Monday, October25, 2021
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Marine Weather and Tides
Hayes, LA

Version 3.4
NOTICE
3/30/2021 -- ANZ330 has been split into ANZ331 and ANZ332. Click EDIT in Marine Forecast and select your new zone.
1/26/2021 -- The West Coast Satellite images havd been updated. They now use GEOS-17.
1/1/2021 -- The 7 day forecast are now working well. Thank you NOAA for your support.

Sunrise 7:20AMSunset 6:32PM Monday October 25, 2021 3:00 PM CDT (20:00 UTC) Moonrise 9:01PMMoonset 10:50AM Illumination 76% Phase: Waning Gibbous; Moon at 20 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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GMZ432 Calcasieu Lake- 1025 Am Cdt Mon Oct 25 2021
Rest of today..West winds around 5 knots. Lake waters smooth.
Tonight..Southwest winds around 5 knots becoming east after midnight. Lake waters smooth.
Tuesday..East winds 5 to 10 knots. Lake waters a light chop.
Tuesday night..Southeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Lake waters a light chop. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms after midnight.
Wednesday..South winds 10 to 15 knots. Lake waters choppy. Showers and Thunderstorms.
Wednesday night..West winds 10 to 15 knots. Lake waters choppy.
Thursday..Northwest winds 15 to 20 knots. Lake waters rough.
Thursday night..Northwest winds 15 to 20 knots. Lake waters rough.
Friday..Northwest winds 15 to 20 knots. Lake waters rough.
Friday night..Northwest winds 10 to 15 knots. Lake waters choppy.
GMZ400 Synopsis For Lower Atchafalaya River La To High Island Tx Out 60 Nm Including Sabine And Calcasieu Lakes And Vermilion Bay 1025 Am Cdt Mon Oct 25 2021
Synopsis.. Southerly flow will increase on Wednesday ahead of the front with seas building. As the front moves through the coastal waters winds to swing around to the northwest with cold air advection over warmer gulf waters, the pressure gradient, will remain tight with quite breezy conditions. Seas will increase to seven to nine feet in the offshore waters and two to four feet in the nearshore waters Thursday. A small craft advisory will be needed during that time frame.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Hayes, LA
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location: 30.1, -93     debug


Area Discussion for - Lake Charles, LA
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FXUS64 KLCH 251747 AFDLCH

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Lake Charles LA 1247 PM CDT Mon Oct 25 2021

AVIATION. Conditions continue to improve across southeast Texas and southern Louisiana. Look for VFR wx thru the evening hours with areas of fog overnight. At this time the fog signature looks weaker and vsby should remain around MVFR in cntrl Louisiana while se Texas and sw Louisiana will experience IFR drg the ovrnght hrs thru sr.

PREV DISCUSSION. /issued 1035 AM CDT Mon Oct 25 2021/

UPDATE . Most of the fog has burned off this morning with skies expected to become partly cloudy with a few showers possible. But otherwise a quiet day on tap. Tonight will see more dense fog developing again across the area as deep gulf moisture remains in place with overnight lows expected to fall into the mid 60s. This will include the coastal waters along with the lakes and bays for the fog. Tomorrow will be a carbon copy of today with temperatures a bit cooler with heavier cloud cover and showers expected late in the day with the approach of the next system. Front moves through on Wednesday.

PREV DISCUSSION . /issued 632 AM CDT Mon Oct 25 2021/

DISCUSSION . For the 25/12z TAF package.

AVIATION . All lower terminals have been engulfed by dense fog and LIFR conditions over the last several hours. These conditions will likely persist until 14z when the fog can begin mixing out. Further north, AEX has maintained VFR visibilities but has been wavering between MVFR and IFR ceilings. Across the board, ceilings are fcst to lift slowly through the morning, becoming VFR by around 18z. For the remainder of the day, clear skies can be expected with dry air diving in behind a dry fropa, winds will remain generally light and variable around the front. Fog and LIFR conditions are expected again tonight along southern terminals, where the dry air mass will struggle to reach. LFT and ARA are questionable, depending on whether the dry air reaches that far to the southeast. For the time being IFR visibilities have been noted for these terminals from 06z on, but could change with later updates.

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PREV DISCUSSION . /issued 420 AM CDT Mon Oct 25 2021/

DISCUSSION .

SHORT TERM [Today through Thursday 12Z] .

An area of dense fog was noted by observations and area cameras in southwestern portions of the area, which prompted a Dense Fog Advisory for these areas until 9AM. Trends will be monitored closely to see if further additions need to be made to the advisory. Fog should mix out by mid morning as winds and temperatures increase.

