Sunrise 5:56 AM   Sunset 7:50 PM Moonrise 4:29 PM   Moonset 3:40 AM

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GMZ530 Lake Pontchartrain And Lake Maurepas- 301 Pm Cdt Sun May 19 2024
Tonight - Light and variable winds, becoming east around 5 knots late this evening, then becoming south after midnight, becoming north late. Waves 1 foot or less. Monday - East winds around 5 knots. Waves 1 foot or less. Monday night - Southeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Waves 1 foot or less.Tuesday - Southeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Waves 1 to 2 feet. Tuesday night - Southeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Waves around 2 feet.Wednesday - Southeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Waves around 2 feet. Wednesday night - Southeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Waves 1 to 2 feet.Thursday - Southeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Waves 1 foot or less, then around 2 feet in the afternoon. Thursday night - South winds 5 to 10 knots. Waves around 2 feet in the evening, then 1 foot or less. Friday - South winds 5 to 10 knots. Waves 1 foot or less, then around 2 feet in the afternoon. Friday night - South winds 5 to 10 knots. Waves 1 to 2 feet.

GMZ500 301 Pm Cdt Sun May 19 2024
Synopsis for pascagoula to atchafalaya river out 60 nm -
high pressure continues to build into the area allowing for mostly benign marine conditions to start the new workweek. Return flow will spread across the northern gulf of mexico early to midweek and remain in place through the end of the week. Winds are forecast to stay at or below 15kts.

FXUS64 KJAN 191920 AFDJAN

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Jackson MS 220 PM CDT Sun May 19 2024

New DISCUSSION

DISCUSSION
Issued at 220 PM CDT Sun May 19 2024

The rest of today through tomorrow...

A building surface ridge will continue to intensify today and Monday, allowing for mostly sunny skies and temperatures in the upper 80s and lower 90s. Winds are expected to remain light and variable through the overnight, but become light and N/NW by Monday.
Overnight, lingering moisture, light winds, and clear skies may trigger patchy fog development in the Pine Belt in the early morning, but confidence is low at the moment. Overnight lows will remain in the 60s. Monday is expected to remain clear and dry as surface ridging continues. I hope everyone has a wonderful end to their weekend! /AJ/

Next week-early next weekend (Tuesday-next Saturday)...

Early-midweek (Tuesday-Wednesday): As the mid-level ridge amplifies over the Bay of Campeche & Mexico, the low-level ridge axis is progged to build across the area through mid-week. Sfc high pressure will build through, while an active upper level jet ejects across the Mid West. This will drive a strong low pressure system into the Mid West to Great Lakes. A dry pattern will persist through midweek, with increased warm advection/low-level temps into the mid-upper teens to low 20s degree C at 850-925mb layers. Expect seasonably warm highs in the upper 80s-low 90s & lows in the upper 60s southeast of the Natchez Trace to low 70s to the northwest. Leaned towards MOS consensus for lows both Tuesday & Wednesday mornings as sfc/mid-level ridge axis & light winds should help more efficient cooling occur, especially southeast of the Natchez Trace corridor.
Heat stress won't be a concern but increased humidity will aid in heat indices climbing into low-mid 90s. Ridging should deflect most storm chances off to the northwest through Wednesday evening, while some could sneak into the ArkLaMiss Delta during that time.

Late week-early next weekend (Thursday-Saturday): As the trough swings into the Great Lakes to Hudson Bay, ridge will relax & gradual height falls will occur as a result across the Gulf Coast.
This keep continued seasonably warm heat & humidity in the upper 80s to low 90s late week to low-mid 90s into next weekend. There will be an uptick in scattered rain & storm coverage & westerly zonal flow for some strong-severe convective potential late week & into the weekend. Indications remain in long term convective outlooks & CSU machine learning probs for isolated strong-severe potential during this time, but depends on how quickly the subtropical ridge relaxes.
Trends have slowed so confidence isn't high enough to add anything to the HWO graphics at this time. /DC/

AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 1225 PM CDT Sun May 19 2024

VFR conditions will prevail through the period. Light and variable winds are expected. /AJ/

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
Jackson 65 89 68 90 / 0 0 0 0 Meridian 64 89 66 90 / 0 10 0 0 Vicksburg 66 90 68 91 / 0 0 0 0 Hattiesburg 65 90 68 90 / 0 0 0 0 Natchez 67 90 67 90 / 0 0 0 0 Greenville 69 90 70 91 / 0 0 0 0 Greenwood 67 90 69 91 / 0 0 0 0

JAN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
MS...None.
LA...None.
AR...None.

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Bay Waveland Yacht Club
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Sun -- 02:19 AM CDT     0.97 feet High Tide
Sun -- 03:38 AM CDT     Moonset
Sun -- 03:40 AM CDT     0.96 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 06:00 AM CDT     Sunrise
Sun -- 11:01 AM CDT     1.45 feet High Tide
Sun -- 04:25 PM CDT     Moonrise
Sun -- 07:46 PM CDT     0.55 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 07:47 PM CDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION

Bay Waveland Yacht Club, Bay St. Louis, Mississippi, Tide feet

Waveland
Click for Map
Sun -- 01:59 AM CDT     0.91 feet High Tide
Sun -- 02:47 AM CDT     0.91 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 03:38 AM CDT     Moonset
Sun -- 06:00 AM CDT     Sunrise
Sun -- 11:28 AM CDT     1.35 feet High Tide
Sun -- 04:25 PM CDT     Moonrise
Sun -- 07:47 PM CDT     Sunset
Sun -- 08:13 PM CDT     0.53 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION

Waveland, Mississipi Sound, Mississippi, Tide feet

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