Tuesday, December7, 2021
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Marine Weather and Tides
Cuthbert, GA

Version 3.4
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3/30/2021 -- ANZ330 has been split into ANZ331 and ANZ332. Click EDIT in Marine Forecast and select your new zone.
1/26/2021 -- The West Coast Satellite images havd been updated. They now use GEOS-17.
1/1/2021 -- The 7 day forecast are now working well. Thank you NOAA for your support.

Sunrise 7:22AMSunset 5:34PM Tuesday December 7, 2021 12:20 AM EST (05:20 UTC) Moonrise 11:01AMMoonset 9:20PM Illumination 9% Phase: Waxing Crescent; Moon at 3 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Cuthbert, GA
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location: 31.77, -84.79     debug


Area Discussion for -
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FXUS62 KTAE 070042 AFDTAE

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Tallahassee FL 742 PM EST Mon Dec 6 2021

NEAR TERM [Through Tuesday].

Convection continues to weaken across the area this evening as instability diminishes. The peak gust measured in our area from the convection this afternoon was 37 knots at KDHN. A large area of rain is left over and will continue across the area for a few more hours this evening before gradually weakening.

Attention then turns to the possibility of dense fog across the Florida big bend overnight. An earlier web cam at Horseshoe Beach prior to sunset showed dense fog already present there, so a dense fog advisory was issued for Apalachee Bay as well as inland across the Florida big bend where guidance indicates that this sea fog will spread northward later tonight.

The front will start to lift back north on Tuesday. The upper disturbance currently moving across northern Mexico will zip by the forecast area, bringing a few areas of light rain or showers, aided by warm advection lift.

PREV DISCUSSION [648 PM EST].

SHORT TERM [Tuesday Night Through Wednesday Night].

A stronger northern stream impulse will pass by to our north on Wednesday. It will temporarily sharpen up the front on Wednesday and push it back south through the service area. Some upper dynamics in the tail of the trough and low-level forcing along the front will bring a large area of showers, perhaps with a few embedded thunderstorms. Forecast rainfall amounts with this feature have slowly been coming down over the last few days. It now appears that only 0.5" to 1" of rain is forecast over our AL and GA counties, with lesser amounts for our FL counties.

The upper forcing will exit east on Wed night, and surface high pressure will bridge in from the north. So the forcing and support for rain will quickly dry up.

LONG TERM [Thursday Through Monday].

The main highlight will be a cold frontal passage around Saturday night.

On Thursday and Friday, a highly amplified upper trough will dig into the western U.S. and cross the Rockies. The downstream response will be a strong upper ridge that will amplify over the eastern Gulf and Florida. Meanwhile, clockwise flow around strong surface high pressure north of Bermuda will support a moderate south breeze, with its fetch extending all the way back upstream to the southern Bahamas. So given the warm air aloft and the stream of maritime tropical air pointed into the northern Gulf Coast, we will be looking at much above normal temperatures. A few places could approach record high on Friday and Saturday. Meanwhile, the upper ridging will generally keep the weather dry, though southeast Alabama and the Panhandle will carry low rain chances along the dirty periphery of the upper ridge.

That western U.S. upper trough will eject east across the Nation this weekend. A fairly sharp and fast-moving cold front will accompany this feature. Weak instability and seasonably strong shear should support some showers and possibly a few strong thunderstorms.

The air mass behind this front will be coming in from the west, instead of the north. By wintertime cold front standards, milder air masses come in from the west. Indeed, temperatures behind the front will merely cool back close to mid-December normals on Sunday. However in contrast to the abnormal warmth on Friday and Saturday, this will make Sunday and Monday feel cold.

AVIATION. [Through 00Z Wednesday]

A line of SHRA with embedded TS extending from near ECP to DHN to near ABY will continue to move eastward and gradually weaken this evening. MVFR cigs, brief reductions in vsbys, and gusty winds are possible with this line. TLH and VLD could see an isolated shower, but it isn't likely.

Fog will develop near TLH and VLD after 03z, becoming dense at times overnight into Tuesday morning. IFR to LIFR cigs/vsbys are expected. Patchy fog is possible at DHN and ECP, but ABY should escape the fog tonight. However, CIGS will lower to IFR/LIFR late tonight.

