Tuesday, September28, 2021
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Marine Weather and Tides
Milan, GA

Version 3.4
NOTICE
3/30/2021 -- ANZ330 has been split into ANZ331 and ANZ332. Click EDIT in Marine Forecast and select your new zone.
1/26/2021 -- The West Coast Satellite images havd been updated. They now use GEOS-17.
1/1/2021 -- The 7 day forecast are now working well. Thank you NOAA for your support.

Sunrise 7:22AMSunset 7:21PM Tuesday September 28, 2021 12:23 AM EDT (04:23 UTC) Moonrise 11:22PMMoonset 1:22PM Illumination 58% Phase: Waning Gibbous; Moon at 21 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Milan, GA
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location: 31.95, -83.02     debug


Area Discussion for - Peachtree City, GA
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FXUS62 KFFC 280235 AFDFFC

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Peachtree City GA 1035 PM EDT Mon Sep 27 2021


UPDATE.

Minor near term adjustments made per recent obs, otherwise little change made to fcst as looks largely on track for mostly clear and quiet night on tap. Could see some patchy valley fog in the far north mtns for the morning. Previous discussion follows.

00z Aviation update below.

Baker

PREV DISCUSSION. /Issued 315 PM EDT Mon Sep 27 2021/

.Updated for minor corrections to short term discussion.

PREV DISCUSSION . /Issued 255 PM EDT Mon Sep 27 2021/

SHORT TERM /Tonight through Tuesday Night/ .

Dry, pleasant conditions will be the rule through the short term period as weak northwesterly flow and surface high pressure persist across the Southeast. Not much moisture is present through the atmospheric column, but there is enough to have generated some fair-weather Cu across the CWA this afternoon. Another clear night is on tap, so could see areas of fog develop in the valley terrain of north GA, as well as near area lakes and rivers. Overnight lows will be in the mid-50s to mid-60s.

For Tuesday, PWATs are progged to increase slightly across the CWA, but still generally remain below 1 inch (around 25% of the daily moving average per sounding climo). The only noticeable impact could be a slight increase in coverage of the afternoon Cu field tomorrow afternoon. Highs tomorrow will be in the upper 70s to mid-80s. There are no fire weather concerns through the short term period, as a rainy first part of the month has made for anomalously high soil moisture across the CWA, even amid the recent drying and subsidence courtesy of high pressure.

Martin

LONG TERM /Wednesday through Monday/ .

No significant changes were made to the long-term portion of the forecast. The previous discussion is below.

Reaves

LONG TERM /Tuesday Night through Sunday/ .

The start of the long term period begins with a weakening mid- and upper-level ridge axis positioned from Alabama through the western Hudson Bay shoreline in the southeastern Nunavut province. This wave pattern does look to break down leading into the long term leading to a more chaotic and disorganized the upper-level flow pattern and more uncertainty at the end of and beyond next weekend. Thankfully, the lack of any strong synoptic influences to the region will allow pleasant and comfortable antecedent conditions to persist through the rest of the forecast period, but and end is in sight with more moist, summertime conditions potentially making a return by next week.

A surface high pressure, remnant from a cold front that moved through the forecast area late last week, looks to be positioned to the east of the forecast area by Wednesday. With the lack of any synoptic scale support this high pressure will be pretty diminished, but due to the lack of any other weather system in the region will still dominate the local weather pattern. Further east in the Four Corners region, a cutoff upper-level low pressure system will be merging into a broader upper-level trough over the western CONUS, but not before the southerly flow across the Southern Plains and Lower Mississippi River Valley pulls in ample Gulf moisture with PWATs in excess of 1.5 inches floods into the Dakotas and western Minnesota. Locally, PWATs look to stay near or below an inch into the start of the weekend, but as the aforementioned upper-level ridge is choked off due to break in the wave pattern, and the troughing to the west advances eastward placing the region in a more southeasterly flow and advecting the plume of moisture into the Ohio and Tennessee River Valleys.

