Sunday, January16, 2022
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Marine Weather and Tides
Atlantic Beach, NC

Version 3.4
NOTICE
3/30/2021 -- ANZ330 has been split into ANZ331 and ANZ332. Click EDIT in Marine Forecast and select your new zone.
1/26/2021 -- The West Coast Satellite images havd been updated. They now use GEOS-17.
1/1/2021 -- The 7 day forecast are now working well. Thank you NOAA for your support.

Sunrise 7:13AMSunset 5:21PM Sunday January 16, 2022 4:38 AM EST (09:38 UTC) Moonrise 4:07PMMoonset 6:25AM Illumination 98% Phase: Waxing Gibbous; Moon at 14 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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AMZ158 S Of Cape Lookout To N Of Surf City Nc Out 20 Nm- 347 Am Est Sun Jan 16 2022
.storm warning in effect from this afternoon through late tonight...
Today..E winds 25 to 30 kt with gusts up to 40 kt, becoming se with gusts up to 45 kt early this afternoon, then increasing to 30 to 40 kt with gusts up to 50 kt late. Seas 5 to 8 ft, building to 9 to 12 ft this afternoon. NEar shore, seas 3 to 5 ft, building to 6 to 9 ft this afternoon. Dominant period 5 seconds. Adjacent sounds and rivers very rough, increasing to extremely rough late. Rain. A chance of tstms this afternoon.
Tonight..SW winds 25 to 35 kt with gusts to 45 kt, becoming W 30 to 40 kt after midnight. Seas 10 to 15 ft, except 9 to 12 ft near shore. Dominant period 8 seconds. Adjacent sounds and rivers very rough, increasing to extremely rough after midnight. Showers with a chance of tstms in the evening, then a chance of showers after midnight.
Mon..W winds 25 to 30 kt with gusts up to 45 kt. Seas 8 to 13 ft, subsiding to 7 to 10 ft in the afternoon. NEar shore, seas 8 to 11 ft, subsiding to 5 to 8 ft in the afternoon. Dominant period 9 seconds. Adjacent sounds and rivers very rough.
Mon night..W winds 25 to 30 kt, becoming nw 20 to 25 kt after midnight. Seas 6 to 9 ft, except 5 to 7 ft near shore. Dominant period 8 seconds. Adjacent sounds and rivers very rough, diminishing to rough after midnight.
Tue..NW winds 20 to 25 kt with gusts up to 30 kt, diminishing to 10 to 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 3 to 5 ft. Adjacent sounds and rivers rough, diminishing to a moderate chop in the afternoon.
Tue night..NW winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming sw after midnight. Seas 2 to 3 ft, subsiding to 1 to 2 ft after midnight. Adjacent sounds and rivers light chop, diminishing to flat after midnight.
Wed..SW winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. Adjacent sounds and rivers a moderate chop.
Thu..NW winds 10 to 15 kt, becoming N 20 to 25 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft. Adjacent sounds and rivers a moderate chop, increasing to rough. A chance of rain. Winds and seas higher in and near tstms.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Atlantic Beach, NC
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location: 34.71, -76.73     debug


Area Discussion for - Newport/Morehead City, NC
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FXUS62 KMHX 160830 AFDMHX

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Newport/Morehead City NC 330 AM EST Sun Jan 16 2022

SYNOPSIS. A strong low pressure system will impact the area Sunday and Monday, bringing multiple hazards. High pressure will build over the area through mid week, with a cold front moving through Thursday. A coastal trough or coastal storm may impact Eastern NC by week's end.

NEAR TERM /THROUGH TODAY/. As of 300 AM Sun . Low pressure currently located over the deep South is forecast to deepen as moves rapidly northeast across the coastal plain of the Carolinas today. As it does it will produce widespread rain, heavy at times across eastern NC, heaviest across the southern half of the area where 2-3 inches is expected through this evening and could produce localized flooding especially in thunderstorms. The precipitation is expected to begin as a brief wintry mix of light sleet, freezing rain and snow. Temperatures are mostly hovering just above freezing but with dewpoints in the teens and 20s, evaporative cooling should cause them to briefly drop to or just below freezing for a couple of hours this morning. Accumulations of the wintry precipitation will be minor, but could produce slick spots on roads, especially on bridges and elevated highways. Therefore will continue the current Winter Weather Advisory which is set to expire at noon. Based on trends in the models which indicate a faster changeover to all rain late this morning, the Advisory could be cancelled early. SPC continue to forecast a "Marginal" Severe Weather risk across the Eastern half of the area for this afternoon into early evening. The shear is extremely strong but mid level lapse rates are weak and instability is lacking with forecast CAPES <500 J/kg. Nonetheless, forcing will be strong so can't rule out a few damaging wind gusts or even a brief tornado.

