Tuesday, December7, 2021
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Marine Weather and Tides
Hightsville, NC

Version 3.4
NOTICE
3/30/2021 -- ANZ330 has been split into ANZ331 and ANZ332. Click EDIT in Marine Forecast and select your new zone.
1/26/2021 -- The West Coast Satellite images havd been updated. They now use GEOS-17.
1/1/2021 -- The 7 day forecast are now working well. Thank you NOAA for your support.

Sunrise 7:03AMSunset 5:03PM Tuesday December 7, 2021 8:23 PM EST (01:23 UTC) Moonrise 10:40AMMoonset 8:45PM Illumination 15% Phase: Waxing Crescent; Moon at 4 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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AMZ250 Coastal Waters From Surf City To Cape Fear Nc Out 20 Nm- 642 Pm Est Tue Dec 7 2021
.small craft advisory in effect until 9 pm est this evening...
Tonight..NE winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 25 kt early, diminishing to 5 to 10 kt late. Seas 3 to 5 ft. A slight chance of rain this evening, then a chance of rain after midnight.
Wed..N winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming nw 10 to 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 3 to 4 ft. Showers with isolated tstms. Vsby 1 to 3 nm.
Wed night..NW winds 10 to 15 kt, becoming N 15 to 20 kt after midnight. Seas 3 to 4 ft.
Thu..NE winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt, diminishing to 5 to 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas 2 to 4 ft.
Thu night..SE winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft.
Fri..S winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft. A chance of showers in the afternoon.
Fri night..S winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft.
Sat..SW winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft, building to 5 to 7 ft. A chance of showers through the night.
Sun..NW winds 15 to 20 kt, becoming N 10 to 15 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft, subsiding to 3 to 4 ft. A chance of showers through the day. Winds and seas higher in and near tstms.
AMZ200 642 Pm Est Tue Dec 7 2021
Synopsis for coastal waters from surf city north carolina to south santee river south carolina out to 20 nautical miles.. A low pressure system will develop along the carolina coast toward morning and move off to the northeast in afternoon. Fair weather will be short lived on Thursday as unsettled weather is expected again over the waters Friday and yet again Sunday, as a series of fronts cross the coast.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Hightsville, NC
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location: 34.24, -77.94     debug


Area Discussion for - Wilmington, NC
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FXUS62 KILM 072355 AFDILM

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Wilmington NC 655 PM EST Tue Dec 7 2021

SYNOPSIS. Light rain overnight will turn to moderate showers Wednesday morning as low pressure approaches, then moves along the coast. Fair and cool weather Wednesday night and Thursday will change into a noticeable warmup Friday and Saturday, ahead of an approaching cold front. The front will move through early Sunday bringing a chance of rain, followed by dry and seasonably cooler weather early next week.

UPDATE. Few changes, only reduction in pops in the early going this evening, transitioning to likely and categorical rainfall and pockets of convection Wednesday morning, with the WPC painting over an inch in spots adjacent to the coast around Cape Fear, with elevated CAPE remaining partially influential on this, allowing better QPF potential in convective processes. Marine trends suggest a 9pm expiration of the Small Craft Advisory looks on target.

NEAR TERM /THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT/. The cold front offshore will see a series of weak lows along the front overnight, and a relatively stronger short-wave will approach. As a result, a stronger surface low will develop along the Carolina coast early Wednesday morning. This low-pressure system is the best chance of precipitation for the area in a while.

The ensembles and WPC QPF show values around 1". As the low develops along the coast, there is a small probability of an isolated thunderstorm for a few hours centered on 12 UTC Wednesday. The 12 UTC HREF only shows a quick 100-300 J/Kg ensemble mean for the most unstable CAPE, and the neighborhood probabilities hint at some convection. The time height cross- section of the NAM Hourly BUFR data shows elevated CAPE and the GFS not as much. Thus will put in a few hours of isolated thunder. Probably a bit of reach on my part in a highly uncertain event.

