Saturday, October16, 2021
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Marine Weather and Tides
Bassfield, MS

Version 3.4
NOTICE
3/30/2021 -- ANZ330 has been split into ANZ331 and ANZ332. Click EDIT in Marine Forecast and select your new zone.
1/26/2021 -- The West Coast Satellite images havd been updated. They now use GEOS-17.
1/1/2021 -- The 7 day forecast are now working well. Thank you NOAA for your support.

Sunrise 6:59AMSunset 6:25PM Saturday October 16, 2021 3:04 AM CDT (08:04 UTC) Moonrise 4:44PMMoonset 3:08AM Illumination 77% Phase: Waxing Gibbous; Moon at 10 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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GMZ530 Lake Pontchartrain And Lake Maurepas- 939 Pm Cdt Fri Oct 15 2021
.small craft advisory in effect from 4 am cdt Saturday through Saturday evening...
Rest of tonight..Southwest winds 10 to 15 knots becoming west 15 to 20 knots after midnight, then becoming north 20 to 25 knots after midnight. Waves 1 to 2 feet. Dominant period 4 seconds. Waves or seas building to 3 to 5 feet with occasional waves to 5 feet. Dominant period 4 seconds after midnight. Slight chance of showers after midnight.
Saturday..North winds 20 to 25 knots. Waves 3 to 5 feet. Dominant period 4 seconds.
Saturday night..North winds 15 to 20 knots. Waves 3 to 5 feet. Dominant period 4 seconds.
Sunday..Northeast winds 15 to 20 knots. Waves 3 to 5 feet. Dominant period 4 seconds. Waves or seas subsiding to 1 to 3 feet. Dominant period 4 seconds in the afternoon.
Sunday night..Northeast winds 10 to 15 knots. Waves 1 to 2 feet. Dominant period 4 seconds.
Monday..East winds 5 to 10 knots. Waves 1 to 2 feet. Dominant period 4 seconds.
Monday night..East winds 5 to 10 knots. Waves 1 to 2 feet. Dominant period 4 seconds.
Tuesday..East winds 5 to 10 knots. Waves 1 to 2 feet. Dominant period 4 seconds.
Tuesday night..East winds 5 to 10 knots. Waves 1 to 2 feet. Dominant period 4 seconds. Slight chance of showers after midnight.
Wednesday..East winds 5 to 10 knots. Waves 1 to 2 feet. Dominant period 4 seconds. Chance of showers.
Wednesday night..East winds 5 to 10 knots. Waves 1 to 2 feet. Dominant period 4 seconds. Slight chance of showers.
GMZ500 Synopsis Pascagoula To Sw Pass Mississippi- Synopsis Sw Pass Mississippi River To Atchafalaya River- 939 Pm Cdt Fri Oct 15 2021
Synopsis..A cold front will pass through the waters tonight. Gusty northerly winds behind the front Saturday will gradually weaken late in the weekend and into early next week as high pressure builds in from the north.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Bassfield, MS
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location: 31.5, -89.84     debug


Area Discussion for - Jackson, MS
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FXUS64 KJAN 160518 AFDJAN

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Jackson MS 1218 AM CDT Sat Oct 16 2021

UPDATE. Updated for 06Z aviation discussion

AVIATION. 06Z TAF discussion:

A cold front will continue to surge across the area overnight. As of 5z, the front was located along a line from MCB to MEI and will continue pushing southeast over the next several hours. A line of broken showers is anchored to the front with VCSH expected at MEI as well as PIB/HBG. A swath of MVFR to IFR ceilings is also accompanying the front, but dry air quickly moving in will keep any restrictions limited to only a few hours overnight into the early morning hours. Clear skies will return from northwest to southeast with all terminals returning to VFR by or shortly after sunrise. Winds will remain gusty out of the north through the overnight and during the daytime hours. Winds will become light to calm tonight area wide. /TW/

DISCUSSION.

