Thursday, October28, 2021
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Marine Weather and Tides
Country Club Estates, GA

Version 3.4
NOTICE
3/30/2021 -- ANZ330 has been split into ANZ331 and ANZ332. Click EDIT in Marine Forecast and select your new zone.
1/26/2021 -- The West Coast Satellite images havd been updated. They now use GEOS-17.
1/1/2021 -- The 7 day forecast are now working well. Thank you NOAA for your support.

Sunrise 7:37AMSunset 6:42PM Thursday October 28, 2021 5:01 PM EDT (21:01 UTC) Moonrise 11:54PMMoonset 1:31PM Illumination 45% Phase: Third Quarter Moon; Moon at 23 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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AMZ450 Coastal Waters From Altamaha Sound To Fernandina Beach Fl Out 20 Nm- Coastal Waters From Fernandina Beach To St. Augustine Fl Out 20 Nm- Coastal Waters From St. Augustine To Flagler Beach Fl Out 20 Nm- 258 Pm Edt Thu Oct 28 2021
.small craft advisory in effect through Friday evening...
Tonight..Southwest winds 15 to 20 knots with gusts to 30 knots. Seas 3 to 4 feet with a dominant period 5 seconds. Choppy on the intracoastal waters. Slight chance of showers in the evening, then chance of showers after midnight.
Friday..Southwest winds 15 to 20 knots with gusts to 30 knots.. Seas 3 to 5 feet with a dominant period 12 seconds. Choppy on the intracoastal waters. Chance of showers in the morning, then slight chance of showers in the afternoon.
Friday night..West winds 15 to 20 knots. Seas 3 to 5 feet with a dominant period 12 seconds. Choppy on the intracoastal waters. Slight chance of showers in the evening.
Saturday..West winds 10 to 15 knots increasing to 15 to 20 knots in the afternoon. Seas 3 to 4 feet. Choppy on the intracoastal waters.
Saturday night..West winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 3 to 4 feet. A light chop on the intracoastal waters.
Sunday..Northwest winds 10 to 15 knots diminishing to 5 to 10 knots in the afternoon. Seas 3 to 4 feet. A moderate chop on the intracoastal waters.
Sunday night..Northwest winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet.
Monday..North winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet.
Monday night..Northeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet.
Tuesday..Northeast winds 10 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Slight chance of showers.
AMZ400 Synopsis For Altamaha Sound Ga To Flagler Beach Fl Out To 60 Nm- 258 Pm Edt Thu Oct 28 2021
Synopsis..A strong cold front will continue east and push across the local waters tonight. Prefrontal winds have increased to small craft advisory levels this afternoon. Winds will strengthen further behind the cold front, with gusts 30-35 kts. With little movement of low pressure to the north, these gusty offshore winds will last through Friday in the nearshore waters and Friday night for offshore waters. Winds begin to ease up over the weekend, however, caution level winds will likely persist through most of Saturday along with elevated seas offshore. Surface high pressure will build eastward toward the atlantic early next week, turning winds onshore Monday and Tuesday.
Gulf stream.. The approximate location of the west wall of the gulf stream as of oct 28, 2021 at 1200 utc... 52 nautical miles east northeast of flagler beach. 57 nautical miles east of saint augustine beach. 68 nautical miles east of jacksonville beach. 88 nautical miles east southeast of st simons island. This data courtesy of the naval oceanographic office.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Country Club Estates, GA
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location: 31.23, -81.4     debug


Area Discussion for - Jacksonville, FL
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FXUS62 KJAX 281917 AFDJAX

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Jacksonville FL 317 PM EDT Thu Oct 28 2021

NEAR TERM [Through Tonight].

