Sunrise 6:10 AM   Sunset 8:14 PM Moonrise 3:47 PM   Moonset 2:57 AM

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AMZ256 Coastal Waters From Murrells Inlet To South Santee River Sc Out 20 Nm- 313 Pm Edt Sun May 19 2024
Through 7 pm - NE winds 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft. Wave detail: ne 2 ft at 3 seconds and S 1 ft at 5 seconds. A chance of showers and tstms. Tonight - NE winds 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. Wave detail: ne 3 ft at 4 seconds and S 1 ft at 5 seconds. A slight chance of showers until early morning. Mon - NE winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 3 to 4 ft. Wave detail: E 4 ft at 5 seconds and S 1 ft at 6 seconds. Mon night - NE winds 10 to 15 kt. Gusts up to 20 kt in the evening. Seas 3 to 4 ft. Wave detail: E 4 ft at 7 seconds and se 1 ft at 11 seconds. Tue - NE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. Wave detail: E 3 ft at 7 seconds and se 1 ft at 10 seconds. Tue night - E winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft. Wave detail: E 3 ft at 7 seconds and se 1 ft at 10 seconds. Wed - E winds 5 kt. Seas 2 ft. Wave detail: E 2 ft at 6 seconds and se 1 ft at 10 seconds. Wed night - S winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Thu - SW winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Thu night - SW winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 ft. Fri - SW winds 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Fri night - S winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
winds and seas higher in and near tstms.

AMZ200 313 Pm Edt Sun May 19 2024
Synopsis for coastal waters from surf city north carolina to south santee river south carolina out to 20 nautical miles - High pressure with accompanying dry weather will build into the area tonight and Monday, then linger for much of the week.

FXUS62 KILM 192036 AFDILM

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Wilmington NC 436 PM EDT Sun May 19 2024

SYNOPSIS
High pressure and drier air will move into the area to start off the work week. Temperatures warm through mid week with rain chances not returning until Friday into the weekend.

NEAR TERM /THROUGH MONDAY/
Other than the potential for lingering showers into the evening, mainly southern areas, the big question for the near term is when clouds will depart/dissipate. Forecast shows improving skies tonight into Monday but it should be noted that abundant moisture trapped below an inversion in the low levels could delay this process into Monday. Lows tonight should fall to the upper 50s to lower 60s with highs Monday in the upper 70s to lower 80s.

SHORT TERM /MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY/
Dry weather continues for the duration of this period as sfc high pressure over the Carolinas gradually shifts east and offshore through the week, with weak mid-level ridging in place
This will allow for increasing temps each day
highs mainly in the low 80s Tuesday rising to around 90 by Thursday.
Otherwise, expect daily sea breezes with skies averaging mostly sunny/clear.

LONG TERM /THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY/
Low chances for rain return with shortwave energy passing through the fairly zonal flow aloft. Daily sea breeze will also aid in afternoon convection with a warm and moist airmass in place. PoPs are consistent each day (20-40%) with the fairly stagnant pattern in place. Some guidance (e.g. 12Z ECMWF) even keeps it dry most days with shortwave energy staying just off to the north. Temps remain slightly above normal with highs averaging in the mid/upr 80s.

AVIATION /21Z SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/
Stratus has spread to affect all terminals attm with cigs in the 1100 to 1800 ft range. This is up a little as daytime heating has risen ceilings a little. Guidance is insistent that cigs will rise to MVFR by late afternoon and vfr overnight into Monday as drier air works in from the NE. The forecast reflects this idea but there are caveats as abundant moisture was noted in AM soundings below an inversion, particularly MHX. Satellite shows low clouds all the way up to southern NY with few breaks attm, so it's entirely possible that we may see another night of low cigs tonight. Additionally, some guidance is showing IFR/MVFR BR developing late tonight, particularly inland.

Extended Outlook...VFR during the day on Monday. VFR should otherwise prevail with early morning vis or cig restrictions possible each day through the end of the period.

MARINE
Through Monday...Expect NE winds of 10 to 15 KT tonight and Monday with 20 KT possible nearer 20 NM on Monday. Seas will generally run 2 to 4 FT through the period, though 2 footers will be confined to areas sheltered from NE flow Monday.

Monday Night through Friday...Sub-SCA conditions will continue.
Sfc high pressure over the Carolinas slowly slides farther offshore through the week, with southerly flow becoming established Wednesday afternoon through Friday, no higher than 10-15 kt. After 2-4 ft seas Monday night, expect only 1-3 ft heights with a weak ESE 9-10 second swell component for the remainder of the week.

ILM WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NC...Coastal Flood Advisory until 11 PM EDT this evening for NCZ107.
SC...None.
MARINE...None.

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Rhems
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Sun -- 03:56 AM EDT     Moonset
Sun -- 05:54 AM EDT     0.91 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 06:14 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sun -- 11:40 AM EDT     1.69 feet High Tide
Sun -- 04:47 PM EDT     Moonrise
Sun -- 06:07 PM EDT     0.57 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 08:14 PM EDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION

Rhems, Black Mingo Creek, Black River, South Carolina, Tide feet

Mt. Pleasant Plantation
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Sun -- 03:57 AM EDT     Moonset
Sun -- 05:46 AM EDT     0.91 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 06:14 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sun -- 11:18 AM EDT     1.74 feet High Tide
Sun -- 04:47 PM EDT     Moonrise
Sun -- 05:58 PM EDT     0.57 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 08:14 PM EDT     Sunset
Sun -- 11:58 PM EDT     1.97 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION

Mt. Pleasant Plantation, Black River, South Carolina, Tide feet

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