The line of showers and storms along the front is progressing about as expected. Precip is confined to a narrow line along the front, with stronger storms helping to mix down some wind gusts in the 30-35 mph range. Timing the line based on current movement suggests it should be clear of even southeast Mississippi by around 4 a.m. Saturday. The current forecast for wind gusts through the overnight period is starting to look a bit aggressive, as observation sites farther upstream over TX, LA, and AR are not showing gusts lasting much beyond the initial frontal passage. I have lowered the gust potential slightly from the previous forecast. /NF/

Prior discussion below:

Tonight and Tomorrow:

After a warm day preceding a cold front, southerly flow will continue south of the boundary that will move south overnight. Temperatures ahead of the front will be slow to fall tonight prior to frontal passage, but will see rapid falls as the boundary moves south and east. Winds will shift to westerly to northwesterly from north to south across the ArkLaMiss late tonight with a band of showers and a few embedded thunderstorms marking the leading edge of the incoming cooler and drier air. The upper trough responsible for the front will be lifting north and away from the area and the timing in the diurnal instability minimum should preclude a significant severe threat in our area as wind shear, lift, and instability will each be marginal. A couple stronger storms embedded within the frontal squall/band of showers could produce briefly stronger wind but by and large below severe threshold. Lows tonight will vary significantly from north to south tonight given the frontal interaction. Lower 50s F temperatures tonight can be expected in the northwest with lower 60s F in the south.

The front clears the area late tonight and Saturday looks significantly cooler and drier. Cold advection and increasing surface pressure will impede warming despite clear skies and temperatures will struggle to rise into the lower 70s F for most locations, with middle 70s F most likely in the Pine Belt. Breezy north winds may gust 20-25 mph during the day, diminishing some in the later afternoon. Areas in the Delta may see winds a bit higher, with some gusts in the 25-30 mph range. The cooler air will most notably be substantially drier, with dewpoints potentially falling into the upper 30s F during the day tomorrow. /86/

Tomorrow night through Thursday night:

A classic fall weather pattern featuring dry northwest flow and cool surface high pressure will dictate the weather over the forecast area through early week. Expect fairly large daily temperature ranges with readings below climate normals for the most part. As we go from Tuesday into Wednesday, a north to south oriented mid level ridge axis will shift east across the area. The resulting warm advection could result in a few showers in addition to moderating temperatures as we go through late week. /EC/

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS. Jackson 56 72 43 73 / 67 0 0 0 Meridian 58 71 44 71 / 59 0 0 0 Vicksburg 55 73 44 73 / 58 0 0 0 Hattiesburg 61 74 46 73 / 61 0 0 0 Natchez 55 70 46 72 / 60 0 0 0 Greenville 52 71 45 73 / 65 0 0 0 Greenwood 52 71 44 73 / 72 0 0 0

JAN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. MS . None. LA . None. AR . None.



TW/NF/EC/LP


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
WYCM6 - 8747437 - Bay Waveland Yacht Club, MS 86 mi46 min WSW 4.1G6 80°F 83°F1015.2 hPa

Wind History for Bay Waveland Yacht Club, MS
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Hattiesburg/Laurel, Hattiesburg-Laurel Regional Airport, MS27 mi68 minNNW 9 G 157.00 miOvercast73°F71°F94%1015.9 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KPIB

Wind History from PIB (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrSE300000S433S54SW6S5SW4000SW40S3S30NW9
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2 days ago00000E4SE6SE956SE6S64SE4SE500000SE3000

Tide / Current Tables for Waveland, Mississipi Sound, Mississippi
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Waveland
Click for Map
Sat -- 03:08 AM CDT     Moonset
Sat -- 07:00 AM CDT     Sunrise
Sat -- 08:05 AM CDT     1.83 feet High Tide
Sat -- 04:40 PM CDT     Moonrise
Sat -- 06:24 PM CDT     Sunset
Sat -- 07:48 PM CDT     0.66 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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Tide / Current Tables for Bay Waveland Yacht Club, Bay St. Louis, Mississippi
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Bay Waveland Yacht Club
Click for Map
Sat -- 03:08 AM CDT     Moonset
Sat -- 07:00 AM CDT     Sunrise
Sat -- 08:04 AM CDT     1.74 feet High Tide
Sat -- 04:40 PM CDT     Moonrise
Sat -- 06:24 PM CDT     Sunset
Sat -- 07:30 PM CDT     0.39 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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Weather Map
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NOTE: This section has been updated as of 1/26/2021. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may use the EDIT function to update your location.
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