Saturday, October23, 2021
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Marine Weather and Tides
Panama City, FL

Version 3.4
NOTICE
3/30/2021 -- ANZ330 has been split into ANZ331 and ANZ332. Click EDIT in Marine Forecast and select your new zone.
1/26/2021 -- The West Coast Satellite images havd been updated. They now use GEOS-17.
1/1/2021 -- The 7 day forecast are now working well. Thank you NOAA for your support.

Sunrise 6:49AMSunset 6:04PM Saturday October 23, 2021 3:00 PM CDT (20:00 UTC) Moonrise 8:04PMMoonset 9:29AM Illumination 92% Phase: Waning Gibbous; Moon at 18 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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GMZ750 Expires:202110240715;;148528 Fzus52 Ktae 231815 Cwftae Coastal Waters Forecast For Florida Big Bend And Eastern Panhandle National Weather Service Tallahassee Fl 215 Pm Edt Sat Oct 23 2021 Gulf Coastal Waters From The Mouth Of The Suwannee River To Okaloosa-walton County Line Out To 60 Nm. Seas Are Provided As A Range Of The Average Height Of The Highest 1/3 Of The Waves...along With The Occasional Height Of The Average Highest 1/10 Of The Waves. Gmz730-750-752-755-765-770-772-775-240715- Apalachee Bay Or Coastal Waters From Keaton Beach To Ochlockonee River Fl Out To 20 Nm- Coastal Waters From Mexico Beach To Okaloosa Walton County Line Fl Out 20 Nm- Coastal Waters From Mexico Beach To Apalachicola Fl Out 20 Nm- Coastal Waters From Ochlockonee River To Apalachicola Fl Out To 20 Nm- Coastal Waters From Suwannee River To Keaton Beach Fl Out 20 Nm- Waters From Mexico Beach To Okaloosa Walton County Line Fl From 20 To 60 Nm- Waters From Apalachicola To Mexico Beach Fl From 20 To 60 Nm- Waters From Suwannee River To Apalachicola Fl From 20 To 60 Nm- 215 Pm Edt Sat Oct 23 2021 /115 Pm Cdt Sat Oct 23 2021/
Tonight..East winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 1 to 2 feet. Dominant period 4 seconds. Protected waters a light chop.
Sunday..East winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 1 to 2 feet. Dominant period 3 seconds. Protected waters a light chop. Slight chance of showers.
Sunday night..Southeast winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 1 to 2 feet. Dominant period 3 seconds. Protected waters a light chop. Slight chance of showers in the evening, then chance of showers after midnight.
Monday..South winds 5 to 10 knots becoming southwest 5 to 10 knots in the afternoon. Seas 1 to 2 feet. Dominant period 4 seconds. Protected waters mostly smooth. Chance of showers in the morning, then slight chance of showers in the afternoon.
Monday night..West winds 10 knots. Seas 1 to 2 feet. Dominant period 3 seconds. Protected waters a light chop. Slight chance of showers after midnight.
Tuesday..Northwest winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 1 to 2 feet. Dominant period 4 seconds. Protected waters a light chop.
Tuesday night..North winds 10 knots. Seas 1 to 2 feet. Dominant period 4 seconds. Protected waters a light chop.
Wednesday..East winds 10 knots becoming south 15 knots in the late morning and afternoon. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Dominant period 3 seconds. Protected waters a moderate chop. Slight chance of showers in the morning. Chance of Thunderstorms through the day. Chance of showers in the afternoon.
Wednesday night..Southwest winds 20 to 25 knots. Seas 3 to 5 feet with occasional seas up to 6 feet building to 5 to 7 feet with occasional seas up to 9 feet. Dominant period 6 seconds after midnight. Protected waters choppy. Showers likely and slight chance of Thunderstorms.
Thursday..West winds 20 to 25 knots. Seas 6 to 8 feet with occasional seas up to 10 feet. Protected waters choppy. Chance of showers and slight chance of Thunderstorms.
GMZ700 Synopsis For The Suwannee River To Okaloosa-walton County Line Out To 60 Nm 215 Pm Edt Sat Oct 23 2021
Synopsis.. Easterly flow continues through Sunday night, when it could briefly reach 15 knots. Winds will veer to the southwest on Monday ahead of a cold front, then become northwest Monday night behind the front, around 10 knots. The approach of a strong area of low pressure over the tennessee valley will turn winds southerly on Wednesday, with its associated cold front moving through the waters on Thursday. Winds on both Wednesday and Thursday are expected to be solidly at advisory levels, ranging from 20 to 25 knots, with significant wave heights building to 8 feet just offshore on Thursday. There is also the potential for gale force gusts with the passage of a squall line ahead of the cold front, and then again behind the cold front.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Panama City, FL
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location: 30.15, -85.67     debug


