Sunday, November28, 2021
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Marine Weather and Tides
Holly Ridge, NC

Version 3.4
NOTICE
3/30/2021 -- ANZ330 has been split into ANZ331 and ANZ332. Click EDIT in Marine Forecast and select your new zone.
1/26/2021 -- The West Coast Satellite images havd been updated. They now use GEOS-17.
1/1/2021 -- The 7 day forecast are now working well. Thank you NOAA for your support.

Sunrise 6:55AMSunset 5:00PM Sunday November 28, 2021 7:13 PM EST (00:13 UTC) Moonrise 12:23AMMoonset 1:38PM Illumination 29% Phase: Waning Crescent; Moon at 24 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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AMZ250 Coastal Waters From Surf City To Cape Fear Nc Out 20 Nm- 619 Pm Est Sun Nov 28 2021
.small craft advisory in effect from 3 am est Monday through Monday morning...
Tonight..W winds 10 to 15 kt, increasing to 15 to 20 kt late this evening and early morning, then becoming N late. Seas 2 to 4 ft.
Mon..N winds 20 to 25 kt with gusts up to 30 kt, diminishing to 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas 2 to 4 ft.
Mon night..NW winds 10 to 15 kt, diminishing to 5 to 10 kt after midnight. Seas 2 to 3 ft.
Tue..SW winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft.
Tue night..W winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt, diminishing to 5 to 10 kt after midnight. Seas 2 to 3 ft.
Wed..W winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
Wed night..SW winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft.
Thu..W winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft.
Fri..W winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft.
AMZ200 619 Pm Est Sun Nov 28 2021
Synopsis for coastal waters from surf city north carolina to south santee river south carolina out to 20 nautical miles.. A dry cold front is exiting appalachia and will be rushing towards the coast tonight. Winds will increase to result in a small craft advisory for the local waters late tonight through late Monday morning. After the front passes, high pressure returns, lingering through Thursday.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Holly Ridge, NC
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location: 34.49, -77.61     debug


Area Discussion for - Wilmington, NC
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FXUS62 KILM 282338 AFDILM

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Wilmington NC 638 PM EST Sun Nov 28 2021

SYNOPSIS. Dry weather is expected to continue through the upcoming week. A cold front will knock temperatures down a bit on Monday, then a warming trend will see temperatures warm up to above normal by the latter half of the week.

NEAR TERM /THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT/. Latest surface analysis shows a cold front beginning to exit Appalachia, heading into the Piedmont region. This dry front will race towards the coast tonight. While winds in the lower boundary layer will start to veer to the north after the frontal passage late tonight, most of the flow aloft remains to the WNW, so there won't be much in the way of cold air advection. Lows tonight similar to the previous night, generally in the mid 30s.

By Monday morning, the cold front will be well offshore, and high pressure will start to move in from the west. Precipitable water values at this point drop from 0.50" to 0.25". Relative humidity values bottom out near or just below 30%, which generate a few concerns for fire weather, but wind speeds remain below the criteria needed to issue anything official. Expecting plenty of sunshine Monday, but it'll be chilly, with highs in the low-to-mid 50s, some 8-10 degrees below normal for late November.

High pressure slides east Monday evening, more or less directly overhead the Carolinas. Decoupling of the boundary layer, clear skies, and light winds create an ideal scenario for excellent radiational cooling. Lows in the upper 20s inland, with lower 30s possible near the coast. Wouldn't be surprised if some of the cold spots in parts of Pender and Bladen Counties dip down into the lower 20s.

SHORT TERM /TUESDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT/. Quiet weather continues for the week with high pressure suppressed to the south Tuesday and a weak surface trough to the north. This allows weak WAA to set up, increasing temps from the start of the week. Aloft, zonal flow dominates Tuesday and Wednesday. Atmosphere remains pretty dry, with RH dipping below 30% Tuesday afternoon. With breezy southwest wind gusts around 15-20 mph, increased fire danger may linger into Tuesday. A cold front looks to stall well to the north Wednesday night before dissipating as it loses momentum. Temps in the low 60s Tuesday increase to upper 60s Wednesday, with lows in the mid to upper 30s Tuesday night increasing to mid 40s Wed night.

LONG TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/. Rain chances remain non-existent through at least Saturday, which is not good for ongoing moderate drought across the area. With low pressure over the northeast and high pressure over the Gulf of Mexico, WSW flow dominates low to mid levels Thursday maintaining dry air and allowing temps to reach around 70 degrees. Guidance begins to differ quite a bit for Friday into the weekend. GFS is quite quick bringing a strong, yet dry, cold front across the area early Friday leading to brief cooling before warming again for the weekend. ECM however delays fropa until late Saturday, maintaining warm temps for the late week with a cooldown Sunday. Current forecast leans more towards the ECM and model blend solution. Very low pops included along the coast and offshore Sunday to account for possibility of return flow developing around high pressure to the north.

