Monday, October18, 2021
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Marine Weather and Tides
Bald Head Island, NC

Version 3.4
NOTICE
3/30/2021 -- ANZ330 has been split into ANZ331 and ANZ332. Click EDIT in Marine Forecast and select your new zone.
1/26/2021 -- The West Coast Satellite images havd been updated. They now use GEOS-17.
1/1/2021 -- The 7 day forecast are now working well. Thank you NOAA for your support.

Sunrise 7:18AMSunset 6:35PM Monday October 18, 2021 4:39 PM EDT (20:39 UTC) Moonrise 4:56PMMoonset 4:17AM Illumination 95% Phase: Waxing Gibbous; Moon at 13 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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AMZ252 Coastal Waters From Cape Fear Nc To Little River Inlet Sc Out 20 Nm- 351 Pm Edt Mon Oct 18 2021
Through 7 pm..NW winds 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
Tonight..NW winds 10 to 15 kt, diminishing to 5 to 10 kt after midnight, then increasing to 10 to 15 kt late. Seas 2 ft.
Tue..N winds 10 kt, becoming ne in the afternoon. Seas 2 ft.
Tue night..SW winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 foot.
Wed..W winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
Wed night..SW winds 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
Thu..W winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming sw 10 to 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 2 ft.
Thu night..SW winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft.
Fri..SW winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft. A chance of showers.
Sat..W winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft.
AMZ200 351 Pm Edt Mon Oct 18 2021
Synopsis for coastal waters from surf city north carolina to south santee river south carolina out to 20 nautical miles.. High pressure to the west will shift overhead Tuesday into Wednesday. The high will then shift offshore later in the week ahead of a cold front expected on Friday.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Bald Head Island, NC
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location: 33.83, -77.94     debug


Area Discussion for - Wilmington, NC
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FXUS62 KILM 181948 AFDILM

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Wilmington NC 348 PM EDT Mon Oct 18 2021

SYNOPSIS. Cool, dry Canadian air will remain across the Carolinas for the next couple of days as high pressure slowly moves eastward. As the high moves offshore Wednesday, winds will shift southwesterly and temperatures will rebound above normal. Cooler temperatures will return next weekend as another cold front passes offshore on Saturday.

NEAR TERM /THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT/. Latest surface analysis shows a 1025mb center of high pressure near Nashville, TN. Quiet near term forecast, as said high pressure edges eastward into Appalachia. Low temperatures should dip into the mid 40s tonight, with lower 40s possible in some of the cold spots in parts of Pender, Bladen, and Williamsburg Counties. However, even with radiational cooling, lows should not quite be as chilly as the previous night.

Plenty of sunshine on tap for Tuesday, with likely no clouds in sight. Highs generally in the mid 70s. Winds build more of a WSW component Tuesday night, causing low temperatures to only bottom out to near 50. Keep those windows open!

SHORT TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT/.

High pressure will shift farther off the coast through midweek. With the center to the south, return flow will initially be out of the west through Wed, until a more SW direction takes hold by Wed night into Thurs. Overall, expect warming through this period with a dry start but increasing moisture and clouds, mainly late Thurs into early Fri. Pcp water will increase from less than a half inch Wed into early Thurs, but reaching up to 1.35 inches by Fri morning. Not counting on any pcp until Fri morning, the earliest. Temps will be into the low 80s on Thurs with overnight lows increasing quite a bit from mid 50s most places Wed night to 60s Thurs night.

LONG TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH MONDAY/. Broad mid level flow will push a cold front through the Carolinas late Fri into Sat. Increasing southerly flow and deeper layer moisture ahead of the approaching cold front on Fri, will bring a chance of rain back in the forecast. Not expecting any widespread heavy rain, but should see sct shwrs/tstms. Latest models show almost a zonal flow through the weekend as the broad trough lifts northward. Therefore not expecting any major change in airmass with temps remaining within a few degrees of 80, several degrees above normal. A weak low may develop over the Carolinas but an overall ill defined pressure pattern will remain through early next week. May see some clouds around over the weekend, but next chc of rain should come late Mon as next cold front drops down from the north.

