Nocatee, FL Marine Weather and Tide Forecast
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Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Nocatee, FL

April 28, 2024 12:01 AM EDT (04:01 UTC) Change Location
Sunrise 6:43 AM   Sunset 8:02 PM
Moonrise 11:56 PM   Moonset 8:54 AM 
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NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.

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Marine Forecasts
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AMZ452 Coastal Waters From Fernandina Beach To St. Augustine Fl Out 20 Nm- Coastal Waters From St. Augustine To Flagler Beach Fl Out 20 Nm- 821 Pm Edt Sat Apr 27 2024

.small craft advisory in effect until 5 am edt Sunday - .

Rest of tonight - East winds 15 to 20 knots. Seas 5 to 7 feet with a dominant period 7 seconds. Intracoastal waters choppy.

Sunday - East winds around 15 knots. Seas 5 to 6 feet with a dominant period 7 seconds. Intracoastal waters a moderate chop.

Sunday night - Southeast winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 4 to 5 feet with a dominant period 7 seconds. Intracoastal waters a moderate chop.

Monday - Southeast winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas around 4 feet with a dominant period 7 seconds. Intracoastal waters a moderate chop.

Monday night - Southeast winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas around 4 feet with a dominant period 7 seconds. Intracoastal waters a moderate chop.

Tuesday - Southeast winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 3 to 4 feet with a dominant period 7 seconds. Intracoastal waters a moderate chop.

Tuesday night - South winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 3 to 4 feet with a dominant period 6 seconds. Intracoastal waters a moderate chop.

Wednesday - South winds around 10 knots, becoming southeast in the afternoon. Seas 3 to 4 feet.

Wednesday night - South winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas around 3 feet.

Thursday - Southeast winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet.

Thursday night - Southeast winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet.

AMZ400 Synopsis For Altamaha Sound Ga To Flagler Beach Fl Out To 60 Nm- 821 Pm Edt Sat Apr 27 2024

Synopsis -
breezy onshore winds driven by a strong high pressure to the northeast will continue small craft advisory conditions across the waters except in the nearshore waters north of fernandina where small craft are still urged to use caution. Winds and seas will slowly subside through Sunday as the weakening high pressure shifts offshore and anchors there through Monday before a very weak front slowly arrives Tuesday night.

Gulf stream -
the approximate location of the west wall of the gulf stream as of apr 25, 2024 at 1200 utc - .
64 nautical miles east of flagler beach. 73 nautical miles east of saint augustine beach. 82 nautical miles east of jacksonville beach. 90 nautical miles east southeast of st simons island.
this data courtesy of the naval oceanographic office.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Nocatee, FL
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Area Discussion for - Jacksonville, FL
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FXUS62 KJAX 272322 AFDJAX

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Jacksonville FL 722 PM EDT Sat Apr 27 2024

New UPDATE, AVIATION

UPDATE
Issued at 721 PM EDT Sat Apr 27 2024

For the latest NE FL and SE GA Daily Key Messages please visit: https:// www.weather.gov/media/jax/briefings/nws-jax-briefing.pdf

Isolated light rain showers that are more or less sprinkles will continue to push on shore until drier air offshore (PWATS < 1") advects slowly westward and over the region tonight.
Mostly cloudy skies continue as moisture circulates within the upper ridge aloft. The onshore breeze and cloud cover will keep temps mild overnight with lows anticipated to read in the low 60s inland and mid to upper 60s for coastal areas.

The surf zone remains rough via webcams and the onshore flow. There is a High Rip Current Risk in effect through Sunday.

NEAR TERM
Issued at 151 PM EDT Sat Apr 27 2024

For the latest NE FL and SE GA Daily Key Messages please visit: https:// www.weather.gov/media/jax/briefings/nws-jax-briefing.pdf

Isolated to widely scattered light showers will stream east to west as a coastal trough works inland through the rest of the afternoon. Strong high pressure centered around 1034 mb near the Mid-Atlantic coast will build south through the afternoon off the Delmarva coast towards sunset with breezy easterly winds 15-20 mph gusting to 30-35 mph along the coast and about 10-20 mph west of I-95. Despite breaks in the clouds owing to initially partly cloudy skies before mid and high level clouds increase from the west, the onshore flow will limit highs to the upper 70s near the coast and lower 80s.

Tonight, easterly winds will gradually wind down after sunset to 8-12 mph and 5-10 mph after midnight with winds persisting longer along the coast to 10-20 mph with gusts 25-30 mph through midnight and then subsiding to 10-15 mph well after midnight as the high weakens further and sinks southward to near the NC Outer Banks.
Mostly cloudy skies expected as mid and high level clouds linger, that should remove the possibility of fog inland tonight. Lows will be warmer at the coast in the onshore flow mid to upper 60s and lower 60s inland where air is a bit drier.

