Tuesday, December7, 2021
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Marine Weather and Tides
Moyock, NC

Version 3.4
NOTICE
3/30/2021 -- ANZ330 has been split into ANZ331 and ANZ332. Click EDIT in Marine Forecast and select your new zone.
1/26/2021 -- The West Coast Satellite images havd been updated. They now use GEOS-17.
1/1/2021 -- The 7 day forecast are now working well. Thank you NOAA for your support.

Sunrise 7:01AMSunset 4:51PM Tuesday December 7, 2021 7:06 PM EST (00:06 UTC) Moonrise 10:39AMMoonset 8:31PM Illumination 14% Phase: Waxing Crescent; Moon at 4 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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ANZ633 Currituck Sound- 638 Pm Est Tue Dec 7 2021
.small craft advisory in effect from late Wednesday night through Thursday morning...
Through 7 pm..NE winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves less than 1 foot and light chop.
Tonight..NE winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves less than 1 foot and light chop. A chance of rain after midnight.
Wed..NE winds 10 to 15 kt, becoming N 5 to 10 kt late. Waves 1 to 2 ft, diminishing to less than 1 foot and light chop late. Rain, mainly in the morning. Vsby 1 to 3 nm.
Wed night..NW winds 10 to 15 kt, increasing to 15 to 20 kt late. Waves 1 to 2 ft, increasing to around 2 ft late.
Thu..N winds 10 to 15 kt, diminishing to 5 to 10 kt in the late morning and early afternoon, then becoming ne late. Waves 1 to 2 ft, diminishing to less than 1 foot and light chop in the late morning and early afternoon, then diminishing to flat late.
Thu night..S winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves less than 1 foot and light chop.
Fri..S winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves less than 1 foot and light chop.
Fri night..S winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves 1 to 2 ft.
Sat..S winds 15 to 20 kt. Waves around 2 ft.
Sat night..SW winds 15 to 20 kt. Waves around 2 ft. A chance of showers.
ANZ600 638 Pm Est Tue Dec 7 2021
Synopsis for fenwick island de to currituck beach light nc out 20 nautical miles including virginia portion of the chesapeake bay, currituck sound and portions of the james, york, and rappahannock rivers.. High pressure remains centered to the north through tonight before quickly retreating to the northeast early Wed. Low pressure tracks off the outer banks Wednesday with cold front pushing off the coast Wednesday night. High pressure builds in from the west Wednesday night, centering over the region on Thursday before shifting off the coast for Friday and Saturday.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Moyock, NC
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location: 36.5, -76.15     debug


Area Discussion for - Wakefield, VA
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FXUS61 KAKQ 072055 AFDAKQ

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION National Weather Service Wakefield VA 355 PM EST Tue Dec 7 2021

SYNOPSIS. Cool high pressure builds north of the area into early Wednesday as a weak surface low tracks toward the area from the southwest before moving offshore. High pressure returns on Thursday.

NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM WEDNESDAY MORNING/. As of 350 PM EST Tuesday .

Afternoon weather analysis shows 1024mb high pressure over the Ohio Valley, extending east and southeast into the local area. Flow aloft is mostly zonal to W-SW. Surface winds are quite variable across the area with north and northeast winds near the coast and light southerly flow across the Piedmont counties. Skies are mostly clear over a majority of the region with some mid level clouds stubbornly hanging on near and south of the VA/NC border. Temps have only risen into the mid to upper 40s despite mostly sunny skies in the post- frontal airmass.

A shortwave trough in the speedy/zonal flow aloft will approach the region tonight. Ahead of this disturbance, moisture/clouds will increase from the SW and spread NE this evening and tonight. Weak surface low pressure will translate ENE from the Gulf Coast to off the NC coast by Wednesday morning. Temps tonight will be tricky due to increasing cloud cover, especially after midnight, which will allow temps to hold steady or even rise a degree or two. Lows tonight range from around 30 degrees across the north to the upper 30s and low 40s for the southeast portion of the area. Chances for light to moderate rain increase across far SE VA and NE NC after 06z/1 AM tonight, and especially by 09-12z. Elsewhere, dry wx should prevail through the night given that there will be some very dry air in the lowest 5000-8000 feet that will have to be overcome before any pcpn reaches the ground.

SHORT TERM /6 AM WEDNESDAY MORNING THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT/. As of 350 PM EST Tuesday .

The best chc of pcpn for most inland areas will be from 12-18z Wed, with activity lingering until the mid to perhaps late aftn near the coast as the upper shortwave/sfc low quickly move offshore thanks to the progressive pattern aloft.

