Sunrise 5:52 AM   Sunset 7:25 PM Moonrise 5:21 AM   Moonset 7:15 PM

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GMZ750 Expires:202405071430;;756238 Fzus52 Ktae 070200 Cwftae
coastal waters forecast for florida national weather service tallahassee fl 1000 pm edt Mon may 6 2024
gulf coastal waters from the mouth of the suwannee river to okaloosa-walton county line out to 60 nm.
seas are provided as a range of the average height of the highest 1/3 of the waves - .along with the occasional height of the average highest 1/10 of the waves.
gmz730-750-752-755-765-770-772-775-071430- apalachee bay or coastal waters from keaton beach to ochlockonee river fl out to 20 nm- coastal waters from mexico beach to okaloosa walton county line fl out 20 nm- coastal waters from mexico beach to apalachicola fl out 20 nm- coastal waters from ochlockonee river to apalachicola fl out to 20 nm- coastal waters from suwannee river to keaton beach fl out 20 nm- waters from mexico beach to okaloosa walton county line fl from 20 to 60 nm- waters from apalachicola to mexico beach fl from 20 to 60 nm- waters from suwannee river to apalachicola fl from 20 to 60 nm- 1000 pm edt Mon may 6 2024 /900 pm cdt Mon may 6 2024/
Rest of tonight - South winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Wave detail: south 3 feet at 6 seconds. Protected waters a light chop. Tuesday - South winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Wave detail: south 3 feet at 6 seconds. Protected waters a light chop.Tuesday night - South winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Wave detail: south 3 feet at 6 seconds. Protected waters a light chop. Wednesday - South winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Wave detail: south 3 feet at 6 seconds. Protected waters a moderate chop. Wednesday night - South winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Wave detail: south 3 feet at 6 seconds. Protected waters a moderate chop. Thursday - South winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Wave detail: south 3 feet at 6 seconds. Protected waters a moderate chop. Thursday night - Southwest winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Protected waters a moderate chop. A slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms after midnight. Friday - Southwest winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 2 to 4 feet. Protected waters a moderate chop. A chance of showers and Thunderstorms. Friday night - Northwest winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Protected waters a moderate chop. A chance of showers and Thunderstorms, mainly in the evening. Saturday - North winds 10 to 15 knots, becoming northwest in the afternoon. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Protected waters a moderate chop. A slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms. Saturday night - Northwest winds around 10 knots. Seas around 2 feet. Protected waters a light chop. A slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms after midnight.
winds and waves higher in and near Thunderstorms.

GMZ700 Synopsis For The Suwannee River To Okaloosa-walton County Line Out To 60 Nm 1000 Pm Edt Mon May 6 2024
Synopsis -
a high pressure ridge will extend from from south of bermuda across the florida peninsula through Thursday. Gentle southerly breezes will slowly increase to moderate southerlies as we move through the middle of the week. Chances for showers and Thunderstorms will increase Thursday night into Friday night as a cold front approaches. The front is expected to pass the waters Friday night with northwest winds in its wake. Seas will generally be 2 to 3 feet this week.

FXUS62 KTAE 070533 AFDTAE

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Tallahassee FL 133 AM EDT Tue May 7 2024

New AVIATION

UPDATE
Issued at 1004 PM EDT Mon May 6 2024

The forecast is on track, so no updates needed.

NEAR TERM
(Through Tuesday)
Issued at 251 PM EDT Mon May 6 2024

Mainly isolated convection should diminish this evening and pave the way for quiet, but muggy overnight conditions. Fog and low stratus redevelops over the FL counties, then spreads to the remainder of the Tri-State area through the early morning hrs. Some of the fog has the potential to be dense once again, but confidence was not high enough to issue an advisory at this time. The best chances appear to be over Southern AL/Western FL Panhandle. Conditions should improve by mid morning. Forecast lows range from the upper 60s inland to around 70 along the coast.

For tomorrow, a building subtropical ridge from the SW Gulf sets the stage for 3-day period of hot weather characterized by daily inland high temperatures in the upper 80s/low 90s. Heat indices will be a few degrees hotter. Strong subsidence from this ridge should suppress most if not all convection. These conditions can be harmful to those sensitive to heat, so please take the necessary precautions if exposed. For beachgoers, be mindful of what color flags are flying: red = high risk for rip currents while yellow = moderate.

