Sunday, January16, 2022
Privacy Policy
L-36.com

Marine Weather and Tides
Mathews, VA

Version 3.4
NOTICE
3/30/2021 -- ANZ330 has been split into ANZ331 and ANZ332. Click EDIT in Marine Forecast and select your new zone.
1/26/2021 -- The West Coast Satellite images havd been updated. They now use GEOS-17.
1/1/2021 -- The 7 day forecast are now working well. Thank you NOAA for your support.

Sunrise 7:15AMSunset 5:14PM Sunday January 16, 2022 5:05 AM EST (10:05 UTC) Moonrise 3:56PMMoonset 6:32AM Illumination 98% Phase: Waxing Gibbous; Moon at 14 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
    EDIT      (on/off)   Help
ANZ631 Chesapeake Bay From Windmill Point To New Point Comfort Va- 323 Am Est Sun Jan 16 2022
.gale warning in effect through Monday afternoon...
Through 7 am..NE winds 15 to 20 kt. Waves 3 ft.
Today..NE winds 15 to 20 kt, becoming E 20 to 25 kt late. Gusts to 35 kt late. Waves 3 to 4 ft. A chance of rain late in the morning. Rain in the afternoon.
Tonight..SE winds 25 to 30 kt, becoming S 20 to 25 kt after midnight, then becoming sw 25 to 30 kt late. Gusts to 40 kt. Waves 5 to 6 ft. Rain.
Mon..SW winds 25 to 30 kt, becoming W 20 to 25 kt late. Gusts to 40 kt. Waves 4 to 5 ft.
Mon night..W winds 20 to 25 kt, diminishing to 15 to 20 kt after midnight. Waves 4 to 5 ft, subsiding to 3 ft late.
Tue..W winds 15 to 20 kt, diminishing to 10 to 15 kt in the late morning and afternoon. Waves 2 to 3 ft, subsiding to 1 foot late.
Tue night..W winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming S after midnight. Waves 1 to 2 ft.
Wed..SW winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves around 2 ft.
Wed night..W winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 to 2 ft. A chance of rain after midnight.
Thu..N winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves 2 to 3 ft. A chance of rain.
Thu night..N winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves around 3 ft. A chance of snow and rain in the evening.
ANZ600 323 Am Est Sun Jan 16 2022
Synopsis for fenwick island de to currituck beach light nc out 20 nautical miles including virginia portion of the chesapeake bay, currituck sound and portions of the james, york, and rappahannock rivers.. High pressure moves off the new england coast today. A strong low pressure system tracks northeast across the local area this afternoon then rapidly intensifies while pushing north of the local waters tonight. High pressure slowly builds in from the southwest late Monday through midweek.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Mathews, VA
   Hourly   EDIT   Help
location: 37.35, -76.25     debug


Area Discussion for - Wakefield, VA
      (on/off)   Help   NOTE: mouseover dotted underlined text for definition
FXUS61 KAKQ 160942 AFDAKQ

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION National Weather Service Wakefield VA 442 AM EST Sun Jan 16 2022

SYNOPSIS. A potent storm system will track from the Southeast United States northeast across the local area late today into early Monday morning. High pressure returns for Monday night through midweek.

NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/. As of 420 AM EST Sunday .

Early this morning, 1032mb high pressure was centered over nrn New England while low pressure was centered over the Gulf coast states. Increasing high and mid level clouds were spreading NNE into the region well in advance of low pressure to the SSW. Temps ranged from the upper teens to the lower 30s. High pressure will gradually move east and off the New England coast by early this aftn, while one piece of the low lifts nwrd through the mountains, and a secondary low moves NE through SC. This low will then lift nwrd up through NC and east-central VA from late this aftn through this evening while intensifying. It then continues NNE through PA and into ern NY later tonight into Mon aftn.

Initial slug of WAA/Isentropic overrunning moisture ahead of the system will result a quick burst of snow lifting S to N over the area late this morning into this aftn, quickly turning to rain along the coastal areas from Hampton Roads/NE NC up to the Atlc coast of MD. However, that change will take a bit longer for the I-95 corridor and more so over to the VA Piedmont. Looking at our experimental in-house snow rates guidance and impressive mid-level QG omega axis pivoting through, it's not at all out of the question that we overcome marginal dynamic profiles locally over the I-95 corridor and pick up a quick 1-2 inches of snow later this morning through mid-aftn before the warm nose quickly lifts across central VA and forces rapid mid- level warming. This will entail an abrupt changeover to sleet and eventually plain rain over the I-95 zones from mid aftn into early this evening from SE to NNW, continuing into tonight as mid-level warming works its way well inland. However, with freezing temps at the sfc to be overcome across the piedmont, light icing is likely over the western half of the area. The area of greatest concern locally remains from around Farmville south to Boydton. These areas could receive 0.1-0.2" ice accumulation on top of about 1-3" of snow. This enhances the concern for additional tree damage and power outages as well as potential travel disruptions before relatively milder air arrives late this evening.

