Wednesday, January19, 2022
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Marine Weather and Tides
Burgaw, NC

Version 3.4
NOTICE
3/30/2021 -- ANZ330 has been split into ANZ331 and ANZ332. Click EDIT in Marine Forecast and select your new zone.
1/26/2021 -- The West Coast Satellite images havd been updated. They now use GEOS-17.
1/1/2021 -- The 7 day forecast are now working well. Thank you NOAA for your support.

Sunrise 7:13AMSunset 5:27PM Wednesday January 19, 2022 2:29 AM EST (07:29 UTC) Moonrise 7:08PMMoonset 8:39AM Illumination 97% Phase: Waning Gibbous; Moon at 16 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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AMZ250 Coastal Waters From Surf City To Cape Fear Nc Out 20 Nm- 1212 Am Est Wed Jan 19 2022
Rest of tonight..SW winds 5 kt. Seas 1 foot.
Wed..SW winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 foot, then 2 ft in the afternoon.
Wed night..SW winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft.
Thu..SW winds 10 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft. A chance of rain.
Thu night..N winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt, becoming ne 20 to 25 kt with gusts up to 30 kt after midnight. Seas 2 to 3 ft, building to 3 to 5 ft after midnight. Rain.
Fri..N winds 20 to 25 kt with gusts up to 30 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft. Rain.
Fri night..N winds 20 to 25 kt, diminishing to 15 to 20 kt after midnight. Gusts up to 30 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft. Rain.
Sat..N winds 15 to 20 kt, diminishing to 10 to 15 kt after midnight. Seas 4 to 6 ft. Rain likely, mainly in the morning.
Sun..NW winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft.
AMZ200 1212 Am Est Wed Jan 19 2022
Synopsis for coastal waters from surf city north carolina to south santee river south carolina out to 20 nautical miles.. High pressure in the area will lower winds and seas tonight and Wednesday. The high will prevail through the middle of the week. Small craft advisory conditions likely Thursday night through Sunday morning as the next system impacts the area.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Burgaw, NC
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location: 34.58, -77.77     debug


Area Discussion for - Wilmington, NC
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FXUS62 KILM 190515 AFDILM

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Wilmington NC 1215 AM EST Wed Jan 19 2022

SYNOPSIS. Temperatures warm Wednesday and Thursday as southerly flow strengthens ahead of an arctic cold front. This front will move through late Thursday. As low pressure develops offshore freezing rain will overspread the area by Friday morning, possibly continuing all day with significant ice accumulations possible. Early next week will remain rain-free and cooler than normal.

UPDATE. Previous forecast remains on track. Steady stream of cirrus clouds overhead will limit temperatures from dropping too much tonight for most of the area.

NEAR TERM /THROUGH THURSDAY/. Quiet forecast period here. Latest surface analysis shows an elongated center of surface high pressure, stretching from the Florida Gulf Coast to South Carolina Low Country. Throughout this period, this surface high will gradually start to push offshore, setting up some return flow. Tonight, as the high becomes more directly overhead, it sets up for a nice radiational cooling night. Expecting lows tonight to dip down near or just below freezing, with some of the usual cold spots in Pender County, NC potentially dropping down into the mid 20s.

Wednesday, SSW return flow sets up by the late morning hours, allowing temperatures to easily shoot up into the low-to-mid 60s. Moisture increases slightly aloft, allowing for some cirrus to stop by in between plentiful sunshine.

Enjoy the warmer temperatures Very cold air coming soon.

SHORT TERM /THURSDAY NIGHT/. The short term appears to offer our last bout of warmer than normal temperatures for quite some time to come. The atmosphere will have a southerly component through a deep layer as high pressure sits offshore and a broad upper trough develops across almost the entire nation. The warmth will be bolstered Thursday as a strong cold front approaches, this warming most notable at the immediate coast where highs could surge into the 60s despite widespread cloud cover and some light prefrontal rain. Temperatures a little tricky Thursday night in the CAA regime as they may fall right through daybreak A changeover to freezing rain appears possible over at least our far inland zones.

LONG TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/. Freezing rain is looking increasingly likely on Friday. And although there is still considerable model differences regarding ice amounts, some guidance show that there is at least the possibility of a damaging ice storm here along the coast. The setup is a classic one with cold air being re-enforced at the surface as high pressure noses in while a warm nose aloft associated with low pressure developing offshore overrun the wedge. The warm nose grows so strong in fact that the immediate coast gets above freezing even in the normally reliable blended thickness output. This will act to decrease ice accums in an already uncertain forecast (models often seem to underestimate the strength of the cold wedge). Even should this occur a change back to freezing rain is expected area-wide later in the afternoon as the deepening low passes by. Later Friday night as the cold air deepens some sleet or snow may mix in but the deep layer moisture will be waning fast. The dominant ptype still appears to be freezing rain through most of the event. Saturday highs will be above freezing possibly allowing for some ice melt but there may also be a good setup for black ice Saturday night as lows tumble into the 20s. The end of the period will be rain-free but will see a continuation of below normal temperatures.

