Thursday, January20, 2022
Privacy Policy
L-36.com

Marine Weather and Tides
Valparaiso, FL

Version 3.4
NOTICE
3/30/2021 -- ANZ330 has been split into ANZ331 and ANZ332. Click EDIT in Marine Forecast and select your new zone.
1/26/2021 -- The West Coast Satellite images havd been updated. They now use GEOS-17.
1/1/2021 -- The 7 day forecast are now working well. Thank you NOAA for your support.

Sunrise 6:41AMSunset 5:13PM Thursday January 20, 2022 4:38 PM CST (22:38 UTC) Moonrise 8:51PMMoonset 9:42AM Illumination 88% Phase: Waning Gibbous; Moon at 18 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
    EDIT      (on/off)   Help
GMZ635 Western Choctawhatchee Bay-eastern Choctawhatchee Bay- 357 Pm Cst Thu Jan 20 2022
.small craft should exercise caution through late Friday...
Tonight..North winds 15 to 20 knots. Gusts up to 25 knots. Waves around 1 foot. Slight chance of rain.
Friday..North winds 13 to 18 knots. Waves around 1 foot. Chance of rain.
Friday night..North winds 13 to 18 knots becoming northeast 10 to 15 knots. Gusts up to 25 knots. Waves around 1 foot. Chance of rain in the evening, then slight chance of rain after midnight.
Saturday..Northeast winds 10 to 15 knots becoming north 8 to 13 knots. Gusts up to 20 knots. Waves around 1 foot.
Saturday night..North winds 8 to 13 knots. Waves around 1 foot.
Sunday..North winds 8 to 13 knots becoming northwest 5 to 10 knots. Waves around 1 foot.
Sunday night..Northwest winds 5 to 10 knots. Waves less than 1 foot.
Monday..East winds 5 to 10 knots. Waves less than 1 foot. Slight chance of showers.
Monday night..Southeast winds 15 to 20 knots. Waves around 2 feet. Showers likely.
Tuesday..Northeast winds 15 to 20 knots. Waves 1 to 2 feet. Chance of showers.
Tuesday night..North winds 13 to 18 knots. Waves around 1 foot.
GMZ600 Synopsis For Pascagoula Ms To Okaloosa Walton County Line Fl Out 60 Nm Including Major Area Bays And Sounds- 357 Pm Cst Thu Jan 20 2022
Synopsis..A cold front moved across the marine area today with a moderate to strong offshore flow is developing in the wake of the front, which will persist through Saturday. Northerly winds become moderate Saturday night and Sunday before turning more east to southeasterly by Monday ahead of the next approaching system.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Valparaiso, FL
   Hourly   EDIT   Help
location: 30.49, -86.48     debug


Area Discussion for - Mobile/Pensacola, FL
      (on/off)   Help   NOTE: mouseover dotted underlined text for definition
FXUS64 KMOB 202159 AFDMOB

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Mobile AL 359 PM CST Thu Jan 20 2022

NEAR TERM UPDATE /Now Through Friday/. A very complex forecast is on tap through Friday. I will give a quick synopsis here and detail the expected evolution of freezing rain through Friday morning below. Overall we have had a strong arctic cold front push across the area this morning, and strong northerly surface winds have enveloped the area. Temperatures have crashed in the wake of the front, already dropping into the lower to middle 40's in most locations. Expect temperatures to continue to fall into the middle to upper 30's by this evening for most locations. A pair of mid to upper level shortwaves located over the central and south- central U.S. will move eastward through the near term period. The southern stream shortwave will be responsible for potential impactful weather during the overnight hours tonight into Friday morning bringing a chance for freezing rain to southeastern MS and southwestern AL into western FL panhandle. Details on this are explained in greater detail below. Once this system moves through, we should dry out for the better part of Friday late morning into the evening.