The potent cold front extending from a deep, occluded surface low spinning over southern Missouri has pushed eastward across the Florida panhandle early this afternoon and is now encroaching on our western zones. The strong pre-frontal squall line, which traversed across northeastern FL south of I-10 this morning and early afternoon, has now shifted eastward into the Atlantic waters. While strong squall line cross areas south of I-10, areas to the north never had a chance to destabilize today due to the leading stratiform rain which pushed across the lifting warm front this morning. A beneficial and widespread rainfall footprint with 1 to 2" estimated from radar in the stratiform region while more localized amounts of similar magnitude fell with the more intense squall line segments; however, nearly the entire region received at least 0.50" of rainfall today. With the squall line tracking into the coastal waters, the remaining portion of the Tornado Watch has been canceled.

While the severe thunderstorm threat has diminished, scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms are still possible through the remainder of the afternoon as the trailing cold front presses toward the Atlantic. Widely scattered light showers are expected overnight, primarily across northeast FL with weak post-frontal troughing and forcing from the stationary upper drifting across the area.

Breezy southwest winds tonight will keep portions of northeast FL in the low 60s tonight while cooling post-frontal air allows temps to fall into the mid and upper 50s elsewhere.

SHORT TERM [Friday Through Saturday Night].

Deep cutoff upper low will dominate the eastern seaboard through Saturday night before it is shunted northeastward by an upstream trough Sunday. Showery conditions expected Friday with southwesterly flow at the base of the low and mid trough axis. Moisture will be shallow and PWATs will likely be below an inch, so precip should be light with any activity Friday. With little translation of the low to the north, gradients will remained pinched through Friday leading to continued gusty southwest to west winds, featuring afternoon gusts up to 30 mph. Drier west northwest flow will prevail through Saturday as upper trough begins to lift northeastward. Strong cold air advection will bring the coolest temps this season. Drastically cooler afternoon temps are expected through the weekend, with highs in the mids 60s across SE GA and low to mid 70s across NE FL.

LONG TERM [Sunday Through Thursday].

High pressure will build from the northwest Sunday through Tuesday shifting prevailing flow from northwesterly to northeasterly. With enhance convergence along a stalled inverted trough over the Atlantic, there will be increasing chances for coastal showers with onshore steering flow by Tuesday. Another cold front will approach from the northwest on Wednesday and may press through Thursday. As onshore flow develops, temperatures will gradually warm toward typical climo readings by next week.

AVIATION. [Through 18Z Friday]

IFR conditions will prevail through around 20Z at SSI and SGJ as showers and thunderstorms cross these terminals and move offshore. Otherwise, VFR conditions will prevail at the remainder of the northeast FL terminals through around 20Z. Another round of showers and possibly an isolated thunderstorm could impact the regional terminals between around 20Z and 06Z tonight, although confidence was too low to include VCTS at this time. This activity would bring brief periods of MVFR conditions to the terminals. A more extended period of MVFR ceilings around 2,000 feet is possible overnight after 05Z through around sunrise on Friday. However, confidence was too low to include anything other than scattered ceilings, with more confidence for broken ceilings around 4,000 feet. VFR conditions should then prevail area-wide by 15Z Friday. Mainly southerly surface winds will continue to strengthen through around 22Z this afternoon, with sustained speeds increasing to around 15 knots with frequent gusts of 20-25 knots. Sustained southwesterly surface speeds should subside to 5-10 knots after 00Z, with another burst of winds increasing to 10-15 knots after 05Z tonight. Breezy west-southwesterly surface winds are forecast throughout the day on Friday.

MARINE.

A strong cold front will continue east and push across the local waters tonight. Prefrontal winds have increased to small craft advisory levels this afternoon. Winds will strengthen further behind the cold front, with gusts 30-35 kts. With little movement of low pressure to the north, these gusty offshore winds will last through Friday in the nearshore waters and Friday night for offshore waters. Winds begin to ease up over the weekend, however, Caution Level winds will likely persist through most of Saturday along with elevated seas offshore. Surface high pressure will build eastward toward the Atlantic early next week, turning winds onshore Monday and Tuesday.

Rip Currents: Moderate to marginally High Risk on Friday due to elevated surf and weak southeasterly swell. Lowering surf will reduce risk to Moderate on Saturday.

FIRE WEATHER.