Area Discussion for -
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FXUS62 KTAE 231845 AFDTAE

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Tallahassee FL 245 PM EDT Sat Oct 23 2021

NEAR TERM [Through Sunday].

Quiet conditions will continue through Sunday with high pressure at the surface controlling the sensible weather. This high pressure will shift east overnight, but mostly clear skies (besides thin upper level cirrus), and dry conditions in place will allow cool temperatures to prevail for one more night, especially across our northern counties.

For Sunday, as high pressure continues translating east, southeasterly flow will begin to redevelop ahead of an approaching upper level trough. Rain should hold off through this period, but with the weak upper level trough approaching, expect an increase in mid-upper level clouds through the day. High temps will climb into the mid 80s.

SHORT TERM [Sunday Night Through Monday Night].

Surface ridging will gradually loose influence as the flow aloft becomes cyclonic with the approach of a mid-level trough. The first shortwave transits the area Sunday night and with limited moist return, expect showers to be confined to coastal areas. The next shortwave moves across the Tennessee Valley on Monday and drags a weak cold front through the region Monday night. There will be sufficient moisture ahead of this feature for a slight chance of diurnal showers across the tri-state area on Monday, with PoPs limited to 30 pct. It will be noticeably more humid on Monday with dew points rising into the upper 60s to lower 70s ahead of the front. Despite this, thunder chances will be limited given lack of forcing and the volume of dry air aloft. The environment is also favorable for patchy fog on Monday morning, and especially Monday night into Tuesday morning with the front in the vicinity. Daily average temperatures on Sunday and Monday will be around 10 degrees above normal.

LONG TERM [Tuesday Through Saturday].

A dynamic, fall storm system has the potential to produce severe weather across the tri-state region on Wednesday into Thursday. First, dry weather is expected on Tuesday in the wake of the cold frontal passage with decreasing humidity. Fog is likely early in the morning, which could be locally dense.

Shortwave energy within a northern stream longwave trough over the plains phases with energy in the southern stream (remnants of TC Rick in the E PAC) during midweek. This feature closes off as it approaches the Tennessee Valley and drags a strong cold front through the region on Thursday and Thu Night. Timing differences in the guidance have implications for severe weather potential. The GFS/UKMET are the most progressive with the pre-frontal trough moving through Wed evening into Wed night, while the EC/Canadian are slower, depicting Wed Night into Thu morning. Storms could struggle to become surface based during the overnight hours with greater Convective Inhibition. SPC indicates a 15 pct area on D5 (Wed) over SE AL and the Western FL Panhandle. In addition, instability may also be limited given the progressive nature of the system. But with ensembles generating around 50 knots of Bulk Shear (0-6 km), a High Shear - Low CAPE (HSLC) environment would compensate for this. This would most likely be in the form of a QLCS with a damaging wind/tornado threat, but a northward moving warm front also bears watching. Otherwise, the environment would favor gusty southwest winds late Wednesday/early Thursday well in advance of any thunderstorms.

A much cooler air mass filters in behind the cold front on Friday and Saturday. Model Time-Height sections show ample moisture below a low-level inversion, so would expect a fair amount of stratocumulus clouds each day. In addition, there may be enough lift within the cyclonic flow aloft for some showers, but kept the forecast dry on both days outside of a 20 pct PoP south of I-10 on Friday. With strong cold air advection/steep low-level lapse rates, winds could gust to at least 25 mph behind the front on Friday. Temperatures will be several degrees below normal both days, and there could be a chill in the air at times given the breezy conditions and cloud cover.

AVIATION. [Through 18Z Sunday]

VFR conditions will prevail through the period with upper level clouds expected to move in overnight and into Sunday.