As the wave pattern breaks down, discrepancies between different models solutions emerge, but luckily most deterministic models keep a dome of upper-level high pressure, a remnant of the broader upper-level ridge pattern across the central CONUS at the start of the long term period, will be positioned near the northeastern Gulf and FL/GA state line around the weekend, and linger long enough the shield the region from any precipitation through most of the weekend. The only exception will be some low end precip chances, below 20 percent, for North Georgia on Sunday.

With the lack of any synoptic airmass changes to the forecast region dewpoints and temperatures will mostly remain steady from day to day. Dewpoints will remain in the upper 50s to mid 60s, which will still seem pretty pleasant compared to the low 70s we've had all summer. These dewpoints will also keep our morning low temperatures capped in the same range. With daylight hours getting shorter with each passing day diurnal heating will only be able to push afternoon high temperatures into the 80s, with a couple days of temps in the low 90s possible for central Georgia mid-week.

Thiem

AVIATION. 00Z Update . VFR conditions thru period. Mostly clear skies overnight with calm winds, then some FEW cu near 5 kft for Tuesday after 15z along with possible SCT cirrus (cirrus could come in a bit sooner). Winds during day WNW to WSW 5-6 kts. Tuesday night again mostly clear with either calm or light NW/WNW winds.

//ATL Confidence . 00Z Update . High on all elements.

Baker

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS. Athens 59 84 61 87 / 0 0 0 0 Atlanta 60 84 62 87 / 0 0 0 0 Blairsville 54 79 55 82 / 0 0 0 0 Cartersville 58 83 59 85 / 0 0 0 0 Columbus 62 86 64 89 / 0 0 0 5 Gainesville 60 82 62 85 / 0 0 0 0 Macon 60 87 62 90 / 0 0 0 0 Rome 58 85 60 87 / 0 0 0 0 Peachtree City 58 85 60 87 / 0 0 0 0 Vidalia 63 86 65 90 / 0 0 0 0

FFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. NONE.

SHORT TERM . Martin/Baker LONG TERM . Reaves AVIATION . Baker


Weather Reporting Stations
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On 03/09/2021 the NDBC primary processing servers were shut off due to a facilities issue. Station pages on the NDBC website are not updating and there is no ETR at this time. We will update this banner as we learn more.
Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
SAXG1 - Sapelo Island Reserve, GA 98 mi84 min SSE 5.1 72°F 1019 hPa (+1.0)68°F

Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Eastman, Heart of Georgia Regional Airport, GA19 mi29 minN 01.50 miFog/Mist64°F63°F98%1019 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KEZM

Wind History from EZM (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmE3N3CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalm
1 day agoCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmN3NW3CalmN3CalmN3CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalm
2 days agoCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmW6NE6N4W3N4N5CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalm

Tide / Current Tables for Buffalo River entrance, Turtle River, Georgia
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Buffalo River entrance
Click for Map
Tue -- 03:15 AM EDT     7.01 feet High Tide
Tue -- 07:18 AM EDT     Sunrise
Tue -- 08:29 AM EDT     1.79 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 02:13 PM EDT     Moonset
Tue -- 03:36 PM EDT     8.04 feet High Tide
Tue -- 07:14 PM EDT     Sunset
Tue -- 09:12 PM EDT     2.48 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 09:58 PM EDT     Last Quarter
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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5.166.676.85.84.32.81.91.92.63.75.16.37.37.987.25.84.33.12.52.73.3

Tide / Current Tables for Dillard Creek, Turtle River, Georgia
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Dillard Creek
Click for Map
Tue -- 03:10 AM EDT     7.01 feet High Tide
Tue -- 07:18 AM EDT     Sunrise
Tue -- 08:33 AM EDT     1.79 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 02:13 PM EDT     Moonset
Tue -- 03:31 PM EDT     8.04 feet High Tide
Tue -- 07:14 PM EDT     Sunset
Tue -- 09:16 PM EDT     2.48 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 09:58 PM EDT     Last Quarter
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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5.166.776.75.74.32.921.92.53.75.16.37.47.97.97.15.74.33.12.52.63.3

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NOTE: This section has been updated as of 1/26/2021. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may use the EDIT function to update your location.
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