Saturday, October23, 2021
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Marine Weather and Tides
Kure Beach, NC

Version 3.4
NOTICE
3/30/2021 -- ANZ330 has been split into ANZ331 and ANZ332. Click EDIT in Marine Forecast and select your new zone.
1/26/2021 -- The West Coast Satellite images havd been updated. They now use GEOS-17.
1/1/2021 -- The 7 day forecast are now working well. Thank you NOAA for your support.

Sunrise 7:22AMSunset 6:29PM Saturday October 23, 2021 5:32 PM EDT (21:32 UTC) Moonrise 7:23PMMoonset 9:06AM Illumination 91% Phase: Waning Gibbous; Moon at 18 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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AMZ250 Coastal Waters From Surf City To Cape Fear Nc Out 20 Nm- 342 Pm Edt Sat Oct 23 2021
Through 7 pm..N winds 5 kt. Seas 2 ft.
Tonight..NE winds 5 kt. Seas 2 ft.
Sun..E winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft.
Sun night..SE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft.
Mon..S winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 3 to 4 ft. A chance of showers. A slight chance of tstms in the morning, then a chance of tstms in the afternoon.
Mon night..SW winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. A chance of showers and tstms.
Tue..W winds 15 to 20 kt, becoming nw 10 to 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 3 to 5 ft. A chance of showers in the morning.
Tue night..NW winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 3 to 4 ft.
Wed..NW winds 10 to 15 kt, diminishing to 5 to 10 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft.
Thu..SE winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming S 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft, building to 4 to 5 ft. A chance of showers. Winds and seas higher in and near tstms.
AMZ200 342 Pm Edt Sat Oct 23 2021
Synopsis for coastal waters from surf city north carolina to south santee river south carolina out to 20 nautical miles.. Weak high pressure centered across the southern appalachians this evening will quickly move east and offshore from the mid-atlantic coast Sun. Low pressure will pass by and remain offshore from the carolinas Sun night thru Mon with widely scattered showers possible. A cold frontal passage accompanied with scattered convection will push thru Mon night followed with possible sca conditions Tue. High pressure will build in Tue night thru Wed followed by an approaching strong cold frontal system Thu.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Kure Beach, NC
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location: 33.96, -77.94     debug


Area Discussion for - Wilmington, NC
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FXUS62 KILM 232001 AFDILM

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Wilmington NC 401 PM EDT Sat Oct 23 2021

SYNOPSIS. Dry weather but continued above normal temps are expected the remainder of this weekend as weak high pressure prevails. Showers may skirt the coast late Sun night into Mon as low pressure develops over the Atlantic Waters and moves further offshore. The next cold front will approach Mon night bringing showers and possibly thunderstorms to the area. Brief and dry high pressure will build in for the mid- week period of next week followed by a strong low pressure system for the late week period.

NEAR TERM /THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT/. Zonal flow aloft to start this period, will help move the broad center of sfc high pressure west of the Appalachians, vcnty TN/NC border this evening, to offshore from the Mid-Atlantic Coast by late Sun. Models keep the developing warm front and associated clouds and pcpn well north of the FA, ie. VA and northward, by late this period. Look for a decent rad cooling night as winds decouple early this evening due to the sfc based temp inversion developing quickly after sunset. Will see the gradient tighten-some on the backside of the exiting sfc high by Sun morning. Onshore E-SE sfc winds may increase just enough prior to dawn to erode any fog that develops closer to the immediate coast. Took a few degrees off model consensus given what has transcribed during previous similar morning's with model consensus running too high with mins. Expect basically sunny/mostly sunny Sunday with possible Cu/Sc clouds late in the day and especially along the coastal counties Sun night. Max temps Sun to reach the 79-84 range, with low end of the range occurring along the immediate coast. Pcpn will hold off til late Sun night as SFC-700mb SE-S flow brings in some decent low- level Atlantic moisture. The s/w mid-level trof doesn't sharpen enough as it reaches Southeast States during Sun night. This will limit the inland progression of the pcpn to the immediate coast by the end of this period. Sun night lows will run a good 10+ degrees higher than tonights mins.

SHORT TERM /MONDAY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT/. A change will be occurring as the onshore flow will shift to the south and southwest ahead of a strong cold front. At 12 UTC Monday, a cold front is associated with a cutoff low over northern Indiana will move off the coast by 12 UTC Tuesday. 0-6 KM Shear will increase to 40 knots an increase in instability with Most Unstable capes around 1000 kg/j Monday after thus the marginal risk of severe weather on Monday for the forecast area. Highs are expected to be in the lower 80s, with a few middle 80s west of Interstate-95. Lows Monday will be in the upper 50s west of Interstate-95 to the middle 60sat the coast as the front has shifted off the coast.

LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/. A 2nd more powerful trough will move into the the Mississippi River Valley late Wednesday. By Saturday, will be a fully closed-off low covering the eastern half of the United States. With this cutoff, low developing diffluence is seen aloft and strong jet rotating around the base of the low. The deeper 2 inches precipitable water will move up and hug the Carolina coast. The 12 UTC GFS shows this deep moisture moving up into the forecast area around 6-12 hours than the 00 UTC GFS run. It definitely will be a very unsettled period with a warm front pushing up Thursday morning and the trailing cold front shifting off the coast during the day on Friday. Temperatures are expected to fall closer to normal, with highs in the lower to mid 70s and lows in the 50s.