For the rest of this evening, temperatures fall into the middle to upper 30's by this evening and continue crashing into the middle to upper 20's tonight northwest of the I-65 corridor and upper 20's and lower 30's elsewhere. Rain continues to taper off in the wake of the arctic front by this evening as cold, dry air continues to work its way in at the surface across the area. This brings us to the possible light freezing rain event for portions of southeastern MS, southwestern AL, and the western FL panhandle.

A light glaze of freezing rain is possible overnight tonight into Friday morning across portions of southwestern AL, southeastern MS, and the western FL panhandle .

An arctic front will have stalled south of the coastline while warm advection continues to override the cold dome rooted over the region and another shortwave approaches the area from the west. This will set the stage for overrunning of precipitation across portions of the area, particularly locations nearer the coast where a winter weather advisory has been issued. Synoptically, the stage is set for overrunning, and forecast soundings from various hi-res CAMs and some global models indicates a less prevalent 800 to 700mb dry layer than previously advertised, likely owing to some slightly stronger dynamics with subtle trends in the overall modest amplification of the system. A layer of above freezing temperatures between the 900 and 700mb layer will allow for snow falling into this layer to become all liquid precipitation which then proceeds to fall into the subfreezing surface layer, resulting in high confidence on any falling precipitation to be in the form of freezing rain. A zone of modest 850 to 700mb frontogenesis should develop over the advisory area during the overnight into early morning hours Friday in response to the incoming dynamics. As a result of the above, forecast guidance has trended northwest with light precipitation and slightly increased probabilities of freezing rain over the area. It is possible that model guidance is under- representing the extent of precipitation coverage and is delayed in onset of precipitation which is a common bias in overrunning events. It appears the trend in guidance over the past 12 hours has been catching on to this somewhat, along with the adjustments in the synoptics.

It is going to be critical to watch surface observations over the next 12 hours and compare them to how they are verifying with respect to the various hi-res CAMs. Currently the 3KM NAM has been verifying best with its depiction of surface dewpoints and temperatures, and it is one of the drier low level solutions on the table. Now you may be thinking that drier low levels would reduce freezing rain potential, and although it would eat into some of the overall precipitation, it will allow for a colder wetbulb temperature in the upper 20's versus lower 30's. This is extremely important in allowing for surface temperatures to support efficient freezing of any rainfall that reaches the surface. With all this said, I also have to acknowledge the potential that there isn't much if any precipitation at all during the overnight. This scenario is still on the table and would occur if for some reason temperatures and dewpoints fail to adequately cool at the surface (like the HRRR from its 12z run this morning) or if that dry layer in the 800 to 700mb level manages to be more potent than forecast. For now, it appears there is a subtle trend toward a wetter solution overnight tonight into Friday morning across the advisory area, and trends in guidance and observations will have to be monitored as we move forward the next 12 to 24 hours.

Beyond this, expect a cold day Friday highs in the upper 30's to lower 40's for most locations and dry weather to return by late morning into early afternoon. Any precipitation ongoing by this point should be all liquid. MM/25

SHORT TERM /Friday night Through Sunday night/. Some lingering precipitation down near the coast Friday night, but this will be moving south and should be to the south of the forecast area ahead of the late night min temps. Lows near the coast where any precip could be lingering are expected to be in the low to mid 30s, and if temps drop just a tad lower we could see a very slight potential for very minor additional freezing rain, but this is not expected at this time. Over inland areas where temps will be well below freezing on Friday night, no precip is expected. The most probable outcome for Friday night is that any light rainfall lingering over our coastal zones will end prior to temperatures dropping to freezing or below. Low temperatures will range from the lower 20s across interior southeast Mississippi and southwest Alabama, to the upper 20s/lower 30s along the I-10 corridor, and middle to upper 30s along the immediate coast.

