Wednesday, January19, 2022
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Marine Weather and Tides
Fruit Cove, FL

Version 3.4
NOTICE
3/30/2021 -- ANZ330 has been split into ANZ331 and ANZ332. Click EDIT in Marine Forecast and select your new zone.
1/26/2021 -- The West Coast Satellite images havd been updated. They now use GEOS-17.
1/1/2021 -- The 7 day forecast are now working well. Thank you NOAA for your support.

Sunrise 7:21AMSunset 5:53PM Wednesday January 19, 2022 3:58 AM EST (08:58 UTC) Moonrise 7:33PMMoonset 8:45AM Illumination 97% Phase: Waning Gibbous; Moon at 17 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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AMZ452 Expires:202201192215;;613725 Fzus52 Kjax 190827 Cwfjax Coastal Waters Forecast For Northeast Florida/southeast Georgia National Weather Service Jacksonville Fl 327 Am Est Wed Jan 19 2022 Atlantic Coastal Waters From Altamaha Sound Ga To Flagler Beach Fl Out To 60 Nm. Seas Are Provided As A Range Of The Average Height Of The Highest 1/3 Of The Waves, Along With The Occasional Height Of The Average Highest 1/10 Of The Waves. Amz450-452-454-192215- Coastal Waters From Altamaha Sound To Fernandina Beach Fl Out 20 Nm- Coastal Waters From Fernandina Beach To St. Augustine Fl Out 20 Nm- Coastal Waters From St. Augustine To Flagler Beach Fl Out 20 Nm- 327 Am Est Wed Jan 19 2022
Today..Southeast winds 5 knots. Seas 1 to 2 feet with a dominant period 10 seconds. Smooth on the intracoastal waters.
Tonight..South winds 5 to 10 knots becoming southwest after midnight. Seas 1 to 2 feet with a dominant period 8 seconds. Mostly smooth on the intracoastal waters.
Thursday..Southwest winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 1 to 2 feet with a dominant period 8 seconds. A light chop on the intracoastal waters.
Thursday night..Southwest winds 5 to 10 knots becoming northwest after midnight. Seas 1 to 2 feet. Mostly smooth on the intracoastal waters. Chance of rain.
Friday..North winds 10 to 15 knots increasing to 15 to 20 knots in the afternoon. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Choppy on the intracoastal waters. Chance of rain in the morning, then rain likely in the afternoon.
Friday night..North winds 15 to 20 knots. Seas 3 to 5 feet. Chance of rain.
Saturday..North winds 15 to 20 knots. Seas 4 to 6 feet. Chance of rain.
Saturday night..North winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 5 to 7 feet. Slight chance of rain.
Sunday..Northwest winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 4 to 6 feet.
AMZ400 Synopsis For Altamaha Sound Ga To Flagler Beach Fl Out To 60 Nm- 327 Am Est Wed Jan 19 2022
Synopsis.. High pressure will be over the waters today with light southeasterly winds expected. Winds will shift to southwesterly Thursday as a cold front approaches from the northwest. The front will cross the waters on Friday, then elevated winds and seas are expected Friday night into the weekend as a coastal low develops. High pressure will build to the west early next week with light northwest winds.
Gulf stream.. The approximate location of the west wall of the gulf stream as of jan 15, 2022 at 1200 utc... 37 nautical miles east northeast of flagler beach. 46 nautical miles east of saint augustine beach. 61 nautical miles east of jacksonville beach. 68 nautical miles east southeast of st simons island. This data courtesy of the naval oceanographic office.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Fruit Cove, FL
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location: 30.07, -81.61     debug


Area Discussion for - Jacksonville, FL
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FXUS62 KJAX 190838 AFDJAX

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Jacksonville FL 338 AM EST Wed Jan 19 2022

. ANOTHER CHILLY MORNING WILL BRING A LIGHT FREEZE INLAND WITH AREAS OF FROST ALONG AND WEST OF THE I-95 CORRIDOR .

NEAR TERM [Through Tonight].

