Saturday, October23, 2021
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Marine Weather and Tides
South Mills, NC

Version 3.4
NOTICE
3/30/2021 -- ANZ330 has been split into ANZ331 and ANZ332. Click EDIT in Marine Forecast and select your new zone.
1/26/2021 -- The West Coast Satellite images havd been updated. They now use GEOS-17.
1/1/2021 -- The 7 day forecast are now working well. Thank you NOAA for your support.

Sunrise 7:18AMSunset 6:20PM Saturday October 23, 2021 4:59 PM EDT (20:59 UTC) Moonrise 7:10PMMoonset 9:05AM Illumination 91% Phase: Waning Gibbous; Moon at 18 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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ANZ633 Currituck Sound- 256 Pm Edt Sat Oct 23 2021
Through 7 pm..NW winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves less than 1 foot and light chop.
Tonight..N winds 5 kt, becoming W in the late evening and overnight. Waves flat.
Sun..N winds 5 kt, becoming E in the late morning and early afternoon, then becoming se late. Waves flat, increasing to less than 1 foot and light chop in the late morning and afternoon.
Sun night..S winds 10 kt. Waves less than 1 foot and light chop.
Mon..S winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves 1 to 2 ft.
Mon night..S winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves 1 to 2 ft. A chance of tstms in the evening. Showers likely.
Tue..W winds 10 to 15 kt, becoming nw 15 to 20 kt in the afternoon. Waves 1 to 2 ft, increasing to around 2 ft in the afternoon. Showers likely in the morning.
Tue night..NW winds 15 to 20 kt. Waves around 2 ft.
Wed..NW winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves 1 to 2 ft.
Wed night..NW winds 10 to 15 kt, diminishing to 5 to 10 kt after midnight. Waves 1 to 2 ft, diminishing to less than 1 foot and light chop after midnight. Winds and seas higher in and near tstms.
ANZ600 256 Pm Edt Sat Oct 23 2021
Synopsis for fenwick island de to currituck beach light nc out 20 nautical miles including virginia portion of the chesapeake bay, currituck sound and portions of the james, york, and rappahannock rivers.. Weak high pressure builds across the region through tonight, before it slides out to sea later Sunday into Monday. Another cold front pushes through the area late Monday into Tuesday.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near South Mills, NC
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location: 36.44, -76.29     debug


Area Discussion for - Wakefield, VA
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FXUS61 KAKQ 231856 AFDAKQ

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION National Weather Service Wakefield VA 256 PM EDT Sat Oct 23 2021

SYNOPSIS. A warm front lifts north of the area Sunday with high pressure pushing off the Mid Atlantic coast Sunday night and Monday. A cold front crosses the area Monday night. High pressure builds back into the region for the mid week period.

NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM SUNDAY MORNING/. As of 255 PM EDT Saturday .

High pressure remains over the area. Expect an increase in mid level moisture across the north late tonite as a warm front apprchs from the west. Thus, mstly clr south, pt cldy cldy north. Lows mid 40s west to lwr 50s along the coast.

SHORT TERM /6 AM SUNDAY MORNING THROUGH TUESDAY/. As of 255 PM EDT Saturday .

The warm front pushes north of the area Sun while the high becomes centered off the coast. Return southerly flow along with plenty of sunshine allows the above normal temps to cont. Highs in the 70s. Fair-pt cldy and milder Sun nite. Lows mid 50s NW to lwr 60s SE.

Mon starts off pt to mostly sunny ahead of an apprchg cold front progged to cross the local area Mon night. Moisture increases ahead of this feature for sct shwrs to dvlp Mon aftrn across the Piedmont. A fairly decent slug of moisture/lift will then accompany the cold front arnd 21Z-03Z across the west, 00Z-06Z across the east. Increasing instab along the bndry will lead to some tstrms Mon eve with the actual fropa. SPC has the entire area outlooked for a svr threat, with a SLGHT risk across the Piedmont. This appears to be assctd with the convection for a svrl hr prd with the actual fropa Mon eve. Main threat will be damaging wind gusts. Lclly hvy downpours possible given increasing PW's. The front pushes offshore after 06Z, ending the thunder threat but with sct shwrs continuing thru the nite. Will ramp up to high chc PoPs late Mon across the west with likely PoPs all areas Mon nite, tapering off across the west after midnite. Warm Mon with highs upr 70s-lwr 80s. Lows Mon nite mid 50s-lwr 60s.

Although the systm shifts offshore Tue, models show enuf wrap arnd moisture for a contd shwr chc, highest ne. Increasing sunshine across the sw during the aftrn. Highs mid 60s NW to lwr 70s SE.

LONG TERM /TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY/. As of 255 PM EDT Saturday .

Wrap arnd shwrs end Tue nite across the east as the systm pushes farther offshore. Lows mid-upr 40s away from the water, arnd 50 near the water. Wed should be dry ahead of the next systm apprchg from the west. Highs in the mid-upr 60s.

Unsettled pattern taking shape late next week as another anomalously strong Pacific system moves into the plains by mid week. The GFS conts to be quicker with the system, while the ECMWF/CMC are slower by closing off the low and modeling a broad, anomalously deep east coast trough Fri/Sat. Will cont to follow the slower scenario given a progged neg tilted systm.

Will carry chc shwrs each period starting Thurs aftrn (30-50 PoP for now). Could also see a weak "in-situ" wedge across the Piedmont. Highs both Thu/Fri in the lwr 60s NW-lwr 70s SE. Lows mid 40s-mid 50s. Highs Sat in the 60s.