AVIATION /19Z SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/. A mild air mass will give us VFR conditions. Light northwest flow this afternoon will become calm tonight with some ground fog possible after midnight. Light gradient on Sunday.

Extended Outlook . VFR. Convection is possible Monday night.

MARINE. Through Sunday Night . A weak sfc pg tonight will result in NE-E winds generally 5 to 10 kt and that may be too generous. Wind driven waves will be at their lowest input to the sea spectrum tonight. A fading residual 14+ second period will give way to a SE 6 to 7 second period pseudo or fresh swell later tonight thru Sun night as the backside of the sfc high exits off the Mid-Atlantic Coast and the sfc pg tightens slightly across the local waters. Looking at E winds increasing by or likely after sunrise Sun to around 10 kt . and veering to SE 10-15 kt late Sun aftn and night. Weak low offshore may provide a slight increase the sfc pg Sun night, will see how that plays out given models poor handling on it's development and strength. Seas around 2 ft building to 2 to 3 ft late Sun and Sun night. Widely scattered showers possible Sun night from the offshore low and associated moisture.

Monday through Thursday . A strong cold front will cross the coastal waters on Monday and off the coast Tuesday. Winds will be southerly to southwesterly on Monday, with the northwest winds after the frontal passage. Wind will diminish and remain from the west by Wednesday evening before winds will swing back from the south ahead of a stronger cold front approaching late in the weak. Seas are expected to be around 3 to 4 feet on Monday and increase to near 5 feet ahead of the front. As the winds become west, the wind speeds may be near small craft values. Seas will drop with the offshore flow to 1 to 3 feet by Wednesday but are expected to increase to 3 to 4 feet late on Thursday, with the second front approaching.

ILM WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. SC . None. NC . None. MARINE . None.

SYNOPSIS . DCH NEAR TERM . DCH SHORT TERM . RH LONG TERM . RH AVIATION . 43 MARINE . DCH/RH


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
MBIN7 10 mi32 min S 5.1G7 72°F 1014.9 hPa (-0.0)
MBNN7 16 mi32 min S 2.9G6 74°F 1015.2 hPa (-0.0)
41038 - ILM2 - 5 miles SE of Wrightsville Beach, NC 17 mi24 min S 3.9G5.8 71°F 75°F1015.8 hPa
41108 17 mi32 min 75°F2 ft
41110 - Masonboro Inlet, NC 17 mi36 min 75°F1 ft
JMPN7 - 8658163 - Johnny Mercer Pier, Wrightsville Beach, NC 19 mi44 min SSE 5.1G7 72°F 75°F1015 hPa
WLON7 19 mi44 min 79°F 73°F1014.7 hPa
41024 - Sunset Nearshore (SUN 2) 30 mi24 min W 3.9G5.8 72°F 74°F1016.5 hPa
SSBN7 30 mi21 min 74°F1 ft
41037 - ILM3 - 27 miles SE of Wrightsville Beach, NC 31 mi24 min NNE 1.9G5.8 73°F 78°F1015.5 hPa
41013 - Frying Pan Shoals, NC Buoy 37 mi22 min NNW 1.9G5.8 73°F 80°F1015.7 hPa56°F

Wind History for Wrightsville Beach, NC
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Brunswick County Airport, NC7 mi37 minSSE 310.00 miFair73°F60°F64%1015.9 hPa
Wilmington International Airport, NC22 mi39 minNNW 510.00 miFair78°F56°F47%1015.5 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KSUT

Wind History from SUT (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrSW7SW7SW8SW7SW8W6SW5W6W6W4NW5NW3000N40NE3N40SW6SW7S3S4
1 day agoS6SW7SW9
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2 days agoSW3SW3SW3SW5SW4SW4W4W4W40000W3W3W4SW7SW6SW6SW10SW7SW9SW9SW8

Tide / Current Tables for Reaves Point, North Carolina
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Reaves Point
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Sat -- 04:54 AM EDT     0.42 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 07:23 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sat -- 10:06 AM EDT     Moonset
Sat -- 10:43 AM EDT     4.45 feet High Tide
Sat -- 05:26 PM EDT     0.72 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 06:27 PM EDT     Sunset
Sat -- 08:22 PM EDT     Moonrise
Sat -- 10:59 PM EDT     3.73 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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Tide / Current Tables for Fort Caswell, Cape Fear River, North Carolina
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Fort Caswell
Click for Map
Sat -- 04:04 AM EDT     0.45 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 07:23 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sat -- 10:06 AM EDT     Moonset
Sat -- 10:16 AM EDT     4.94 feet High Tide
Sat -- 04:36 PM EDT     0.77 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 06:28 PM EDT     Sunset
Sat -- 08:23 PM EDT     Moonrise
Sat -- 10:32 PM EDT     4.14 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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NOTE: This section has been updated as of 1/26/2021. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may use the EDIT function to update your location.
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