Sunday, January16, 2022
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Marine Weather and Tides
San Buenaventura (Ventura), CA

Version 3.4
NOTICE
3/30/2021 -- ANZ330 has been split into ANZ331 and ANZ332. Click EDIT in Marine Forecast and select your new zone.
1/26/2021 -- The West Coast Satellite images havd been updated. They now use GEOS-17.
1/1/2021 -- The 7 day forecast are now working well. Thank you NOAA for your support.

Sunrise 7:01AMSunset 5:12PM Sunday January 16, 2022 5:21 PM PST (01:21 UTC) Moonrise 5:05PMMoonset 7:20AM Illumination 100% Phase: Full Moon; Moon at 14 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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PZZ650 East Santa Barbara Channel From Pt. Conception To Pt. Mugu Ca Including Santa Cruz Island- 203 Pm Pst Sun Jan 16 2022
Tonight..Winds variable 10 kt or less, becoming W 5 to 10 kt after midnight. Wind waves 2 ft or less. W swell 4 to 6 ft at 13 seconds.
Mon..SE winds 5 to 10 kt in the morning, becoming variable 10 kt or less. Wind waves 2 ft or less. W swell 3 to 5 ft at 12 seconds. Slight chance of showers in the afternoon.
Mon night..Winds variable 10 kt or less. Wind waves 2 ft or less. W swell 3 to 4 ft at 13 seconds. Chance of showers in the evening, then slight chance of showers.
Tue..NW winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming W 10 to 15 kt in the afternoon. Wind waves 1 to 3 ft. W swell 4 to 5 ft at 13 seconds.
Tue night..NW winds 10 to 15 kt, becoming N 5 to 10 kt after midnight. Wind waves 1 to 3 ft. W swell 4 to 6 ft at 13 seconds.
Wed..NE winds 5 to 10 kt in the morning, becoming variable 10 kt or less. Wind waves 2 ft or less. W swell 3 to 5 ft at 12 seconds.
Wed night..NW winds 5 to 10 kt. Wind waves 2 ft or less. W swell 4 to 5 ft.
Thu..N winds 5 to 10 kt. Wind waves 2 ft or less. W swell 3 to 4 ft.
Fri..NW winds 5 to 10 kt. Wind waves 2 ft or less. W swell 3 to 5 ft.
PZZ600 203 Pm Pst Sun Jan 16 2022
Synopsis for the southern california coast and santa barbara channel including the channel islands national marine sanctuary and national park..At 20z, or 12 pm pst, a 1040 mb high was over western colorado with a ridge extending to a 1023 mb high 200 nm W of eureka. A weak trough of low pressure was located along the southern ca coast.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near San Buenaventura (Ventura), CA
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location: 34.25, -119.31     debug


Area Discussion for - Los Angeles/Oxnard, CA
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FXUS66 KLOX 170004 AFDLOX

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Los Angeles/Oxnard CA 404 PM PST Sun Jan 16 2022

SYNOPSIS. 16/229 AM.

It will be partly to mostly cloudy through Monday. There is slight chance of showers on Monday. Temperatures will mostly be above normal despite all of the clouds. Fair weather and a warming trend is likely for next week from Tuesday on.

SHORT TERM (TDY-WED). 16/133 PM.

Overall, 12Z models are in good synoptic agreement through Tuesday then begin to diverge on Wednesday. At upper levels, low currently offshore will move inland Monday and Tuesday. On Wednesday, the NAM and GFS retrograde a weak upper low over the area while the ECMWF drops a trough across the Great Basin. Near the surface, weak onshore will prevail through Tuesday with neutral/weak offshore flow developing on Wednesday.

Forecast-wise, no major issues expected through the short term period. With the upper low still offshore today and approaching the coast on Monday, plenty of mid and high level clouds will continue to stream over the area. Based on QPF progs, there is a chance of some light measurable showers Monday and Monday night, just about anywhere. At this time, measurable rainfall, if any, will be very light (under 0.10 inches). By Tuesday afternoon, the mid/high level clouds will begin to diminish. For Tuesday night and Wednesday, mostly clear skies will prevail except for a chance of some night/morning stratus and fog across the LAX coastal plain.