Surface high pressure ridging remains spread out along the northern half of the the FL peninsula NE along the Carolina coast early this morning with thin high clouds passing ENE over the region within the right rear entrance of a jet maximum crossing the Carolinas. Some low level clouds are confined farther south of the area moving over the Treasure coast towards Lake Okeechobee around the low level ridge axis the is draped from the Bahamas WNW towards Cape Canaveral. Good radiational cooling is delivering cold temperatures for another morning aided by calm winds away from the coast and mostly clear skies, but a few degrees warmer compared to this time yesterday with low to mid 30s observed inland, low to mid 40s along the NE FL coast and the downtown Jacksonville river front, and mid to upper 30s observed along the I-95 corridor of NE FL northward into coastal SE GA. These chilly temperatures will continue to cool another couple degrees over the next few hours through sunrise with subfreezing temperatures likely inland of Highway 301 over NE FL and west of I-95 of SE GA for at least a few hours bringing widespread to areas of frost and have a Freeze Warning in effect through 8AM for these areas. A frost advisory is in place until 8AM, likewise, where temperatures will fall between 32 and 36 degrees promoting areas of frost from I-95 to the coast in SE GA and east of Highway 301 to areas along the St Johns river basin including Jacksonville and Fernandina Beach, but excluding St Augustine down to Flagler Beach where lows will only fall into the low to mid 40s with very light onshore easterly winds off the warmer water protecting those zones from colder overnight lows.

Today, surface high pressure center will shift east from the GA and Carolina coast offshore into the Atlantic waters, but keeps a ridge axis stretching back west across NE FL that will yield mostly sunny skies with warmer highs slightly above normal as the low level ridge pivots east and low level flow flow aloft becomes southerly. Some stratocumulus clouds may infringe into the area from east central FL as the day wears on with light southeasterly onshore winds 5-10 mph at the coast turning more southerly inland. Highs will be in the mid to upper 60s over SE GA with upper 60s along the NE FL coast and low 70s south of I-10.

Tonight, a mid/upper level trough swinging south and east from the midwest will drag a cold front into the TN Valley while high pressure ridging extending back from the high center nearing Bermuda keeps our area dry for another night with mostly clear skies. Increasing low level moisture will bump up dewpoints into the 40s and 50s with milder overnight low temperatures in the 40s over inland areas, near 50 over downtown Jacksonville and the SE GA coast, with low 50s along the NE FL coastline. Some patchy fog is possible as light southerly winds become calm away from the coast overnight.

SHORT TERM [Thursday Through Friday].

Thursday . An upper level short wave trough, digging south across the Upper Plains and Great Lakes, will be pushing an Arctic air mass southeastward into the upper Midwest. At the surface, a cold front begins the day along a line from Washington D.C. to Brownsville, TX with strong cold air advection (CAA) behind it. By Thursday evening that front will be right up against the northern portions of the Forecast Area (FA) with a strong 1041-2mb high over the upper Great Plains. Some overrunning precipitation will break out along and north of the cold front with just some precipitation for extreme northwestern portions of the FA. Much too early for any freezing/frozen precipitation on Thursday. Elsewhere our current high pressure area moves east with some ridging extending west into the eastern Gulf of Mexico (GOM). This will bring a return flow out of the GOM and allow for gradually moderating temperatures. Word of advice don't get too used to it, Winter is coming! Highs Thursday will be in the upper 60s to lower 70s across Georgia and the lower to mid 70s for Florida.

Thursday night . ECMWF and GFS are in good agreement dropping the cold front to the Florida-Georgia State Line with CAA setting in north of there. At this time, any cold air pool will be very shallow flowing southward east of the Piedmont. Locally, with the high west of the mountains, the cold air usually takes some time to move southeast of the Appalachians so this will be slow to develop. Low temperatures for southeast Georgia will be in the mid 40s to near 50. The question is how much of a cold rain will fall and on that point the models differ with GFS fairly dry and ECMWF sporting more isentropic lift (overrunning) north of the cold front. Overall looking for the possibility of a cold rain Thursday night but no freezing precipitation. For Florida some of that rainfall may inch down into the Suwannee valley if ECMWF has the right solution but otherwise should be a fairly dry night for most of north Florida. Low temps for north Florida will be in the mid to upper 50s.

Friday . Both of the main models agree on the cold front will be across the region, but here the devil is in the details and GFS hangs it up over the state-line with ECMWF pushing it south past Ocala ahead of a slightly sharper upper level trough in that model. Both now have a precipitation field across the FA but GFS is keeping it more over Georgia with ECMWF covering the entire area. Of course the actual position of the cold front will have ramifications for the high temperatures and assuming ECMWF is correct here the CAA will begin to impact north Florida with high temps in the 60s. Across southeast Georgia high temps will only be in the mid 40s to lower 50s with a cold winter rain and fog.