MARINE.

Easterly flow continues through Sunday Night, when it could briefly reach 15 knots. Winds will veer to the southwest on Monday ahead of a cold front, then become northwest Monday night behind the front, around 10 knots. The approach of a strong area of low pressure over the Tennessee Valley will turn winds southerly on Wednesday, with its associated cold front moving through the waters on Thursday. Winds on both Wednesday and Thursday are expected to be solidly at advisory levels, ranging from 20 to 25 knots, with significant wave heights building to 8 feet just offshore on Thursday. There is also the potential for gale force gusts with the passage of a squall line ahead of the cold front, and then again behind the cold front.

FIRE WEATHER.

Fire weather concerns remain low as winds will be low, and low level moisture will begin increase through Monday. Only concerns will be low dispersions on Sunday.

HYDROLOGY.

The only concern on the hydrology front is the midweek storm system centered on Wednesday into Thursday. While the timing of heavier rainfall will be fine tuned within this time frame in later forecasts, we are expecting 1-2 inches across the hydrologic service area, with ensemble guidance indicating isolated higher amounts of 2 to 4 inches. Fortunately, this system is expected to move quickly, so there is a small window for heavy rainfall. As such, we don't expect any river flooding at this time.

SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT.

Spotter activation is not requested. However, spotters are always encouraged to safely report significant weather conditions when they occur (while following all local, state, and CDC guidelines) by calling the office or tweeting us @NWSTallahassee.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS.

Tallahassee 83 58 85 66 87 / 0 0 10 0 30 Panama City 84 62 84 68 84 / 0 0 10 20 20 Dothan 80 54 84 61 85 / 0 0 0 0 30 Albany 81 54 85 63 87 / 0 0 0 0 20 Valdosta 82 56 85 65 87 / 0 0 10 10 30 Cross City 86 61 87 69 86 / 0 0 20 20 30 Apalachicola 82 65 81 70 83 / 0 0 10 20 30

TAE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. FL . None. GA . None. AL . None. GM . None.

NEAR TERM . Dobbs SHORT TERM . LF LONG TERM . LF AVIATION . Dobbs MARINE . LF FIRE WEATHER . Dobbs HYDROLOGY . LF


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
PACF1 - 8729108 - Panama City, FL 0 mi43 min WSW 5.1G7 79°F
PCBF1 12 mi43 min SSW 8G8.9
APCF1 - 8728690 - Apalachicola, FL 47 mi43 min N 6G7 77°F 75°F1016.9 hPa

Wind History for Panama City, FL
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Tyndall Air Force Base, FL7 mi65 minNNW 310.00 miFair83°F51°F34%1016.5 hPa
Panama City - Northwest Florida Beaches International Airport, FL16 mi68 minN 010.00 miFair83°F51°F33%1017.5 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KPAM

Wind History from PAM (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrW10W9W9W7W6W4NW6NW5N6N5N4NE6NE5NE6NE7NE4NE6NE6E6E7NE4E6NE3NW3
1 day agoSW5SW7S9S7S6S6S5SE4NE30E3E300NE3E3SE4NE3SE4NW40W7W8W8
2 days agoS11S12S9SE5SE7SE5SE4E400E3E3E5E5E4E4NE5E3E5E3S3S7S6SW5

Tide / Current Tables for Panama City, St. Andrew Bay, Florida
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Panama City
Click for Map
Sat -- 06:50 AM CDT     Sunrise
Sat -- 09:29 AM CDT     Moonset
Sat -- 10:12 AM CDT     0.18 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 06:03 PM CDT     Sunset
Sat -- 08:03 PM CDT     Moonrise
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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Tide / Current Tables for Lynn Haven, North Bay, St. Andrew Bay, Florida
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Lynn Haven
Click for Map
Sat -- 12:10 AM CDT     1.87 feet High Tide
Sat -- 06:50 AM CDT     Sunrise
Sat -- 09:29 AM CDT     Moonset
Sat -- 11:16 AM CDT     0.21 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 06:02 PM CDT     Sunset
Sat -- 08:03 PM CDT     Moonrise
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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Weather Map
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NOTE: This section has been updated as of 1/26/2021. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may use the EDIT function to update your location.
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