much less which should together limit the flood threat. Highs are forecast in the upper 80s to low 90s with lows tonight generally in the mid to upper 60s.
SHORT TERM
(Monday through Tuesday night)
Issued at 333 AM EDT Sun May 5 2024
One more day of isolated to scattered showers and thunderstorms is forecast Monday before high pressure takes over Monday night into Tuesday. Temperatures will manage the upper 80s to near 90 Monday afternoon and be a degree or two warmer Tuesday afternoon. Overnight lows will generally remain in the middle to upper 60s both nights, but Tuesday night is forecast to be a degree or two warmer than Monday night.
All this is thanks to an H5 shortwave moving through the Tennessee Valley, or well north of our area. Enough moisture will be in place Monday afternoon to allow a 30 to 50 percent chance for rain for our eastern time zone counties, or east of the Chattahoochee and Apalachicola River. Lower chances, around 10 to 20 percent, for rain are forecast across SE Alabama and the Florida Panhandle as the sea breeze pushes inland.
Tuesday will see the H5 shortwave up near the Delmarva Peninsula as a ridge builds in from the Gulf of Mexico. The subsidence from this ridge will put a lid on rain chances and generally keep them to 15 percent or less along the sea breeze Tuesday afternoon. The lack of rain in the forecast will also allow temperatures to nudge up a few degrees from Monday.
LONG TERM
(Wednesday through Saturday)
Issued at 333 AM EDT Sun May 5 2024
Warm and dry weather is forecast for the middle of the week before a cold front swings through sometime Friday. Temperatures ahead of the front are forecast to climb into the lower 90s for highs and near 70 for lows. A cold front is forecast to arrive, along with a few showers and thunderstorms, sometime Friday and bring cooler conditions next weekend.
An H5 ridge over the region should keep us mostly dry, except for a very isolated shower or storm along the sea breeze, Wednesday and Thursday. The recent trend in model guidance has been for the H5 ridge to be a little flatter thanks to the more progressive nature of the H5 trough moving through the middle of the country. This H5 trough will eventually push a cold front through the Southeast Friday into Saturday. There will be enough moisture associated with the front to produce showers and thunderstorms as it moves through the area. It's too soon to determine any severe potential with this system, but we'll keep an eye on it as it appears there could be some overlap of adequate shear and instability on Friday.
Temperatures will generally be in the lower to middle 90s away from the immediate coast Wednesday and Thursday before cooling back closer to normal, or the middle 80s, by Saturday. Overnight lows will follow a similar path with upper 60s to lower 70s Wednesday and Thursday nights before cooling back into the 60s as early as Friday night.
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 106 AM EDT Sun May 5 2024
A mix of fog and low stratus will be possible early this morning but should dissipate by mid/late morning. A few showers and storms will be possible this afternoon, particularly across the eastern FL Big Bend and SW Georgia, however coverage is expected to be too low to include in the tafs for now.
MARINE
Issued at 333 AM EDT Sun May 5 2024
Generally light south to southeast winds are expected through the middle of next week with high pressure off to our east. Seas will remain around 2 to 3 feet. Some increase in winds are possible mid to late week as the pressure gradient tightens ahead of a cold front on Friday.
FIRE WEATHER
Issued at 333 AM EDT Sun May 5 2024
Isolated to scattered showers and storms will be possible both Sunday and Monday afternoons with gusty and erratic winds possible nearby. High dispersions are expected Monday and Tuesday afternoons as mixing heights rise and southwesterly transport winds increase.
Otherwise, there are no fire weather concerns.
HYDROLOGY
Issued at 333 AM EDT Sun May 5 2024
A few locations picked up several inches of rain Saturday, notably Miller and Early County in SW Georgia. Any showers or storms that develop today will have the capability of dropping a quick inch or two of rain and could lead to localized flooding of poor drainage or urban areas. Riverine flooding is not anticipated due to the sporadic nature of the showers and storms the next couple of afternoons.
Drier weather is expected through the middle of the week before another chance for rain enters the forecast picture Friday as a cold front swings through the Southeast.
SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT
Spotter activation is not requested. However, spotters are always encouraged to safely report significant weather conditions when they occur by calling the office or tweeting us @NWSTallahassee.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
Tallahassee 90 67 89 67 / 20 10 30 0 Panama City 85 69 84 70 / 10 0 10 0 Dothan 89 67 88 67 / 20 20 30 0 Albany 88 67 89 67 / 20 20 50 10 Valdosta 89 67 88 67 / 40 20 50 20 Cross City 87 65 87 65 / 40 10 40 10 Apalachicola 81 71 81 71 / 10 0 10 0
TAE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
FL...High Rip Current Risk through late tonight for FLZ108-112-114- 115.
