Sunday, January16, 2022
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Marine Weather and Tides
Ogden, NC

Version 3.4
NOTICE
3/30/2021 -- ANZ330 has been split into ANZ331 and ANZ332. Click EDIT in Marine Forecast and select your new zone.
1/26/2021 -- The West Coast Satellite images havd been updated. They now use GEOS-17.
1/1/2021 -- The 7 day forecast are now working well. Thank you NOAA for your support.

Sunrise 7:15AMSunset 5:27PM Sunday January 16, 2022 8:20 PM EST (01:20 UTC) Moonrise 4:13PMMoonset 6:28AM Illumination 100% Phase: Full Moon; Moon at 14 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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AMZ250 Coastal Waters From Surf City To Cape Fear Nc Out 20 Nm- 706 Pm Est Sun Jan 16 2022
.gale warning in effect through Monday evening...
Tonight..SW winds becoming W 25 to 30 kt with gusts up to 40 kt late this evening, then increasing to 30 to 35 kt with gusts up to 45 kt after midnight, diminishing to 25 to 30 kt with gusts up to 40 kt late. Seas 9 to 12 ft. A chance of showers, mainly this evening.
Mon..W winds 25 to 30 kt with gusts up to 40 kt. Seas 7 to 10 ft, subsiding to 5 to 8 ft in the afternoon.
Mon night..W winds 25 to 30 kt, becoming nw 20 to 25 kt after midnight. Seas 5 to 7 ft.
Tue..NW winds 15 to 20 kt with gusts up to 25 kt, diminishing to 5 to 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas 2 to 4 ft.
Tue night..W winds 5 kt. Seas 2 ft.
Wed..SW winds 5 to 10 kt, increasing to 10 to 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 2 to 3 ft.
Wed night..SW winds 10 to 15 kt. Gusts up to 20 kt after midnight. Seas 2 to 4 ft. Scattered showers after midnight.
Thu..W winds 10 kt, becoming N in the afternoon, then increasing to 15 to 20 kt in the evening, increasing to 20 to 25 kt after midnight. Seas 4 to 6 ft. Numerous showers through the day, then snow showers likely with scattered showers through the night.
Fri..N winds 20 to 25 kt, diminishing to 15 to 20 kt after midnight. Seas 5 to 7 ft. Snow showers likely through the day, then a chance of snow showers through the night.
AMZ200 706 Pm Est Sun Jan 16 2022
Synopsis for coastal waters from surf city north carolina to south santee river south carolina out to 20 nautical miles.. A significant low pressure system moving off to the northeast will continue to produce strong winds over the local waters, with a gale warning currently in effect through Monday evening. High pressure will follow with decreasing winds and seas into midweek. Small craft advisory likely Monday night into Tuesday.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Ogden, NC
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location: 34.24, -77.79     debug


Area Discussion for - Wilmington, NC
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FXUS62 KILM 170049 AFDILM

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Wilmington NC 749 PM EST Sun Jan 16 2022

SYNOPSIS. As a potent storm system exits, cold air and gusty winds with clearing expected into Monday. Winds will ease with fair weather through mid-week. Approaching cold front will bring a chance of rain Thursday, with frigid Arctic air following the front Friday into next weekend.

UPDATE. Lull in pcp and winds early this evening as low pressure moves off to the northeast as gradient relaxes a bit. Winds will pick up later this evening with some showers moving across the area, mainly inland and just off the coast as mid to upper low tracks northward and gradient tightens again. Dry and cool air will wrap around from the W-SW on the back end of the system into early Monday.

Just made minor adjustments to pops and weather, but otherwise, high surf and gale warning remain in effect with SPS issued for possible black ice inland. Levels along the Cape Fear river downtown were dropping and therefore the Coastal Flood Advisory has been cancelled.

NEAR TERM /THROUGH MONDAY/. Latest surface analysis shows a 998mb center of surface low pressure just offshore of the South Carolina/North Carolina border. This low has been deepening the last few hours, a trend that will be continuing through tonight, as the low races towards the DelMarVa region. This system has brought cold temperatures to the region, though a slow warming trend has taken shape. The Winter Weather Advisory from earlier today has officially been cancelled. However, wet surfaces along and west of I-95 will likely turn into black ice, due to freezing low temperatures expected tonight. A Special Weather Statement has been issued accordingly for these areas, valid until 9 AM EST Monday morning. To the east, lows are expected to drop into the mid-to-upper 30s, with a WSW breeze at 10-15 mph.

Monday, high pressure will start to slide in from the east. Pressure gradient will still be strong, prompting a healthy westerly breeze at 15 mph with gusts as high as 25-30 mph. Skies start clearing late Monday morning, but even with the sunshine, high temperatures will be chilly, lingering in the mid-to-upper 40s, roughly 10 degrees below normal for mid-January.

SHORT TERM /MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT/. After a cold night and nippy start in the 20s, temperatures to warm to normal Tuesday, mainly 50s across the board, plenty sun. Minimum temperatures Tuesday night under mainly clear skies, should dip to near normal levels for mid January in the 30s, light wind.

LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/. Approaching cold front and offshore high brings Max-T to above normal Wednesday with fair weather and perhaps increasing high clouds later in day. Appears pops peak Thursday, but linger at coast into Friday in GFS and ECMWF. Potentially coldest air of the season Friday into Saturday, with MEX guidance showing 22 at ILM Saturday morning, 24 around the Myrtles, 21 Lumberton. The cold air warrants inclusion of snow, given the temperatures beginning Thursday night.