As for winds, do not anticipate any significant issues. Monday and Tuesday, there will be the typical onshore winds with speeds remaining well below advisory levels. On Wednesday, there may be some weak northeasterly winds developing with the potential for some weak offshore pressure gradients and some northeasterly flow aloft (if the NAM and GFS are correct). Even so, any offshore winds on Wednesday will remain well below advisory levels.

As for temperatures, expect slightly cooler conditions Monday and Tuesday with weak onshore flow (generally a couple degrees around normal levels). On Wednesday, temperatures will rebound a couple degrees most areas with the weakening of the onshore gradients.

LONG TERM (THU-SUN). 16/133 PM.

For the extended period, 12Z models have the same general synoptic ideas, but to different degrees. Main feature through the period will be an upper level ridge that develops over the West Coast. Due to the GFS maintaining some type of upper low over Baja Mexico through the period, it's less bullish with the ridge than the ECMWF. Looking the respective ensemble members and mean, as well as 3-7 day cluster analysis, it looks like the ECMWF idea (with the stronger ridge) will be the way to go.

Therefore, it looks like a warm and dry extended period for the area. With the upper level ridge developing over the West Coast, skies should remain mostly clear through the period. Looking at MSL progs, there will be some weak to moderate offshore gradients developing during the period. So, there will be the potential for some gusty northeasterly winds across the area. Additionally, the combo of the ridge overhead and offshore surface flow will bring some warm temperatures to the area. Current forecast indicate widespread 70s for high temperatures across the coast and coastal valleys. If the overall synoptic pattern persists, would not be surprised to see some of these forecast temperatures bumped up into the lower to mid 80s.

AVIATION. 17/0003Z.

At 2355Z at KLAX, there was a weak surface inversion, with the top at 1000 feet and a temperature of 18 degrees Celsius.

High confidence in the 00Z TAFs with VFR conditions likely at all airfields through the forecast period. There is a 20-30 percent chance of light showers across most TAF sites on Monday afternoon, along with an equal chance of cigs briefly falling to MVFR category.

KLAX . High confidence in the 00Z TAF with VFR conditions likely through Monday evening. There is a 30% chance of showers in the vicinity Monday afternoon and evening, with an equal chance of cigs briefly falling to MVFR category.

KBUR . High confidence in the 00Z TAF with VFR conditions likely through Monday evening. There is a 30% chance of showers in the vicinity Monday afternoon and evening, with an equal chance of cigs briefly falling to MVFR category.

MARINE. 16/1238 PM.

For the outer waters, there is a 40% chance of Small Craft Advisory (SCA) level wind gusts at times Tuesday and Tuesday night, especially northern and western areas. Otherwise, SCA conds are not expected thru Fri.

Across the inner waters north of Pt. Sal, winds and seas are expected to remain below SCA levels thru Fri.

Across the inner waters south of Pt. Conception, SCA conds are not expected thru Fri.

LOX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. CA . NONE. PZ . NONE.

.HAZARD POTENTIAL OUTLOOK (WED-SUN).

No significant hazards expected.



PUBLIC . Thompson AVIATION . Gomberg MARINE . Sirard SYNOPSIS . 30

weather.gov/losangeles

Experimental Graphical Hazardous Weather Outlook at: https://www.weather.gov/erh/ghwo?wfo=lox


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
NTBC1 - Santa Barbara, CA - 9411340 23 mi46 min WNW 1.9G4.1 67°F 1016.6 hPa
46053 - E. SANTA BARBARA - 12NM Southwest of Santa Barbara, CA 28 mi32 min SW 5.8G5.8 59°F 58°F5 ft1017.2 hPa56°F
46251 36 mi26 min 58°F5 ft
46025 - Santa Monica Basin - 33NM West Southwest of Santa Monica, CA 37 mi32 min NW 1.9G1.9 60°F 59°F4 ft1016.8 hPa57°F
46268 42 mi52 min 61°F 59°F2 ft
46221 - Santa Monica Bay, CA (028) 45 mi26 min 60°F4 ft
ICAC1 - 9410840 - Santa Monica Pier 46 mi52 min 0G0 64°F 58°F1017 hPa