Friday night . This is where the model divergence has a major impact for our forecast! The ECMWF begins to develop a major nor'easter over the Mid-Atlantic States and Cape Hatteras with the precipitation shield pulled offshore behind the developing cyclone. Conversely the GFS Model brings the frontal surface down to about I-4 and, with possible low development over the central GOM, has the overrunning precipitation overspreading portions of southeast Georgia and north Florida. By now the CAA will result in freezing to near freezing conditions across the northern portions of the FA, but there are lots of questions. For one, will there be enough precip that far north to result in an icing event? Will the ground and other surfaces cool off fast enough for accumulation? Likely not! Locally, our criteria for a Winter Storm Warning for ice is any glaze which may impact the transportation network, and that is a very low criteria. So while we have a 10-15 percent chance of a Winter Storm Warning for icing in the models, bear in mind that glaze, IF IT OCCURS AT ALL, will likely only be for overpasses and maybe some trees. The most likely scenario is some time during the night the extreme northern areas will see a very cold rain with a few ice pellets mixed in and possibly some freezing rain for a short period. It's just hard to see our ground becoming cold enough to support significant icing without days of extremely cold air in place prior to the event. Bridges and overpasses are a different story, thus the caution signs about possible icing on them. For all of these reasons the possibility of Freezing conditions remains low but not impossible. No matter what a very cold south Georgia winter rain/fog event is likely.

LONG TERM [Saturday Through Wednesday].

Saturday . Both models in agreement with moving the precipitation shield out of SE GA by mid-day with just GFS holding onto it over N FL. GFS is developing a frontal wave over the central GOM (N of the Yucatan) and moving it east toward the Fl Peninsula. ECMWF has a dry Florida with GFS sporting a a pretty steady rainfall event. Obviously given the vast differences between the two models confidence in the Saturday forecast is very low. High temps will be in the 40s north of I-10 and 50 to 60 south of there. Again with evaporative cooling of the air mass likely to see a cold rain with fog over north FL, IF GFS is correct.

Saturday night . GFS is driving the front farther south with the rain shield dropping to central Florida. We might hang onto it a bit longer near Ocala and Palatka but for almost everyone else we will see drier conditions.

Sunday and Sunday night . The high has now dropped down to Texas with unseasonably cold wintry conditions continuing across the area, but at least both models are dry for the day. High temperatures will be in the 50s for just about everyone. Low temperatures will be in the 30s inland with a freeze possible and in the upper 30s to lower 40s along the coast and St Johns River.

Monday and Monday night . The high moves east to be over the Florida Peninsula with a coastal low developing along the Texas coast and beginning to move east. ECMWF has a broader precipitation shield with this feature expanding it across much of the GOM. The models both beginning to move it east with ECMWF much faster bringing the GOM precipitation to the area Monday night.

Tuesday and Tuesday night . Both models bring the frontal wave/low over the FA with a steady rain/fog event.

Wednesday through Thursday night . Another huge Arctic High drives south into the central CONUS with very strong CAA east of the Appalachian mountains. ECMWF is very impressive with the strength of this system with a 1050 high over Iowa, and if this even close will need to be on the lookout for a hard freeze possibility Wednesday and Thursday nights.

AVIATION. [Through 06Z Thursday]

Clear skies and VFR conditions expected through the 06Z TAF cycle as high pressure remains over the regional terminals with calm winds at all sites this hour. Later this morning, the high will shift east-northeast into the Atlantic waters while it's surface axis ridge extends back to the west-southwest over Northeast Florida and mostly sunny skies with some high thin clouds will trail over the TAF sites with south-southeast winds around 5-7 knots by 16Z with a few low level clouds moving onshore from the Atlantic around the periphery of the high. Some increase in the low level stratocumulus clouds are expected after 00Z with winds diminishing to calm inland and light and variable at the coast.

MARINE.

High pressure will be over the waters today with light southeasterly winds expected. Winds will shift to southwesterly Thursday as a cold front approaches from the northwest. The front will cross the waters on Friday with increasing northerly winds and seas reaching caution levels Friday through Sunday night as a coastal low develops. High pressure will then build to the west early next week with gradually subsiding northwesterly winds over the waters.

Rip Currents: Moderate risk today for all area beaches. Low risk on Thursday for all area beaches.

FIRE WEATHER.

High pressure will continue to dominate the weather pattern through Thursday with light winds and low Dispersion Index values. Minimum relative humidity (RH) values today will be in the lower to mid 30s over Georgia and the upper 30 to lower 40s over Florida. Minimum RH conditions will recover on Thursday ahead of the cold front and in the return flow around an offshore high pressure area. Minimum RH values will be in the mid 50s to near 60 percent across the FA.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS.

