Thursday, January20, 2022
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Marine Weather and Tides
Mesic, NC

Version 3.4
NOTICE
3/30/2021 -- ANZ330 has been split into ANZ331 and ANZ332. Click EDIT in Marine Forecast and select your new zone.
1/26/2021 -- The West Coast Satellite images havd been updated. They now use GEOS-17.
1/1/2021 -- The 7 day forecast are now working well. Thank you NOAA for your support.

Sunrise 7:12AMSunset 5:25PM Thursday January 20, 2022 5:41 PM EST (22:41 UTC) Moonrise 8:03PMMoonset 9:09AM Illumination 88% Phase: Waning Gibbous; Moon at 18 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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AMZ137 NEuse And Bay Rivers- 337 Pm Est Thu Jan 20 2022
.gale warning in effect from 10 pm est this evening through late Friday night...
Tonight..N winds 15 to 20 kt, increasing to 20 to 25 kt late this evening and overnight. Waves choppy, increasing to rough late this evening and overnight. A chance of rain this evening, then rain after midnight. Freezing rain likely late.
Fri..N winds 20 to 25 kt with gusts up to 35 kt. Waves rough. Freezing rain. Rain.
Fri night..N winds 20 to 25 kt with gusts up to 35 kt. Waves rough. Freezing rain. Rain in the evening, then sleet or rain likely after midnight.
Sat..N winds 20 to 25 kt, diminishing to 15 to 20 kt in the afternoon. Waves rough, diminishing to choppy in the afternoon. A slight chance of sleet in the morning.
Sat night..N winds 10 to 15 kt, diminishing to 5 to 10 kt after midnight. Waves a moderate chop, diminishing to light chop after midnight.
Sun..NW winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves light chop.
Sun night..W winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves light chop.
Mon..NW winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming s. Waves light chop, diminishing to flat.
Tue..SW winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming nw 10 to 15 kt. Waves light chop, increasing to a moderate chop. A chance of rain.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Mesic, NC
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location: 35.18, -76.58     debug


Area Discussion for - Newport/Morehead City, NC
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FXUS62 KMHX 202018 AFDMHX

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Newport/Morehead City NC 318 PM EST Thu Jan 20 2022

SYNOPSIS. A cold front will move through the area this late this evening and stall to our south tonight. Low pressure developing along the stalled front will bring significant winter weather to the area beginning late tonight and ending by Saturday morning. Behind this system, weak high pressure builds into the area through early next week.

NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/. As of 310 PM Thu . ***Main change to the forecast was to expand the Winter Storm Warning east to include the northern Outer Banks*** The strong surface cold front was currently moving into the coastal plain with all of the precipitation occurring behind it. The front should be off the coast by 5 PM. The initial impact of the frontal passage will be rapidly falling temperatures as cold polar air arrives on northerly winds. Rain will then spread over the entire area from west to east this evening. After midnight, the rain will begin to transition to sleet and freezing rain, first inland and eventually making it to coastal areas south of Cape Lookout and north of Oregon Inlet by daybreak Friday. Since the precipitation will be light initially, and the ground still relatively warm, the main impacts overnight will slick spots on bridges and overpasses. Temperatures inland will drop to 25-30 degrees, around freezing Crystal Coast and 35-40 Downeast Carteret to the Outer Banks.

SHORT TERM /FRIDAY AND FRIDAY NIGHT/. As of 310 PM Thu . A high impact winter storm is expected to begin Friday and continue into early Saturday morning.

The cold air will deepen Friday with temperatures only rising a few degrees inland to remain below freezing while they continue to fall along the immediate coast reaching or falling below freezing in the Crystal Coast area in the morning. At the same time low pressure will develop along the cold front which will be stalled just southeast of the area. This will cause the precipitation to increase in coverage and intensity in the afternoon and evening, falling as a wintry mix inland and a cold rain along the immediate coast north of Beaufort Inlet. Sleet and freezing rain will be the dominate precipitation types in many inland locations, changing over to snow over the far northern zones (especially along and north of Highway 264). A cold rain will fall along the most of the Outer Banks to Downeast Carteret county. There continues to be a strong signal in the guidance supporting a significant icing event (0.25-0.50" of ice accretion) mainly south and west of Highway 70 which would be very rare for this region.

