Sunday, January16, 2022
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Marine Weather and Tides
Asbury Lake, FL

Version 3.4
NOTICE
3/30/2021 -- ANZ330 has been split into ANZ331 and ANZ332. Click EDIT in Marine Forecast and select your new zone.
1/26/2021 -- The West Coast Satellite images havd been updated. They now use GEOS-17.
1/1/2021 -- The 7 day forecast are now working well. Thank you NOAA for your support.

Sunrise 7:22AMSunset 5:51PM Sunday January 16, 2022 8:23 PM EST (01:23 UTC) Moonrise 4:42PMMoonset 6:32AM Illumination 100% Phase: Full Moon; Moon at 14 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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AMZ452 Expires:202201171030;;471523 Fzus52 Kjax 161957 Cwfjax Coastal Waters Forecast For Northeast Florida/southeast Georgia National Weather Service Jacksonville Fl 257 Pm Est Sun Jan 16 2022 Atlantic Coastal Waters From Altamaha Sound Ga To Flagler Beach Fl Out To 60 Nm. Seas Are Provided As A Range Of The Average Height Of The Highest 1/3 Of The Waves, Along With The Occasional Height Of The Average Highest 1/10 Of The Waves. Amz450-452-454-171030- Coastal Waters From Altamaha Sound To Fernandina Beach Fl Out 20 Nm- Coastal Waters From Fernandina Beach To St. Augustine Fl Out 20 Nm- Coastal Waters From St. Augustine To Flagler Beach Fl Out 20 Nm- 257 Pm Est Sun Jan 16 2022
.gale warning in effect through late tonight...
Tonight..West winds 25 to 30 knots with frequent gusts to gale force diminishing to 20 to 25 knots towards daybreak. Seas 5 to 7 feet with a dominant period 8 seconds. Very rough on the intracoastal waters.
Monday..West winds 20 to 25 knots. Seas 4 to 6 feet with a dominant period 4 seconds. Rough on the intracoastal waters.
Monday night..Northwest winds 15 to 20 knots. Seas 3 to 4 feet with a dominant period 4 seconds. Choppy on the intracoastal waters.
Tuesday..Northwest winds 10 to 15 knots becoming north 5 to 10 knots in the afternoon. Seas 2 to 3 feet. A moderate chop on the intracoastal waters.
Tuesday night..East winds 5 knots becoming southeast after midnight. Seas 1 to 2 feet. Smooth on the intracoastal waters.
Wednesday..South winds 5 knots. Seas 1 to 2 feet. Smooth on the intracoastal waters.
Wednesday night..South winds 5 to 10 knots becoming southwest after midnight. Seas 1 to 2 feet.
Thursday..Southwest winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 1 to 2 feet. Slight chance of showers.
Thursday night..North winds 10 to 15 knots increasing to 15 to 20 knots after midnight. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Chance of showers.
Friday..North winds 15 to 20 knots. Seas 3 to 5 feet. Chance of showers.
AMZ400 Synopsis For Altamaha Sound Ga To Flagler Beach Fl Out To 60 Nm- 257 Pm Est Sun Jan 16 2022
Synopsis.. Strong winds continue behind the cold front that crossed the waters this morning. Sustained gale force winds over the offshore waters and frequent gusts to gale force over the nearshore waters will be possible through Monday morning. Winds and seas will gradually subside early this week and are expected to lower below warning and advisory criteria by Tuesday. High pressure will move into the region Tuesday and Wednesday, then a cold front is expected to move southeast across the waters on Thursday.
Gulf stream.. The approximate location of the west wall of the gulf stream as of jan 15, 2022 at 1200 utc... 37 nautical miles east northeast of flagler beach. 46 nautical miles east of saint augustine beach. 61 nautical miles east of jacksonville beach. 68 nautical miles east southeast of st simons island. This data courtesy of the naval oceanographic office.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Asbury Lake, FL
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location: 30.08, -81.76     debug


Area Discussion for - Jacksonville, FL
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FXUS62 KJAX 162359 AFDJAX

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Jacksonville FL 659 PM EST Sun Jan 16 2022

AVIATION. [Through 00Z Tuesday]

Blustery WSW winds 15-20 kts with gusts 20-30 kts will continue through the early evening hours with increasing low clouds from the west. Cloud bases ranged from 3.5-5 kft with a couple areas of MVFR noted on satellite. The first area of MVFR was moving inland from Apalachee Bay with restrictions possible toward GNV through 03z, then that MVFR bands is expected to shift southward through 06z. The other area of low MVFR stratus was approaching SE GA from the west, and was on track to near SSI through 06z, then settle farther south nearing JAX/VQQ/CRG through 07-08z. Winds weaken some after 06z through sunrise, then return to gusty W after 14-15z Monday as low cloud break apart yielding VFR conditions by 16z. Blustery WNW winds will continue into Monday afternoon, decreasing toward sunset.

PREV DISCUSSION [355 PM EST].