SHORT TERM
(Sunday through Monday night)
Issued at 151 PM EDT Sat Apr 27 2024

Sunday...High pressure ridge axis remains north of the region across the Carolinas and breezy Easterly flow will continue across NE FL/SE GA, with strongest winds at the Atlantic Beaches at 15-20G25-30 mph and mixing down to 10-15G20-25mph over inland areas by the afternoon hours. The onshore flow will continue to keep temps slightly below normal with highs in the mid/upper 70s for the Atlantic Coastal counties and into the 80-85 range over inland areas. While an isolated coastal shower cannot be ruled out, overall measurable rainfall chances will remain in the "silent" 10-15% range with the ongoing forecast.

Sunday Night...Not much change with the pattern other than a slight shift to a Southeast steering flow through the overnight hours which will lead to less wind than is expected tonight and will allow for skies to become mostly clear over inland areas with Strato-Cu clouds still pushing onshore along the Atlantic Coast.
Low temps expected to fall into the upper 50s inland and remain in the 60s along the Atlantic Coast. Slightly less wind and cloud cover over inland areas may lead to some patchy fog development, but chances of any significant fog remain too low to include in the forecast at this time.

Monday...High pressure ridge axis attempts to shift slowly southward into the NE FL/SE GA region which will allow for the steering flow to become more South-Southeast and lead to temps returning to more normal levels with highs in the middle 80s over inland areas and around 80 along the Atlantic Coastal areas. While the SE surface flow will onshore and expect East Coast sea breeze to develop and move inland, there will be a 10-15% chance of a sprinkle or shower as it moves inland, but will continue to keep any measurable rainfall "silent" in the ongoing forecast.

Monday Night...Ridge axis will remain across the region with a light southerly steering flow under Mostly clear skies. Temps will nudge upwards to slightly above normal levels with lows in the lower 60s inland and mid/upper 60s along the Atlantic Coast.
Slightly stronger signal for some patchy late night dense fog by sunrise Tuesday morning over inland areas, but too early to add to the ongoing forecast, but something to monitor.

LONG TERM
(Tuesday through next Saturday)
Issued at 151 PM EDT Sat Apr 27 2024

Tuesday...The newer 12Z GFS/NAM model runs are suggesting a weaker frontal boundary pushing into the region from NW with some widely scattered shower/isolated storm activity during afternoon/evening hours, which could interact with local sea breezes, but the ECMWF model remains too dry with this feature for much in the way of measurable rainfall so will continue ongoing "silent" forecast with PoPs of 10-15%. Best chances for any rainfall will likely across across inland SE GA. Ahead of this feature, Max temps will push into the upper 80s/near 90 over inland areas with 80-85 temps along the Atlantic Coast.

Wednesday through Saturday...With weak high pressure ridge lingering in the region through the end of the week and approaching frontal boundary from the Northwest, expect mainly diurnal sea breezes to slowly push inland each day, but any significant moisture remains limited and rainfall chances remain on the low end in the 10-20% range, but cannot be ruled out on any day along the sea breeze, while longer range models are suggesting that better rainfall chances will exist by next weekend as possible stronger frontal boundary pushes closer to the region.
While rainfall forecast remains low to moderate, models are suggesting above normal temps through this period with a moderate to high confidence of daily highs around 90 degrees over inland areas and in the lower/middle 80s closer to the Atlantic Coast.

AVIATION
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 721 PM EDT Sat Apr 27 2024

Onshore (easterly) winds will continue through the period with intermittent gustiness overnight to around 15-20 knots. Near the coast, gusts will prevail through the night along with light showers pushing in off the Atlantic. VFR conditions persist while multilayered cloud cover continues.

MARINE
Issued at 151 PM EDT Sat Apr 27 2024

Strong high pressure to the north northeast near the Mid-Atlantic coast will sink southward down the eastern seaboard through this evening with breezy easterly winds as a coastal trough over the northeast Florida waters tightens the local pressure gradient and Small Craft Advisory conditions the northeast Florida nearshore waters and all of the offshore waters. Slightly less winds and seas will bring Small Craft exercise caution conditions to the Georgia nearshore waters. Isolated showers will shift westward with the trough over the waters through this early evening. The high will slowly weaken overnight as it shifts southward near the North Carolina Outer Banks with winds diminishing near shore.
Small Craft Advisory conditions will persist offshore through Sunday morning. Winds and seas will further subside late Sunday into Sunday night as weaker high pressure anchors off the southeastern seaboard early next week, followed by prevailing winds shifting to southerly towards midweek.

Rip Currents: High Risk of Rip currents at all area beaches today.
A high risk is expected at all area beaches again on Sunday.