Snow accumulations are on the order of an inch or two for the I-95 corridor, with localized amounts of up to 3" not at all out of the question for the far NNW portions of the Advy area from Midlothian up to Short Pump to Ladysmith. So, have maintained Winter Weather Advisory for these areas, and southward to Northampton county NC, with Winter Storm Warnings just west for a combination of 2-5" of snow plus light icing on the back side.

Finally, quickly deepening low lifting across the area will bring very strong winds. Have issued a Wind Advisory for coastal sections of the area, with gusts to 45 mph expected. Even inland, gusts of 30-40 mph are likely over the western half of the area this evening before backing off late tonight. Even with a changeover to rain likely over most of if not the entire area by that point, additional power outages are a distinct possibility over the area late this aftn and evening. The system lifts out of the region late tonight, with top-down drying ensuing. Some lingering light mixed pcpn possible after midnight, but expect dry conditions by sunrise Mon morning.

SHORT TERM /MONDAY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT/. As of 420 AM EST Sunday .

Sfc low pressure will lift NNE through NY and into SE Canada during Mon. The upper-level low will also be pulling NE during Mon. However, a secondary shortwave trough will move across the region Mon aftn. This may provide enough lift and moisture for a few rain/snow showers to develop Mon aftn into early Mon evening. Temps will be above freezing at this time, so little to no accumulation of snow is expected during this time period. Temps will remain fairly steady on Mon, as the colder air filters back into the area on the backside of the sfc low that will be north of the area. In addition, clouds will be developing again, limiting any heating during the aftn. Westerly winds will be elevated on Mon as well. Sustain winds are forecasted to be 15-20 mph with gusts 25-35 mph inland, and sustain winds 20-25 mph with gusts 35-45 mph along the coast. Highest winds will be along the immediate shore of the bay and ocean. These winds will lead to wind chills in the mid 20s to lower 30s for Mon aftn.

High pressure will be centered SW or W of the area Mon night into Tue morning. Temps will drop into the 20s to near 30. The center of the high will slide by to our south and off the coast for Tue and Tue night. Mostly sunny on Tue with highs in the upper 30s to mid 40s. Clear or mostly clear Tue night with lows ranging through the 20s into the lower 30s.

LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/. As of 420 AM EST Sunday .

There is decent model consensus to begin the medium range period, and this features high pressure centered offshore Wednesday, with a cold front approaching from the NW as a cold upper trough dives into the Great Lakes. Wednesday will likely be the mildest day of the period with high temperatures ranging from the mid/upper 40s NW to the mid 50s SW. The overall model consensus depicts the cold front dropping through the area later Wednesday night into Thursday morning with colder air filtering in from the NW. PoPs for rain showers are 30-50% at this time, and there is a potential for a rain/snow mix on the NW fringe as precipitation ends. Forecast highs Thursday range from the upper 30s NW to the upper 40s SE, after morning lows around 30F NW to around 40F SE.

Attention then turns to the late week period. A colder airmass arrives from the NW Friday into Saturday with the potential for a vigorous shortwave and surface low pressure lifting NE in vicinity of the Carolina coast. Confidence is low in this time period despite some deterministic global models showing the potential for snow across the southern Mid-Atlantic and eastern Carolinas. It is best to use ensemble guidance this far out, and the EPS has 30-50% probs for 1" of snow Friday-Saturday and 20-30% for 3" (which is somewhat notable at this range), the GEFS has similar values, and the CMC has lower values. It is important to follow the latest forecasts over the next several days and avoid extreme outliers until details come into better focus. Regardless, it will likely be much colder later next week into the weekend with highs in the upper 20s to 30s, and lows in the teens and 20s.

AVIATION /10Z SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/. As of 115 AM EST Sunday .

