Friday, January28, 2022
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Marine Weather and Tides
Hertford, NC

Version 3.4
NOTICE
3/30/2021 -- ANZ330 has been split into ANZ331 and ANZ332. Click EDIT in Marine Forecast and select your new zone.
1/26/2021 -- The West Coast Satellite images havd been updated. They now use GEOS-17.
1/1/2021 -- The 7 day forecast are now working well. Thank you NOAA for your support.

Sunrise 7:07AMSunset 5:28PM Friday January 28, 2022 6:26 AM EST (11:26 UTC) Moonrise 3:47AMMoonset 1:34PM Illumination 17% Phase: Waning Crescent; Moon at 26 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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AMZ230 Albemarle Sound- 346 Am Est Fri Jan 28 2022
.gale watch in effect from Saturday morning through Saturday afternoon...
Today..NE winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves 1 ft or less. A slight chance of rain early this afternoon. A chance of rain late.
Tonight..N winds 15 to 20 kt with gusts up to 30 kt. Waves 2 to 3 ft. Rain in the evening, then rain or snow likely after midnight.
Sat..NW winds 20 to 25 kt with gusts up to 35 kt. Waves 2 to 4 ft. Snow likely, mainly in the morning.
Sat night..NW winds 20 to 25 kt, diminishing to 15 to 20 kt after midnight. Waves 2 to 3 ft.
Sun..NW winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 25 kt, becoming sw 5 to 10 kt in the afternoon. Waves around 2 ft in the morning, then 1 ft.
Sun night..SW winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft or less.
Mon..NW winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming n. Waves 1 ft or less.
Tue..NE winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft or less.
AMZ200 416 Am Est Fri Jan 28 2022
Synopsis for coastal waters from surf city north carolina to south santee river south carolina out to 20 nautical miles.. Low pressure will develop offshore today into tonight then move northeast and strengthen. This will create treacherous marine conditions tonight and continuing well into the upcoming weekend. High pressure returns for the start of next week.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Hertford, NC
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location: 36.18, -76.47     debug


Area Discussion for - Wakefield, VA
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FXUS61 KAKQ 281025 AFDAKQ

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION National Weather Service Wakefield VA 525 AM EST Fri Jan 28 2022

SYNOPSIS. Low pressure develops east of Florida today, then deepens as it tracks northeast off the Mid-Atlantic and Northeast coasts Friday night and Saturday. Warming trend next week as high pressure moves off the coast.

NEAR TERM /THROUGH SATURDAY/. As of 500 AM EST Friday .

Blizzard Warning has been issued for the Virginia Eastern Shore and Worcester County, Maryland. Snow accumulations of 8-12 inches are expected with N-NW winds 30-35 mph with gusts 45-50 mph. Kept the Winter Storm Warning for the remainder of our Maryland Eastern Shore because confidence is low that wind speeds will reach blizzard criteria and occur while heavy snow is falling. 6-12 inches of snow accumulation is still expected in for areas of the Maryland Eastern Shore that have a Winter Storm Warning. There may be localized areas of more than a foot of snow accumulation across the lower MD Eastern Shore, especially from Salisbury to Ocean City.

Winter Storm Warning have been issued along the western shores of the Chesapeake Bay from the Northern Neck to the Hampton Roads and the northern Outer Banks. 4-6 inches of snow accumulation is expected for areas of the Northern Neck and Middle Peninsula with a Winter Storm Warning. Farther south, 2-4 inches of snow accumulation is expected for areas Hampton Roads and Outer Banks under a Winter Storm Warning.

Winter Weather Advisory has been issued for inland location. 1 to 2 inches of snow accumulations is expected. There is a possibility that localized 3-4 inches of snow accumulation north and west of downtown Richmond. Lesser amounts are expected for inland areas of southern Virginia and northern North Carolina, up to an inch.