In addition to the precipitation/severe weather concerns, strong gradient winds will also create impacts across the area this afternoon and evening as the low passes by just to our west. Strong SE flow will occur ahead of the low and could gust to 60 mph along the coast, then as the low moves to the north winds winds will shift rapidly to the W with some strong gusts possible when the wind shifts. The strong winds and abrupt directional change will result in minor to locally moderate coastal flood issues late today through tonight. Please see the Coastal Flood section below for more details. Will continue the High Wind Warning and Wind Advisories that were previously issued.

High temperatures today will top out close to 60 along the immediate coast, and in the upper 40s to low 50s in the coastal plain where heavy rain and low clouds will keep the diurnal range narrower.

SHORT TERM /TONIGHT/. As of 300 AM Sun . The low is forecast to lift into eastern VA this evening and sweep the steady/heavy precipitation offshore around 3Z. Winds will shift to the West and some drying will occur as a strong mid level dry slot works across the area. Wrap around moisture in the form of clouds/isolated showers will work through the area late tonight. It will continue windy especially along the coast. Lows will range from the mid 30s inland to the mid 40s coast.

LONG TERM /MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/. As of 330 AM Sun . Departing strong low pressure will continue to bring coastal impacts through Monday, then high pressure returns Tuesday and Wednesday. Another cold front will pass through on Thursday, with low pressure developing behind it with a threat for wintry weather by week's end.

Monday through Wednesday . High pressure builds in from the west behind the departing strong low pressure system late Monday into Tuesday, with temps remaining below normal with highs mostly in the 40s Tue and lows in the upper 20s interior to 30s coast. Winds will be gusty on Monday, due to the gradient between the strong low moving north into New England and high pressure building in from the Deep South states. Return flow develops Wed as sfc high shifts offshore and hts/thicknesses rise, leading to temps above climo with highs 55 to 60.

Thursday . A cold front will approach from the west Wed and night and cross the region Thurs. This will bring a good chance of rain with it, though some minor timing difference remain with 16/00Z model suite, and retained pops in the high chc range.

Friday through Saturday . The front hangs up just off the NC/SC coast, oriented SW to NE, with potential for shortwave troughing or even a more well developed coastal low to impact ENC as early as Thur night as an active southern stream jet looks to be in place. Timing of shortwave aloft and location of moisture axis remain the determining factors for sensible wx at this time, though model ensemble means are in general favorable agreement that frozen or freezing precipitation may become an issue, esp inland, during this time period. Less certainty east of the Coastal Plain, and have advertised a ra/sn mix. Along the immediate coast (eastern Carteret through the OBX), sided with climo and kept p-type rain. Temps will be below climo with hts/thicknesses quite low.

AVIATION /08Z SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/. SHORT TERM /through Tonight/ . As of 300 AM Sun . Conditions will deteriorate this morning as widespread precipitation develops across the region. The precip will begin as a wintry mix, especially at PGV, ISO, and OAJ before changing to all rain by mid-morning. Cigs expected to lower to MVFR between 12-15z and to IFR between 15-18z with periods of heavy rain and periods of LIFR conditions during the afternoon. Generally light NE winds will increase this morning with gusts around 20 kt, then veer to E to SE during the afternoon with gusts to around 30 kt, higher along the coast. LLWS will likely become an issue this afternoon as a strong LLJ develops with veering low level winds. Conditions are forecast to briefly improve from IFR to MVFR and perhaps VFR late this evening but an area of deeper moisture will rotate into the area late and could result in MVFR ceilings toward the end of the TAF period.

LONG TERM /Mon through Thu/ . As of 330 AM Sun . VFR conditions return Monday and persist Tue and Wed as high pressure builds in from the west. Gusty west winds will plague the terminals on Monday. A cold front will move through Thu with the next potential for sub-VFR conditions.

MARINE. SHORT TERM /through Tonight/ . As of 300 AM Sun . Dangerous marine conditions will continue through tonight as developing low pressure passes to the northwest of the waters. Storm and Gale Warnings have already been posted for the waters through tonight. 6-10 ft seas this morning will peak at 15-20 ft tonight. Current NE winds 15-25 kt will veer SE and increase to 35-45 this afternoon into early evening. Winds will then shift to W by late evening. Speeds may briefly decrease to 15-25 kt but will increase to 25-35 kt (Gale Force) by early Mon morning.

LONG TERM /Monday through Thursday/ . As of 330 AM Sun . Ongoing gales are expected to continue into Mon evening, with seas remaining dangerously high. The seas will slowly subside through Tue as high pres builds into the ENC waters. Return swrly flow develops by mid week with some marginal SCA conditions possible across warmer ctrl/srn Gulf Stream waters. Cold front moves through on Thu with strong nrly winds in the SCA range developing all waters and sounds by late in the day.

TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING. As of 300 AM Sun . Coastal Flood Warnings have have been issued for the Outer Banks as well as Beaufort and Mainland Hyde counties where inundation of 2-4 ft AGL is expected. Water levels will rise across Beaufort and Mainland Hyde counties this afternoon into tonight with the strong southerly flow, and then as winds shift to the west-southwest early Monday morning rapid water level rises are expected across the Outer Banks soundside from Buxton north towards Duck including Roanoke Island.