AMG 66 41 66 47 48 / 0 0 50 70 70 SSI 64 49 67 54 55 / 0 0 20 60 70 JAX 69 46 72 54 59 / 0 0 10 50 60 SGJ 69 50 72 55 67 / 0 0 10 30 50 GNV 70 45 73 54 65 / 0 0 10 30 50 OCF 72 46 74 54 70 / 0 0 0 20 40

JAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. FL . Freeze Warning until 8 AM EST this morning for Baker-Bradford- Eastern Alachua-Gilchrist-Hamilton-Inland Nassau-Northern Columbia-Southern Columbia-Suwannee-Union-Western Alachua- Western Duval-Western Marion.

Frost Advisory until 8 AM EST this morning for Central Marion- Coastal Duval-Coastal Nassau-Eastern Clay-Eastern Marion- Eastern Putnam-Inland Flagler-Inland St. Johns-South Central Duval-Trout River-Western Clay-Western Putnam.

GA . Freeze Warning until 8 AM EST this morning for Appling-Atkinson- Bacon-Brantley-Clinch-Coffee-Echols-Inland Camden-Inland Glynn-Jeff Davis-Northeastern Charlton-Northern Ware-Pierce- Southern Ware-Wayne-Western Charlton.

Frost Advisory until 8 AM EST this morning for Coastal Camden- Coastal Glynn.

AM . None.


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
BKBF1 9 mi58 min 42°F 1024.6 hPa (+0.4)
JXUF1 20 mi58 min 58°F
DMSF1 22 mi58 min 59°F
BLIF1 23 mi58 min 0G1.9 47°F 1024.7 hPa (+0.3)47°F
LTJF1 23 mi58 min 48°F 46°F
NFDF1 23 mi58 min 0G0 44°F 1024.3 hPa (+0.3)44°F
SAUF1 - St. Augustine, FL 23 mi58 min NW 4.1G4.1 54°F 61°F1024.4 hPa (-0.0)38°F
MYPF1 - 8720218 - Mayport (Bar Pilots Dock), FL 25 mi58 min W 2.9G2.9 48°F 60°F1024.7 hPa (+0.3)
41117 29 mi58 min 57°F 64°F1 ft
GTXF1 - Guana Tolomato Matanzas Reserve, FL 35 mi73 min 0 36°F 1025 hPa35°F
FRDF1 - 8720030 - Fernandina Beach, FL 43 mi58 min 0G0 47°F 56°F1024.7 hPa (+0.3)
41112 - Offshore Fernandina Beach, FL (132) 47 mi58 min 55°F 61°F1 ft

Wind History for I-295 Bridge, St Johns River, FL
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Last 24 hr
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Jacksonville Naval Air Station, FL12 mi65 minN 010.00 miPartly Cloudy43°F40°F89%1024 hPa
Northeast Florida Regional Airport, FL16 mi62 minN 010.00 miFair39°F36°F89%1024.6 hPa
Cecil Airport, FL18 mi63 minN 08.00 mi32°F32°F100%1024.4 hPa
Jacksonville Craig Municipal Airport, FL19 mi65 minN 010.00 miFair39°F34°F82%1024.4 hPa
Mayport Naval Station - Adm David L. McDonald Field, FL24 mi66 minW 36.00 miFog/Mist42°F42°F100%1024.2 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KNIP

Wind History from NIP (wind in knots)
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Last 24 hrW6W6W7NW7NW10N12N7NE50SE5SE500E30SE6SE5S5000000
1 day agoW16
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2 days agoSE9SE14S21S16
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Tide / Current Tables for Julington Creek, Florida (4)
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Julington Creek
Click for Map
Wed -- 07:19 AM EST     7.41 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 07:22 AM EST     Sunrise
Wed -- 08:45 AM EST     Moonset
Wed -- 01:34 PM EST     8.28 feet High Tide
Wed -- 05:52 PM EST     Sunset
Wed -- 07:32 PM EST     Moonrise
Wed -- 08:27 PM EST     7.54 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

Julington Creek, Florida (4), Tide feet
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8.1
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8
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7.8
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7.6
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7.6
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7.9
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7.6
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7.5
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7.6
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7.9


Tide / Current Tables for Green Cove Springs, St. Johns River, Florida
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Green Cove Springs
Click for Map
Wed -- 01:50 AM EST     4.84 feet High Tide
Wed -- 07:22 AM EST     Sunrise
Wed -- 08:17 AM EST     4.20 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 08:45 AM EST     Moonset
Wed -- 02:25 PM EST     5.08 feet High Tide
Wed -- 05:52 PM EST     Sunset
Wed -- 07:32 PM EST     Moonrise
Wed -- 09:08 PM EST     4.26 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

Green Cove Springs, St. Johns River, Florida, Tide feet
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4.8
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4.5


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