Lows tonight will range from the lower 40s to mid-40s at the coast, and on Wednesday night, lows will be around freezing inland to the upper 30s at the beaches.

SHORT TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT/. Dry and cool weather dominates Thursday with high pressure at the surface ridging in from the north. High temps in the mid to upper 50s. Center of the high shifts to the northeast late Thursday allowing weak return flow to develop, with lows Thursday night in the low 40s. Surface wedge erodes early Friday as a warm front lifts north. Maintained 20-30% pops for Friday as shallow overrunning will lead to scattered light rain, with QPF of only a few hundredths. High temps Friday around 70 as WAA increases. Increased cloud coverage and southerly flow will keep low temps Friday night near 60 degrees, which is more like normal high temps for this time of year.

LONG TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/. Warm, cloudy, and breezy on Saturday as southerly winds increase ahead of an approaching cold front. Current forecast continues to have high temps approaching 80 degrees on Saturday, which if that happens would approach record highs at climate sites. Global models have sped up the timing of this weekend's cold front, and is now expected to move across the area Saturday night and be offshore early Sunday. Front is aided by a fast- moving strong trough aloft, and do not expect much rainfall due to speed. Have kept low pops in the forecast during the day Sunday to cover any delay in FROPA timing.

Behind the cold front, dry high pressure moves in from the southwest. Temps cool to near to slightly below normal Sunday through Monday behind the front, with slight warming Tuesday as center of high pressure moves overhead.

AVIATION /00Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/. Cold front to stall near the GA-SC border. Mainly VFR to start except periodic MVFR at the coastal terminals this aftn from lowered ceilings at 2.5k ft. For tonight, overrunning clouds and the approaching mid- level s/w trof will result in predominate MVFR ceilings this evening, lowering to IFR ceilings during the pre- dawn Wed hrs. Pcpn will be spotty light rain or drizzle during the pre- dawn hrs becoming more widespread light rain with occasional moderate rains by daylight Wed. This will completely overspread Northeast SC and Southeast NC during Wed daytime morning with IFR dominating. Winds generally NNE-NE around 10 kt this aftn, dropping to 5 to 9 kt this evening. Low pressure moving ENE along the stalled front will reach the FA by midday Wed. This will make wind directions tricky but speeds remain 10 kt or less. Did not include thunder or even vcty thunder with coverage quite isolated and likely offshore and south of the front.

Extended Outlook . MVFR/IFR CIGs/VSBYs are likely during Wed aftn, improving to VFR from west to east after the CFP Wed aftn. Potential for MVFR/IFR fog Thu morning otherwise VFR Thu due to weak high pressure. A WFP Fri with associated MVFR. VFR from high pressure Sat with brief MVFR/IFR from a CFP late Sat night.

MARINE. Through Wednesday Night . A series of weak lows will propagate along the front well offshore. Its low will bring the boundary closer, and a stronger low will develop over the coastal waters of the Carolinas early Wednesday morning.

The current winds continue around 20 knots with frequent gust to 25 to 30 knots in the short term. Especially north of Murrells Inlet. Thus, extending the SCA out until 02 UTC and the southern end can be dropped a bit sooner as the winds diminish from south to north. Winds will be northeast, diminishing to around 15 knots overnight. As the stronger low develops and moves northeast of the coastal waters, the winds will increase to 15 to 20 knots from the northwest.

Currently, the seas are 3 to 5 feet north of Cape Fear and 2 to 4 feet to the south. The winds will weaken with the low overhead and then strengthen as it moves northeast away from the area, the seas will only be 2 to 4 feet with the offshore flow.

Thursday through Sunday . Northeast winds will be weakening after daybreak Thursday as high pressure ridges in from the north. Winds turn southerly on Friday as a warm front lifts north. Seas around 2 feet, occasionally 3 feet, Thursday and Friday. Southerly winds begin to increase in strength Friday night through Saturday ahead of an approaching cold front. 10-15 kt winds Friday night increase to 15-20 kt by Saturday evening with gusts to 25 kt. Seas 2-3 ft increase to 4-6 ft for Saturday night. Brief SCA is possible for Saturday night into Sunday. Cold front currently forecasted to move across the coastal waters around daybreak Sunday, with breezy NW to N winds developing during the day. Seas slowly lower during the day Sunday. 2 ft 9-10 sec ESE swell continues to mix with wind waves throughout forecast period.

