Friday, October15, 2021
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Marine Weather and Tides
Frierson, LA

Version 3.4
NOTICE
3/30/2021 -- ANZ330 has been split into ANZ331 and ANZ332. Click EDIT in Marine Forecast and select your new zone.
1/26/2021 -- The West Coast Satellite images havd been updated. They now use GEOS-17.
1/1/2021 -- The 7 day forecast are now working well. Thank you NOAA for your support.

Sunrise 7:17AMSunset 6:43PM Friday October 15, 2021 9:22 PM CDT (02:22 UTC) Moonrise 3:28PMMoonset 1:19AM Illumination 75% Phase: Waxing Gibbous; Moon at 10 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Frierson, LA
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location: 32.35, -93.63     debug


Area Discussion for - Shreveport, LA
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FXUS64 KSHV 152146 AFDSHV

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Shreveport LA 446 PM CDT Fri Oct 15 2021

AVIATION.

VFR conditions will prevail through the 24hr TAF period with the exception of the first 2 to 3 hours of the TAF period with the possibility of convection ahead of a southeastward moving cold front. Convection is very isolated to widely scattered attm mainly ahead of the cold front which as of 21z was located near a Little Rock, Arkansas to Longview, Texas line. Did prevail VCTS through 16/02 or 16/03z at the LFK, SHV and ELD terminals and will AMD if necessary until we get FROPA through all terminal sites.

Post frontal winds for the first two to three hours will be from the northwest with sustained winds near 15kts with gusts upwards of 25kts but those winds will decouple quickly beyond 16/03z. Look for N to NW winds on Sat with speeds near 8-12kts with a few higher gusts.

13

PREV DISCUSSION. /issued 234 PM CDT Fri Oct 15 2021/

SHORT TERM . /Tonight through Saturday Night/

Upper trof bisecting the CONUS continues to churn ewd this aftn, driving its associated cold front to our door. Trof/cold front to continue their ewd march this aftn/evening, perhaps bringing a few storms for N LA and S AR. These will move ewd quickly, clearing our sern areas around midnight or so.

Gusty winds in the wake of the front still look on track to keep the ongoing Lake Wind Advisory in effect. It appears that wind speeds will be dampened just enough across our ern areas to preclude additional counties/parishes from being added to the ongoing advisory.

Temps will drop quickly in the wake of the front, ushering in a much cooler and drier airmass that will linger through the end of the pd. High pressure to settle swd behind the trof Saturday, making for very pleasant fall weather and setting up Saturday night to be our coolest so far this season. Undercut the the NBM a little for Saturday night, but may need to do even more so in future fcsts.

/12/

LONG TERM . /Sunday through Thursday Night/

Starting 12z Sunday . 19th century French sailors used the term Armogan to describe fine weather. In particular, Armogan weather was the perfect weather for traveling or starting a new journey. Why do I bring this up you might be wondering. In my mind, Sunday, which is when the long term portion of the forecast starts, could be defined with the same term . Armogan. The weather on Sunday is going to be "fine" and a good day to start a new journey, if you wish. Afternoon high temperatures will top out in the lower to mid 70s across the area with perhaps some passing high clouds. Sunday night will be chilly, maybe not for people in and around the Rocky Mountains who have been digging out of snow, but for us in the south Monday morning could be chilly for those waking up to go to school with temperatures in the mid 40s to around 50 degrees.

Temperatures will somewhat begin to rebound on Monday with highs in the lower to upper 70s expected. From here, temperatures will continue to rise a degree or two on Tuesday and then another degree or two on Wednesday, which should be our warmest day of the week with highs in the upper 70s to mid 80s. Lows will follow in the same trend, slightly higher than the previous night through Wednesday. In addition, dry conditions will prevail through Wednesday before some low end chance PoPs get reintroduced to the forecast. No slam dunk forecast here, so have just ran with the output of the NBM from Wednesday through Thursday night, which limits PoPs to around 20 percent for any given area at any given time.

/33/

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS. SHV 54 74 48 75 / 10 0 0 0 MLU 54 73 46 73 / 50 0 0 0 DEQ 45 72 42 74 / 0 0 0 0 TXK 49 72 47 74 / 0 0 0 0 ELD 49 71 43 72 / 20 0 0 0 TYR 50 73 45 74 / 0 0 0 0 GGG 50 73 44 75 / 0 0 0 0 LFK 53 75 47 77 / 0 0 0 0

SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. AR . Lake Wind Advisory until 10 PM CDT this evening for ARZ050-051- 059-060-070-071.

LA . Lake Wind Advisory until 10 PM CDT this evening for LAZ001-002- 010-017.

OK . Lake Wind Advisory until 10 PM CDT this evening for OKZ077.

TX . Lake Wind Advisory until 10 PM CDT this evening for TXZ096-097- 108>112-124>126-136>138-149>153-165>167.



13/12/33


Weather Reporting Stations
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Barksdale Air Force Base, LA11 mi26 minNNW 1610.00 miFair69°F55°F63%1018.1 hPa
Shreveport, Shreveport Regional Airport, LA13 mi26 minN 14 G 2210.00 miPartly Cloudy70°F55°F59%1017.8 hPa
Shreveport, Shreveport Downtown Airport, LA14 mi29 minN 1110.00 miFair69°F57°F66%1018.1 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KBAD

Wind History from BAD (wind in knots)
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Last 24hr0S3S4S5S6S5S4S5S5S7S5S7S7SW9S9SW9SW11W7W13
G18
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G23
NW12NW17
G25
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1 day agoS6SE6SE6SE4SE8S6SE5SE4SE5SE4SE9S8S10S11S11S11S10S10S8S7S5S4S4SE3
2 days agoSE8S8S10S10S10SE15S14
G21
S10S6SE7S7S10S10S12--S10S13S12S13SE9SE8SE8SE6SE5

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