SHORT TERM
(Tuesday night through Wednesday night)
Issued at 251 PM EDT Mon May 6 2024

Fairly benign period of weather with ridging in control. Cannot rule out an isolated shower or rumble of thunder across SE AL and SW GA late Wednesday. Unseasonably warm with highs in the upper 80s to low 90s and lows in the upper 60s to lower 70s.

LONG TERM
(Thursday through Sunday)
Issued at 251 PM EDT Mon May 6 2024

Southern stream shortwave energy will lead to an unsettled period of weather centered on Thursday and Friday with a slow frontal passage.
Cannot rule out heavy rain and severe weather, especially on Friday.
The timing of the front will determine the severe weather potential with otherwise favorable shear. Temperatures cool to more seasonable levels Friday and Friday night with the passage of the front. Some lingering clouds/showers are possible into the weekend if the front slows with the support of addt'l southern stream shortwave energy, but that is still uncertain, and the forecast leans drier attm.

AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 125 AM EDT Tue May 7 2024

Some low stratus is starting to develop in and around KECP and KDHN early this morning. Expect that to fill in over the next couple of hours leading to at least IFR conditions with LIFR conditions possible near sunrise. Elsewhere, IFR to LIFR ceilings are expected to develop later this morning, generally after 09Z, and continue until about 13Z or so. There is also the potential for fog, especially in and around KTLH and KECP between 11Z and 13Z. Amendments may be necessary depending on how the early morning hours go.

Ceilings should start to lift to VFR after 13Z with VFR conditions forecast the rest of the TAF period. Winds will generally be light to moderate out of the south to southwest.

MARINE
Issued at 1007 PM EDT Mon May 6 2024

Late this evening, Buoy 42036 was observing southerly breezes of 4-6 knots, and southerly waves of 2 feet at 4 seconds.

From CWF synopsis...A high pressure ridge will extend from from south of Bermuda across the Florida Peninsula through Thursday.
Gentle southerly breezes will slowly increase to moderate southerlies as we move through the middle of the week. Chances for showers and thunderstorms will increase Thursday night into Friday night as a cold front approaches. The front is expected to pass the waters Friday night with northwest winds in its wake.
Seas will generally be 2 to 3 feet this week.

FIRE WEATHER
Issued at 251 PM EDT Mon May 6 2024

Minimal rain chances are on tap for Tuesday and Wednesday, but the tradeoff will be hot afternoon conditions when high temperatures surge into the upper 80s/low 90s away from the immediate coast. Heat indices will be a few degrees hotter. By Thursday coverage of showers/thunderstorms increase ahead of an approaching front from the NW. Even wetter & stormier weather is expected on Friday once the front moves through the region. Widespread wetting rains are likely. Persistent southerly winds maintain a moist airmass. Lastly, high afternoon dispersions are forecast through Thursday.

HYDROLOGY
Issued at 251 PM EDT Mon May 6 2024

The main concern is rainfall centered on Friday ahead of the next cold front. The highest amounts are expected in the AL/GA counties where WPC has a marginal risk for excessive rainfall, but this threat may shift southward into the FL counties in subsequent forecasts. On the rivers, there are no flooding concerns at this time.

SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT

Spotter activation is not requested. However, spotters are always encouraged to safely report significant weather conditions when they occur by calling the office or tweeting us @NWSTallahassee.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
Tallahassee 69 90 72 91 / 0 10 0 30 Panama City 73 85 74 85 / 0 0 0 20 Dothan 70 92 73 89 / 0 10 0 50 Albany 69 92 71 90 / 0 10 0 50 Valdosta 68 92 70 91 / 0 10 0 30 Cross City 67 89 68 87 / 0 0 0 10 Apalachicola 73 82 75 82 / 0 0 0 10

TAE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
FL...None.
GA...None.
AL...None.
GM...None.

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Parker
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Mon -- 04:45 AM CDT     Moonrise
Mon -- 05:54 AM CDT     Sunrise
Mon -- 09:54 AM CDT     1.47 feet High Tide
Mon -- 06:04 PM CDT     Moonset
Mon -- 07:23 PM CDT     Sunset
Mon -- 08:57 PM CDT     -0.18 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION

Parker, St. Andrew Bay, Florida, Tide feet

Channel entrance
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Mon -- 04:45 AM CDT     Moonrise
Mon -- 05:55 AM CDT     Sunrise
Mon -- 08:28 AM CDT     1.22 feet High Tide
Mon -- 06:04 PM CDT     Moonset
Mon -- 06:33 PM CDT     -0.15 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 07:24 PM CDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION

Channel entrance, St. Andrew Bay, Florida, Tide feet

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