ILM WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. SC . None. NC . None. MARINE . Small Craft Advisory until 9 PM EST this evening for AMZ250- 252-254-256.



SYNOPSIS . ILM UPDATE . MJC NEAR TERM . RH SHORT TERM . VAO LONG TERM . VAO AVIATION . MJC MARINE . VAO/RH


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
WLON7 1 mi53 min 57°F1019.6 hPa
JMPN7 - 8658163 - Johnny Mercer Pier, Wrightsville Beach, NC 8 mi53 min NE 13G16 59°F1019.7 hPa
MBNN7 8 mi29 min NE 7G13 51°F 1019.8 hPa
MBIN7 11 mi23 min ENE 11G16 52°F 1019.3 hPa (+0.4)
41038 - ILM2 - 5 miles SE of Wrightsville Beach, NC 14 mi75 min NE 14G19 53°F 60°F1020.4 hPa
41110 - Masonboro Inlet, NC 14 mi27 min 60°F4 ft
41037 - ILM3 - 27 miles SE of Wrightsville Beach, NC 35 mi75 min ENE 18G25 56°F 67°F1019 hPa
41108 36 mi53 min 62°F4 ft
41024 - Sunset Nearshore (SUN 2) 40 mi75 min ENE 9.7G14 53°F 57°F1020.4 hPa
SSBN7 40 mi72 min 57°F2 ft

Wind History for Wrightsville Beach, NC
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This day
1 day
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Wilmington International Airport, NC3 mi30 minNE 810.00 miOvercast51°F35°F54%1020.7 hPa
Brunswick County Airport, NC23 mi28 minN 410.00 miFair50°F39°F66%1020.7 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KILM

Wind History from ILM (wind in knots)
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This daySW6SW8SW8SW9SW8SW7W5NW5N15
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1 day ago000000000000W3W6SW6SW14SW14
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2 days ago000NE4NE6NE5NE6NE5NE5E4NE6NE3NE8NE6E7SE5SE4E7E4E4E30SE30

Tide / Current Tables for Wilmington, North Carolina
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Wilmington
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Tue -- 06:14 AM EST     -0.24 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 07:04 AM EST     Sunrise
Tue -- 10:40 AM EST     Moonrise
Tue -- 12:01 PM EST     4.91 feet High Tide
Tue -- 05:01 PM EST     Sunset
Tue -- 07:04 PM EST     -0.03 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 08:44 PM EST     Moonset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

Wilmington, North Carolina, Tide feet
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4
1
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3.4
2
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2.6
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1.8
4
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1
5
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0.3
6
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-0.2
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0
8
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1.2
9
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2.8
10
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4
11
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4.7
12
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4.9
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4.7
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4.1
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3.2
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2.4
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1.5
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0.5
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-0
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0.4
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1.6
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2.8
11
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3.6


Tide / Current Tables for Campbell Island, North Carolina
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Campbell Island
Click for Map
Tue -- 05:29 AM EST     -0.23 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 07:04 AM EST     Sunrise
Tue -- 10:39 AM EST     Moonrise
Tue -- 11:16 AM EST     4.56 feet High Tide
Tue -- 05:02 PM EST     Sunset
Tue -- 06:19 PM EST     -0.03 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 08:45 PM EST     Moonset
Tue -- 11:36 PM EST     3.66 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

Campbell Island, North Carolina, Tide feet
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3.4
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2.6
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1.8
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1.1
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4.5
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4.5
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3.9
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3.2
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2.4
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1.6
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0.7
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0
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0.2
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1.2
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2.3
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3.2
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3.6


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NOTE: This section has been updated as of 1/26/2021. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may use the EDIT function to update your location.
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