NEAR TERM [Through Tonight].

The low pressure system that brought us rain and wind today is now moving towards the northeastern US where it is expected to bring winter weather. We are currently in the dry slot of the system, and descending air in this region is mixing down strong winds to the surface. Windy conditions in our local area will persist through the evening and into tonight. Here at JAX we have observed 20-30 mph sustained winds with gusts as high as 58 mph throughout the day. A Wind Advisory remains in effect for all of NE FL and SE GA through late tonight. As the system lifts northeast, the tip of the comma cloud will pass just north of our area, and flow around the low will push colder, drier air into the region for tonight. A few isolated showers will also be possible in NE FL this evening on the backside of the system.

Temperatures tonight will be nearly 20 degrees colder than they were last night. Lows are expected to drop into the middle 30s in SE GA and upper 30s to lower 40s in NE FL and at the coasts. Frost and freeze conditions are not expected tonight because winds will be too strong for frost formation and temperatures are expected to remain above freezing. The wind will, however, make temperatures feel much colder. Wind chills will be in the middle to upper 20s in SE GA and upper 20s to lower 30s in NE FL.

SHORT TERM [Monday Through Tuesday Night].

Dry and cool weather will persist Monday and Tuesday. Surface high pressure will build to the west-northwest on Monday and another upper level shortwave will dive across the Southeast US, pushing the cool, dry continental air mass further into the region. Winds will decrease on Monday, but winds could still be breezy during the afternoon hours. Winds will become calm Monday night through Tuesday night as high pressure shifts over the region.

Although clear skies are expected during the day Monday and Tuesday, high temperatures will only reach into the 50s and lower 60s both days. Clear skies and calm winds both nights will allow for efficient radiative cooling, so lows will be cold. Low temperatures are expected to be in the upper 20s to middle 30s Monday night and a few degrees warmer in the lower 30s to lower 40s Tuesday night. Frost and freeze conditions are expected both nights.

LONG TERM [Wednesday Through Sunday].

High pressure will shift off the East Coast on Wednesday as a low pressure system tracks across the Great Lakes region. This low pressure system will bring a trailing cold front towards the southeast, and it will cross the area with scattered showers expected on Thursday. An upper level shortwave will eject out of the upper Mid-West down towards the Tennessee Valley Thursday night into Friday that will push the front further south and likely trigger cyclogenesis over the Atlantic as it swings off the US East Coast next weekend. There is still quite a bit of uncertainty in the long term forecast for next weekend as forecast model solutions diverge. The GFS solution bring a wave of precipitation across the area while the ECMWF is much drier. Current forecast precipitation chances favor a drier solution, so there is a chance precipitation chances could increase as we get closer to the weekend.

Temperatures through the long term period will trend near normal Wednesday and Thursday, then below normal Friday through the weekend after the cold front passage. We could see frost and freeze conditions again next weekend.

MARINE.

Strong winds continue behind the cold front that crossed the waters this morning. Sustained gale force winds over the offshore waters and frequent gusts to gale force over the nearshore waters will be possible through Monday morning. Winds and seas will gradually subside early this week and are expected to lower below warning and advisory criteria by Tuesday. High pressure will move into the region Tuesday and Wednesday, then a cold front is expected to move southeast across the waters on Thursday.

Rip Currents: Moderate Risk through Monday.

FIRE WEATHER.

Strong winds behind the cold front will continue through this evening, and a Wind Advisory remains in effect for then entire area through late tonight. Sustained winds 20-30 mph and gusts 40-50 mph will be possible. Higher surface and transport winds will also result in elevated nighttime dispersions tonight. Winds will decrease on Monday, but afternoon winds could still be breezy. This will result in good daytime dispersions. Calm winds are expected Monday night through Tuesday as high pressure moves into the region, which will result in low daytime dispersions area wide on Tuesday. Monday and Tuesday will be dry and cool with frost and freeze conditions possible Monday and Tuesday nights.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS.

AMG 35 53 28 56 31 / 0 0 0 0 0 SSI 40 55 34 54 40 / 0 0 0 0 0 JAX 39 57 32 58 37 / 0 0 0 0 0 SGJ 40 59 36 58 43 / 0 0 0 0 0 GNV 38 58 32 60 35 / 20 0 0 0 0 OCF 41 61 32 62 36 / 20 0 0 0 0

JAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. FL . Wind Advisory until 1 AM EST Monday for Baker-Bradford-Central Marion-Coastal Duval-Coastal Flagler-Coastal Nassau-Coastal St. Johns-Eastern Alachua-Eastern Clay-Eastern Marion- Eastern Putnam-Gilchrist-Hamilton-Inland Flagler-Inland Nassau-Inland St. Johns-Northern Columbia-South Central Duval-Southern Columbia-Suwannee-Trout River-Union-Western Alachua-Western Clay-Western Duval-Western Marion-Western Putnam.

