Sunrise 6:01 AM   Sunset 8:11 PM Moonrise 4:38 PM   Moonset 3:12 AM

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AMZ158 S Of Cape Lookout To N Of Surf City Nc Out 20 Nm- 635 Am Edt Mon May 20 2024
Today - NE winds 15 to 20 kt with occasional gusts up to 25 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft, except 2 to 3 ft near shore. Wave detail: ne 4 ft at 5 seconds and sw 1 ft at 5 seconds. Adjacent sounds and rivers choppy. Tonight - NE winds 15 to 20 kt with occasional gusts up to 25 kt, diminishing to 10 to 15 kt after midnight. Seas 3 to 5 ft, except 2 to 3 ft near shore. Wave detail: ne 3 ft at 6 seconds and se 1 ft at 11 seconds. Adjacent sounds and rivers choppy, diminishing to a moderate chop after midnight. Tue - NE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft. Wave detail: ne 3 ft at 7 seconds and E 2 ft at 2 seconds. Adjacent sounds and rivers a moderate chop. Tue night - E winds 5 to 10 kt, diminishing to around 5 kt after midnight. Seas 2 to 3 ft. Wave detail: E 2 ft at 4 seconds and E 2 ft at 8 seconds. Adjacent sounds and rivers light chop, diminishing to flat after midnight. Wed - N winds around 5 kt, becoming se in the afternoon. Seas 2 to 3 ft. Wave detail: E 2 ft at 8 seconds and se 1 ft at 10 seconds. Adjacent sounds and rivers flat, increasing to light chop in the afternoon. Wed night - S winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft. Wave detail: E 2 ft at 8 seconds and se 2 ft at 10 seconds. Adjacent sounds and rivers light chop. Thu - SW winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft. Adjacent sounds and rivers light chop. Thu night - SW winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft. Adjacent sounds and rivers a moderate chop. Fri - SW winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft. Adjacent sounds and rivers a moderate chop. Fri night - SW winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft. Adjacent sounds and rivers a moderate chop. A chance of showers and tstms.
winds and seas higher in and near tstms.

AMZ100 635 Am Edt Mon May 20 2024
Synopsis for eastern north carolina coastal waters - Breezy northeasterly winds early this week with a high pressure ridging from our north and low pressure offshore. Mostly dry through mid week before the next potential frontal system late week.

FXUS62 KMHX 201117 AFDMHX

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Newport/Morehead City NC 717 AM EDT Mon May 20 2024

SYNOPSIS
High pressure ridging builds in from the north keeping much of the area dry through mid week before the next potential frontal system late week.

NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/
As of 400 AM Monday...High pressure ridging extends S'wards to our west and low pressure remains offshore to our east.
Continued NE'rly flow is resulting in low stratus to once again overspread the eastern half of ENC, with some uncertainty on how far west it by daybreak. There is another low cloud deck currently west of hwy 17 in a region of modest decoupling, which is likely allowing the lower levels to moisten and produce low stratus. This layer of stratus should quickly burn off after sunrise, but the stratus impacting OBX will linger on a bit longer, breaking up later in the morning into the afternoon.

Lows get into the mid to upper 50s this morning. With the moisture column very dry above 850 mb, 0% PoPs in place through the near term. OBX will see NE'rly gusts of 25-30mph late this morning into this afternoon with a tightened pressure gradient before subsiding to near 20mph in the evening.

Widespread cloudcover will keep temps cooler than climo once again as highs range from the low to mid 60s OBX to the mid 70s inland where there are more breaks in the clouds.

SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH 6 AM TUESDAY/
As of 400 AM Monday...Fog and low stratus threat tonight into early Tuesday morning with ample low level moisture and decoupling expected with ridging dominating. Introduced patchy fog west of hwy 17 with this update, particularly after 2am Tuesday. Potential exists for dense, impactful fog. Otherwise a quiet short term, with lows in the mid 50s inland, near 60 for OBX.

LONG TERM /TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/
As of 330 PM Sun...High pressure builds in from the north for the first half of the workweek. A cold front will approach from the west toward the latter half of the week.

