Sunrise 5:55 AM   Sunset 7:46 PM Moonrise 6:06 AM   Moonset 8:57 PM

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PZZ650 East Santa Barbara Channel From Pt. Conception To Pt. Mugu Ca Including Santa Cruz Island- 222 Pm Pdt Wed May 8 2024
Tonight - W winds 15 to 20 kt with local gusts to 25 kt in the evening, becoming S 5 to 10 kt. Wind waves 1 to 3 ft. W swell 3 to 5 ft at 11 seconds. Thu - SE winds 10 to 15 kt. Wind waves 2 ft or less. W swell 3 to 5 ft at 11 seconds. S swell 2 ft in the afternoon. Thu night - SW winds 10 kt in the evening, becoming variable 10 kt or less. Wind waves 2 ft or less. W swell 2 to 3 ft at 11 seconds. Patchy fog after midnight. Fri - Winds variable 10 kt or less, becoming sw 10 to 15 kt in the afternoon. Wind waves 2 ft or less. W swell 2 ft at 11 seconds. Patchy fog in the morning. Fri night - W winds 10 to 15 kt. Wind waves 2 ft or less. W swell 2 to 3 ft at 11 seconds. Patchy fog after midnight. Sat - E winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming W 10 to 15 kt in the afternoon. Wind waves 2 ft or less. W swell 2 to 3 ft. Patchy fog in the morning. Sat night - W winds 10 to 20 kt with gusts to 25 kt in the evening, becoming nw 10 to 15 kt. Wind waves 2 to 4 ft. W swell 2 to 3 ft. Patchy fog after midnight. Sun - NW winds 15 to 20 kt with gusts to 25 kt. Combined seas 3 to 5 ft. Patchy fog.Mon - W winds 15 to 20 kt with gusts to 25 kt. Combined seas 3 to 5 ft. Patchy fog.

PZZ600 222 Pm Pdt Wed May 8 2024
synopsis for the southern california coast and santa barbara channel including the channel islands national marine sanctuary and national park - .at 21z, or 2 pm pdt, a 1033 mb surface high was centered 400 nm west of portland, oregon and extending to a 1028 mb ridge in western Montana. A 1006 mb surface low was located over southeastern california and extending to northwest across the southern california mountains. Winds will slowly diminish across the northern and outer coastal waters tonight.

FXUS66 KLOX 082059 AFDLOX

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Los Angeles/Oxnard CA 159 PM PDT Wed May 8 2024

SYNOPSIS
08/130 PM.

A quiet weather pattern is expected through early next week with near normal temperatures and no rain. Increasing night and morning low clouds are expected across coast and valleys as onshore flow increases. Mostly minor day to day changes in temperatures are expected through Sunday, with some cooling possible Monday and Tuesday.

.SHORT TERM (TDY-SAT)...08/149 PM.

A very quiet weather pattern for the next week as the storm track stays well north and east of the area. Offshore flow today ended up being weaker than anticipated and Santa Ana winds have been on the lighter side. May see a little pick up in northeast winds across the mountains and interior valleys later tonight into Thursday but all winds should be well below advisory levels.

Closer to the coast, a coastal eddy circulation will push clouds a little farther north tonight, likely reaching the Ventura and SB Coast overnight. Clouds also expected to push into the coastal valleys as well. Should stay clear north of Pt Conception tonight but falling surface pressures to the north later Thursday and Friday should bring the marine layer back to the Central Coast by Friday and lingering through the weekend and beyond.

Just minor day to day changes in temperatures for coast and valleys the next few days. Farther inland a general warming trend is expected as a weak upper low that has persisted over the Great Basin finally shifts east.

.LONG TERM (SUN-WED)...08/157 PM.

Not too much impactful weather conditions going into next week.
Onshore flow to the east is expected to increase steadily through next week, eventually reaching 9+mb by mid week, which would result in increasingly gusty west to southwest winds across the mountains and interior. A weak upper low is expected to slide into the area around that same time which, in combination with the increasing onshore flow, would provide a favorable pattern for a solid marine layer for coast and valleys during the nights and morning and slower daytime clearing and slightly cooler temperatures.

AVIATION
08/1831Z.

At 16Z, the marine layer depth was around 2100 feet deep at KLAX.
The top of the inversion was near 4600 feet with a temperature near 14 degrees Celsius.

Moderate-to-high confidence in the current forecast. Higher confidence in flight categories for Los Angeles County terminals.
Less confidence in flight categories for terminals for north of KNTD. Timing could be off by up to 3 hours. VFR conditions will develop through 18Z. MVFR conditions will spread back into coastal and valley terminals south of Point Conception after 04Z. There is a low chance that conditions could arrive in the IFR category for Ventura County coastal terminals and KSBA for up to the first two hours after arrival. There is a moderate chance that MVFR conditions could linger longer on Thursday at coastal terminals.

KLAX...VFR conditions should persist through at least 04Z. MVFR conditions could arrive as soon as 05Z, or as late as 09Z.
Confidence higher flight categories relative to timing. There is a 30 percent chance that MVFR conditions could linger up to 4 hours longer than the forecast indicates.

KBUR...VFR conditions should persist through at least 08Z. MVFR conditions could arrive as soon as 09Z, or as late as 13Z.
Confidence higher flight categories relative to timing. There is a 30 percent chance that MVFR conditions could linger up to 2 hours longer than the forecast indicates.

MARINE
08/955 AM.

There is a 60-90 percent chance of Small Craft Advisory (SCA)
conditions through at least this evening for the waters northwest through southwest of the Channel Islands and along the Central Coast. SCA conditions may linger longer into tonight across the outer waters. Then, winds and seas will drop below SCA levels through at least Saturday. There is a moderate chance of SCA level winds developing late Saturday through Sunday, increasing to a high chance of Sunday afternoon and night.

LOX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
CA...High Surf Advisory in effect until 9 AM PDT Thursday for zones 340-346. (See LAXCFWLOX).
Beach Hazards Statement in effect until midnight PDT tonight for zone 354. (See LAXCFWLOX).
PZ...Small Craft Advisory in effect until 9 PM PDT this evening for zone 645. (See LAXMWWLOX).
Small Craft Advisory in effect until 3 AM PDT Thursday for zones 670-673-676. (See LAXMWWLOX).

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Ventura
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Wed -- 04:35 AM PDT     -1.42 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 06:00 AM PDT     Sunrise
Wed -- 06:09 AM PDT     Moonrise
Wed -- 10:51 AM PDT     3.89 feet High Tide
Wed -- 03:52 PM PDT     1.53 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 07:47 PM PDT     Sunset
Wed -- 08:58 PM PDT     Moonset
Wed -- 10:01 PM PDT     6.44 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION

Ventura, California, Tide feet

Rincon Island
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Wed -- 04:38 AM PDT     -1.37 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 06:00 AM PDT     Sunrise
Wed -- 06:10 AM PDT     Moonrise
Wed -- 11:03 AM PDT     3.88 feet High Tide
Wed -- 03:49 PM PDT     1.70 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 07:48 PM PDT     Sunset
Wed -- 08:59 PM PDT     Moonset
Wed -- 10:07 PM PDT     6.55 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION

Rincon Island, California, Tide feet

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