Friday, January28, 2022
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Marine Weather and Tides
Fort Worth, TX

Version 3.4
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3/30/2021 -- ANZ330 has been split into ANZ331 and ANZ332. Click EDIT in Marine Forecast and select your new zone.
1/26/2021 -- The West Coast Satellite images havd been updated. They now use GEOS-17.
1/1/2021 -- The 7 day forecast are now working well. Thank you NOAA for your support.

Sunrise 7:24AMSunset 5:59PM Friday January 28, 2022 5:20 AM CST (11:20 UTC) Moonrise 4:04AMMoonset 2:10PM Illumination 17% Phase: Waning Crescent; Moon at 26 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Fort Worth, TX
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location: 32.77, -97.29     debug


Area Discussion for - Fort Worth, TX
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FXUS64 KFWD 281059 AFDFWD

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Fort Worth TX 459 AM CST Fri Jan 28 2022

. New Short Term, Aviation .

SHORT TERM. /NEW/ Update: The clouds associated a passing shortwave continue to move into Central and South Texas early this morning, leaving a mostly clear sky across the CWA.

The current forecast is in good shape and only minor adjustments are needed to the hourly temperature and dew point grids.

79

Previous Discussion: /Tonight through Friday night/

A passing shortwave will bring scattered to numerous clouds (between 4000 and 6000 ft) to the region overnight. Although the clouds may hold temps up a bit in a few spots, low level cold air advection will allow temperatures to fall into the 20s across the north and west with mainly 30s elsewhere.

Drier and subsident air will filter in on Friday behind the exiting shortwave resulting in a sunny and warmer day with highs in the lower and middle 50s. It will still feel a bit cool due to a breezy northwest wind.

Dry air will remain in place Friday night with northwest flow aloft and decreasing west to northwest low level winds. A clear sky and lighter winds will allow for rapid cooling after sunset with lows falling below freezing for nearly all locations except a few urban areas.

79

LONG TERM. /Issued 325 AM CST Fri Jan 28 2022/ /This Weekend and Next Week/

This weekend's weather will be as close to picture perfect as we can get. The mornings will be cool and the afternoons will be mild with temperatures in the upper 60s to low 70s under sunny skies. The pleasant weather will be a result of dry northwest flow in the mid/upper levels and a surface high pressure aligned along the Texas Gulf Coast keeping the surface moisture well to our south. The surface high will shift east Sunday and bring a return to the southerly flow, but with the 50 degree isodrosotherm well in the Gulf, it will take some extra help to get the higher moisture air this far north. This help will come Sunday night and Monday in the form of an upper low ejecting out of the Rockies.

A compact upper low moving over Texas will draw moisture-rich air north Sunday night into Monday. Strong ascent will overspread the region and tap into the newly advected moisture and develop scattered to widespread rain showers over South and Central Texas. The low should have an impressive amount of lift, but limited moisture to work with particularly in the mid levels. This will limit the precip potential across North Texas and keep most of the precip generally south of I-20 with the heaviest precip near the Gulf Coast with the better deep-layer moisture. Of course, we will continue to monitor over the next couple days as the low moves over the SoCal coast and the data becomes more reliable. As the low moves east, pretty quickly mind you, south winds and the surface moisture will remain.

Burying the lead a bit, what could be the most impactful feature of the extended will move across the area in the middle to late parts of next week. A much deeper and colder upper system will move into the Eastern CONUS and send an arctic airmass into the region with below normal temperatures remaining through the end of the week. We are confident of this airmass making it into Texas, but exactly how cold the temperatures will be still has some variability. The overnight suite of ensemble guidance has about 60% of the ensemble members indicating below normal temperatures Thursday/Friday, but the significant ECMWF Shift of Tails index (indicative of significant weather) values over 1 remain well to the north near Canada. There will likely be precipitation with this system, so we have broad-brushed 20-30% PoPs across the region starting Wednesday with all precip ending early Thursday as the upper low ejects east. Temps should be cold enough to support winter precip on the backside of the front if the upper trough lags far enough behind the leading cold air. Due to this, we have the mention of non-accumulating rain/snow in our forecast Wednesday night into early Thursday morning to account for this potential. I would caution against getting concerned about any single model's snow and/or ice accumulation forecasts at this time-range as there will likely be wild fluctuations in magnitude and areal coverage of winter precip with each model run. We can go into why that is at another discussion, but there is still plenty of time for us to iron out the precip amount details.

Bonnette

AVIATION. /NEW/ /12Z TAFs/

Building surface high pressure and dry northwest flow aloft will result in VFR conditions at all TAF sites through Friday night with only a few passing high clouds.

A northwest wind between 8 and 12 knots to start the TAF cycle will increase slightly by mid morning and become gusty. Winds will occasionally gust to around 20 knots through the afternoon but wind speeds and gusts should fall below 12 knots by sunset. The wind will gradually become west/southwest tonight as surface high pressure sinks south across the region

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PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS. Dallas-Ft. Worth 55 32 68 38 70 / 0 0 0 0 0 Waco 55 30 66 37 69 / 0 0 0 0 0 Paris 52 27 62 35 65 / 0 0 0 0 0 Denton 55 24 68 32 68 / 0 0 0 0 0 McKinney 55 28 66 35 68 / 0 0 0 0 0 Dallas 55 32 66 40 68 / 0 0 0 0 0 Terrell 55 27 66 36 68 / 0 0 0 0 0 Corsicana 55 31 66 38 69 / 0 0 0 0 0 Temple 56 29 66 35 68 / 0 0 0 0 0 Mineral Wells 55 26 69 33 71 / 0 0 0 0 0

FWD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. None.


Weather Reporting Stations
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Fort Worth, Meacham International Airport, TX5 mi27 minNW 78.00 miFair30°F26°F85%1032.1 hPa
Arlington Municipal Airport, TX13 mi27 minNW 710.00 miFair34°F27°F76%1031.6 hPa
Fort Worth Spinks Airport, TX14 mi25 minNW 510.00 miFair32°F28°F84%1032.5 hPa
Grand Prairie, Grand Prairie Municipal Airport, TX14 mi25 minNW 410.00 miFair35°F28°F74%1032.2 hPa
Fort Worth, Fort Worth Alliance Airport, TX15 mi27 minNW 810.00 miFair30°F26°F85%1032.6 hPa
Dallas/Fort Worth International Airport, TX17 mi27 minNW 910.00 miFair34°F28°F79%1030.9 hPa
Dallas, Redbird Airport, TX23 mi27 minNW 710.00 miFair32°F27°F82%1031 hPa
Dallas Love Field, TX24 mi27 minNNW 610.00 miFair32°F26°F79%1031.7 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KFTW

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