Wind History for Santa Barbara, CA
(wind in knots)    EDIT      (on/off)   Help
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Last 24 hrNW2
S4
E7
G10
E6
G9
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G17
E6
N1
SW2
G5
NW1
SW3
NE2
NW4
W2
SW3
NW4
NW3
N4
S2
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SW7
W3
G6
SW7
NW3
SW6
1 day
ago
NE3
NE4
SW4
NW1
NW1
SW3
W1
SW2
SW2
N5
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W3
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G5
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N1
G4
NE2
N4
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NW5
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--
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S2
2 days
ago
N2
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SW3
W1
N5
S10
SW6
N4
SW3
N1
N5
N3
W2
N2
N4
N1
S1
--
SW5
SW10
SW8
G15
SW6
SW8
G11
N3

Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Oxnard, Oxnard Airport, CA6 mi31 minW 510.00 miMostly Cloudy60°F50°F70%1016.4 hPa
Camarillo, Camarillo Airport, CA12 mi27 minW 510.00 miA Few Clouds63°F39°F41%1017.4 hPa
Point Mugu, Naval Air Warfare Center, CA13 mi30 minN 010.00 miMostly Cloudy62°F43°F50%1017.1 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KOXR

Wind History from OXR (wind in knots)
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Last 24 hrE10NE12E12E8E7E7SE7E11E9E6NE5NE4NE40N40N3NE3W8W8W11W11W8W5
1 day ago--0E10E13
G21
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G21
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E10E12E9
G17
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2 days ago00000S3NE4NW3000NE4NE40NE70N3NW7E20
G31
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SW7W4

Tide / Current Tables for Ventura, California
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Ventura
Click for Map
Sun -- 01:44 AM PST     2.45 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 06:20 AM PST     Moonset
Sun -- 07:02 AM PST     Sunrise
Sun -- 07:54 AM PST     5.88 feet High Tide
Sun -- 03:24 PM PST     -0.70 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 04:04 PM PST     Moonrise
Sun -- 05:11 PM PST     Sunset
Sun -- 09:53 PM PST     3.53 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

Ventura, California, Tide feet
12
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2.8
1
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2.5
2
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2.5
3
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2.7
4
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3.3
5
am
4.2
6
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5
7
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5.7
8
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5.9
9
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5.6
10
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4.7
11
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3.5
12
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2.1
1
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0.8
2
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-0.1
3
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-0.7
4
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-0.6
5
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-0
6
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0.9
7
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1.9
8
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2.8
9
pm
3.4
10
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3.5
11
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3.3


Tide / Current Tables for Port Hueneme, California
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Port Hueneme
Click for Map
Sun -- 01:42 AM PST     2.45 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 06:19 AM PST     Moonset
Sun -- 07:02 AM PST     Sunrise
Sun -- 07:55 AM PST     5.88 feet High Tide
Sun -- 03:21 PM PST     -0.70 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 04:04 PM PST     Moonrise
Sun -- 05:11 PM PST     Sunset
Sun -- 09:54 PM PST     3.53 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

Port Hueneme, California, Tide feet
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2.8
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2.5
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2.5
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2.7
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3.4
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4.2
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5
7
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5.7
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5.9
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5.6
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4.7
11
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3.5
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2.1
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0.8
2
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-0.2
3
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-0.7
4
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-0.6
5
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0
6
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0.9
7
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1.9
8
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2.8
9
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3.4
10
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3.5
11
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3.3


Weather Map
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GEOS Local Image of Southwest    EDIT
NOTE: This section has been updated as of 1/26/2021. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may use the EDIT function to update your location.
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