There is also the potential for significant ocean overwash across Hatteras and Ocracoke Islands as waves increase to 10-15 ft and water levels increase due to strong southerly winds today. This has the potential to breach dunes and impact travel along NC 12.

Elsewhere Coastal Flood Advisories have been issued for Onslow, Carteret, southern Craven, Pamlico, and Mainland Dare counties where inundation of 1-2 ft AGL is expected. Water levels in these areas will peak with the southerly flow late today. Some minor to potentially moderate beach erosion will be possible for beaches from North Topsail to Fort Macon. There is the potential for moderate to significant beach erosion or even dune breaches across Core Banks and up towards Portsmouth Island.

MHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. NC . High Surf Advisory from 1 PM this afternoon to 11 AM EST Monday for NCZ195-199. Coastal Flood Advisory from noon today to 1 AM EST Monday for NCZ094-194>196-199. Wind Advisory from 4 PM this afternoon to 9 PM EST this evening for NCZ047-080-081-094-194-195-199-203. Winter Weather Advisory until noon EST today for NCZ029-044- 079-080-090>092-193-198. High Wind Warning from 4 PM this afternoon to 9 PM EST this evening for NCZ196-204-205. High Surf Advisory from 1 PM this afternoon to 1 PM EST Monday for NCZ196-204. Coastal Flood Warning from 1 PM this afternoon to 7 AM EST Monday for NCZ080-081. Coastal Flood Advisory from 1 PM this afternoon to 7 AM EST Monday for NCZ047. Coastal Flood Warning from 4 PM this afternoon to 4 PM EST Monday for NCZ203. High Surf Advisory from 1 PM this afternoon to 4 PM EST Monday for NCZ203-205. Coastal Flood Warning from 1 PM this afternoon to 7 PM EST Monday for NCZ204-205. MARINE . Gale Warning from 1 PM this afternoon to 9 PM EST this evening for AMZ136-137. Storm Warning from 4 PM this afternoon to 9 PM EST this evening for AMZ135. Gale Warning from 4 PM this afternoon to 9 PM EST this evening for AMZ131. Gale Warning from 4 PM this afternoon to 10 PM EST Monday for AMZ230-231. Storm Warning from 4 PM this afternoon to 5 AM EST Monday for AMZ152-154-156-158. Gale Warning from 4 PM this afternoon to 1 AM EST Tuesday for AMZ150.

SYNOPSIS . MHX NEAR TERM . JME SHORT TERM . JME LONG TERM . TL AVIATION . JME/TL MARINE . JME/TL TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING . MHX


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
BFTN7 - 8656483 - Beaufort, NC 3 mi50 min NNE 12G14 38°F 48°F1020.6 hPa
CLKN7 - Cape Lookout, NC 12 mi38 min N 17G21 39°F 1021.3 hPa (-2.3)
41159 36 mi42 min 64°F7 ft

Wind History for Beaufort, NC
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Last 24 hrNE4
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Beaufort Smith Field, NC4 mi40 minNNE 1110.00 miOvercast38°F32°F79%1021.5 hPa
Cherry Point Marine Corps Air Station, NC13 mi42 minNNE 1210.00 miOvercast35°F29°F78%1021.9 hPa
Bogue Field Marine Corps Auxiliary Field, NC16 mi41 minNNE 910.00 miOvercast36°F29°F76%1022.3 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KMRH

Wind History from MRH (wind in knots)
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Last 24 hrN30N3N6NE8NE10NE11N8NE8N8N12NE9NE6NE9NE9NE11
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2 days ago000000NW3W5NW3W6W5W300NW4N4NW4NW5NW8NW7N7NW11NW11NW11

Tide / Current Tables for Atlantic Beach Bridge, North Carolina
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Atlantic Beach Bridge
Click for Map
Sun -- 12:43 AM EST     -0.05 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 06:25 AM EST     Moonset
Sun -- 07:06 AM EST     2.44 feet High Tide
Sun -- 07:13 AM EST     Sunrise
Sun -- 01:44 PM EST     0.05 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 04:06 PM EST     Moonrise
Sun -- 05:20 PM EST     Sunset
Sun -- 07:19 PM EST     1.91 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

Atlantic Beach Bridge, North Carolina, Tide feet
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Tide / Current Tables for Lenoxville Point, North Carolina
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Lenoxville Point
Click for Map
Sun -- 12:53 AM EST     -0.04 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 06:25 AM EST     Moonset
Sun -- 07:13 AM EST     Sunrise
Sun -- 07:32 AM EST     2.21 feet High Tide
Sun -- 01:54 PM EST     0.05 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 04:06 PM EST     Moonrise
Sun -- 05:19 PM EST     Sunset
Sun -- 07:45 PM EST     1.73 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

Lenoxville Point, North Carolina, Tide feet
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