AVIATION /00Z MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/. VFR through the 00Z TAF period. Winds will be SW around 5 kt overnight, becoming NW by early Monday morning with a cold frontal passage. NW winds 10-15 kt with gusts up to 20-25 kt daytime Monday following the fropa. Dry wx and SKC continues.

Extended Outlook . VFR continues with another dry fropa late Thursday into Friday.

MARINE. Through Monday Night . Southwesterly winds at 15kts will start to veer towards the west this evening as a cold front approaches. After the front passes late tonight, winds will continue to veer to the northwest, with increasing speeds introducing a Small Craft Advisory, valid from 3 AM to 11 AM. Seas at this time increase to 2- 3ft at the coast and 3-5ft 20nm from shore. By Monday afternoon, winds and seas begin to decrease. By late Monday evening, expect winds to back towards the west again at 5-10kts, and and seas linger at 1-2ft.

Tuesday through Saturday . Southwest winds will prevail for most of the upcoming week, with SW wind waves mixing with a weak E swell. SW winds over coastal waters will be a bit breezy Tuesday afternoon around 10-15 kts with gusts to 20. Seas 2-3 ft. Winds weaken to less than 10 kts Tuesday night and Wednesday with seas around 2 ft as surface pressure pattern becomes less defined. As low pressure moves across the northeast and a cold front approaches from the west, SW winds are expected to increase on Thursday to 15-20 kts. Guidance differs on timing of frontal passage, anywhere from early Friday through late Saturday. Current forecast reflects a more later timing, with WSW winds continues through Friday and Friday night before veering to offshore winds on Saturday. Seas max out around 2- 4 ft Thursday afternoon into Thursday night.

ILM WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. SC . None. NC . None. MARINE . Small Craft Advisory from 3 AM to 11 AM EST Monday for AMZ250- 252-254-256.

SYNOPSIS . ILM NEAR TERM . IGB SHORT TERM . VAO LONG TERM . VAO AVIATION . MAS MARINE . IGB/VAO


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
JMPN7 - 8658163 - Johnny Mercer Pier, Wrightsville Beach, NC 21 mi73 min WSW 6G8 57°F 58°F1011.3 hPa (+1.0)
41038 - ILM2 - 5 miles SE of Wrightsville Beach, NC 25 mi65 min WNW 12G16 59°F 61°F1012 hPa
41110 - Masonboro Inlet, NC 25 mi47 min 62°F2 ft
MBNN7 25 mi73 min W 4.1G6 56°F 1011.1 hPa (+1.1)
WLON7 26 mi73 min 55°F 56°F1010.9 hPa (+0.9)
MBIN7 31 mi73 min W 5.1G8.9 56°F 1011 hPa (+0.7)
41037 - ILM3 - 27 miles SE of Wrightsville Beach, NC 37 mi65 min WSW 16G23 64°F 71°F1011.3 hPa
41064 40 mi65 min SW 18G25 65°F 69°F1011.7 hPa
41159 40 mi47 min 69°F5 ft

Wind History for Wrightsville Beach, NC
(wind in knots)    EDIT      (on/off)   Help
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure

Link to 5 minute data for KNCA

Wind History from NCA (wind in knots)
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This day00SW3SW40SW4SW30W30SW3SW6SW3SW7SW7SW8W9W8W7
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1 day agoNW9NW6NW6NW6NW7NW7N6NW7N7NW9NW3W5W4NW5N9N9NW8N60NW6SW4W4W40
2 days agoSW4SW4SW4SW4SW8SW10SW9SW9W8SW7SW5W6W4W6W6W9NW11NW13NW12W20
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Tide / Current Tables for New Topsail Inlet, North Carolina
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New Topsail Inlet
Click for Map
Sun -- 12:23 AM EST     Moonrise
Sun -- 01:44 AM EST     2.76 feet High Tide
Sun -- 06:56 AM EST     Sunrise
Sun -- 08:29 AM EST     0.52 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 01:38 PM EST     Moonset
Sun -- 02:01 PM EST     2.94 feet High Tide
Sun -- 05:00 PM EST     Sunset
Sun -- 09:03 PM EST     0.27 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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Tide / Current Tables for Bannermans Branch, Northeast River, North Carolina
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Bannermans Branch
Click for Map
Sun -- 12:23 AM EST     Moonrise
Sun -- 04:25 AM EST     0.12 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 06:57 AM EST     Sunrise
Sun -- 09:39 AM EST     1.23 feet High Tide
Sun -- 01:38 PM EST     Moonset
Sun -- 04:36 PM EST     0.09 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 05:00 PM EST     Sunset
Sun -- 09:48 PM EST     1.35 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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Weather Map
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GEOS Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: This section has been updated as of 1/26/2021. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may use the EDIT function to update your location.
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