Tuesday, December7, 2021
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Marine Weather and Tides
Enon, VA

Version 3.4
NOTICE
3/30/2021 -- ANZ330 has been split into ANZ331 and ANZ332. Click EDIT in Marine Forecast and select your new zone.
1/26/2021 -- The West Coast Satellite images havd been updated. They now use GEOS-17.
1/1/2021 -- The 7 day forecast are now working well. Thank you NOAA for your support.

Sunrise 7:08AMSunset 4:52PM Tuesday December 7, 2021 7:45 PM EST (00:45 UTC) Moonrise 10:47AMMoonset 8:33PM Illumination 15% Phase: Waxing Crescent; Moon at 4 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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ANZ636 York River- 638 Pm Est Tue Dec 7 2021
Through 7 pm..E winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves less than 1 foot and light chop.
Tonight..NE winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves less than 1 foot and light chop.
Wed..NE winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming nw late. Waves less than 1 foot and light chop, diminishing to flat late. Rain likely, mainly in the morning.
Wed night..NW winds 5 to 10 kt, increasing 10 to 15 kt after midnight. Waves 1 to 2 ft.
Thu..N winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming se late. Waves less than 1 foot and light chop, diminishing to flat late.
Thu night..S winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves less than 1 foot and light chop.
Fri..S winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves less than 1 foot and light chop.
Fri night..S winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves 1 to 2 ft.
Sat..S winds 10 to 15 kt, becoming sw 15 to 20 kt in the afternoon. Waves 1 to 2 ft, increasing to around 2 ft in the afternoon.
Sat night..SW winds 15 kt. Waves 1 to 2 ft. A chance of showers.
ANZ600 638 Pm Est Tue Dec 7 2021
Synopsis for fenwick island de to currituck beach light nc out 20 nautical miles including virginia portion of the chesapeake bay, currituck sound and portions of the james, york, and rappahannock rivers.. High pressure remains centered to the north through tonight before quickly retreating to the northeast early Wed. Low pressure tracks off the outer banks Wednesday with cold front pushing off the coast Wednesday night. High pressure builds in from the west Wednesday night, centering over the region on Thursday before shifting off the coast for Friday and Saturday.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Enon, VA
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location: 37.4, -77.3     debug


Area Discussion for - Wakefield, VA
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FXUS61 KAKQ 080024 AFDAKQ

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION National Weather Service Wakefield VA 724 PM EST Tue Dec 7 2021

SYNOPSIS. High pressure over the northern portion of the local area will retreat off to the northeast overnight. A weak surface low tracks toward the area from the southwest before moving offshore Wednesday afternoon. High pressure returns on Thursday.

NEAR TERM /UNTIL 7 AM WEDNESDAY MORNING/. As of 700 PM EST Tuesday .

The latest weather analysis shows 1024mb high pressure over the Delmarva. A W-SW flow prevails aloft. Skies are mostly clear with just high clouds for the northern and central sections of the CWA, with more cloud cover across far southern VA and NE NC. With a dry airmass in place (dew pts that had been in the teens earlier today), temperatures have really plummeted since sunset except in the far south. Have lowered hourly temperatures several degrees but only lowered the min temperatures by a few degrees as the increasing clouds later tonight should lead to steady or even slowly rising temperatures overnight.

A shortwave trough in the speedy/zonal flow aloft will approach the region later tonight with weak surface low pressure will translating ENE from the Gulf Coast to off the NC coast by Wednesday morning. Chances for light to moderate rain increase across far SE VA and NE NC after 06z/1 AM tonight, and especially by 09-12z. Elsewhere, dry wx should prevail through the night given that there will be some very dry air in the lowest 5000-8000 feet that will have to be overcome before any pcpn reaches the ground.

SHORT TERM /7 AM WEDNESDAY MORNING THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT/. As of 350 PM EST Tuesday .

The best chc of pcpn for most areas W of the Bay will be from 12-18z Wed, with activity lingering until the late aftn near the coast as the upper shortwave/sfc low quickly move offshore thanks to the progressive pattern aloft.