A return to dry and cold weather is expected on Saturday with clouds gradually clearing from west to east through the day. The dry and cold weather will then continue through the remainder of the short term period as surface high pressure moves east across the region. Temperatures on Saturday will range from the middle 40s over interior areas to lower 50s along the coast. Brisk northeast winds will make conditions feel colder. Lows Saturday night back down into the low to mid 20s over interior zones, upper 20s to lower 30s at the coast. Temps slightly warmer on Sunday and Sunday night, with highs on Sunday being mainly in the low to mid 50s and lows Sunday night in the mid and upper 20s inland and mid to upper 30s near the coast. A hard freeze will be possible over interior sections with freezing temperatures expected all the way to the coast. Right now it appears that min temps will be just above our criteria for hard freeze (20 degrees or colder). /12

EXTENDED TERM /Monday Through Thursday/. Did not make a lot of changes to extended period. Looks mainly dry through most of the period, with the next chance for precip coming Monday night through Tuesday. The area dries back out on Wednesday. High temperatures will remain on the cooler-side through the middle part of next week in this pattern, mainly in the 50s each day. Low temps moderate somewhat Monday and Tuesday night, with lows Low temperatures tank into the 20s inland with low 30s at the coast Sunday night into Monday morning with lows mainly in the 30s, but drop significantly once again by Wednesday night in the wake of the system, with lows in the mid and upper 20s inland and low to mid 30s at the coast. /12

MARINE. A cold front moving across the marine area this morning will push south of the coastal waters by this afternoon. A moderate to strong offshore flow is developing in the wake of the front, and will persist through Friday night or early Saturday. A Small Craft Advisory is in effect for most of the marine area through late Friday night. Northerly winds become moderate Saturday night and Sunday before turning more east to southeasterly by Monday ahead of the next approaching system. /12

MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. AL . Winter Weather Advisory from midnight tonight to noon CST Friday for ALZ261>266.

FL . High Rip Current Risk until 6 PM CST this evening for FLZ202-204- 206.

Winter Weather Advisory from midnight tonight to noon CST Friday for FLZ201-202.

MS . Winter Weather Advisory from midnight tonight to noon CST Friday for MSZ078-079.

GM . Small Craft Advisory until noon CST Saturday for GMZ650-655-670- 675.

Small Craft Advisory until 6 AM CST Saturday for GMZ630>632.



This product is also available on the web at: http://weather.gov/mob


Weather Reporting Stations
   EDIT       (on/off)   Help   NOTE: Click on distance to see the station location on a map
Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
PCBF1 37 mi51 min ENE 7G8.9 57°F 61°F1016.8 hPa
PCLF1 - 8729840 - Pensacola, FL 39 mi51 min N 13G19 48°F 57°F1018.9 hPa
PACF1 - 8729108 - Panama City, FL 49 mi51 min NE 5.1G8
42012 - Orange Beach AL Buoy 64 mi39 min N 21G25 51°F 62°F

Wind History for Pensacola, FL
(wind in knots)    EDIT      (on/off)   Help
-12
pm
-12
pm
-12
pm
8
pm
9
pm
10
pm
11
pm
12
am
1
am
2
am
3
am
4
am
5
am
6
am
7
am
8
am
9
am
10
am
11
am
12
pm
1
pm
2
pm
3
pm
4
pm
Last 24 hrS4
G7
S3
G6
S6
G9
S6
G11
S5
G8
S5
S4
G8
SW2
W1
G4
SW1
SW2
S3
G6
N11
G17
NE5
G12
NE4
G11
NE4
G9
E2
NE4
G9
NE3
G7
N11
G19
N10
G18
1 day
ago
--
NE1
NE1
E1
NE1
SE2
SE1
G4
SE4
S3
S3
S4
G8
S3
NE2
G5
E3
NE2
NE3
E1
G4
E2
G5
SE1
G5
E3
G7
SE2
2 days
ago
N5
G8
N4
G7
N2
N2
N3
N2
N1
NE2
NE1
NE3
N2
N3
NE2
NE1
N2
NE1
NE1
G4
NE1
G5
E1
E2
SE2
S2
SE1
E2