SNOW: Totals of 4-6 inches are expected by Sat morning generally north of hwy 264. The snow will increase in coverage/intensity late in the afternoon and evening. There is some concern that the measurable snow could extend east over the northern Outer Banks late Fri where a couple of inches will be possible so they will be added to the existing Winter Storm Warning. Sleet and freezing rain will mix in and limit snowfall accumulations south of Highway 264 but will still make for very hazardous travel conditions.

Sleet/Freezing rain. A large portion of eastern NC will see a mixture of sleet and freezing rain throughout Fri and Fri night. This precipitation should change over to a period of light snow before ending early Sat morning. Although snow accumulations will be limited to about 2 inches, pockets of freezing rain, sleet and temperatures remaining below freezing will cause ice to form on roads and bridges and result in very hazardous driving conditions.

Ice storm Warning: The models continue to produce large ice accretion totals of .25-5" for the Ice Storm Warning area, especially along the coast to the Inner Banks west of the Pamlico Sound. These amounts if realized would be unprecedented in recent history for the amount and extent of the significant icing area. West and north of this region, a sharp gradient will exist between sleet and freezing rain, and confidence drops of greatly in ice accretion reaching 0.25". Between the heavy snow to the north, and the significant icing to the south, a band of mostly sleet will persist and accumulate to perhaps an inch or so.

For the advisory area across Ern Carteret county, some freezing rain accretion may occur, especially just to the west and north of the Beaufort area, though northerly winds over the relatively 'warm' Pamlico' Sound will keep accretion below warning criteria over locations to the east with temps hovering around freezing or even a degree or two higher instead of into the 20s to the west.

Friday night is when the best chc of snow is expected for interior Eastern NC as cold air aloft erodes the warm nose in place, and at least several hours of snow, esp northern half of FA, turn to all snow, as model x-sections reveal appreciable omega (lift) in the dendritic growth zone. This snow should work it's way to the coast before ending early Sat morning with some minor accumulations possible along the coast.

Saturday . Despite wintry precip ending quickly by Sat morning, temps will struggle to reach freezing across the interior, esp where snow is on the ground, thus road conditions will remain extremely hazardous.

LONG TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/. As of 330 AM Thursday . High pressure build into the region Saturday night through Monday with temps remaining well below normal. Highs Sunday and Monday expected in the low to mid 40s. Lows expected in the teens and 20s Saturday night and generally in the 20s Sunday night. Low temps may be even colder in areas where a descent snow pack persists.

Another low pressure system is progged to push across the northern Gulf of Mexico early next week and lift off the Southeast coast next Tuesday and Wednesday. 00z models have trended farther south with this system with some guidance keeping ENC mostly dry. NBM guidance has also trended a few degrees warmer as well and p-type issues are less certain. Therefore, have kept PoPs in the chance range and precip all liquid. Temps may warm to near normal, low to mid 50s, on Tuesday but expected to drop back into the 40s on Wednesday.

AVIATION /20Z THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/. SHORT TERM /through Friday/ . As of 3 PM Thursday . VFR conditions currently across the terminals, with high confidence in conditions rapidly deteriorating late this afternoon and evening. A cold front will move through the terminals and cigs will grad lower. Pred IFR/LIFR expected overnight into at least Friday morning. Another significant concern is the winter wx threat. Rain will change over to freezing rain and sleet late tonight and early Friday morning. ISO and PGV may have a better chance for sleet to mix in, while OAJ and EWN ptype likely to be FZRA. Sig ice accumulations expected. Cigs may lift to VFR Fri morning, esp inland, but trended more pessimistic keeping OAJ and EWN locked in with IFR. Northerly wind gusts 20-25 kt behind the front tonight into Friday.

LONG TERM /Friday night through Tuesday/ . As of 315 AM Thursday . A significant winter storm will continue to impact rtes into Saturday with sub-VFR conditions prevailing along with gusty nly winds, sleet, freezing rain, and snow. The system finally departs the area late Saturday with high pressure building in from the west early next week. Sub-VFR conditions may linger into Saturday but expect pred VFR Sunday and Monday.

MARINE. SHORT TERM /through Saturday/ . As of 3 PM Thu . Rapidly deteriorating conditions this evening and overnight. Light to moderate winds currently with seas 2-4 ft. A cold front will push across the waters late this afternoon and evening with a strong northerly surge developing behind the front. Northerly winds 20-30 kt with gusts 30-40 kt are expected tonight through Saturday morning with gradients beginning to weaken Saturday afternoon. Seas will build to 6-10 ft tonight and Friday, peaking around 9-13 ft across the northern and central waters Friday night into Saturday morning. Gale Warnings continue for most of the waters through the period.