Early this morning, 1032mb high pressure was centered over nrn New England while low pressure was centered over the Gulf coast states. High pressure will gradually move east and off the New England coast by early this aftn, while one piece of the low lifts nwrd through the mountains, and a secondary low moves northeast through SC. VFR conditions are expected to prevail at the TAF sites until about 11am or noon today. Then, conditions deteriorate quickly this aftn into this evening, as low pressure tracks NNE over the coastal plain of NC and into east-central VA. Pcpn is expected to begin as SN at RIC (potentially moderate to heavy for a 1-3 hr period), before transitioning to PL, briefly FZRA, then RA. Elsewhere, mainly RA is expected, although a brief RA/SN mix is possible during the onset at SBY/PHF. IFR/LIFR conditions are expected to develop at RIC/PHF/ORF/ECG during this aftn, with MVFR at SBY. An ENE wind is expected to increase to 10-15kt with gusts to 20kt inland, and 15-25kt with gusts to 30-40kt toward the coast later this aftn into this evening. Also, have wind shear (WS020) of 45-50kt from the ESE at SBY/ORF/PHF/ECG late this aftn into early this evening.

Degraded flight conditions continue into early tonight, as low pressure tracks up through VA. A strong ESE wind is expected late this aftn into this evening, esply toward the coast, and this will shift to SW overnight, as the low departs to the north. Drying and breezy conditions are expected Mon, as low pressure tracks into New England and high pressure builds across the SE. VFR conditions are expected Tue into Wed, as high pressure builds across the area. A cold front drops across the area Wed night into Thu with a chc of showers.

MARINE. As of 330 AM EST Sunday .

Gale headlines in place across all the waters as low pres across the deep south this morning moves ne along the I-95 corridor late this aftrn and eve before lifting ne while deepening late tonite and Mon.

NE winds today become E-SE late this aftrn and eve and rapidly increase to 25-35 knots with gusts of 40-45 knots as the low tracks across the area. Wind probs cont to show a period of very strong gales to potentially a few storm force gusts btwn 21Z-00Z across the srn zones, spreading N into the remainder of the area btwn 00Z-06Z.

Winds briefly diminish while shifting to the S, then ramp back up as they turn to W/SW between 06-12Z Mon. This is due to deep mixing and the rapidly deepening sfc low north of the local area (on the order of 20mb/6 hr). This results in gale force gusts contg thru the day Mon and into Mon evening along the coastal waters. Winds diminish Mon night/Tues as high pressure builds into the area.

Seas rapidly build to btwn 10-15 ft late this aftn/eve (due to the onshore flow), then remain elevated into Mon. High surf advisories remain in effect from later today across the srn waters, spreading north along the Delmarva beaches tonight as near shore waves build to 8 ft or higher due to the strong onshore winds. Nearshore waves subside Mon as the flow turns offshore. Waves in the Bay will also rapidly build, especially across the Lower Bay, where 5-7 ft waves will be possible this eve (and up to 8-9ft at the mouth of the Bay).

Conditions improve by mid week as high pres builds into the area. However, seas may take a while to drop below 5 ft Tue/Tue night.

TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING. As of 430 AM EST Sunday .

Strong low pressure will approach from the sw this morn, track just inland from the Bay/Ocean waters later today, then rapidly off to the north tonight/Mon. As a result, a strong onshore (E-SE) flow will rapidly increase late this afternoon into tonight, then shift to the W/SW overnight and last into Mon aftn.

This pattern tends to lead to the most significant tidal flooding across the western shore of the middle/upper Bay in response to E to SE winds to Gale force, then as the winds shift to the SW overnight, areas in MD lower shore along the Bay will see a rapid rise in water levels after midnight/early Mon AM.

Have replaced the Coastal Flood Watch with a Warning for areas including Windmill Pt, Lewisetta, Bishop's Head, Crisfield, Saxis where confidence is high enuf that at least some moderate flooding will occur. Also, did a coastal flood advsry for the srn Ches Bay and James River where minor some flooding is expected during this evenings high tide.

Tidal water levels rapidly diminish by later Mon morning as the low pulls away and winds become offshore. In addition to tidal flooding, high surf advisories cont along the coast starting later today as seas build to 10 to 15 feet. Rough surf may result in instances of beach erosion and dune overwash.