AVIATION /05Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/. VFR through the TAF period. Intermittent high clouds will prevail through Wednesday. Light south-southwest winds will develop after daybreak.

Extended Outlook . VFR to dominate through Wednesday. Next flight restrictions are due by late Wednesday night into Thursday morning as a complicated system approaches from the west, potentially bringing wintry precipitation into the area. May not have a chance to return to VFR until Sunday.

MARINE. Through Wednesday . Benign marine conditions this period. Northwesterly winds around 5kts become more light and variable tonight, before backing to the southwest at 5-10kts by late Wednesday morning. Seas 1-2ft throughout all coastal zones, spanning from the beaches to 20nm offshore.

Wednesday night through Sunday . Prefrontal SW winds Wed night into Thursday swing around abruptly with arctic cold front by Thursday evening. Cold surge Thursday night will cause conditions to deteriorate into advisory realm. Headlines may be in effect for several days as the arctic high will be slow to move. Additionally low pressure develops offshore Friday, only moving slowly to the NE on Saturday. The gradient will remain pinched between this storm and the arctic high. Conditions may finally improve on Sunday as the high finally weakens.

ILM WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. SC . None. NC . None. MARINE . None.

SYNOPSIS . ILM UPDATE . VAO NEAR TERM . IGB SHORT TERM . mbB LONG TERM . mbB AVIATION . VAO MARINE . ILM


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
JMPN7 - 8658163 - Johnny Mercer Pier, Wrightsville Beach, NC 25 mi60 min W 6G8 41°F 51°F1024.5 hPa
WLON7 26 mi60 min 37°F 47°F1024.2 hPa
MBNN7 28 mi60 min WNW 2.9G5.1 39°F 1024.4 hPa
41038 - ILM2 - 5 miles SE of Wrightsville Beach, NC 30 mi142 min WNW 5.8G7.8 47°F 54°F1025.5 hPa
41110 - Masonboro Inlet, NC 30 mi64 min 54°F1 ft
MBIN7 34 mi60 min WNW 5.1G7 39°F 1024 hPa
41037 - ILM3 - 27 miles SE of Wrightsville Beach, NC 46 mi82 min SSW 1.9G5.8 51°F 64°F1024.5 hPa

Wind History for Wrightsville Beach, NC
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Last 24 hrW7
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Jacksonville, Albert J Ellis Airport, NC19 mi34 minN 010.00 miFair27°F24°F89%1025.6 hPa
MCAS New River, NC19 mi34 minN 09.00 miFair30°F28°F92%1025.4 hPa
Wilmington International Airport, NC22 mi37 minN 010.00 miFair33°F31°F92%1025.4 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KOAJ

Wind History from OAJ (wind in knots)
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Last 24 hrW5W54W5003NW8NW55
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1 day agoW14
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2 days agoN9NE11NE12NE13NE13
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Tide / Current Tables for Bannermans Branch, Northeast River, North Carolina
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Bannermans Branch
Click for Map
Wed -- 04:15 AM EST     1.19 feet High Tide
Wed -- 07:16 AM EST     Sunrise
Wed -- 08:39 AM EST     Moonset
Wed -- 10:56 AM EST     -0.05 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 04:20 PM EST     1.39 feet High Tide
Wed -- 05:27 PM EST     Sunset
Wed -- 07:07 PM EST     Moonrise
Wed -- 11:42 PM EST     0.07 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

Bannermans Branch, Northeast River, North Carolina, Tide feet
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Tide / Current Tables for New Topsail Inlet, North Carolina
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New Topsail Inlet
Click for Map
Wed -- 02:43 AM EST     -0.09 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 07:15 AM EST     Sunrise
Wed -- 08:29 AM EST     3.14 feet High Tide
Wed -- 08:38 AM EST     Moonset
Wed -- 03:32 PM EST     -0.06 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 05:27 PM EST     Sunset
Wed -- 07:07 PM EST     Moonrise
Wed -- 08:49 PM EST     2.54 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

New Topsail Inlet, North Carolina, Tide feet
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Weather Map
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NOTE: This section has been updated as of 1/26/2021. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may use the EDIT function to update your location.
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