LONG TERM /Saturday Night through Monday/ . As of 3 PM Thu . High pressure builds into the region through the long term with nly winds subsiding to 10-15 kt Saturday night, becoming nwly Sunday into Monday. Seas will gradually subside through the long term, dropping below 6 ft for the northern and southern waters on Sunday, but SCA conditions may continue into Monday for the central waters with seas up to 6 ft continuing across the outer portions.

TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING. As of 3 PM Thu . Strong northerly winds will develop tonight and continue into Saturday, as a low pressure system impacts the region. Minor water level rises 1-2 ft agl expected for areas vulnerable to northerly winds, including areas adjacent to the lower Neuse River and the southern Pamlico Sound. Coastal Flood Advisories have been issued. Will issue High Surf Advisory for the beaches north of Hatteras with potential for minor ocean overwash and erosion.

MHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. NC . Ice Storm Warning from 4 AM Friday to 7 AM EST Saturday for NCZ092-094-194-195-198-199. Winter Storm Warning from midnight tonight to 7 AM EST Saturday for NCZ029-044>047-079>081-090-091-193-203. Winter Weather Advisory from 4 AM Friday to 7 AM EST Saturday for NCZ196. Wind Advisory from 1 PM Friday to 7 AM EST Saturday for NCZ203>205. High Surf Advisory from 7 AM Friday to 1 PM EST Saturday for NCZ203-205. MARINE . Small Craft Advisory from 6 PM this evening to 2 PM EST Saturday for AMZ136. Gale Warning from 10 PM this evening to 6 AM EST Saturday for AMZ137. Gale Warning from 8 PM this evening to 2 PM EST Saturday for AMZ135-156-158. Gale Warning from 7 PM this evening to 2 PM EST Saturday for AMZ131-230-231. Gale Warning from 7 PM this evening to 1 PM EST Saturday for AMZ150. Gale Warning from 8 PM this evening to 4 PM EST Saturday for AMZ152-154.

SYNOPSIS . MHX NEAR TERM . JME SHORT TERM . JME LONG TERM . SK AVIATION . CQD/SK MARINE . CQD/SK TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING . MHX


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
BFTN7 - 8656483 - Beaufort, NC 32 mi53 min ESE 2.9G4.1 56°F 51°F1016.3 hPa
CLKN7 - Cape Lookout, NC 39 mi41 min SSW 1.9G2.9 58°F 1017.9 hPa (+0.3)
HCGN7 - 8654467 - Hatteras, NC 46 mi53 min N 7G8 54°F 54°F1018.1 hPa

Wind History for Beaufort, NC
(wind in knots)    EDIT      (on/off)   Help
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Last 24 hrSW5
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Piney Island, Bt-11 Bombing Range, NC13 mi2.8 hrsWNW 610.00 miA Few Clouds63°F51°F65%1018.1 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KNBT

Wind History from NBT (wind in knots)
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Last 24 hrS7S8S6S5S6S7SW4S5S7SW6--S6S7W5W4SW3--W9W8NW6NW8W6N6NE6
1 day ago--SE5S4S3S5S4S4S4S4SE4SE4SE5SE40SW30--SW8SW8SW14
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2 days agoW19
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Tide / Current Tables for Core Creek Bridge, North Carolina
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Core Creek Bridge
Click for Map
Thu -- 04:09 AM EST     -0.06 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 07:12 AM EST     Sunrise
Thu -- 09:09 AM EST     Moonset
Thu -- 10:11 AM EST     2.15 feet High Tide
Thu -- 04:52 PM EST     -0.07 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 05:23 PM EST     Sunset
Thu -- 08:03 PM EST     Moonrise
Thu -- 10:33 PM EST     1.80 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

Core Creek Bridge, North Carolina, Tide feet
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Tide / Current Tables for North River Bridge, North Carolina
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North River Bridge
Click for Map
Thu -- 05:31 AM EST     -0.05 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 07:11 AM EST     Sunrise
Thu -- 09:08 AM EST     Moonset
Thu -- 11:10 AM EST     1.84 feet High Tide
Thu -- 05:23 PM EST     Sunset
Thu -- 06:14 PM EST     -0.06 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 08:03 PM EST     Moonrise
Thu -- 11:32 PM EST     1.54 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

North River Bridge, North Carolina, Tide feet
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Weather Map
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