An upper-level trough is digging southeast over the Midwest this morning. A broad area of light snow has already develop downstream of the trough axis across Kentucky and Ohio. The trough is expected to amplify more as it crosses the Appalachian Mountains. This will allow for heavier snow to develop downstream of the trough axis as it moves across central Virginia and western North Carolina. Precip may begin as rain across central VA this afternoon with temperatures around 40F but quickly change over to snow later this afternoon and this evening. The heaviest snow with the upper-level trough may line up from Farmville-Ashland-Tappahannock. As the snow moves south this evening, dry air northwest of the coastal storm will likely diminish snow rates for southern VA and northern NC near the I-85 and I-95 corridors. Snow with the upper trough will likely dissipate as the trough phases with the coastal storm.

Sfc low pressure is developing east of Cape Canaveral this morning. As the upper-level trough deepens across the Mid- Atlantic and Carolinas this afternoon, the sfc low will be directed north and track east of the Southeast U.S. coast this afternoon/evening. Precip will extend northwards towards Eastern NC and Southeastern VA ahead of the center of low pressure. Precip will likely start as rain for NC and southeast VA early Friday night. As the center of the low passes east then northeast of southeast VA and northeast NC, rain will change snow as colder air filters south. Cold air will likely already be in place for the Eastern Shore, Middle Peninsula, and Northern Neck that precip will likely start as snow, or very brief period of rain. The heaviest snow is expected when the center of low pressure is east of our coastline. Models are in better agreement than the snow associated with the coastal storm will not extend much farther west than the Chesapeake Bay. However, the NAM is still consistently showing snow as far west as I-95, but remains the outlier.

Temperatures will climb into the 40s today ahead of the precip. As the precip begins to fall across central VA and MD Eastern Shore, temperatures will fall to around freezing this evening. Colder air will move in tonight as the low pressure passes to the east. Temperature will fall into the 20s everywhere tonight.

Snow is expected to end from west to east early Saturday morning. Possibly linger into the early afternoon for the Maryland beaches. Cold and windy for Saturday behind the low. Highs will be in the low 30s to upper 20s and mid 20s for the Maryland Eastern Shore). Wind chill values will be in the low teens to single digits during the day on Saturday. Below zero wind chills are expected for the Eastern Shore Saturday night.

SHORT TERM /SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT/. As of 500 AM EST Friday .

Cold air will be in place as the coastal storm moves into southeast Canada Sunday morning. Sunday morning will likely be the coldest morning of the season for many locations. Low temperatures Sunday morning are forecasted to be in the single digit to mid teens along the coast. Wind will still be breezy early on Sunday along the coast. Wind chills will be below zero near the coast Sunday morning. High temperatures will be in 30s, and upper 20s for the Eastern shore, under mostly sunny skies.

LONG TERM /MONDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/. As of 115 AM EST Friday .

Upper-level trough that will be positioned over the area this week and bring cold air south will begin to move off the coast Monday. Monday morning low temperatures will start cold, teens and 20s, and high temperatures in the 40s. Ridge will build north over the East Coast by Tuesday, bring warmer air back into the region.

A warming trend continues through the end of next week as the wind becomes southerly as high pressure moves offshore. Lows Monday night range from the 20s to the lower 30s for coastal SE VA/NE NC. Highs Tuesday range from the mid 40s to lower 50s, with at least mid 50s to mid 60s by Wednesday and Thursday, after morning lows in the 30s. Next chance of precip (all rain) will be Thursday as a storm system tracks from SW to NE west of the Appalachian mountains.

AVIATION /09Z FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/. As of 100 AM EST Friday .

Some high level clouds are starting to move in from the west, but conditions should remain VFR through the 00Z TAF period. Skies will become BKN-OVC by tomorrow evening, but ceilings will be VFR. Winds are light and either variable or from the S. Winds will continue to be light and variable, shifting to the N late in the period.