GA...None.
AL...None.
GM...None.
| Stations | Dist | Age | Wind | Air Temp | Water Temp | Waves | inHg | DewPt |
| SHPF1 - SHP - Shell Point, FL | 25 mi | 115 min | NNE 2.9G | 69°F | 56 ft | 29.98 | 66°F | |
| APXF1 - Apalachicola Reserve, FL | 57 mi | 49 min | ESE 1 | 71°F | 30.01 | 69°F |
toggle option: (graph/table)
Airport Reports
EDIT (hide/show) Help Click EDIT to display multiple airports. Follow links for more data.| Airport | Dist | Age | Wind kt | Vis | Sky | Weather | Temp | DewPt | RH | inHg |
| KFPY PERRYFOLEY,FL | 15 sm | 14 min | calm | 1/2 sm | Overcast | Fog | 66°F | 64°F | 94% | 30.01 |
Rock Islands
Click for Map
Sun -- 12:49 AM EDT 3.13 feet High Tide
Sun -- 05:04 AM EDT Moonrise
Sun -- 06:48 AM EDT Sunrise
Sun -- 06:49 AM EDT 0.60 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 12:51 PM EDT 3.47 feet High Tide
Sun -- 05:48 PM EDT Moonset
Sun -- 07:33 PM EDT -0.08 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 08:15 PM EDT Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Click for Map
Sun -- 12:49 AM EDT 3.13 feet High Tide
Sun -- 05:04 AM EDT Moonrise
Sun -- 06:48 AM EDT Sunrise
Sun -- 06:49 AM EDT 0.60 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 12:51 PM EDT 3.47 feet High Tide
Sun -- 05:48 PM EDT Moonset
Sun -- 07:33 PM EDT -0.08 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 08:15 PM EDT Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Rock Islands, Florida, Tide feet
| 12 am |
| 3 |
| 1 am |
| 3.1 |
| 2 am |
| 2.9 |
| 3 am |
| 2.4 |
| 4 am |
| 1.7 |
| 5 am |
| 1.1 |
| 6 am |
| 0.7 |
| 7 am |
| 0.6 |
| 8 am |
| 0.9 |
| 9 am |
| 1.4 |
| 10 am |
| 2.1 |
| 11 am |
| 2.8 |
| 12 pm |
| 3.3 |
| 1 pm |
| 3.5 |
| 2 pm |
| 3.2 |
| 3 pm |
| 2.6 |
| 4 pm |
| 1.9 |
| 5 pm |
| 1 |
| 6 pm |
| 0.4 |
| 7 pm |
| -0 |
| 8 pm |
| -0 |
| 9 pm |
| 0.3 |
| 10 pm |
| 1 |
| 11 pm |
| 1.9 |
Spring Warrior Creek
Click for Map
Sun -- 12:42 AM EDT 3.09 feet High Tide
Sun -- 05:04 AM EDT Moonrise
Sun -- 06:48 AM EDT 0.60 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 06:48 AM EDT Sunrise
Sun -- 12:45 PM EDT 3.43 feet High Tide
Sun -- 05:47 PM EDT Moonset
Sun -- 07:32 PM EDT -0.08 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 08:14 PM EDT Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Click for Map
Sun -- 12:42 AM EDT 3.09 feet High Tide
Sun -- 05:04 AM EDT Moonrise
Sun -- 06:48 AM EDT 0.60 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 06:48 AM EDT Sunrise
Sun -- 12:45 PM EDT 3.43 feet High Tide
Sun -- 05:47 PM EDT Moonset
Sun -- 07:32 PM EDT -0.08 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 08:14 PM EDT Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Spring Warrior Creek, Florida, Tide feet
| 12 am |
| 3 |
| 1 am |
| 3.1 |
| 2 am |
| 2.8 |
| 3 am |
| 2.3 |
| 4 am |
| 1.7 |
| 5 am |
| 1.1 |
| 6 am |
| 0.7 |
| 7 am |
| 0.6 |
| 8 am |
| 0.9 |
| 9 am |
| 1.4 |
| 10 am |
| 2.2 |
| 11 am |
| 2.8 |
| 12 pm |
| 3.3 |
| 1 pm |
| 3.4 |
| 2 pm |
| 3.2 |
| 3 pm |
| 2.6 |
| 4 pm |
| 1.8 |
| 5 pm |
| 1 |
| 6 pm |
| 0.3 |
| 7 pm |
| -0 |
| 8 pm |
| -0 |
| 9 pm |
| 0.4 |
| 10 pm |
| 1.1 |
| 11 pm |
| 1.9 |
Tallahassee, FL,
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