Models continue to advertise two separate areas of precip during the day on Wednesday. The first is across the southeastern third of the area (closer to the weak surface low and associated frontogenetic forcing). Another area of generally light precip is shown across the northern counties and is associated with weak mid level frontogenesis. The consensus of the 12z models and the various high res runs has trended weaker with the northern area of precip. Thermal profiles are also marginally warmer. The vast majority of the QPF over the next 24 hours is expected to fall across the SE portion of the area where 0.1-0.5" is possible. Elsewhere, QPF is generally a trace to 0.1". Thermal profiles are generally cold enough for period of rain/snow mix across the northern tier of counties into the MD Eastern Shore from 12-18z, but support all rain elsewhere. Surface temps look to remain near or above the freezing mark so any light accumulation would be confined to grassy/elevated surfaces. Have maintained very light snow accumulation grids showing up to 0.1" of wet snow from Louisa ENE to the Northern Neck and portions of the MD Eastern Shore but no impacts (travel or otherwise) are expected. High temps Wednesday will be in the low 40s for all but the far SE and far SW (where precip and clouds will decrease the fastest) where some mid to upper 40s are possible.

As the shortwave trough pushes east into the Atlantic Wed night . high pressure will quickly build into the region and will lead to a fairly cold night with lows in the low to mid 20s inland and upper 20s to low 30s along the coast. The surface high moves offshore by late Thursday with return flow beginning by Thu evening/Thu night. Dry and cool on Thu with highs in the mid 40s N to around 50F south. Lows Thu night mainly in the low-mid 30s. Clouds increase from the SW on Friday with slight chance PoPs sneaking in from the west by late afternoon as overrunning moisture sets up ahead of a warm frontal passage. Any QPF is expected to be extremely light. Lows Friday night will be quite a bit warmer than previous nights with increasing clouds and southerly winds. Lows range from the upper 40s NW to upper 50s SE.

LONG TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/. As of 350 PM EST Tuesday .

Progressive pattern continues into the extended forecast period with model consensus showing strong southerly flow and anomalously warm temperatures for December on Saturday. High temps rise into the 70s with mid and even upper 70s looking likely for the southern half of the area. Another relatively strong cold front is likely to move across the area late Saturday night or during the day on Sunday, with high chc to likely PoPs in the forecast at this time. Both deterministic models and their respective ensembles are hinting at a more widespread rain event with the front late Sat night-Sunday with PWATs rising to 1.0-1.5". Both the 12z/07 GEFS and EPS continue to have probabilities of ~40-60% for at least a half inch of pcpn for most of the area on Sunday. Cooler/drier wx is expected to start next week.

AVIATION /21Z TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/. As of 1250 PM EST Tuesday .

VFR conditions prevail early this afternoon. This morning's cold front is now well offshore with diminishing N/NNE winds expected this afternoon. Skies are clear over much of the area but some mid level CIGs at 5-6 kft remain for the southern terminals (ORF, ECG). Weak low pressure will move eastward to the south of the local area tonight into the daylight hours of Wednesday, bringing rain to the SE terminals and the potential for a RA/SN mix for SBY. CIGs will lower across the region with MVFR conditions expected for RIC and SBY and low-end MVFR to IFR CIGs at PHF, ORF, and ECG by mid morning Wednesday.

Outlook: VFR conditions return Wed night/Thu.

MARINE. As of 350 PM EST Tuesday .

Have extended the SCAs for the southern coastal waters off the NC coast until 7 PM due to seas remaining 5 ft. There are two areas of high pressure this afternoon, one centered over the northern Ches Bay and the other centered over the Ohio Valley. The result has been N/NE winds 5-10 kt over most of the local waters and NNE winds 10-15 kt for the southern coastal waters. Winds become NE 5-10 kt tonight, eventually becoming N 5-15 kt by Wed afternoon as the high pressure moves into the Northeast and a coastal low moves NE off the coast. Winds shift to NW by late Wed afternoon as the low pulls away to the NE. High pressure builds in from the west behind the departing low Wed night. The pressure gradient between the departing low and the high pressure building in Wed night will cause NW winds to ramp up to 15-20 kt over all local waters except the rivers (the Lower James will likely reach 15-20 kt) with gusts to 25 kt in the Ches Bay and northern coastal waters. Have therefore issued SCAs for the Ches Bay from 10 PM Wed through 7 AM Thurs and from 1 AM Thurs through 7 AM Thurs for the Lower James and Currituck Sound. Winds will likely gusts to 25 kt over the northern coastal waters, but confidence in frequent gusts to 25 kt is too low to issue SCAs at this time. Will reevaluate with future updates. High pressure moves in Thurs with winds quickly diminishing.

The next chance for SCAs will be Fri night as SW/S winds increase behind a warm front with strong WAA. A strong cold front moves through Sat night with SCA conditions likely with NW winds 15-25 kt. Seas may increase to 5-6 ft S and 5-8 ft N Sat into Sun with the highest seas Sat night.

