Sunrise 6:10 AM   Sunset 7:51 PM Moonrise 11:58 PM   Moonset 8:04 AM

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ANZ654 Coastal Waters From Parramore Island To Cape Charles Light Va Out 20 Nm- 318 Am Edt Sun Apr 28 2024
Through 7 am - S winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 4 ft, occasionally to 5 ft. Wave detail: E 4 ft at 8 seconds. Today - SW winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 4 ft, occasionally to 5 ft. Wave detail: E 4 ft at 8 seconds and S 2 ft at 4 seconds. Tonight - SW winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 4 ft, occasionally to 5 ft. Wave detail: S 3 ft at 5 seconds and E 3 ft at 9 seconds. Mon - W winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt, becoming sw 5 to 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas 3 to 4 ft, occasionally to 5 ft. Wave detail: sw 3 ft at 5 seconds and E 2 ft at 10 seconds.Mon night - SW winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 4 ft, occasionally to 5 ft. Wave detail: S 3 ft at 5 seconds and E 2 ft at 10 seconds. Tue - SW winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 4 ft, occasionally to 5 ft. Wave detail: S 3 ft at 5 seconds and E 3 ft at 12 seconds. Tue night - SW winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Seas 4 to 5 ft, occasionally to 6 ft. Wed - W winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 4 ft, occasionally to 5 ft. A chance of showers in the afternoon. Wed night - NE winds 10 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft. A chance of showers in the evening. Thu - NE winds 10 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft. Thu night - E winds 10 kt. Seas around 3 ft.

ANZ600 318 Am Edt Sun Apr 28 2024
Synopsis for fenwick island de to currituck beach light nc out 20 nautical miles including virginia portion of the chesapeake bay, currituck sound and portions of the james, york, and rappahannock rivers -
high pressure becomes anchored off the southeast coast today through Tuesday. A weak cold front crosses the waters Tuesday night into Wednesday.

FXUS61 KAKQ 280524 AFDAKQ

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION National Weather Service Wakefield VA 124 AM EDT Sun Apr 28 2024

SYNOPSIS
High pressure offshore moves south early next week with a ridge building over the area. Well above normal temperatures are expected next week. A weak cold front crosses the area Tuesday night. High pressure returns by Wednesday. Precipitation chances increase late next week into next weekend as another cold front approaches the area.

NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM THIS MORNING/
As of 125 AM EDT Sunday...

High pressure lingers offshore tonight, gradually drifting S.
SCT-BKN cloud cover remains across the area with clouds gradually thinning late tonight. Some patchy fog has been noted across mainly Louisa County. This fog lingers overnight before dissipating shortly after sunrise with VIS locally dropping to 1SM or less. Otherwise, cannot rule out a brief shower on the MD Eastern Shore late tonight into the early morning hours as a very weak perturbation clips the NE half of the FA. Temps as of 120 AM ranged from the lower 50s to around 60F with morning lows in the 50s expected (low-mid 50s for most).

SHORT TERM /6 AM THIS MORNING THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT/
As of 245 PM EDT Saturday...

A ridge builds over the area early next week with a significant warmup expected as winds become SW. Dry with (slowly) increasing humidity. Highs in the upper 70s to mid 80s Sun with upper 80s in most areas on Mon/Tue. Guidance has come up a couple of degrees with respect to high temperatures early next week, and a few 90F readings are likely on both Mon and Tue (now the NBM 50th percentile shows 90F at RIC on Mon). Lows in the upper 50s-lower 60s Sun and Mon night. A weak cold front slowly approaches from the west on Tue, with isolated to widely scattered showers/tstms initially developing to our west during the aftn. Isolated convection potentially moves across the area during the evening through the first part of Tue night before weakening. Will hold PoPs no higher than 30% given the lack of coverage and the fact that some of the models don't have any QPF in the FA from Tue-Tue night.

LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/
As of 245 PM EDT Saturday...

The ridge lingers over the E CONUS through much of the rest of next week. At the surface, weak high pressure settles to our NE on Wed/Thu in the wake of the weak front, with mainly warm/dry wx expected (although it will be a bit cooler near the coast on both days with the flow becoming onshore). Forecast highs are in the low- mid 80s inland with 70s closer to the coast. Precipitation chances increase late next week through at least Sat as the upper ridge breaks down and a shortwave tracks from the upper Midwest to srn Ontario/Quebec. Several shortwaves move through the area during this time, which will result in multiple chances for showers/storms.
However, global models disagree with timing for each of these subtle features. Also, another cold front may cross the area next weekend, and there's quite a bit of uncertainty regarding if/when it does so.
As such, have maintained NBM PoPs (which gives 30-40% PoPs on both Fri/Sat...highest during the aftn/evening). Highs mainly in the 80s on Fri with a slight cool down possible by next weekend.

AVIATION /05Z SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/
As of 120 AM EDT Sunday...

VFR conditions prevail through the 06z TAF period across the local terminals. SCT-OVC mid level clouds linger over the area tonight with IFR/MVFR CIGs and VIS (due to patchy fog) confined to the far NW portion of the FA (mainly Louisa County).
Clouds gradually thin late tonight into Sun with mostly sunny skies Sun. A brief, light shower cannot be ruled out across the MD Eastern Shore (potentially near SBY) around daybreak, but confidence is too low to reflect in the TAFs. Otherwise, FEW (to potentially SCT) CU develop Sun afternoon with CIGs ~5000ft.
Winds were generally S 5-10 kt tonight. Winds become SW 10 kt Sun.

Outlook: Dry/VFR conditions are expected at all terminals from Sun night through at least Tue AM.

MARINE
As of 310 PM EDT Saturday...

Late this aftn, strong high pressure was centered just off the nrn Mid Atlc coast. Winds were SE 5-15 kt over the waters, with a few gusts up to 20 kt. Seas were 3-4 ft and waves were 1-3 ft.

SE winds 5-15 kt will become S tonight, as high pressure shifts farther S to off the Mid Atlc coast. The high will then drift to off the SE coast for Sun through Tue. With this movement, winds become S or SW (still at 5-15 kt) through the period. During this period, seas will be 2-4 ft and waves 1-2 ft. A front will drop across the waters late Tue night into Wed, with winds turning to the W then NNW. Winds will then turn back to the E or SE for Wed evening into Thu.

AKQ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
MD...None.
NC...None.
VA...None.
MARINE...None.

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Great Machipongo Inlet (inside)
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Sun -- 12:00 AM EDT     Moonrise
Sun -- 06:06 AM EDT     0.30 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 06:10 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sun -- 09:04 AM EDT     Moonset
Sun -- 12:10 PM EDT     3.81 feet High Tide
Sun -- 05:52 PM EDT     0.68 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 07:50 PM EDT     Sunset
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Great Machipongo Inlet (inside), Virginia, Tide feet

Quinby Inlet entrance
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Sun -- 12:00 AM EDT     Moonrise
Sun -- 05:31 AM EDT     0.30 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 06:10 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sun -- 09:04 AM EDT     Moonset
Sun -- 11:38 AM EDT     3.52 feet High Tide
Sun -- 05:17 PM EDT     0.68 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 07:50 PM EDT     Sunset
Sun -- 11:49 PM EDT     4.38 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION

Quinby Inlet entrance, Virginia, Tide feet

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