Monday, October18, 2021
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Marine Weather and Tides
Red Springs, NC

Version 3.4
NOTICE
3/30/2021 -- ANZ330 has been split into ANZ331 and ANZ332. Click EDIT in Marine Forecast and select your new zone.
1/26/2021 -- The West Coast Satellite images havd been updated. They now use GEOS-17.
1/1/2021 -- The 7 day forecast are now working well. Thank you NOAA for your support.

Sunrise 7:25AMSunset 6:40PM Monday October 18, 2021 5:14 PM EDT (21:14 UTC) Moonrise 5:01PMMoonset 4:21AM Illumination 95% Phase: Waxing Gibbous; Moon at 13 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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AMZ254 Coastal Waters From Little River Inlet To Murrells Inlet Sc Out 20 Nm- 351 Pm Edt Mon Oct 18 2021
Through 7 pm..NW winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
Tonight..NW winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 2 ft in the evening, then 1 foot or less.
Tue..N winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming E in the afternoon. Seas 1 foot.
Tue night..SW winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 foot.
Wed..W winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 foot.
Wed night..SW winds 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
Thu..SW winds 5 to 10 kt, increasing to 10 to 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 2 ft.
Thu night..SW winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft.
Fri..SW winds 5 to 10 kt, increasing to 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft. A chance of showers.
Sat..W winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft.
AMZ200 351 Pm Edt Mon Oct 18 2021
Synopsis for coastal waters from surf city north carolina to south santee river south carolina out to 20 nautical miles.. High pressure to the west will shift overhead Tuesday into Wednesday. The high will then shift offshore later in the week ahead of a cold front expected on Friday.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Red Springs, NC
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location: 34.83, -79.21     debug


Area Discussion for - Raleigh, NC
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FXUS62 KRAH 181824 AFDRAH

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION National Weather Service Raleigh NC 224 PM EDT Mon Oct 18 2021

SYNOPSIS. High pressure will build across the region this week, resulting in dry conditions and warming temperatures. A late week cold front will bring a chance of showers Thursday night into Friday, followed by cooler temperatures for the weekend.

NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/. As of 110 PM Monday .

Clear and quiet for the next 18 hours, as we remain beneath low level high pressure over the Southeast states, topped by dry and decelerating NW flow aloft. The column remains quite dry, with below- normal PWs of a third of an inch or less and low near-surface humidity. Expect cloud-free skies through tonight, with NW winds and sporadic gusts diminishing by sundown. Factoring in last night's lows within good radiational cooling and with an adjustment toward statistical guidance, will have lows of 38-48, ranging from rural and outlying Piedmont locales to the milder urban centers. -GIH

SHORT TERM /TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT/. As of 140 PM Monday .

Continued dry with very minimal to no cloudiness Tue, with high pressure holding firm through the low and mid levels and a weakening NW upper level flow. Deep subsidence and a dry/stable column will result in very few clouds. Low level thicknesses continue to climb to near normal levels, and this plus the strong insolation will push temps up to just above normal, with highs of 71-78. A weak perturbation aloft that is currently producing some mid and high clouds and patchy light precip to SE NM and W TX will track our way through Tue/Tue night, bringing an area of mid-high clouds (but no precip given the dry air through the lowest 5-6 km) across central NC Tue night. This, plus air mass moderation, will make for slightly milder temps Tue night, with lows in the 40s to near 50. -GIH

LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY/. As of 220 PM Monday .

Overview: Forecast confidence is below average over the weekend into next week as models have diverged with respect to the fropa(s). A weaker initial front retreating north before surging south early next week has lead to an upward trend in temperatures. Also, while amounts are still not terribly significant, there may be more chances for rain from Friday to Monday.

Upper level pattern: The sub-tropical ridge to the west will build east through the area Wed and Thu ahead of a low will moving through the Plains and into the Great Lakes. The low will open into a wave on Thursday as it gets picked up by a stronger low swinging southeast through central and eastern Canada. This initial wave will clip the mid-Atlantic as it lifts through the Northeast US. Meanwhile, the parent trough will amplify over the eastern US, with multiple shortwaves traversing it and moving through the area Friday through Saturday night. On Sunday and Monday, the parent low will swing through southeast Canada and the Northeast US, with the trough finally moving east through the region and off the East Coast.