AVIATION /00Z MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/. Dry slot and lull in winds as gradient relaxes as sfc low moves off to the northeast. Lingering IFR ceilings will affect inland terminals as upper low follows behind bringing and increase in gusty winds and mainly light showers after 02z. IFR/MVFR Ceilings will lift and improve toward morning as plenty of dry air moves in behind the system, but winds will continue to gust out of the SW to W. VFR expected after 12z with gusty westerly winds up to 25 kts diminishing through Monday.

Extended Outlook . VFR to dominate Monday evening through Wednesday. Next flight restrictions due by Wednesday night as a complicated system approaches from the west.

MARINE. Through Monday . High Surf Advisory for 6-9 ft seas in the surf zone continues through 7 AM Monday morning for the entire immediate coast, spanning from Georgetown County, SC to Pender County, SC. Meanwhile, a Gale Warning continues for all local waters through Monday evening, due to elevated winds and seas. Winds remain out of the WSW most of the time, slightly veering to the WNW towards the end of this forecast period. Winds may gust as high as 40kts through Monday morning. Seas tonight remain high at 10-12ft out 20nm from shore. By daybreak, seas start recovering, with seas 3-5ft at the coast and 6-8ft out 20nm from shore by Monday afternoon.

Monday Night through Friday . After elevated winds Monday night improving marine conditions the primary theme as winds abate Tuesday into Wednesday. Seas will drop way down potentially less than 2 feet mid-week, with little wind and not much swell at all to speak of. A cold front arrives with rain Thursday into Friday but it appears winds and seas will hold below advisory levels. Small craft advisory appears in the making next weekend however, as strong NE winds develop and jack seas up in the developing NE fetch,

ILM WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. SC . High Surf Advisory until 7 AM EST Monday for SCZ054-056. NC . High Surf Advisory until 7 AM EST Monday for NCZ106-108-110. MARINE . Gale Warning until 7 PM EST Monday for AMZ250-252-254-256.

SYNOPSIS . MJC UPDATE . RGZ NEAR TERM . IGB SHORT TERM . MJC LONG TERM . MJC AVIATION . RGZ MARINE . MJC/IGB


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
JMPN7 - 8658163 - Johnny Mercer Pier, Wrightsville Beach, NC 2 mi51 min WSW 13G17 51°F 52°F999.3 hPa
MBNN7 5 mi51 min W 8.9G17 50°F 999.1 hPa
41038 - ILM2 - 5 miles SE of Wrightsville Beach, NC 8 mi133 min W 19G31 56°F 55°F998.9 hPa
41110 - Masonboro Inlet, NC 8 mi25 min 55°F9 ft
WLON7 9 mi51 min 49°F 50°F999.3 hPa
MBIN7 11 mi51 min WNW 13G21 50°F 999 hPa
41037 - ILM3 - 27 miles SE of Wrightsville Beach, NC 29 mi73 min WSW 23G35 58°F 65°F998.7 hPa
41108 38 mi51 min 61°F12 ft
41159 45 mi25 min 62°F15 ft
41024 - Sunset Nearshore (SUN 2) 46 mi73 min WNW 18G23 50°F 53°F1000.9 hPa
SSBN7 46 mi70 min 52°F7 ft

Wind History for Wrightsville Beach, NC
(wind in knots)    EDIT      (on/off)   Help
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Last 24 hrNE17
G21
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NE20
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G25
N14
G20
N16
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N23
N23
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NE26
N24
G30
NE28
NE29
N22
NE25
SE14
G17
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G33
SW20
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NW4
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N10
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G17
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NE14
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NE13
G16
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G17
NE12
NE14
N12
G15
N13
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ago
W4
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W4
NW1
G4
NW4
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NW8
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G11
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G16
NW12
G20
NW12
G20
NW14
G18
NW11
G17
NW12
G19
NW16
G21
NW14
G20
NW10
G14
NW4
NW5

Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Wilmington International Airport, NC7 mi28 minW 1210.00 miOvercast50°F43°F77%1000.2 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KILM

Wind History from ILM (wind in knots)
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Last 24 hrNE9NE8NE9NE9NE13N11N12N12NE12NE14
G21
NE14NE13NE14
G19
NE10NE13NE11NE7SE12
G20
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SW11W12
1 day agoNW5NW3000NE5NE6NE7NE5NE5NE6N5NE11NE10NE9N6N8N10NE11NE8NE9N9NE10NE8
2 days agoW3W4NW3N4N3NE30NW6NW6NW4W6W8NW13N12N13
G18
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NW5N3NW3

Tide / Current Tables for Wrightsville Beach, North Carolina
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Wrightsville Beach
Click for Map
Sun -- 06:24 AM EST     4.12 feet High Tide
Sun -- 06:28 AM EST     Moonset
Sun -- 07:16 AM EST     Sunrise
Sun -- 12:50 PM EST     0.19 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 04:12 PM EST     Moonrise
Sun -- 05:25 PM EST     Sunset
Sun -- 06:36 PM EST     3.03 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

Wrightsville Beach, North Carolina, Tide feet
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0.8
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1.7
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2.9
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1.1
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0.4


Tide / Current Tables for Wilmington, North Carolina
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Wilmington
Click for Map
Sun -- 02:39 AM EST     -0.27 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 06:29 AM EST     Moonset
Sun -- 07:17 AM EST     Sunrise
Sun -- 08:42 AM EST     4.30 feet High Tide
Sun -- 03:31 PM EST     0.06 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 04:13 PM EST     Moonrise
Sun -- 05:26 PM EST     Sunset
Sun -- 09:03 PM EST     3.74 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

Wilmington, North Carolina, Tide feet
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3.9
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0.9
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2.9
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2.7


Weather Map
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NOTE: This section has been updated as of 1/26/2021. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may use the EDIT function to update your location.
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