Friday, October15, 2021
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Marine Weather and Tides
Camden, NC

Version 3.4
NOTICE
3/30/2021 -- ANZ330 has been split into ANZ331 and ANZ332. Click EDIT in Marine Forecast and select your new zone.
1/26/2021 -- The West Coast Satellite images havd been updated. They now use GEOS-17.
1/1/2021 -- The 7 day forecast are now working well. Thank you NOAA for your support.

Sunrise 7:11AMSunset 6:30PM Friday October 15, 2021 11:01 PM EDT (03:01 UTC) Moonrise 3:23PMMoonset 12:57AM Illumination 75% Phase: Waxing Gibbous; Moon at 10 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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AMZ230 Albemarle Sound- 1017 Pm Edt Fri Oct 15 2021
.small craft advisory in effect from Saturday afternoon through Sunday morning...
Overnight..S winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft or less.
Sat..S winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves 1 ft or less. A chance of showers with a slight chance of tstms in the afternoon.
Sat night..NW winds 15 to 20 kt, becoming N 20 to 25 kt after midnight. Waves 2 to 3 ft. Showers likely with a chance of tstms in the evening, then a chance of showers with a slight chance of tstms after midnight.
Sun..NW winds 15 to 20 kt with gusts up to 30 kt, diminishing to 10 to 15 kt in the afternoon. Waves around 2 ft.
Sun night..NW winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves around 2 ft in the evening, then 1 ft.
Mon..NW winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves 1 ft or less.
Mon night..NW winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves 1 ft or less.
Tue..NW winds around 10 kt, becoming sw. Waves 1 ft or less.
Wed..SW winds around 10 kt. Waves 1 ft or less. Winds and waves higher in and near tstms.
AMZ200 1027 Pm Edt Fri Oct 15 2021
Synopsis for coastal waters from surf city north carolina to south santee river south carolina out to 20 nautical miles.. Approaching cold front will cross the waters Saturday evening, with gusty winds ahead of and behind the front late Saturday through Sunday morning. Isolated tstms will be possible on the waters late Saturday. Easing nw and W winds expected late Sunday through early next week, as high pressure west of the area moves slowly toward the coast.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Camden, NC
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location: 36.22, -76.11     debug


Area Discussion for - Wakefield, VA
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FXUS61 KAKQ 160257 AFDAKQ

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION National Weather Service Wakefield VA 1057 PM EDT Fri Oct 15 2021

SYNOPSIS. High pressure slides offshore tonight. A cold front crosses the area Saturday afternoon and evening. High pressure builds into the area Sunday through the middle of next week bringing more seasonal temperatures and dry conditions.

NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM SATURDAY MORNING/. As of 715 PM EDT Friday .

high pressure drifts offshore through this evening and tonight. Mostly clear outside of some higher clouds across the northern half of the forecast area. Mild tonight due to southerly flow and some increasing high clouds, with low temperatures ranging from the upper 50s to lower 60s (mid 60s in a few spots).

SHORT TERM /6 AM SATURDAY MORNING THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT/. As of 315 PM EDT Friday .

The forecast for tomorrow remains similar to the previous forecast. Am still expecting the cold front to approach from the northwest through tomorrow morning, enter western portions of the area by early afternoon, and move offshore Saturday evening. This happens as the parent low continues to deepen while tracking NNE through Quebec and the upper trough axis approaches from the W (but the best mid/upper level dynamics still expected to miss us well to the north). Southerly flow ahead of the front will allow temperatures to warm quickly with forecast highs ranging from the upper 70s W to the low to even mid 80s SE. It still looks like that most of the precipitation (mainly showers) will occur along and behind the front, with isolated showers at best in advance of the front. 30-50% PoPs arrive in the Piedmont by midday Sat, and then 60-70% PoPs spread east from the I-95 corridor to the coast Saturday afternoon and early evening. Will likely see a broken line of low-topped convection develop along the front by mid to late Saturday afternoon (especially as it gets along/east of I-95) with the increase in daytime heating. However, the probability of thunder is rather low given that there will only be a narrow band of very weak instability (100-400 J/kg of MLCAPE) along and just ahead of the boundary. Temperatures will immediately fall into the mid-upper 60s following the FROPA. Resultant sharp pressure rises immediately behind the front will likely result in a NW wind briefly gusting to 30-45mph along and in the wake of the front (highest gusts will be co-located with the low-topped convective elements).