At the surface: High pressure over the Carolinas will slide through the area and off the Southeast US coast by Wednesday night. Meanwhile, the surface low over the Plains will move east into the Great Lakes by Thursday as the attendant cold front surges east through the northern and central MS Valley. A pre-frontal trough will set up over central NC Thu/Thu night and remain in place through Friday. As the parent low lifts into eastern Canada Thursday night/Friday, the eastward progression of the attendant cold front is expected to slow. However, medium-range models disagree on when the front will move into or through central NC and what that fropa will look like since the EC still wants to reinvigorate a low over the mid-Atlantic while the GFS does not. Also in question is when and if the front lifts northward through the area briefly before surging south in a backdoor fashion.

Weather and Temperatures: Dry weather expected through Thursday, with increasing chances for rain through Friday night. Moderating temperatures expected through Thursday. Very low forecast confidence all around for Friday through Monday. Will keep temps above normal through the weekend, though how much above normal remains to be seen. Expect multiple chances for rain through the weekend but it will come in rounds and shouldn't be a complete washout.

AVIATION /18Z MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/. As of 1245 PM Monday .

High confidence in VFR conditions holding through the next 24 hours over all of central NC, with low humidity and few to no clouds underneath high pressure. Surface winds will be from the W or NW, around 10 kts with sporadic gusts to 15-20 kts this afternoon then light (under 6 kts) this evening through Tue.

Looking beyond 18z Tue, VFR conditions will hold through at least Thu. The chance for sub-VFR conditions and scattered showers increases for Thu night/Fri ahead of a cold front. -GIH

RAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. None.

SYNOPSIS . Leins/GIH NEAR TERM . Hartfield SHORT TERM . Hartfield LONG TERM . KC AVIATION . Hartfield


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
MROS1 - 8661070 - Springmaid Pier, SC 83 mi75 min 71°F
JMPN7 - 8658163 - Johnny Mercer Pier, Wrightsville Beach, NC 87 mi75 min W 7G14 73°F 74°F1017.2 hPa (-2.1)

Wind History for Springmaid Pier, SC
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Laurinburg Maxton Airport, NC9 mi23 minNW 710.00 miFair73°F39°F29%1018.8 hPa
Fayetteville, Fayetteville Regional Airport, NC21 mi22 minW 910.00 miFair74°F37°F26%1017.6 hPa
Mackall U. S. Army Airfield, NC21 mi19 minN 510.00 miFair72°F43°F35%1017.9 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KMEB

Wind History from MEB (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrNW8NW3W3000N30000000NW4W5W8NW8NW11W10NW12W9
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Tide / Current Tables for Conway, RR. bridge, Waccamaw River, South Carolina
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Conway
Click for Map
Mon -- 02:11 AM EDT     1.54 feet High Tide
Mon -- 05:21 AM EDT     Moonset
Mon -- 07:23 AM EDT     Sunrise
Mon -- 08:23 AM EDT     0.32 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 02:30 PM EDT     1.50 feet High Tide
Mon -- 06:00 PM EDT     Moonrise
Mon -- 06:38 PM EDT     Sunset
Mon -- 08:45 PM EDT     0.37 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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Tide / Current Tables for Grahamville, Waccamaw River, South Carolina
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Grahamville
Click for Map
Mon -- 03:09 AM EDT     1.23 feet High Tide
Mon -- 05:21 AM EDT     Moonset
Mon -- 07:23 AM EDT     Sunrise
Mon -- 09:27 AM EDT     0.25 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 03:28 PM EDT     1.20 feet High Tide
Mon -- 05:59 PM EDT     Moonrise
Mon -- 06:37 PM EDT     Sunset
Mon -- 09:49 PM EDT     0.29 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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Weather Map
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NOTE: This section has been updated as of 1/26/2021. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may use the EDIT function to update your location.
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