Sunday, January16, 2022
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Marine Weather and Tides
Lake Sherwood, CA

Version 3.4
NOTICE
3/30/2021 -- ANZ330 has been split into ANZ331 and ANZ332. Click EDIT in Marine Forecast and select your new zone.
1/26/2021 -- The West Coast Satellite images havd been updated. They now use GEOS-17.
1/1/2021 -- The 7 day forecast are now working well. Thank you NOAA for your support.

Sunrise 7:00AMSunset 5:12PM Sunday January 16, 2022 5:52 PM PST (01:52 UTC) Moonrise 5:05PMMoonset 7:19AM Illumination 100% Phase: Full Moon; Moon at 14 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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PZZ655 Inner Waters From Point Mugu To San Mateo Pt. Ca Including Santa Catalina And Anacapa Islands- 203 Pm Pst Sun Jan 16 2022
Tonight..Winds variable 10 kt or less. Wind waves 2 ft or less. W swell 3 to 5 ft at 13 seconds.
Mon..SE winds 5 to 10 kt in the morning, becoming variable 10 kt or less. Wind waves 2 ft or less. W swell 2 to 3 ft at 12 seconds.
Mon night..Winds variable 10 kt or less. Wind waves 2 ft or less. W swell 2 to 3 ft at 13 seconds. Chance of showers.
Tue..Winds variable 10 kt or less. Wind waves 2 ft or less. W swell 2 to 3 ft at 13 seconds.
Tue night..W winds 10 kt in the evening, becoming variable 10 kt or less. Wind waves 2 ft or less. W swell 2 to 3 ft at 13 seconds. Patchy fog after midnight.
Wed..Winds variable 10 kt or less, becoming W 10 kt in the afternoon. Wind waves 2 ft or less. W swell 2 to 4 ft at 12 seconds. Patchy fog in the morning.
Wed night..NW winds 5 to 10 kt. Wind waves 2 ft or less. W swell 3 to 4 ft.
Thu..N winds 5 to 10 kt. Wind waves 2 ft or less. W swell 2 to 4 ft.
Fri..N winds 5 to 10 kt. Wind waves 2 ft or less. W swell 2 to 3 ft.
PZZ600 203 Pm Pst Sun Jan 16 2022
Synopsis for the southern california coast and santa barbara channel including the channel islands national marine sanctuary and national park..At 20z, or 12 pm pst, a 1040 mb high was over western colorado with a ridge extending to a 1023 mb high 200 nm W of eureka. A weak trough of low pressure was located along the southern ca coast.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Lake Sherwood, CA
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location: 34.04, -119.05     debug


Area Discussion for - Los Angeles/Oxnard, CA
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FXUS66 KLOX 170004 AFDLOX

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Los Angeles/Oxnard CA 404 PM PST Sun Jan 16 2022

SYNOPSIS. 16/229 AM.

It will be partly to mostly cloudy through Monday. There is slight chance of showers on Monday. Temperatures will mostly be above normal despite all of the clouds. Fair weather and a warming trend is likely for next week from Tuesday on.

SHORT TERM (TDY-WED). 16/133 PM.

Overall, 12Z models are in good synoptic agreement through Tuesday then begin to diverge on Wednesday. At upper levels, low currently offshore will move inland Monday and Tuesday. On Wednesday, the NAM and GFS retrograde a weak upper low over the area while the ECMWF drops a trough across the Great Basin. Near the surface, weak onshore will prevail through Tuesday with neutral/weak offshore flow developing on Wednesday.

Forecast-wise, no major issues expected through the short term period. With the upper low still offshore today and approaching the coast on Monday, plenty of mid and high level clouds will continue to stream over the area. Based on QPF progs, there is a chance of some light measurable showers Monday and Monday night, just about anywhere. At this time, measurable rainfall, if any, will be very light (under 0.10 inches). By Tuesday afternoon, the mid/high level clouds will begin to diminish. For Tuesday night and Wednesday, mostly clear skies will prevail except for a chance of some night/morning stratus and fog across the LAX coastal plain.