QPF still remains very limited west of I-95 (0.1" or less). QPF will be noticeably higher (around 0.25") across ern VA and the Lower Eastern Shore). Will have lingering PoPs of 40-70% near the coast from 8-11 PM Saturday as there may be a few hour period of light to moderate rain in the wake of the front (perhaps aided by lift from the right entrance region of a 125kt 250mb jet streak to our N-NNE). Skies should clear fairly quickly from the west Saturday night as cool high pressure begins to build toward the region from the west. Much cooler Saturday night with lows dropping back into the 40s for many locations away from the coast (low to mid 50s right along the coast).

On Sunday, we will still be in between departing low pressure well to our NE (near Atlantic Canada) and sfc high pressure building in from the west, with NW flow aloft on the back side of the upper trough. Much cooler with highs struggling to make it out of the low to mid 60s for much of the area despite full sunshine. Sunday night will be the coolest night of the fall so far as the center of the high settles over the Appalachians. Lows generally in the low 40s in the VA Piedmont (possibly upper 30s in the typically cooler spots such as LKU), low to mid 40s in most other inland locations, and upper 40s-low 50s near the immediate coast.

LONG TERM /MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/. As of 315 PM EDT Friday .

NW flow aloft continues during the early week period while the flow flattens out and becomes quasi-zonal over the Mid-Atlantic by the middle of next week. The sfc high settles over the area by Tue, then potentially shifts offshore by the latter part of the week. Maintained a dry forecast through Thu, with slight rain chances returning by next Friday as another cold front potentially approaches. Highs start to slowly recover closer to average Monday with temperatures in the upper 60s to around 70F, becoming above average from Tue-Thu (low to mid 70s). Lows will range from the low 40s W (potentially some upper 30s NW) to the upper 40s/lower 50s E Monday night, in the mid 40s to lower 50s Tuesday night, in the upper 40s to upper 50s Wednesday night, and in the 50s to near 60F Thursday night.

AVIATION /03Z SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/. As of 715 PM EDT Friday .

High pressure moves offshore tonight with winds becoming southerly at all terminals prior to midnight. Cold front approaches the area tomorrow and crosses the region during the afternoon and evening. SW winds 10-15 kt ahead of the front will become gusty by late morning as mixing increases and the pressure gradient tightens. Winds turn NW and remain gusty behind the front. Low-topped showers will accompany the frontal passage (a few gusts ~30 kt) with CIGs lowering to 4-5kft.

Outlook . VFR conditions return Saturday night with winds remaining out of the NW but slowly decreasing, especially away from the coastal terminals.

MARINE. As of 315 PM EDT Friday .

A large area of high pressure centered offshore with an area of low pressure over the Ohio River Valley. With the high offshore dominating the region this afternoon winds have been light E to SE along the Bay and coast. Conditions will remain quiet this evening as winds gradually become more southerly but remain light this evening with waves 1 ft or less on the Bay and seas around 2 ft over the coastal waters. The pressure gradient will start to tighten later tonight between the high pressure offshore and a cold front approaching from the west trailing the surface low. Winds will become southerly at 10-15 kt. Seas will gradually build to around 2 to 3ft with waves in Bay around 2 ft by morning. Conditions should remain below SCA criteria tonight.

On Sat, the pattern becomes more active as the cold front approaches from the NW and crosses the waters from NW to SE during the late aftn/early evening timeframe. Model timing has not changed much. Ahead of the cold front on Saturday, south to southwest winds will increase to 15-20kt everywhere and could be rather gusty at times in after early afternoon. A strong cold front will approach from the west late in the day and there will be a very quick temperature drop immediately following the cold front late in the afternoon into early evening. Expect a brief period (about 1 to 2 hours) of gusty winds (potentially up to 34kt) immediately after the front passes later Saturday afternoon into Saturday evening. Then, winds will quickly turn to the NW with sustained wind speeds increasing to 20-25kt by late Sat evening- Sat night across all areas. Gusts around 30kt are likely on the Bay/Ocean Sat night, with ~35kt gusts possible at elevated terminals as cold air surges in from the north. SCAs are in effect for all waters for mainly Saturday afternoon through the day on Sunday. Short term Special Marine Warnings may be needed late Saturday with the front if winds reach 34 kt or stronger for a brief period. NW winds will decrease to 15- 20kt by late Sunday afternoon, but are expected to generally remain around 15 to 20 kt through Monday as high pressure builds across the Deep South/TN Valley with low pressure remaining near Atlantic Canada.