Seas are 2-3 ft N and 3-5 ft S this afternoon, diminishing to 2-3 ft tonight, before building to 3-4 ft Wed night. Waves remain 1-2 ft through Wed before building to 2-3 ft Wed night..

AKQ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. MD . None. NC . None. VA . None. MARINE . Small Craft Advisory from 10 PM Wednesday to 7 AM EST Thursday for ANZ630>632-634. Small Craft Advisory from 1 AM to 7 AM EST Thursday for ANZ633- 638. Small Craft Advisory until 7 PM EST this evening for ANZ658.

SYNOPSIS . ERI/RHR NEAR TERM . ERI/RHR SHORT TERM . ERI/RHR LONG TERM . ERI/RHR AVIATION . ERI/RHR MARINE . RMM


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
MNPV2 - 8639348 - Money Point, VA 21 mi169 min E 2.9G5.1 53°F1022.3 hPa
CRYV2 - 8638595 - South Craney Island, VA 29 mi169 min NE 6G8.9 1022.4 hPa
CHYV2 - 8638999 - Cape Henry, VA 30 mi169 min NE 7G9.9 1022.9 hPa
44056 - Duck FRF, NC 31 mi41 min 55°F4 ft
DUKN7 - Duck Pier, NC - 8651370 31 mi169 min NE 13G17 54°F1021.5 hPa
SWPV2 - 8638610 - Sewells Point, VA 32 mi169 min 51°F1022.6 hPa
44100 - Duck FRF 26m, NC (430) 34 mi71 min 58°F5 ft
DOMV2 - 8638511 - Dominion Terminal Association, VA 35 mi169 min ENE 1.9G4.1 1022.9 hPa
44087 36 mi41 min 50°F1 ft
44099 - Cape Henry, VA (147) 37 mi41 min 55°F3 ft
CHBV2 37 mi169 min ENE 6G7 1021.6 hPa
KPTV2 - 8632200 - Kiptopeke, VA 47 mi169 min E 4.1G6 53°F
44072 49 mi37 min E 12G12 41°F 50°F

Wind History for Money Point, VA
(wind in knots)    EDIT      (on/off)   Help
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This daySW7
G12
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NW8
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NE3
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N3
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NE4
G8
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N3
G7
NE4

Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Currituck, Currituck County Airport, NC10 mi72 minNNE 610.00 miOvercast44°F27°F51%1022.3 hPa
Chesapeake, Chesapeake Municipal Airport, VA14 mi72 minNNE 37.00 miOvercast43°F25°F49%1023.4 hPa
Elizabeth City C/G Regional Airport, NC17 mi73 minNE 810.00 miOvercast45°F29°F54%1022.3 hPa
Virginia Beach, Oceana, Naval Air Station, VA24 mi71 minENE 510.00 miMostly Cloudy46°F25°F44%1022.8 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KONX

Wind History from ONX (wind in knots)
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SW7SW6SW5SW3N10N12--N13
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1 day agoN5N3000W600SW30000SW3S4SW7SW8SW10
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2 days agoN6000000000N4N6NE7NE9NE8
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Tide / Current Tables for False Cape, Virginia
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False Cape
Click for Map
Tue -- 03:12 AM EST     -0.54 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 07:02 AM EST     Sunrise
Tue -- 09:39 AM EST     4.56 feet High Tide
Tue -- 10:38 AM EST     Moonrise
Tue -- 04:13 PM EST     -0.37 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 04:47 PM EST     Sunset
Tue -- 08:29 PM EST     Moonset
Tue -- 10:07 PM EST     3.48 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

False Cape, Virginia, Tide feet
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1.8
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0.7
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-0.1
3
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-0.5
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-0.3
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0.4
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1.5
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2.7
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3.8
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4.4
10
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4.5
11
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4.1
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3.2
1
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2
2
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0.9
3
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0
4
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-0.4
5
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-0.2
6
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0.5
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1.4
8
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2.4
9
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3.2
10
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3.5
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3.3


Tide / Current Tables for Currituck Beach Light, North Carolina
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Currituck Beach Light
Click for Map
Tue -- 03:07 AM EST     -0.54 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 07:01 AM EST     Sunrise
Tue -- 09:34 AM EST     4.35 feet High Tide
Tue -- 10:37 AM EST     Moonrise
Tue -- 04:08 PM EST     -0.37 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 04:47 PM EST     Sunset
Tue -- 08:29 PM EST     Moonset
Tue -- 10:02 PM EST     3.31 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

Currituck Beach Light, North Carolina, Tide feet
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1.6
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1.4
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2.4
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3.3
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3.1


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