GA . Wind Advisory until 1 AM EST Monday for Appling-Atkinson-Bacon- Brantley-Clinch-Coastal Camden-Coastal Glynn-Coffee-Echols- Inland Camden-Inland Glynn-Jeff Davis-Northeastern Charlton- Northern Ware-Pierce-Southern Ware-Wayne-Western Charlton.

AM . Gale Warning until 10 AM EST Monday for Waters from Altamaha Sound GA to Fernandina Beach FL from 20 to 60 NM-Waters from Fernandina Beach to St. Augustine FL from 20 to 60 NM- Waters from St. Augustine to Flagler Beach FL from 20 to 60 NM.

Gale Warning until 4 AM EST Monday for Coastal waters from Altamaha Sound to Fernandina Beach FL out 20 NM-Coastal waters from Fernandina Beach to St. Augustine FL out 20 NM- Coastal waters from St. Augustine to Flagler Beach FL out 20 NM.


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
BKBF1 9 mi53 min 54°F 1006.6 hPa
JXUF1 20 mi53 min 61°F
NFDF1 23 mi53 min W 8.9G20 55°F 1006 hPa51°F
DMSF1 24 mi53 min 62°F
BLIF1 25 mi53 min WSW 17G24 56°F 1006.3 hPa47°F
LTJF1 27 mi53 min 56°F 45°F
MYPF1 - 8720218 - Mayport (Bar Pilots Dock), FL 28 mi53 min W 19G22 56°F 62°F1006.2 hPa
SAUF1 - St. Augustine, FL 30 mi23 min W 14G19 56°F 64°F1007.1 hPa (+2.1)46°F
41117 36 mi53 min 58°F 66°F6 ft
GTXF1 - Guana Tolomato Matanzas Reserve, FL 40 mi98 min W 4.1 57°F 1007 hPa44°F
FRDF1 - 8720030 - Fernandina Beach, FL 44 mi53 min SW 7G18 56°F 60°F1005.7 hPa

Wind History for I-295 Bridge, St Johns River, FL
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Last 24 hr
1 day
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2 days
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Cecil Airport, FL11 mi33 minW 14 G 2210.00 miMostly Cloudy54°F45°F72%1006.8 hPa
Jacksonville Naval Air Station, FL12 mi30 minW 1010.00 miMostly Cloudy54°F45°F72%1006.6 hPa
Jacksonville Craig Municipal Airport, FL21 mi30 minW 17 G 2810.00 miMostly Cloudy55°F43°F64%1006.4 hPa
Keystone Airpark, FL22 mi28 minW 1610.00 miOvercast52°F46°F82%1007.4 hPa
Northeast Florida Regional Airport, FL24 mi27 minWSW 11 G 1610.00 miOvercast56°F46°F70%1007.1 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KVQQ

Wind History from VQQ (wind in knots)
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Last 24 hrE4----00NE50SE8E56SE8
G13
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G33
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1 day ago00000000000000S7S5SE3SW64S6E6--E6E6
2 days ago------SW5SW5W7W6W4W8NW8NW6NW8NW12N12N12NW55NW6NW10NW8NW8440

Tide / Current Tables for Black Creek, S.C.L. RR. bridge, Florida
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Black Creek
Click for Map
Sun -- 06:11 AM EST     4.84 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 06:32 AM EST     Moonset
Sun -- 07:23 AM EST     Sunrise
Sun -- 11:53 AM EST     5.66 feet High Tide
Sun -- 04:41 PM EST     Moonrise
Sun -- 05:50 PM EST     Sunset
Sun -- 07:02 PM EST     4.91 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 11:46 PM EST     5.45 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

Black Creek, S.C.L. RR. bridge, Florida, Tide feet
12
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5.4
1
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5.3
2
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5.1
3
am
5
4
am
4.9
5
am
4.9
6
am
4.8
7
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4.9
8
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5.1
9
am
5.4
10
am
5.6
11
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5.6
12
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5.7
1
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5.6
2
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5.4
3
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5.3
4
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5.2
5
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5.1
6
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5
7
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4.9
8
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5
9
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5.2
10
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5.4
11
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5.4


Tide / Current Tables for Orange Park, St. Johns River, Florida
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Orange Park
Click for Map
Sun -- 04:45 AM EST     -0.37 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 06:32 AM EST     Moonset
Sun -- 07:23 AM EST     Sunrise
Sun -- 10:41 AM EST     0.44 feet High Tide
Sun -- 04:41 PM EST     Moonrise
Sun -- 05:40 PM EST     -0.26 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 05:49 PM EST     Sunset
Sun -- 10:28 PM EST     0.25 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

Orange Park, St. Johns River, Florida, Tide feet
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0
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-0.1
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-0.3
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-0.3
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-0.4
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-0.4
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-0.3
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-0.1
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0.2
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0.3
10
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0.4
11
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0.4
12
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0.4
1
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0.2
2
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-0
3
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-0.1
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-0.2
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-0.2
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-0.3
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-0.2
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0
9
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0.2
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0.2
11
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0.2


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