AVIATION /18Z MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/. High confidence for VFR conditions through the forecast period. High pressure in control with dry air at all levels. Generally northwest flow today, a bit gusty this afternoon. Little to no fog expected tonight.

Extended Outlook . VFR to dominate due to high pressure prevailing.

MARINE. Through Tuesday night . Northerly winds around 10kts become more variable by Tuesday afternoon, building a more WSW component by Tuesday evening. Seas mostly 1ft, with a few 2ft waves possible tonight into Tuesday morning, with easterly swells mixing with northerly wind waves.

Wednesday through Friday . High pressure will shift farther off the Southeast coast Wed through Fri. The center of the high will remain south of the waters leaving an offshore westerly flow initially on Wed, but will shift to a more SW direction by Thurs as high moves farther offshore. Gradient tightens enough to produce an increase in winds from 5 to 10 kts on Wed up to 15 kts or so late Thurs into Fri. The southerly push will give way to seas up from 2 ft or less on Wed up to around 3 ft by Fri.

ILM WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. SC . None. NC . None. MARINE . None.

SYNOPSIS . ILM NEAR TERM . IGB SHORT TERM . RGZ LONG TERM . RGZ AVIATION . 43 MARINE . RGZ/IGB


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
41108 8 mi69 min 75°F2 ft
MBIN7 18 mi39 min NNW 8.9G13 72°F 1017.3 hPa (-1.9)
MBNN7 24 mi39 min NW 7G12 74°F 1017.4 hPa (-2.1)
41038 - ILM2 - 5 miles SE of Wrightsville Beach, NC 25 mi91 min NW 12G18 70°F 75°F1018.5 hPa
41110 - Masonboro Inlet, NC 25 mi32 min 75°F2 ft
41013 - Frying Pan Shoals, NC Buoy 28 mi39 min W 9.7G16 68°F 1018.7 hPa47°F
41024 - Sunset Nearshore (SUN 2) 28 mi31 min NNW 5.8G12 71°F 75°F1019.1 hPa
JMPN7 - 8658163 - Johnny Mercer Pier, Wrightsville Beach, NC 28 mi51 min W 9.9G13 72°F 74°F1017.4 hPa
WLON7 28 mi51 min 75°F 73°F1017.2 hPa
SSBN7 29 mi28 min 75°F1 ft
41037 - ILM3 - 27 miles SE of Wrightsville Beach, NC 33 mi31 min WNW 12G19 70°F 75°F1017.5 hPa

Wind History for Wrightsville Beach, NC
(wind in knots)    EDIT      (on/off)   Help
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Brunswick County Airport, NC10 mi44 minNW 910.00 miFair73°F37°F27%1018.6 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KSUT

Wind History from SUT (wind in knots)
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NW3NW4N3NW30000NW4N4N5N4NW3NW3NW4NW6NW4N7NW7
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1 day agoSW8SW8
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2 days agoSE4SE300000000000SW3SW3SW4SW7SW9W10SW8SW10
G14
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SW9SW8

Tide / Current Tables for Cape Fear, North Carolina
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Cape Fear
Click for Map
Mon -- 12:31 AM EDT     0.37 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 05:17 AM EDT     Moonset
Mon -- 06:45 AM EDT     5.11 feet High Tide
Mon -- 07:19 AM EDT     Sunrise
Mon -- 12:53 PM EDT     0.42 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 05:55 PM EDT     Moonrise
Mon -- 06:33 PM EDT     Sunset
Mon -- 07:10 PM EDT     5.19 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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Tide / Current Tables for Fort Caswell, Cape Fear River, North Carolina
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Fort Caswell
Click for Map
Mon -- 12:54 AM EDT     0.34 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 05:17 AM EDT     Moonset
Mon -- 07:06 AM EDT     4.87 feet High Tide
Mon -- 07:19 AM EDT     Sunrise
Mon -- 01:16 PM EDT     0.39 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 05:55 PM EDT     Moonrise
Mon -- 06:34 PM EDT     Sunset
Mon -- 07:31 PM EDT     4.94 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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Weather Map
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GEOS Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: This section has been updated as of 1/26/2021. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may use the EDIT function to update your location.
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