AKQ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. MD . Coastal Flood Warning from 11 PM this evening to 3 PM EST Monday for MDZ021>023. High Surf Advisory from 7 PM this evening to 10 AM EST Monday for MDZ025. Wind Advisory from 7 PM this evening to 4 AM EST Monday for MDZ024-025. NC . Winter Weather Advisory until 6 PM EST this evening for NCZ012- 013-030. Wind Advisory from 4 PM this afternoon to 1 AM EST Monday for NCZ015>017-102. High Surf Advisory from 4 PM this afternoon to 4 AM EST Monday for NCZ102. VA . Winter Storm Warning until 5 AM EST Monday for VAZ048-509. Winter Weather Advisory until 6 PM EST this evening for VAZ089- 090-092. Coastal Flood Advisory from 8 PM this evening to 1 AM EST Monday for VAZ089-090-093-096-524. Coastal Flood Warning from 11 PM this evening to 3 PM EST Monday for VAZ099. Wind Advisory from 7 PM this evening to 1 AM EST Monday for VAZ077-078-084>086-523-525. Coastal Flood Advisory from 6 PM to 11 PM EST this evening for VAZ084-086-100-523-525. Winter Storm Warning until 7 AM EST Monday for VAZ060>062- 065>069-510. Wind Advisory from 4 PM this afternoon to 1 AM EST Monday for VAZ095-097-098. High Surf Advisory from 4 PM this afternoon to 4 AM EST Monday for VAZ098. High Surf Advisory from 7 PM this evening to 10 AM EST Monday for VAZ099-100. Wind Advisory from 7 PM this evening to 4 AM EST Monday for VAZ099-100. Winter Weather Advisory until midnight EST tonight for VAZ075- 076-079>083-087-088-512-514-516>522. Winter Weather Advisory until 5 AM EST Monday for VAZ064-511- 513-515. Coastal Flood Warning from 6 PM this evening to 3 AM EST Monday for VAZ075-077-078-085. MARINE . Gale Warning until 7 PM EST Monday for ANZ650-652-654-656-658. Gale Warning until 7 AM EST Monday for ANZ635>638. Gale Warning until 1 PM EST Monday for ANZ630>634.

SYNOPSIS . TMG NEAR TERM . TMG SHORT TERM . MAM/TMG LONG TERM . AJZ AVIATION . TMG MARINE . MPR TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING . AKQ


Weather Reporting Stations
   EDIT       (on/off)   Help   NOTE: Click on distance to see the station location on a map
Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
YKRV2 - 8637611 - York River East Rear Range Light, VA 8 mi47 min NE 15G17 29°F
44072 10 mi35 min NE 16G18 28°F 42°F
44058 - Stingray Point, VA 15 mi35 min NE 19G25 26°F 41°F
YKTV2 - 8637689 - Yorktown, VA 15 mi47 min NNE 8.9G12 29°F 42°F1026.3 hPa
RPLV2 - 8632837 - Rappahannock Light, VA 18 mi47 min NNE 16G19 1027.5 hPa
KPTV2 - 8632200 - Kiptopeke, VA 19 mi47 min NNE 7G9.9 43°F
CHBV2 24 mi47 min NE 15G17 29°F 1024.6 hPa
YRSV2 - Chesapeake Bay,VA 25 mi95 min N 2.9 24°F 1028 hPa11°F
DOMV2 - 8638511 - Dominion Terminal Association, VA 28 mi47 min NNE 7G11 29°F 1025.9 hPa
SWPV2 - 8638610 - Sewells Point, VA 28 mi47 min 43°F1025.6 hPa
CRYV2 - 8638595 - South Craney Island, VA 32 mi47 min NNE 12G17 31°F 1025.2 hPa
CHYV2 - 8638999 - Cape Henry, VA 32 mi47 min NNE 18G21 30°F 1025.8 hPa
WAHV2 - 8631044 - Wachapreague, VA 35 mi47 min N 4.1G7 21°F 35°F1026.7 hPa
MNPV2 - 8639348 - Money Point, VA 40 mi47 min NNE 5.1G8 30°F 45°F1025.4 hPa
44099 - Cape Henry, VA (147) 41 mi39 min 47°F5 ft
LWTV2 - 8635750 - Lewisetta, VA 46 mi47 min ENE 9.9G14 24°F 37°F1027.7 hPa
44042 - Potomac, MD 47 mi35 min NE 19G27 23°F 40°F

Wind History for York River East Rear Range Light, VA
(wind in knots)    EDIT      (on/off)   Help
5
am
6
am
7
am
8
am
9
am
10
am
11
am
12
pm
1
pm
2
pm
3
pm
4
pm
5
pm
6
pm
7
pm
8
pm
9
pm
10
pm
11
pm
12
am
1
am
2
am
3
am
4
am
Last 24 hrN19
G23
N19
N18
N16
N16
G20
N15
NE17
NE14
G17
NE12
G15
NE13
G16
NE13
G17
NE15
NE15
NE15
NE13
G16
N13
N13
NE13
G16
NE14
G17
NE13
G16
NE15
NE13
G16
NE13
NE13
1 day
ago
N17
N17
G21
N19
N19
NW20
N22
N21
N22
N20
G25
N21
N22
N23
NW21
NW15
NW14
G17
N23
N23
N25
N19
G23
N16
N21
N19
G23
N18
N18
2 days
ago
SW8
SW6
SW5
NW7
NW2
S3
SE4
SW1
E2
E4
E6
NE7
NE8
N8
NE7
N5
N6
N7
N10
N11
NW9
N13
N17
N17