Temperatures will warm quickly today underneath clear skies and northwest flow which will funnel in a dry airmass aloft, allowing temps to rise well above the normal for this time of year. A few high temperature records will be challenged today, those record highs for October 25 are as follows:

Alexandria (AEX): 88 in 2010 Beaumont (BPT): 92 in 1927 Lake Charles (LCH): 92 in 1927 Lafayette (LFT): 93 in 1919 New Iberia (ARA): 87 in 2012

High level clouds return to the skies on Tuesday ahead of increasing rain chances in the evening. The sky cover will keep high temperatures in check and in the low 80s across the board. By Tuesday afternoon, a strong cold front will be taking shape in the Midwest, preparing to swing through the sern US. Winds here will increase and turn to the southeast as gradient flow increases around the low pressure area. A warm front will lift through the area in the overnight hours going into Wednesday morning, spreading scattered showers over the area.

The bulk of the cold front arrives Wednesday morning and slowly moves east through the afternoon, exiting to the east by midnight going into Thursday morning. As far as storm severity goes, there still remains some details to be resolved. Short-range guidance is moving into the time window where we can see better data and get a handle on the impacts to come.

Much cooler and drier air will filter in quickly behind the front, and by Thursday morning, temperatures will already be in the low 60s to the west, upper 60s to the east (closer to the front).

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LONG TERM [Thursday through next Monday] .

To start off the period an upper level and surface low will be located over the Mid-Mississippi Valley with an upper level trough and surface cold front east of the forecast area. The result will be a deep northwest flow over the region that will bring down a dry continental air mass. This air mass will provide cool and fair weather into the weekend.

At this point will stick close to the National Blend of Models (NBM) for temperatures as these values look reasonable with max temps in the low 70s and min temps in the upper 40s to low 50s. These values are slightly below climo temperatures for the end of the October which are max temps in the mid 70s with min temps in the low to mid 50s. It should be noted that the NBM min temperatures are slightly above the operational and ensemble mean of the GFS and ECMWF, so these values and the forecast may trend cooler over the next few days.

With a decent pressure gradient between the surface low and high building in from the Rockies, it will likely be quite breezy over land areas during the daytime on Thursday and Friday with the potential for Wind Advisories.

Rua

MARINE . Good cold air advection over warmer Gulf waters, along with a decent pressure gradient, will likely mean quite breezy conditions with strong offshore flow and building seas on Thursday that will linger into Saturday. Small Craft Advisories are a good bet during that time frame.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS. AEX 58 83 65 81 / 0 0 10 90 LCH 67 84 72 82 / 0 10 30 100 LFT 65 85 70 82 / 0 0 20 90 BPT 68 85 71 83 / 0 0 30 100

LCH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. LA . None. TX . None. GM . None.


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
LCLL1 - 8767816 - Lake Charles, LA 15 mi42 min 79°F 80°F1014.1 hPa
BKTL1 17 mi42 min 81°F
CAPL1 - 8768094 - Calcasieu Pass, LA 29 mi42 min WSW 6G7 80°F 78°F1011.9 hPa
PORT2 - 8770475 - Port Arthur, TX 52 mi42 min E 6G8.9 81°F 79°F1013.4 hPa

Wind History for Calcasieu Pass, LA
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Chenault Airpark, LA11 mi75 minN 1010.00 miMostly Cloudy79°F72°F79%1014.6 hPa
Lake Charles Regional Airport, LA12 mi67 minN 98.00 miOvercast83°F73°F72%1014.7 hPa
Southland Field, LA20 mi85 minno data10.00 miOvercast83°F73°F73%1014.6 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KCWF

Wind History from CWF (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrS13S14SE7--SE600SE4000000000--NW7W8NW6NW10N10NW7
1 day agoSE11SE12SE13SE7SE7SE10SE6SE4E50SE7SE11SE9S15W3SE6E4E8SE12SE7SE11SE15SE14
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2 days agoSE5E40SE4SW40SE3S300E4000NE3E60SE5E4E7S9SE10S9SE11
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Tide / Current Tables for Mermentau River entrance, Louisiana
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Mermentau River entrance
Click for Map
Mon -- 12:27 AM CDT     2.95 feet High Tide
Mon -- 12:35 AM CDT     2.95 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 07:21 AM CDT     Sunrise
Mon -- 11:49 AM CDT     Moonset
Mon -- 12:28 PM CDT     0.59 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 06:31 PM CDT     Sunset
Mon -- 09:23 PM CDT     3.09 feet High Tide
Mon -- 10:02 PM CDT     Moonrise
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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Tide / Current Tables for Calcasieu Pass, Lighthouse wharf, Louisiana
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Calcasieu Pass
Click for Map
Mon -- 01:07 AM CDT     1.48 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 03:33 AM CDT     1.52 feet High Tide
Mon -- 07:22 AM CDT     Sunrise
Mon -- 11:50 AM CDT     Moonset
Mon -- 12:05 PM CDT     -0.10 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 06:32 PM CDT     Sunset
Mon -- 08:54 PM CDT     1.87 feet High Tide
Mon -- 10:02 PM CDT     Moonrise
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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Weather Map
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NOTE: This section has been updated as of 1/26/2021. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may use the EDIT function to update your location.
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