Tuesday, September28, 2021
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Marine Weather and Tides
Dallas, TX

Version 3.4
NOTICE
3/30/2021 -- ANZ330 has been split into ANZ331 and ANZ332. Click EDIT in Marine Forecast and select your new zone.
1/26/2021 -- The West Coast Satellite images havd been updated. They now use GEOS-17.
1/1/2021 -- The 7 day forecast are now working well. Thank you NOAA for your support.

Sunrise 7:17AMSunset 7:18PM Monday September 27, 2021 11:37 PM CDT (04:37 UTC) Moonrise 10:28PMMoonset 12:26PM Illumination 58% Phase: Waning Gibbous; Moon at 21 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Dallas, TX
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location: 32.79, -96.77     debug


Area Discussion for - Fort Worth, TX
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FXUS64 KFWD 280000 AFDFWD

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Fort Worth TX 700 PM CDT Mon Sep 27 2021

. New Short Term, Aviation .

SHORT TERM. /NEW/ /Through Tuesday/

A quiet evening is unfolding across North and Central Texas, and it just might be the last rain-free night across the CWA for the next week. An influx of abundant Gulf moisture is expected tonight, resulting in a warmer night with low temperatures in the mid 60s to low 70s.

An upper low will be pulled northeastward on Tuesday, with broad ascent overspreading western parts of North and Central Texas early in the day. Showers and thunderstorms will likely develop ahead of a dryline across West Texas during the afternoon hours, and will track east through the remainder of the day. This activity will likely be in the form of a few broken lines of storms. An increase in deep-layer shear will provide slightly more optimal conditions for storm organization, which could result in a few strong storms across our western frontier during the late afternoon hours. The primary hazards will be strong winds and frequent lightning. There's a low possibility isolated to widely scattered showers and storms will develop early in the afternoon, ahead of the late afternoon activity. However, have capped PoPs at 20-30%, as coverage should be fairly sparse. Despite the return of rain chances, it'll still be quite warm across the region with high temperatures in the upper 80s to mid 90s.

Barnes

LONG TERM. /Issued 402 PM CDT Mon Sep 27 2021/ /Wednesday Through Early Next Week/

Unsettled weather will dominate the remainder of the week, with numerous disturbances resulting in multiple rounds of rainfall. Although a few strong storms will still be possible on Wednesday, increasing cloud cover, only modest shear, and a shift toward moist adiabatic profiles will shift our focus to heavy rainfall later in the week.

Showers and thunderstorms resulting from our initial impulse late Tuesday may be ongoing Tuesday night into Wednesday morning. Although the atmosphere across western portions of North Texas would have the greatest potential to recharge by peak heating Wednesday afternoon, particularly with adequate sunshine, the daytime activity may be focused within Central and East Texas instead. These multicell clusters will be less likely to pose a threat for hail or gusty winds as competing updrafts limit the duration of individual cells.

The cloud shield will become more dominant Thursday and Friday as an approaching upper trough spreads dense mid and high decks across the Lone Star State. This will limit insolation, but large-scale forcing for ascent will continue to initiate rounds of convection, mainly during the daylight hours. A cold front will invade the Southern Plains, the upper trough upstream inhibiting its progress. But this boundary may aid in focusing convective initiation and encouraging rich surface parcels to enhance rainfall. Training echoes in flow nearly parallel to the front will also increase the potential for heavy rainfall. At this time scale, the position of the front and associated mesoscale forcing is uncertain, making it difficult to highlight a particular area. The cumulative effect of multiple rounds of rainfall will steadily increase the potential for flooding issues late in the week.

As is typically the case with lows that fully or partially lose their connection to the jet stream, extended guidance diverges with the speed of the trough's eventual ejection through the Plains. As a result, we'll need to maintain rain chances through the upcoming weekend. However, despite the rainfall, an influx of somewhat drier air will return dew points closer to median values for early October.

25

AVIATION. /NEW/ /00Z TAFs/

VFR is expected to continue for the next 24 hours along with southerly winds near 10 knots. MVFR stratus will invade parts of Central and East Texas early Tuesday morning, but is expected to remain south and east of all terminals. We'll need to keep a close eye on KACT as stratus may get fairly close to the airport. Otherwise, mostly high cloud cover is anticipated again tonight.

The primary aviation concern through the end of the period will be the development of showers and thunderstorms across parts of West Texas Tuesday afternoon. Several broken lines of storms are expected to develop and move east. Initially, this activity will likely have impacts on inbound/outbound traffic late Tuesday afternoon; however, these storms are expected to impact D10 terminals towards the end of the extended TAF period. Greater impacts are expected at all terminals beyond the period (early Wednesday morning) as showers and storms continue moving east through North and Central Texas.

Barnes

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS. Dallas-Ft. Worth 71 92 71 87 71 / 5 30 30 70 30 Waco 69 91 71 87 71 / 5 30 40 80 40 Paris 66 90 70 83 69 / 0 10 30 80 50 Denton 66 92 68 87 67 / 0 30 30 70 30 McKinney 68 91 70 86 69 / 0 20 30 70 40 Dallas 72 92 73 87 72 / 0 20 30 70 30 Terrell 68 91 70 85 69 / 0 20 30 80 40 Corsicana 69 91 71 86 70 / 0 20 40 80 40 Temple 68 90 69 87 68 / 5 40 40 80 40 Mineral Wells 66 91 66 87 66 / 5 40 30 60 20

FWD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. None.


Weather Reporting Stations
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Dallas Love Field, TX6 mi44 minSE 610.00 miPartly Cloudy79°F58°F49%1012.3 hPa
Dallas, Redbird Airport, TX9 mi44 minSSE 610.00 miFair74°F56°F54%1012.3 hPa
Dallas / Addison Airport, TX13 mi42 minSE 610.00 miFair76°F58°F53%1013.9 hPa
Mesquite, Mesquite Metro Airport, TX13 mi42 minN 010.00 miFair67°F61°F80%1013.5 hPa
Lancaster Airport, TX15 mi42 minN 010.00 miFair69°F57°F66%1013.5 hPa
Dallas/Fort Worth International Airport, TX16 mi44 minSSE 510.00 miPartly Cloudy75°F56°F52%1011.8 hPa
Grand Prairie, Grand Prairie Municipal Airport, TX16 mi42 minSE 310.00 miFair76°F55°F47%1013.5 hPa
Arlington Municipal Airport, TX19 mi44 minSSE 310.00 miFair76°F57°F52%1012.2 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KDAL

Wind History from DAL (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrS7SE8S8S6S7S7S5S6E5S6S4SW7SW36SE7
G15
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1 day agoS6S4SE3S4SE4S3CalmE3E4SW3S6SW7W7SW6
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S66--SE10S9SE8SE7SE7SE8S8
2 days agoSE3S7S4S5CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmS3SW4SW43CalmS45SE8SW54SE8SE5SE3S7SE4

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NOTE: This section has been updated as of 1/26/2021. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may use the EDIT function to update your location.
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