AVIATION /19Z SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/. As of 110 PM EDT Saturday .

SCT-BKN CU at 3-4K FT this aftrn will dissipate this eve as high pressure builds into the area. A warm front lifts north of the area Sun. SCT CU expected Sun in the warm sector. Variable winds 5 kts become SSE at 5-10 kts Sun.

Outlook: Unsettled flying conditions return late Mon as a cold front crosses the area with sct-nmrs shwrs and psbl tstms. High pressure returns later Tuesday and Wednesday. Another cold front crosses by late in the week.

MARINE. As of 255 PM EDT Saturday .

Generally benign conditions across the waters this afternoon as high pressure builds across the region. Winds range from W to NW around 5 to 10 knots. Seas range from 2 to 3 feet and waves in the Chesapeake Bay are running around 1 to 2 feet. High pressure will become centered over the region tonight into Sunday morning, with westerly flow becoming N and then NE around 10 knots.

Tomorrow into Monday, the flow becomes southerly as a warm front lifts north across the area and low pressure approaches from the west. Winds approach Small Craft Advisory criteria Sunday night into Monday across the Chesapeake Bay and potentially the northern coastal waters as S winds increase to 15 to 20 knots. In addition to the increasing winds, seas will also build to 3 to 4 feet (potentially 5 feet out 20 nm) beginning Sunday night through Monday. A cold front crosses the region Monday night into Tuesday. There is more cold air behind this front and the models are trying to show the development of a stronger sfc low off the Mid-Atlantic coast. At least SCA winds will be possible over much of the waters in the wake of the front Tuesday into Wednesday, with the potential for some gusts to Gale force out 20 nm Tuesday evening/night. Winds slowly diminish through the day Wednesday, becoming sub-SCA by Wednesday night. Seas build to 4 to 6 feet Tuesday into Tuesday night, and linger around 5 feet (especially out 20 nm) through Wednesday night. Another strong system may try to impact the region late in the week into next weekend, bringing the potential for at least additional SCAs.

AKQ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. MD . None. NC . None. VA . None. MARINE . None.

SYNOPSIS . MPR NEAR TERM . MPR SHORT TERM . MPR LONG TERM . MPR AVIATION . MPR MARINE . AJB


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
MNPV2 - 8639348 - Money Point, VA 23 mi65 min WNW 7G11 72°F 70°F1014.4 hPa
CRYV2 - 8638595 - South Craney Island, VA 31 mi65 min NNW 5.1G7 69°F 1014.6 hPa
DUKN7 - Duck Pier, NC - 8651370 34 mi65 min ENE 1.9G2.9 73°F 70°F1014.5 hPa
44056 - Duck FRF, NC 35 mi63 min 71°F2 ft
SWPV2 - 8638610 - Sewells Point, VA 35 mi65 min 69°F1014.8 hPa
CHYV2 - 8638999 - Cape Henry, VA 37 mi65 min NW 7G8.9 67°F 1015.1 hPa
DOMV2 - 8638511 - Dominion Terminal Association, VA 37 mi65 min 0G4.1 71°F 1015 hPa
WDSV2 - 8638614 - Willoughby Deguassing , VA 37 mi65 min W 11G12 69°F 1015.1 hPa
44100 - Duck FRF 26m, NC (430) 39 mi63 min 71°F2 ft
44087 41 mi63 min 70°F1 ft
CHBV2 42 mi65 min NNE 2.9G4.1 68°F 1013.9 hPa
44099 - Cape Henry, VA (147) 45 mi63 min 69°F2 ft

Wind History for Money Point, VA
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Elizabeth City C/G Regional Airport, NC14 mi65 minW 810.00 miFair75°F51°F43%1014.6 hPa
Chesapeake, Chesapeake Municipal Airport, VA15 mi64 minW 97.00 miFair73°F49°F43%1014.9 hPa
Currituck, Currituck County Airport, NC15 mi64 minWNW 510.00 miFair73°F46°F38%1014.6 hPa
Suffolk, Suffolk Municipal Airport, VA23 mi64 minW 710.00 miFair73°F52°F49%1015.2 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KECG

Wind History from ECG (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrS5S10
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SW4SW3SE4N8N5NW3N7N5N4N6NW3NW3W3W5W6NW3N4W6W9W10W11W8
1 day agoS15
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2 days agoS7S5S3SW3E300SW40SW3S4S5SW4S3SW6SW6SW5SW7SW7S9S8SW11SW13SW12

Tide / Current Tables for False Cape, Virginia
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False Cape
Click for Map
Sat -- 03:30 AM EDT     0.53 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 07:18 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sat -- 09:50 AM EDT     4.46 feet High Tide
Sat -- 10:03 AM EDT     Moonset
Sat -- 04:20 PM EDT     0.70 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 06:16 PM EDT     Sunset
Sat -- 08:07 PM EDT     Moonrise
Sat -- 10:07 PM EDT     3.66 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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Tide / Current Tables for Currituck Beach Light, North Carolina
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Currituck Beach Light
Click for Map
Sat -- 03:25 AM EDT     0.53 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 07:18 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sat -- 09:45 AM EDT     4.25 feet High Tide
Sat -- 10:03 AM EDT     Moonset
Sat -- 04:15 PM EDT     0.70 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 06:16 PM EDT     Sunset
Sat -- 08:07 PM EDT     Moonrise
Sat -- 10:02 PM EDT     3.49 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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NOTE: This section has been updated as of 1/26/2021. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may use the EDIT function to update your location.
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