Airport Reports
    EDIT      (on/off)   Help   Click EDIT to display multiple airports. Follow links for more data.
AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Langley Air Force Base, VA19 mi69 minNE 710.00 miFair27°F15°F61%1026.7 hPa
Newport News, Newport News / Williamsburg International Airport, VA20 mi71 minNNE 410.00 miFair25°F13°F60%1026.5 hPa
Fort Eustis / Felker, VA24 mi69 minNNE 310.00 miFair26°F11°F53%1026.4 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KLFI

Wind History from LFI (wind in knots)
5
am
6
am
7
am
8
am
9
am
10
am
11
am
12
pm
1
pm
2
pm
3
pm
4
pm
5
pm
6
pm
7
pm
8
pm
9
pm
10
pm
11
pm
12
am
1
am
2
am
3
am
4
am
Last 24 hrN13
G16
N12N11
G18
N9----NE11NE11NE9NE11E13NE10NE10NE11NE11NE6NE5NE7NE7NE8E9NE8NE7NE7
1 day agoN11N6N9N8N13
G18
N10N17
G21
N14
G25
N14
G20
N16
G21
N13
G22
N12
G22
N11
G17
N9
G20
N10N14
G19
N13N12
G16
N12
G17
N9N10
G15
N9
G15
N8N8
2 days agoW5W3W4000000SE3E6NE5E5E3NE3NE3N5N4N4NW3N4N7N7N8

Tide / Current Tables for New Point Comfort, Mobjack Bay, Virginia
   EDIT   Weekend mode (on/off)   (on/off)   Help   One Week of Data
New Point Comfort
Click for Map
Sun -- 01:34 AM EST     -0.04 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 06:32 AM EST     Moonset
Sun -- 07:17 AM EST     Sunrise
Sun -- 07:58 AM EST     2.34 feet High Tide
Sun -- 02:35 PM EST     0.05 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 03:56 PM EST     Moonrise
Sun -- 05:12 PM EST     Sunset
Sun -- 08:11 PM EST     1.83 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

New Point Comfort, Mobjack Bay, Virginia, Tide feet
12
am
0.3
1
am
-0
2
am
-0
3
am
0.2
4
am
0.7
5
am
1.3
6
am
1.8
7
am
2.2
8
am
2.3
9
am
2.2
10
am
1.9
11
am
1.4
12
pm
0.8
1
pm
0.4
2
pm
0.1
3
pm
0.1
4
pm
0.3
5
pm
0.8
6
pm
1.3
7
pm
1.6
8
pm
1.8
9
pm
1.8
10
pm
1.5
11
pm
1


Tide / Current Tables for York Spit Light, Mobjack Bay, Virginia
   EDIT      (on/off)   Help   One Week of Data
York Spit Light
Click for Map
Sun -- 01:24 AM EST     -0.04 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 06:32 AM EST     Moonset
Sun -- 07:17 AM EST     Sunrise
Sun -- 07:48 AM EST     2.31 feet High Tide
Sun -- 02:25 PM EST     0.05 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 03:56 PM EST     Moonrise
Sun -- 05:12 PM EST     Sunset
Sun -- 08:01 PM EST     1.81 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

York Spit Light, Mobjack Bay, Virginia, Tide feet
12
am
0.2
1
am
-0
2
am
0
3
am
0.3
4
am
0.8
5
am
1.4
6
am
1.9
7
am
2.2
8
am
2.3
9
am
2.1
10
am
1.8
11
am
1.3
12
pm
0.7
1
pm
0.3
2
pm
0.1
3
pm
0.1
4
pm
0.4
5
pm
0.8
6
pm
1.3
7
pm
1.7
8
pm
1.8
9
pm
1.7
10
pm
1.4
11
pm
0.9


Weather Map
       (on/off)   Help Weather Map
wmap_A
GEOS Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: This section has been updated as of 1/26/2021. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: GEOS-West     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Ground Weather Radar Station




Please read website Cookie, Privacy, and Disclamers by clicking HERE.