Tuesday through Thursday...High pressure builds across the Mid- Atlantic and Southeast. Expect dry conditions through Thursday, along with steadily warming conditions. Temps will start out in the 75-80 degree range on Tue, then by Wed and Thu, rise through the 80s and back above climo. In fact, some areas may flirt with 90 degree highs by Thu. Lows will be in the 50s to start the pd, then rise into the 60s by mid week.

Friday through Sunday...Next potential weather maker in the form of a shortwave trough and approaching cold front may arrive by week's end, bringing threat for thundershowers to the region with a warm/humid airmass in place by then. Lots of disagreement this far out, so pops only in the 30's% at best.
Followed closer to climo, and kept thunder mainly in the afternoon to early evening time periods, with very small to nil shower chances overnight and morning periods.

AVIATION /08Z MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/
SHORT TERM /through Monday night/...
As of 700 AM Monday...IFR stratus impacting terminals east of hwy 17. This cloud cover will expand further south and west through the morning, but is expected to remain away from PGV, ISO, and OAJ. EWN continues to be hit or miss, with a sharp gradient between VFR and IFR, and the cloud deck forecasted to come to a halt in the vicinity of EWN. A slightly more elevated MVFR deck is impacting far western portions of the CWA, currently impacting PGV as it migrates further west and breaks up. On and off MVFR conditions are possible for PGV, ISO, OAJ through the morning, but chances remain fairly low as the main cloud deck has moved further west. Afternoon remains VFR for TAF terminals, with sub-VFR conditions still continuing for OBX. NE winds gust to near 20mph inland, 25-30mph for OBX today. More substantial fog threat possible Monday night into early Tuesday morning, with the potential for IFR/LIFR visibilities mainly along and west of hwy 17. In addition to fog, another round of low stratus moves in Monday night/Tuesday morning from the NW impacting areas mainly east of 17.

LONG TERM /Monday afternoon through Friday/...
As of 4 AM Sat...Pred VFR conditions are expected early through mid to late week.

MARINE
SHORT TERM /through Monday/...
As of 415 AM Monday...Riding over central ENC and the coastal plain is interacting with the low offshore, resulting in NE'rly breezy conditions waters. Still, gusts are generally below 25 kts, resulting in the cancellation of small craft advisories for Pamlico Sound and all coastal waters except for those off of Hatteras Island and Ocracoke. These SCA's linger due to the potential for 6 ft seas in the vicinity of the gulf stream, set to expire at midnight tonight. Winds could flare up this afternoon as the gradient tightens briefly, but gusts will still largely be below 25 kts, with a few infrequent gusts of 25 kts not out of the question. The marginal nature of the gusts prevents the extension or reissuance of a SCA for waters currently without a hazard.

LONG TERM /Monday night through Friday/...
As of 4 AM Sun...SCA cond linger into Monday for Pamlico Sound and the coastal waters south of Oregon Inlet as gusty ne winds keep seas elevated above 6 ft. Seas expected to drop below 6 ft Mon night all waters as high pres begins to build in and long fetch nerly winds diminish.

MHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NC...Beach Hazards Statement through this evening for NCZ203-205.
MARINE...Small Craft Advisory until midnight EDT tonight for AMZ152-154.

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Bannermans Branch
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Mon -- 02:10 AM EDT     1.40 feet High Tide
Mon -- 04:13 AM EDT     Moonset
Mon -- 06:04 AM EDT     Sunrise
Mon -- 08:51 AM EDT     0.07 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 02:20 PM EDT     1.23 feet High Tide
Mon -- 05:38 PM EDT     Moonrise
Mon -- 08:11 PM EDT     Sunset
Mon -- 09:02 PM EDT     0.03 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION

Bannermans Branch, Northeast River, North Carolina, Tide feet

New River Inlet
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Mon -- 12:15 AM EDT     0.36 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 04:11 AM EDT     Moonset
Mon -- 06:03 AM EDT     Sunrise
Mon -- 06:13 AM EDT     2.71 feet High Tide
Mon -- 12:07 PM EDT     0.33 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 05:36 PM EDT     Moonrise
Mon -- 06:33 PM EDT     3.30 feet High Tide
Mon -- 08:09 PM EDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION

New River Inlet, North Carolina, Tide feet

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Morehead City, NC,