Airport Reports
    EDIT      (on/off)   Help   Click EDIT to display multiple airports. Follow links for more data.
AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Valparaiso / Eglin Air Force Base, FL3 mi1.7 hrsN 510.00 miOvercast60°F56°F88%1017.2 hPa
Destin, Destin-Ft. Walton Beach Airport, FL6 mi1.8 hrsN 610.00 miOvercast60°F56°F86%1016.9 hPa
Hurlburt Field, FL11 mi1.7 hrsN 1110.00 miOvercast60°F55°F82%1017.1 hPa
Crestview, Sikes Airport, FL21 mi1.8 hrsNNW 14 G 2210.00 miMostly Cloudy56°F53°F90%1018.6 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KVPS

Wind History from VPS (wind in knots)
5
pm
6
pm
7
pm
8
pm
9
pm
10
pm
11
pm
12
am
1
am
2
am
3
am
4
am
5
am
6
am
7
am
8
am
9
am
10
am
11
am
12
pm
1
pm
2
pm
3
pm
4
pm
Last 24 hrSE7SE8--SE9--SE6SE6E5E4SE50SE7000S5N16
G21
NE11NE8NE7NE7NE6N5N12
1 day agoS40000N30000E5N3N30NE3E9E6E5SE9SE9SE9SE10SE10SE10
2 days agoN8N4000000N30N30N3N300NE40N3S6S7S8S8S5

Tide / Current Tables for East Pass (Destin), Choctawhatchee Bay, Florida
   EDIT   Weekend mode (on/off)   (on/off)   Help   One Week of Data
East Pass (Destin)
Click for Map
Thu -- 06:42 AM CST     Sunrise
Thu -- 08:41 AM CST     Moonset
Thu -- 12:09 PM CST     -0.22 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 05:12 PM CST     Sunset
Thu -- 07:51 PM CST     Moonrise
Thu -- 11:57 PM CST     0.46 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

East Pass (Destin), Choctawhatchee Bay, Florida, Tide feet
12
am
0.5
1
am
0.5
2
am
0.4
3
am
0.4
4
am
0.3
5
am
0.2
6
am
0.1
7
am
0
8
am
-0.1
9
am
-0.1
10
am
-0.2
11
am
-0.2
12
pm
-0.2
1
pm
-0.2
2
pm
-0.2
3
pm
-0.1
4
pm
-0.1
5
pm
0
6
pm
0.1
7
pm
0.2
8
pm
0.3
9
pm
0.3
10
pm
0.4
11
pm
0.4


Tide / Current Tables for Harris, The Narrows, Choctawhatchee Bay, Florida
   EDIT      (on/off)   Help   One Week of Data
Harris
Click for Map
Thu -- 01:28 AM CST     1.23 feet High Tide
Thu -- 06:43 AM CST     Sunrise
Thu -- 08:42 AM CST     Moonset
Thu -- 01:40 PM CST     -0.53 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 05:12 PM CST     Sunset
Thu -- 07:51 PM CST     Moonrise
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

Harris, The Narrows, Choctawhatchee Bay, Florida, Tide feet
12
am
1.1
1
am
1.2
2
am
1.2
3
am
1.2
4
am
1
5
am
0.9
6
am
0.7
7
am
0.4
8
am
0.2
9
am
-0
10
am
-0.2
11
am
-0.4
12
pm
-0.5
1
pm
-0.5
2
pm
-0.5
3
pm
-0.5
4
pm
-0.4
5
pm
-0.3
6
pm
-0.1
7
pm
0.1
8
pm
0.2
9
pm
0.4
10
pm
0.6
11
pm
0.8


Weather Map
       (on/off)   Help Weather Map
wmap_A
GEOS Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: This section has been updated as of 1/26/2021. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: GEOS-West     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Ground Weather Radar Station



Gulf Stream Current



Please read website Cookie, Privacy, and Disclamers by clicking HERE.