Upper-level trough will bring an area of snow from northern VA to central VA Friday afternoon into Friday evening. There could be a period of heavy snow tomorrow evening at RIC (00z-06z Sat.). An low pressure system will be tracking up the Carolina coast at the same time. Clouds and precip (RN and SN) will be spreading north near the coast tomorrow evening. CIGs will quickly drop Friday evening from VFR to IFR as the snow moves in from the NW for RIC, and from the S near the coast as the center of low pressure moves north just off the east coast. The two system will phase over the Mid-Atlantic early Friday night with the main system being the storm off the coast. Reduced vis, strong N winds, and heavy snow is likely near the coast, with IFR and LIFR conditions.

OUTLOOK . This is expected to bring snow to the area, with the highest accumulation toward the coast. Gusty North winds (35-40 kt) are likely near and along the coast later Friday night into Sat. High pressure returns early next week.

MARINE. As of 345 AM EST Friday .

Benign across the marine area early this morning but conditions will begin to deteriorate later today, with rapidly worsening conditions late tonight into Saturday. Will be maintaining Gale Warnings for all of the Ocean/Bay/Sound/lower James, though with a rapidly intensifying sfc low (down to ~970mb) by later Saturday off the coast of New England, would not be surprised to see a few gusts to storm force across the northern coastal waters. Also, given the intensity of the system will be upgrading the remaining SCAs in the upper rivers to Gale Warnings for frequent gusts to 35 kt by Sat morning.

As for timing, light E?NE winds today will become NE and increase this evening, as the low pressure center approaches Cape Hatteras. Gale conditions are expected to start after midnight night with north winds increasing into Sat morning. North winds 25-35 kt (Gusts to 35-45 kt) will become NW during Sat, with the highest winds occurring through Sat aftn. The highest winds will be over the Atlc Ocean coastal waters. NW winds will remain strong Sat evening, then diminish into Sun morning, as the storm moves farther away to the north, and sfc high pressure builds in from the west. Seas will build to 6-10 ft Fri night into Sat evening, and remain elevated through Sun morning. Waves in the bay will build to 3-6 ft.

Calmer conditions below SCA criteria then expected for Sun aftn into Mon night.

TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING. As of 345 AM EST Friday .

With strong NNE winds shifting to the NNW, sites across the lower Bay and zones adjacent to the Ocean from Ocean City MD south to Currituck NC are currently forecast to reach into minor flood thresholds with the high tide cycle early Saturday morning. Overall, it appears that the storm intensifies too far offshore and while pushing N of the local area for moderate flooding and any Coastal Flood Watch issuances at this time, though this will need to be monitored closely. High Surf Advisories may be needed but w/ a quick shift in wind direction to the NNW, confidence at seeing 8 ft seas nearshore is too low at this time.

AKQ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. MD . Winter Storm Warning from 7 PM this evening to 7 PM EST Saturday for MDZ021>023. Blizzard Warning from 7 PM this evening to 7 PM EST Saturday for MDZ024-025. NC . Winter Weather Advisory from 7 PM this evening to 1 PM EST Saturday for NCZ012. Winter Weather Advisory from 10 PM this evening to 4 PM EST Saturday for NCZ013>016-030>032. Winter Storm Warning from 10 PM this evening to 4 PM EST Saturday for NCZ017-102. VA . Winter Weather Advisory from 4 PM this afternoon to 10 AM EST Saturday for VAZ048-060>062-064-068-069-509>516. Winter Weather Advisory from 7 PM this evening to 1 PM EST Saturday for VAZ081-087>089-092. Winter Weather Advisory from 7 PM this evening to 4 PM EST Saturday for VAZ082-083-090. Winter Weather Advisory from 10 PM this evening to 4 PM EST Saturday for VAZ093-096-524. Winter Storm Warning from 10 PM this evening to 4 PM EST Saturday for VAZ095-097-098-523-525. Blizzard Warning from 7 PM this evening to 7 PM EST Saturday for VAZ099-100. Winter Weather Advisory from 4 PM this afternoon to 4 PM EST Saturday for VAZ075-076-517>522. Winter Weather Advisory from 7 PM this evening to 10 AM EST Saturday for VAZ065>067-079-080. Winter Storm Warning from 7 PM this evening to 4 PM EST Saturday for VAZ077-078-084>086. MARINE . Gale Warning from 1 AM Saturday to 4 AM EST Sunday for ANZ650- 652-654-656-658. Gale Warning from 1 AM to 4 PM EST Saturday for ANZ635>638. Gale Warning from 1 AM to 10 PM EST Saturday for ANZ630>634.

