Thursday, October21, 2021
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Marine Weather and Tides
Tiger Point, FL

Version 3.4
NOTICE
3/30/2021 -- ANZ330 has been split into ANZ331 and ANZ332. Click EDIT in Marine Forecast and select your new zone.
1/26/2021 -- The West Coast Satellite images havd been updated. They now use GEOS-17.
1/1/2021 -- The 7 day forecast are now working well. Thank you NOAA for your support.

Sunrise 6:54AMSunset 6:12PM Thursday October 21, 2021 3:17 PM CDT (20:17 UTC) Moonrise 7:00PMMoonset 7:44AM Illumination 99% Phase: Waning Gibbous; Moon at 16 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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GMZ634 Pensacola Bay System- 942 Am Cdt Thu Oct 21 2021
Rest of today..Southeast winds 3 to 8 knots becoming south 5 to 10 knots. Waves around 1 foot. Showers likely and chance of Thunderstorms in the morning. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Tonight..South winds 3 to 8 knots becoming northwest 5 to 10 knots. Waves around 1 foot. Slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the evening. Patchy fog after midnight.
Friday..North winds 5 to 10 knots becoming northwest 3 to 8 knots. Waves around 1 foot.
Friday night..Northwest winds 5 to 10 knots becoming northeast 8 to 13 knots. Waves around 1 foot.
Saturday..Northeast winds 8 to 13 knots becoming east. Waves around 1 foot.
Saturday night..East winds 5 to 10 knots increasing to 8 to 13 knots. Waves around 1 foot.
Sunday..East winds 8 to 13 knots. Waves around 1 foot. Slight chance of showers.
Sunday night..Southeast winds 8 to 13 knots. Waves around 1 foot. Slight chance of showers.
Monday..South winds 8 to 13 knots. Waves around 1 foot. Chance of showers.
Monday night..Southwest winds 5 to 10 knots. Waves around 1 foot. Slight chance of showers.
GMZ600 Synopsis For Pascagoula Ms To Okaloosa Walton County Line Fl Out 60 Nm Including Major Area Bays And Sounds- 942 Am Cdt Thu Oct 21 2021
Synopsis..A light southerly flow will prevail today ahead of an approaching weak cold front. The front will move through the marine area late tonight and will bring a light to moderate northerly flow through Friday night. A light to moderate easterly flow develops on Saturday then becomes a moderate southeasterly flow on Sunday.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Tiger Point, FL
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location: 30.37, -87.05     debug


Area Discussion for - Mobile/Pensacola, FL
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FXUS64 KMOB 211858 AFDMOB

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Mobile AL 158 PM CDT Thu Oct 21 2021

NEAR TERM UPDATE /Now Through Friday/. A weak shortwave trough embedded within zonal flow aloft extends across far southeast MS and into much of southwest and south central AL early this afternoon. A weak surface trough also extends across southeast MS into portions of southwest AL. Deep layer moisture remains enhanced along and ahead of these features, with precipitable water values elevated between 1.6-1.8 inches across far southeast MS into areas roughly along and east of the I-65 corridor. Weak ascent associated with the mid level shortwave trough and low level moisture convergence along the surface trough axis has resulted in the development of scattered to numerous showers and a few thunderstorms across the above mentioned areas through the morning. MLCAPE values have been enhanced around 2000 J/KG across portions of southeast MS and southwest AL this afternoon. This increased instability along with about 25 knots of deep layer shear has been sufficient for the development of a couple of stronger storms that have produced locally heavy rainfall amounts in excess of 2 inches, as well as frequent lightning strikes and brief gusty winds over 30 mph in a few spots across far southeast MS and into Mobile county AL during the past few hours.

Scattered showers and storms should continue to develop along and east of the I-65 corridor including into the western FL panhandle through the afternoon hours and we will continue to monitor for a few stronger storms capable of producing locally heavy rainfall and brief gusty winds. There may be a lull in activity by early this evening, but short range and high resolution model solutions have been in fairly good agreement with bringing another batch of scattered showers and thunderstorms to interior portions of southeast MS and southwest AL ahead of an approaching weak cold front later this evening. A few showers and storms could potentially develop southward toward the coast after midnight. There are indications that ongoing convection will gradually become more isolated and weaken with time after midnight. We will maintain chance POPs over interior areas until around 06Z/1 AM CDT, with only a slight chance of convection persisting after 09Z/4 AM CDT farther south across the rest of the region. Conditions will become favorable for the development of patchy to areas of fog late tonight into early Friday morning, especially across the western FL panhandle and into southern portions of south central/ southwest AL and southeast MS. Dense fog could become a concern over this portion of our region and later shifts will monitor for a potential Dense Fog Advisory issuance.