As for winds, do not anticipate any significant issues. Monday and Tuesday, there will be the typical onshore winds with speeds remaining well below advisory levels. On Wednesday, there may be some weak northeasterly winds developing with the potential for some weak offshore pressure gradients and some northeasterly flow aloft (if the NAM and GFS are correct). Even so, any offshore winds on Wednesday will remain well below advisory levels.

As for temperatures, expect slightly cooler conditions Monday and Tuesday with weak onshore flow (generally a couple degrees around normal levels). On Wednesday, temperatures will rebound a couple degrees most areas with the weakening of the onshore gradients.

LONG TERM (THU-SUN). 16/133 PM.

For the extended period, 12Z models have the same general synoptic ideas, but to different degrees. Main feature through the period will be an upper level ridge that develops over the West Coast. Due to the GFS maintaining some type of upper low over Baja Mexico through the period, it's less bullish with the ridge than the ECMWF. Looking the respective ensemble members and mean, as well as 3-7 day cluster analysis, it looks like the ECMWF idea (with the stronger ridge) will be the way to go.

Therefore, it looks like a warm and dry extended period for the area. With the upper level ridge developing over the West Coast, skies should remain mostly clear through the period. Looking at MSL progs, there will be some weak to moderate offshore gradients developing during the period. So, there will be the potential for some gusty northeasterly winds across the area. Additionally, the combo of the ridge overhead and offshore surface flow will bring some warm temperatures to the area. Current forecast indicate widespread 70s for high temperatures across the coast and coastal valleys. If the overall synoptic pattern persists, would not be surprised to see some of these forecast temperatures bumped up into the lower to mid 80s.

AVIATION. 17/0003Z.

At 2355Z at KLAX, there was a weak surface inversion, with the top at 1000 feet and a temperature of 18 degrees Celsius.

High confidence in the 00Z TAFs with VFR conditions likely at all airfields through the forecast period. There is a 20-30 percent chance of light showers across most TAF sites on Monday afternoon, along with an equal chance of cigs briefly falling to MVFR category.

KLAX . High confidence in the 00Z TAF with VFR conditions likely through Monday evening. There is a 30% chance of showers in the vicinity Monday afternoon and evening, with an equal chance of cigs briefly falling to MVFR category.

KBUR . High confidence in the 00Z TAF with VFR conditions likely through Monday evening. There is a 30% chance of showers in the vicinity Monday afternoon and evening, with an equal chance of cigs briefly falling to MVFR category.

MARINE. 16/1238 PM.

For the outer waters, there is a 40% chance of Small Craft Advisory (SCA) level wind gusts at times Tuesday and Tuesday night, especially northern and western areas. Otherwise, SCA conds are not expected thru Fri.

Across the inner waters north of Pt. Sal, winds and seas are expected to remain below SCA levels thru Fri.

Across the inner waters south of Pt. Conception, SCA conds are not expected thru Fri.

LOX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. CA . NONE. PZ . NONE.

.HAZARD POTENTIAL OUTLOOK (WED-SUN).

No significant hazards expected.



PUBLIC . Thompson AVIATION . Gomberg MARINE . Sirard SYNOPSIS . 30

weather.gov/losangeles

Experimental Graphical Hazardous Weather Outlook at: https://www.weather.gov/erh/ghwo?wfo=lox


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
46025 - Santa Monica Basin - 33NM West Southwest of Santa Monica, CA 19 mi32 min N 3.9G5.8 59°F 59°F1016.4 hPa57°F
46221 - Santa Monica Bay, CA (028) 25 mi56 min 60°F4 ft
46268 25 mi52 min 59°F 59°F2 ft
ICAC1 - 9410840 - Santa Monica Pier 29 mi52 min S 2.9G4.1 60°F 58°F1017.3 hPa (-0.0)
46251 33 mi56 min 58°F5 ft
NTBC1 - Santa Barbara, CA - 9411340 42 mi76 min WNW 1.9G4.1 67°F 1016.6 hPa
46053 - E. SANTA BARBARA - 12NM Southwest of Santa Barbara, CA 44 mi32 min SW 5.8G7.8 58°F 58°F1017.2 hPa56°F
PXAC1 46 mi64 min S 2.9G6
BAXC1 47 mi58 min SSE 4.1G7
OHBC1 - 9410660 - Los Angeles, CA 47 mi52 min 60°F1017.1 hPa (-0.0)
AGXC1 48 mi58 min SE 2.9G2.9 61°F 1014.5 hPa
PFDC1 48 mi64 min SE 4.1G5.1
46222 - San Pedro, CA (092) 49 mi56 min 59°F4 ft
PFXC1 49 mi52 min SE 5.1G5.1 60°F