Vsbys will be slow to improve at TLH and VLD, but cigs at all terminals through Tuesday afternoon will remain at least IFR with brief bouts of LIFR. Scattered showers will also be possible at all terminals in the late morning and afternoon.

MARINE.

A large area of sea fog is currently spreading north along the West Coast of Florida. The fog recently reached Cedar Key, where a Weatherstem camera shows fog. This area of fog will spread north of the mouth of the Suwanee River early this evening, bringing low visibility tonight and Tuesday morning over the eastern half of Apalachee Bay.

From CWF synopsis . A cold front will enter the northeast Gulf this evening, then turn up stationary late tonight just south of Apalachicola. More fog is expected tonight over Apalachee Bay in advance of the front. The front will lift back north on Tuesday, with southerly breezes returning over the northeast Gulf. The front will again push south into the Gulf on Wednesday, but then retreat back north on Thursday. Southerly breezes will freshen over the course of Friday and Saturday, in advance of a stronger cold front pushing across the Lower Mississippi Valley.

FIRE WEATHER.

A weakening cold front will pass most of the districts this evening and overnight, turning up stationary somewhere near Perry, Florida, on Tuesday morning. The front will come with a northerly wind shift, along with a weakening line of showers. In advance of the front, the atmosphere will again be favorable for fog development this evening. On Tuesday, the front will retreat back northward, with weak southerly flow returning. Some lingering cool air near the surface will really put a damper on the vertical lift of smoke.

Dispersion will improve on Wednesday, mainly due to an increase in wind, but Wednesday will also feature a wetting rain particularly along and north of the I-10 corridor.

HYDROLOGY.

No flooding is expected for the next 7 days.

Rises on area rivers are possible during the second half of this week, thanks to a some rain that will pass across Alabama and Georgia on Wednesday and again around Saturday night. However, dry weather over the past month means rivers are running near base flow. Rivers have the capacity to handle the expected one-half to one inch of rain over Alabama and Georgia without risk of flooding.

SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT.

Spotter activation is not requested. However, spotters are always encouraged to safely report significant weather conditions when they occur (while following all local, state, and CDC guidelines) by calling the office or tweeting us @NWSTallahassee.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS.

Tallahassee 59 73 61 75 54 / 30 30 30 70 10 Panama City 58 71 60 74 55 / 40 40 40 70 10 Dothan 50 60 52 68 47 / 80 40 50 60 0 Albany 52 63 55 70 47 / 100 40 50 70 0 Valdosta 59 72 60 75 52 / 20 30 30 70 10 Cross City 61 76 60 75 58 / 0 10 20 60 10 Apalachicola 61 73 62 74 57 / 20 20 30 70 10

TAE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. FL . Dense Fog Advisory until 10 AM EST Tuesday for Coastal Dixie- Coastal Franklin-Coastal Jefferson-Coastal Taylor-Coastal Wakulla-Gadsden-Inland Dixie-Inland Franklin-Inland Jefferson-Inland Taylor-Inland Wakulla-Lafayette-Leon- Liberty-Madison.

GA . None. AL . None. GM . Dense Fog Advisory until 10 AM EST /9 AM CST/ Tuesday for Apalachee Bay or Coastal Waters From Keaton Beach to Ochlockonee River FL out to 20 Nm-Coastal Waters From Ochlockonee River to Apalachicola Fl out to 20 Nm-Coastal waters from Suwannee River to Keaton Beach FL out 20 NM- Coastal waters from Mexico Beach to Apalachicola FL out 20 NM-Waters from Suwannee River to Apalachicola FL from 20 to 60 NM.



NEAR TERM . DVD/Haner SHORT TERM . Haner LONG TERM . Haner AVIATION . Young MARINE . Haner FIRE WEATHER . Haner HYDROLOGY . Haner


Weather Reporting Stations
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Eufaula Municipal Airport, AL22 mi83 minSSW 39.00 miLight Rain63°F61°F93%1017.9 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KEUF

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This day0S4S4--S540--S3--0----S10
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1 day ago0000--00--00S3----5S7S8S8S6--S3--0--0
2 days ago----0--00--00003----W4NW3SE4SE30--0000

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