The weak frontal boundary will sag southward into our forecast area late tonight into Friday, and this boundary may become oriented near the coast by late Friday afternoon. A much drier airmass will filter into the majority of the area on Friday and generally expect dry conditions to prevail. The exception could be near the AL and western FL panhandle coast, where an isolated shower or storm could develop ahead of the boundary. Lows tonight will range as low as 55-60 degrees across portions of Wayne, Choctaw, Clarke, and Wilcox counties behind the boundary tonight, while ranging in the 60s across most of the remainder of the area (except near 70 degrees along the beaches). Highs on Friday will range in the lower 80s over most of our CWA, except upper 70s to around 80 degrees across interior portions of southeast MS and southwest AL.

Residual swell is likely aiding in continued moderate to strong rip currents along area beaches today. Swell should diminish late this afternoon into early this evening. The HIGH rip current risk should decrease to MODERATE by this evening and may reflect this expectation in an updated Rip Current Statement and Surf Zone Forecast shortly. A LOW rip current risk looks to prevail through this weekend. /21

AVIATION. 18Z issuance . The primary aviation concerns will be scattered to numerous SHRA and TSRA across portions of far southeast MS, much of southwest/south central AL and the western FL panhandle through the remainder of this afternoon and areas of IFR or lower ceilings and fog late tonight into early Friday morning.

Convection should slowly shift eastward across the above mentioned areas through this afternoon and there could be localized visibility reductions to MVFR-IFR thresholds at times in the heavier activity that develops. Patchy to areas of fog are forecast to develop across the area late tonight, especially after 22.06-09Z. The most favored area for fog development will be over southern portions of our area, including around the KMOB/KBFM/KPNS terminals. Visibility could be reduced to IFR to LIFR thresholds. We have introduced prevailing visibility between 2-4 SM with potential for broken IFR-LIFR ceilings in the KMOB/KBFM/KPNS TAFs after 22.09Z. /21

MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. AL . High Rip Current Risk through late tonight for ALZ265-266.

FL . High Rip Current Risk through late tonight for FLZ202-204-206.

MS . None. GM . None.

This product is also available on the web at: http://weather.gov/mob


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
PCLF1 - 8729840 - Pensacola, FL 9 mi47 min S 6G7 79°F 74°F1019.3 hPa
42012 - Orange Beach AL Buoy 34 mi27 min S 7.8G9.7 79°F 80°F3 ft
WBYA1 41 mi125 min 75°F
WKXA1 - Weeks Bay Reserve, AL 41 mi92 min 78°F 1021 hPa73°F
MBLA1 - Middle Bay Light, AL 51 mi77 min 0 74°F 1019 hPa (-2.4)

Wind History for Pensacola, FL
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Pensacola - Pensacola International Airport, FL11 mi24 minS 910.00 miA Few Clouds79°F70°F74%1018.9 hPa
Pensacola Naval Air Station, FL14 mi81 minS 1010.00 miMostly Cloudy80°F70°F71%1019.7 hPa
Hurlburt Field, FL20 mi21 minSSW 710.00 miMostly Cloudy80°F69°F69%1019.1 hPa
Milton, Whiting Field South, FL23 mi81 minN 010.00 miMostly Cloudy78°F71°F79%1018.5 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KPNS

Wind History from PNS (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrSE11SE9SE7SE9SE8SE8SE6SE8SE6SE8SE6S6SE40NE300NE3SE3SE4E4SE6S7S9
1 day agoSE11SE8SE7SE6E7SE7SE10SE9SE8SE8NE4E4E5E5E7E5NE4NE4E7E9E11
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2 days agoNE3NE400E30NE3NE4NE4NE5NE6NE6NE7NE7NE7NE7NE7NE8NE7E5E8SE9SE10E8

Tide / Current Tables for Fishing Bend, Santa Rosa Sound, Florida
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Fishing Bend
Click for Map
Thu -- 12:01 AM CDT     1.47 feet High Tide
Thu -- 06:55 AM CDT     Sunrise
Thu -- 07:44 AM CDT     Moonset
Thu -- 10:03 AM CDT     0.42 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 06:10 PM CDT     Sunset
Thu -- 06:59 PM CDT     Moonrise
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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Tide / Current Tables for Pensacola, Florida
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Pensacola
Click for Map
Thu -- 06:55 AM CDT     Sunrise
Thu -- 07:44 AM CDT     Moonset
Thu -- 09:12 AM CDT     0.38 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 06:10 PM CDT     Sunset
Thu -- 07:00 PM CDT     Moonrise
Thu -- 11:45 PM CDT     1.47 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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Weather Map
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NOTE: This section has been updated as of 1/26/2021. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may use the EDIT function to update your location.
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