SYNOPSIS . CP NEAR TERM . CP SHORT TERM . CP LONG TERM . CP AVIATION . AM/CP MARINE . LKB/TMG TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING .


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
DUKN7 - Duck Pier, NC - 8651370 38 mi56 min NNE 8.9G11 40°F 40°F1020.2 hPa
MNPV2 - 8639348 - Money Point, VA 42 mi56 min WNW 1G1.9 29°F 41°F1020.9 hPa
44100 - Duck FRF 26m, NC (430) 47 mi60 min 45°F3 ft
CRYV2 - 8638595 - South Craney Island, VA 49 mi56 min S 1.9G2.9 33°F 1020.8 hPa

Wind History for Duck, NC
(wind in knots)    EDIT      (on/off)   Help
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Last 24 hrN18
NE17
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G23
N16
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N14
G17
N11
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G17
N10
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N7
G10
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G12
NE8
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G11
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N23
G31
N20
G29
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G27
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N24
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G29
N24
G29
N26
N23
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N16
G22
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G25
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G24
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G25
N18
G25
NE19
G24
NE21
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N17
G24
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G23
2 days
ago
S6
SW10
G13
SW5
SW8
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G11
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N7
N14
N16
N18
N21
N24
G29
N20
G28
N23
G28
N24
G29
N23
G30
N24
G29

Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Edenton, Northeastern Regional Airport, NC12 mi31 minN 010.00 miFair28°F27°F97%1020.7 hPa
Elizabeth City C/G Regional Airport, NC16 mi32 minN 010.00 miFair26°F22°F84%1020.8 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KEDE

Wind History from EDE (wind in knots)
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Last 24 hrN3N3N3N6NE8NE8E60N3000000000000000
1 day agoN8N8
G14
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NE8NE7NE4NE4NE5NE4NE6NE4NE3NE300N30
2 days agoSW5SW5SW5SW30S4S4SW3SW3W3S40000N6N6NE6NE6N7NE9
G14
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G15
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G14

Tide / Current Tables for Currituck Beach Light, North Carolina
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Currituck Beach Light
Click for Map
Fri -- 03:32 AM EST     3.65 feet High Tide
Fri -- 03:45 AM EST     Moonrise
Fri -- 07:07 AM EST     Sunrise
Fri -- 10:11 AM EST     -0.08 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 01:30 PM EST     Moonset
Fri -- 03:56 PM EST     2.72 feet High Tide
Fri -- 05:25 PM EST     Sunset
Fri -- 10:00 PM EST     -0.47 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

Currituck Beach Light, North Carolina, Tide feet
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1.9
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-0.5
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Tide / Current Tables for Duck Pier, outside, North Carolina (2)
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Duck Pier
Click for Map
Fri -- 03:32 AM EST     3.46 feet High Tide
Fri -- 03:44 AM EST     Moonrise
Fri -- 07:06 AM EST     Sunrise
Fri -- 10:07 AM EST     -0.07 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 01:30 PM EST     Moonset
Fri -- 03:56 PM EST     2.58 feet High Tide
Fri -- 05:25 PM EST     Sunset
Fri -- 09:56 PM EST     -0.41 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

Duck Pier, outside, North Carolina (2), Tide feet
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1.4
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