HYDROLOGY
Issued at 151 PM EDT Sat Apr 27 2024

Moderate Flooding continues over portions of the lowers Santa Fe River near Three Rivers Estates, but should lower into minor flooding by late Sunday, then remaining in minor flood through next week. Minor flooding also continues along portions of the Santa Fe River near Hildreth through early next week.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
AMG 82 62 82 57 / 0 0 10 0 SSI 77 67 75 65 / 10 0 10 0 JAX 80 65 79 61 / 20 0 10 0 SGJ 79 67 78 64 / 40 0 10 0 GNV 82 61 83 59 / 30 0 10 0 OCF 83 62 85 59 / 20 0 10 0

JAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
FL...High Rip Current Risk through Sunday evening for FLZ124-125-133- 138.

GA...High Rip Current Risk through Sunday evening for GAZ154-166.

AM...Small Craft Advisory until 5 AM EDT Sunday for AMZ452-454.

Small Craft Advisory until 11 AM EDT Sunday for AMZ470-472-474.




Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesinHgDewPt
SAUF1 - St. Augustine, FL 13 mi62 min E 19G22 73°F 74°F30.2673°F
41117 16 mi36 min 72°F7 ft
BKBF1 20 mi44 min E 13G17 73°F 30.25
LTJF1 25 mi44 min 72°F 62°F
GTXF1 - Guana Tolomato Matanzas Reserve, FL 26 mi77 min E 8.9 72°F 30.3061°F
JXUF1 26 mi44 min 75°F
MYPF1 - 8720218 - Mayport (Bar Pilots Dock), FL 26 mi44 min E 14G22 72°F 73°F30.29
BLIF1 27 mi44 min E 13G16 73°F 30.2865°F
DMSF1 27 mi44 min 74°F
NFDF1 29 mi44 min E 12G16 73°F 30.2766°F
FRDF1 - 8720030 - Fernandina Beach, FL 45 mi44 min E 6G14 73°F 73°F30.27
41112 - Offshore Fernandina Beach, FL (132) 48 mi62 min 71°F 71°F6 ft


Wind History for I-295 Bridge, St Johns River, FL
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisSkyWeatherTempDewPtRHinHg
KSGJ NORTHEAST FLORIDA RGNL,FL 5 sm65 minESE 13G2010 smClear72°F61°F69%30.28
KNIP JACKSONVILLE NAS (TOWERS FLD),FL 22 sm68 minESE 1610 smOvercast73°F61°F65%30.27
KCRG JACKSONVILLE EXECUTIVE AT CRAIG,FL 23 sm68 minESE 13G2310 smClear72°F59°F65%30.27
Link to 5 minute data for KSGJ


Wind History from SGJ
(wind in knots)
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Tide / Current for Palm Valley, ICWW, Florida
   
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Palm Valley
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Sat -- 01:08 AM EDT     2.27 feet High Tide
Sat -- 06:45 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sat -- 07:52 AM EDT     -2.15 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 08:59 AM EDT     Moonset
Sat -- 01:05 PM EDT     1.21 feet High Tide
Sat -- 08:00 PM EDT     -2.41 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 08:00 PM EDT     Sunset
Sat -- 11:58 PM EDT     Moonrise
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

Palm Valley, ICWW, Florida, Tide feet
12
am
2
1
am
2.3
2
am
2.2
3
am
1.8
4
am
0.9
5
am
-0
6
am
-0.9
7
am
-1.8
8
am
-2.1
9
am
-1.5
10
am
-0.4
11
am
0.5
12
pm
1
1
pm
1.2
2
pm
1.1
3
pm
0.8
4
pm
0.2
5
pm
-0.7
6
pm
-1.4
7
pm
-2
8
pm
-2.4
9
pm
-1.9
10
pm
-0.6
11
pm
0.7



Tide / Current for Vilano Beach Bridge, Tolomato River, Florida (2)
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Vilano Beach Bridge
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Sat -- 05:37 AM EDT     0.50 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 06:45 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sat -- 08:59 AM EDT     Moonset
Sat -- 11:35 AM EDT     4.14 feet High Tide
Sat -- 05:24 PM EDT     0.41 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 08:00 PM EDT     Sunset
Sat -- 11:57 PM EDT     Moonrise
Sat -- 11:58 PM EDT     4.89 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

Vilano Beach Bridge, Tolomato River, Florida (2), Tide feet
12
am
4.8
1
am
4.3
2
am
3.3
3
am
2.2
4
am
1.2
5
am
0.6
6
am
0.5
7
am
1.1
8
am
1.9
9
am
2.8
10
am
3.6
11
am
4.1
12
pm
4.1
1
pm
3.7
2
pm
2.9
3
pm
1.8
4
pm
0.9
5
pm
0.5
6
pm
0.5
7
pm
1.2
8
pm
2.3
9
pm
3.3
10
pm
4.1
11
pm
4.7




Weather Map
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GEOS Local Image of southeast   
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Jacksonville, FL,



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