Wind History for Santa Monica, CA
(wind in knots)    EDIT      (on/off)   Help
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Last 24 hrN9
NE7
G11
N10
N8
G12
N7
G10
NE8
N10
N5
G8
NE6
G9
NE7
NE6
NE7
NE1
E5
NE5
G8
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W4
W4
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S3
1 day
ago
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NW3
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SE3
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E1
SE2
W5
W8
W8
N5
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W2
W2
G5
SW1
G5
2 days
ago
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SW1
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--
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NE3
--
--
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NW3
NW3
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NW2
G5
NW4
G7

Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Point Mugu, Naval Air Warfare Center, CA7 mi60 minN 010.00 miMostly Cloudy62°F43°F50%1017.1 hPa
Camarillo, Camarillo Airport, CA12 mi57 minW 510.00 miA Few Clouds63°F39°F41%1017.4 hPa
Oxnard, Oxnard Airport, CA14 mi61 minW 510.00 miMostly Cloudy60°F50°F70%1016.4 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KNTD

Wind History from NTD (wind in knots)
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Last 24 hrE6NE9NE11NE11NE6E12NE13NE13NE10NE10NE9NE9NE9E11NE11NE8SE5S3SW7SW5W7W8W70
1 day ago0N4NE12NE13
G20
NE15
G22
E12E11E13
G21
E16E12E11
G25
E12E13S8S12S10S100N5NE3NE4E17E7SE4
2 days agoNE3NE3SW4SW3SE50NE4N5NW6NE3NE3NW3NE30N500NE13
G20
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SE15S14S13S9SW7

Tide / Current Tables for Mugu Lagoon (ocean pier), California
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Mugu Lagoon (ocean pier)
Click for Map
Sun -- 01:40 AM PST     2.35 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 06:19 AM PST     Moonset
Sun -- 07:01 AM PST     Sunrise
Sun -- 07:48 AM PST     5.74 feet High Tide
Sun -- 03:19 PM PST     -0.67 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 04:04 PM PST     Moonrise
Sun -- 05:11 PM PST     Sunset
Sun -- 09:47 PM PST     3.48 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

Mugu Lagoon (ocean pier), California, Tide feet
12
am
2.7
1
am
2.4
2
am
2.4
3
am
2.7
4
am
3.3
5
am
4.1
6
am
5
7
am
5.6
8
am
5.7
9
am
5.4
10
am
4.5
11
am
3.3
12
pm
2
1
pm
0.7
2
pm
-0.2
3
pm
-0.6
4
pm
-0.5
5
pm
0.1
6
pm
1
7
pm
2
8
pm
2.8
9
pm
3.4
10
pm
3.5
11
pm
3.3


Tide / Current Tables for Port Hueneme, California
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Port Hueneme
Click for Map
Sun -- 01:42 AM PST     2.45 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 06:19 AM PST     Moonset
Sun -- 07:02 AM PST     Sunrise
Sun -- 07:55 AM PST     5.88 feet High Tide
Sun -- 03:21 PM PST     -0.70 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 04:04 PM PST     Moonrise
Sun -- 05:11 PM PST     Sunset
Sun -- 09:54 PM PST     3.53 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

Port Hueneme, California, Tide feet
12
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2.8
1
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2.5
2
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2.5
3
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2.7
4
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3.4
5
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4.2
6
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5
7
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5.7
8
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5.9
9
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5.6
10
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4.7
11
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3.5
12
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2.1
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0.8
2
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-0.2
3
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-0.7
4
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-0.6
5
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0
6
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0.9
7
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1.9
8
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2.8
9
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3.4
10
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3.5
11
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3.3


Weather Map
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NOTE: This section has been updated as of 1/26/2021. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may use the EDIT function to update your location.
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