Severe weather threat has moved east of the area this afternoon. Cold front will shift eastward off the coast this evening with scattered showers possible along it. Spotty showers will persist behind the front tonight, though these will not produce much rainfall. Winds will remain from the west and gusty on Friday with strong low pressure to the north. Dispersions will be marginally high on Friday with more widespread high dispersion expected on Saturday. Winds will begin to turn northerly as they ease over the weekend with high pressure building from the west.

HYDROLOGY.

Several hours of stratiform rain brought widespread areas of 1 to 2" across southeast GA while locally heavy rain associated with the squall line brought an estimated 2 to 3" of rain across the Suwannee Valley. Shower activity will continue along and behind the cold front but rainfall amounts will be minimal.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS.

AMG 53 67 47 66 48 / 30 20 0 0 0 SSI 61 72 53 70 53 / 30 30 0 0 0 JAX 60 72 52 71 51 / 30 30 10 0 0 SGJ 62 75 56 73 55 / 30 30 10 0 0 GNV 59 73 51 71 50 / 30 30 20 0 0 OCF 64 76 55 72 53 / 30 40 30 10 0

JAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. FL . None. GA . None. AM . Small Craft Advisory until 8 AM EDT Saturday for Waters from Altamaha Sound GA to Fernandina Beach FL from 20 to 60 NM- Waters from Fernandina Beach to St. Augustine FL from 20 to 60 NM-Waters from St. Augustine to Flagler Beach FL from 20 to 60 NM.

Small Craft Advisory until 8 PM EDT Friday for Coastal waters from Altamaha Sound to Fernandina Beach FL out 20 NM- Coastal waters from Fernandina Beach to St. Augustine FL out 20 NM-Coastal waters from St. Augustine to Flagler Beach FL out 20 NM.


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
SAXG1 - Sapelo Island Reserve, GA 14 mi62 min S 15 73°F 1002 hPa (-4.0)73°F
41008 - GRAYS REEF - 40 NM Southeast of Savannah, GA 31 mi72 min S 19G23 75°F 76°F5 ft1002 hPa (-5.2)
41112 - Offshore Fernandina Beach, FL (132) 36 mi62 min 76°F 77°F5 ft
FRDF1 - 8720030 - Fernandina Beach, FL 39 mi44 min S 8.9G16 79°F 76°F1002.5 hPa

Wind History for Fernandina Beach, FL
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Brunswick / Glynco, GA4 mi67 minS 1110.00 miOvercast74°F72°F92%1002 hPa
Brunswick, Malcolm McKinnon Airport, GA6 mi69 minS 10 G 1710.00 miPartly Cloudy75°F73°F94%1002.2 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KBQK

Wind History from BQK (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrNE8E3E4NE30000NE300NE3NE3E3E5E50SE9SE4E10SE9SE12
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1 day agoW10W3W5W3NW3W3W3W4W3W3NW4NW4W4000N5N7NE11
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2 days agoS4SE6SE5S4SW3SW5SW5SW6W7W7W7W7SW8W7W7W5NW8NW12
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Tide / Current Tables for Frederica River, Georgia
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Frederica River
Click for Map
Thu -- 02:39 AM EDT     6.22 feet High Tide
Thu -- 07:38 AM EDT     Sunrise
Thu -- 08:43 AM EDT     1.70 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 02:30 PM EDT     Moonset
Thu -- 02:59 PM EDT     7.34 feet High Tide
Thu -- 04:06 PM EDT     Last Quarter
Thu -- 06:40 PM EDT     Sunset
Thu -- 09:27 PM EDT     1.98 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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Tide / Current Tables for Jones Creek entrance, Hampton River, Georgia
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Jones Creek entrance
Click for Map
Thu -- 02:54 AM EDT     6.22 feet High Tide
Thu -- 07:38 AM EDT     Sunrise
Thu -- 08:00 AM EDT     1.70 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 02:30 PM EDT     Moonset
Thu -- 03:14 PM EDT     7.34 feet High Tide
Thu -- 04:06 PM EDT     Last Quarter
Thu -- 06:39 PM EDT     Sunset
Thu -- 08:44 PM EDT     1.98 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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