Waves will increase to 2-3 ft with the SW winds Saturday, with seas building to 3-4 ft. Waves build to 3-4ft by Sat night, with seas increasing to 4-6 ft in most areas overnight. Seas gradually subside to 3-4 ft by later Mon/Mon night.

TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING. As of 1045 PM EDT Friday

Increasing southerly winds ahead of the cold front will bring the potential for minor tidal flooding to the Bay side of the lower MD eastern shore with the high tide cycle late Sat morning. The current TWL forecast still has only Bishops Head reaching minor flood thresholds, while Cambridge and Crisfield peak just below minor flooding levels. will likely need (most likely) a Coastal Flood Statement or possibly a brief advisory depending on how water levels based on tide levels this evening into early Sat morning. Winds shifting to the NW later Sat will then rapidly lead to lowering water levels, though will still have to watch Bishops Head and Cambridge with late Sat night tide cycle with gusty W-NW flow developing. Improving conditions then expected Sun/Mon.

AKQ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. MD . None. NC . None. VA . None. MARINE . Small Craft Advisory from 8 AM Saturday to 1 PM EDT Sunday for ANZ635>637. Small Craft Advisory from 8 AM Saturday to 8 PM EDT Sunday for ANZ630>634-638-650-652-654-656-658.

SYNOPSIS . AJB NEAR TERM . AJB/RHR SHORT TERM . AJB/ERI LONG TERM . AJB/ERI AVIATION . RHR MARINE . JAO TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING .


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
DUKN7 - Duck Pier, NC - 8651370 19 mi43 min SSE 7G8 72°F 71°F1013.7 hPa
44056 - Duck FRF, NC 21 mi35 min 73°F2 ft
44100 - Duck FRF 26m, NC (430) 28 mi35 min 73°F2 ft
44086 40 mi35 min 73°F2 ft
MNPV2 - 8639348 - Money Point, VA 40 mi43 min S 1G2.9 70°F 74°F1013.1 hPa
ORIN7 - 8652587 - Oregon Inlet Marina, NC 42 mi49 min SE 2.9G5.1 69°F 76°F1013.9 hPa
CRYV2 - 8638595 - South Craney Island, VA 48 mi43 min S 9.9G11 71°F 1013.2 hPa
CHYV2 - 8638999 - Cape Henry, VA 49 mi43 min S 8G9.9 68°F 1013.7 hPa

Wind History for Duck, NC
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Elizabeth City C/G Regional Airport, NC5 mi67 minS 510.00 miFair67°F63°F87%1014 hPa
Currituck, Currituck County Airport, NC13 mi66 minN 07.00 miFair64°F64°F100%1013.9 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KECG

Wind History from ECG (wind in knots)
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Last 24hr0SW4000000000N3N5N4NE54N4E6SE7SE60SE3S3S5
1 day ago00000W30000NW4NW5N5N7N5N4NW9NW9NW6N6E7E3E30
2 days agoNW7NW5NW7NW7NW8N7N7N9NW5NW8N7N7N9NW6N7N5N5N4N6NE4NE5NE5NE6E3

Tide / Current Tables for Currituck Beach Light, North Carolina
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Currituck Beach Light
Click for Map
Fri -- 01:55 AM EDT     Moonset
Fri -- 04:00 AM EDT     3.49 feet High Tide
Fri -- 07:10 AM EDT     Sunrise
Fri -- 10:05 AM EDT     0.68 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 04:22 PM EDT     Moonrise
Fri -- 04:29 PM EDT     4.00 feet High Tide
Fri -- 06:26 PM EDT     Sunset
Fri -- 10:56 PM EDT     0.53 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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Tide / Current Tables for Duck Pier, outside, North Carolina
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Duck Pier
Click for Map
Fri -- 01:55 AM EDT     Moonset
Fri -- 04:16 AM EDT     3.16 feet High Tide
Fri -- 07:10 AM EDT     Sunrise
Fri -- 10:08 AM EDT     0.62 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 04:21 PM EDT     Moonrise
Fri -- 04:37 PM EDT     3.81 feet High Tide
Fri -- 06:26 PM EDT     Sunset
Fri -- 10:59 PM EDT     0.40 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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NOTE: This section has been updated as of 1/26/2021. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may use the EDIT function to update your location.
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