Models continue to advertise two separate areas of precip during the day on Wednesday. The first is across the southeastern third of the area (closer to the weak surface low and associated frontogenetic forcing). Another area of generally light precip is shown across the northern counties and is associated with weak mid level frontogenesis. The consensus of the 12z models and the various high res runs has trended weaker with the northern area of precip. Thermal profiles are also marginally warmer. The vast majority of the QPF over the next 24 hours is expected to fall across the SE portion of the area where 0.20-0.50" is possible with the far southern locations along the Albemarle Sound potentially seeing more than 0.50". Elsewhere, QPF is generally a trace to 0.10". Thermal profiles are generally cold enough for period of rain/snow mix across the northern tier of counties into the MD Eastern Shore from 12-18z, but support all rain elsewhere. Surface temps look to remain near or above the freezing mark so any light accumulation would be confined to grassy/elevated surfaces. Have maintained very light snow accumulation grids showing up to 0.1" of wet snow from Louisa ENE to the Northern Neck and portions of the MD Eastern Shore but no impacts (travel or otherwise) are expected. High temps Wednesday will be in the low 40s for all but the far SE and far SW (where precip and clouds will decrease the fastest) where some mid to upper 40s are possible.

As the shortwave trough pushes east into the Atlantic Wed night . high pressure will quickly build into the region and will lead to a fairly cold night with lows in the low to mid 20s inland and upper 20s to low 30s along the coast. The surface high moves offshore by late Thursday with return flow beginning by Thu evening/Thu night. Dry and cool on Thu with highs in the mid 40s N to around 50F south. Lows Thu night mainly in the low-mid 30s. Clouds increase from the SW on Friday with slight chance PoPs sneaking in from the west by late afternoon as overrunning moisture sets up ahead of a warm frontal passage. Any QPF is expected to be extremely light. Lows Friday night will be quite a bit warmer than previous nights with increasing clouds and southerly winds. Lows range from the upper 40s NW to upper 50s SE.

LONG TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/. As of 350 PM EST Tuesday .

Progressive pattern continues into the extended forecast period with model consensus showing strong southerly flow and anomalously warm temperatures for December on Saturday. High temps rise into the 70s with mid and even upper 70s looking likely for the southern half of the area. Another relatively strong cold front is likely to move across the area late Saturday night or during the day on Sunday, with high chc to likely PoPs in the forecast at this time. Both deterministic models and their respective ensembles are hinting at a more widespread rain event with the front late Sat night-Sunday with PWATs rising to 1.0-1.5". Both the 12z/07 GEFS and EPS continue to have probabilities of ~40-60% for at least a half inch of pcpn for most of the area on Sunday. Cooler/drier wx is expected to start next week.

AVIATION /00Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/. As of 700 PM EST Tuesday .

VFR conditions prevail this evening with just high clouds over northern and central sections of the CWA, and CIGs of4-6k ft over far southern VA and NE NC. Weak low pressure will move eastward to the south of the local area tonight into the daylight hours of Wednesday, bringing rain to the SE terminals and the potential for a RA/SN mix for SBY (and possibly at RIC). CIGs will lower across the region with MVFR conditions expected for RIC and SBY and low-end MVFR to IFR CIGs at PHF, ORF, and ECG developing ~15Z Wednesday morning. Generally these conditions will persists through much of the aftn w/ a gradual improvement during the late aftn hrs as low level winds shift from the NE to the N late.

Outlook: VFR conditions return Wed night/Thu. Some flight restrictions will be possible on Fri as clouds increase in association w/ a warm front lifting N into the region. Breezy SW winds for Sat, with flight restrictions likely later Sat/Sat night as a cold front moves in from the W.

MARINE. As of 350 PM EST Tuesday .

Have extended the SCAs for the southern coastal waters off the NC coast until 7 PM due to seas remaining 5 ft. There are two areas of high pressure this afternoon, one centered over the northern Ches Bay and the other centered over the Ohio Valley. The result has been N/NE winds 5-10 kt over most of the local waters and NNE winds 10-15 kt for the southern coastal waters. Winds become NE 5-10 kt tonight, eventually becoming N 5-15 kt by Wed afternoon as the high pressure moves into the Northeast and a coastal low moves NE off the coast. Winds shift to NW by late Wed afternoon as the low pulls away to the NE. High pressure builds in from the west behind the departing low Wed night. The pressure gradient between the departing low and the high pressure building in Wed night will cause NW winds to ramp up to 15-20 kt over all local waters except the rivers (the Lower James will likely reach 15-20 kt) with gusts to 25 kt in the Ches Bay and northern coastal waters. Have therefore issued SCAs for the Ches Bay from 10 PM Wed through 7 AM Thurs and from 1 AM Thurs through 7 AM Thurs for the Lower James and Currituck Sound. Winds will likely gusts to 25 kt over the northern coastal waters, but confidence in frequent gusts to 25 kt is too low to issue SCAs at this time. Will reevaluate with future updates. High pressure moves in Thurs with winds quickly diminishing.

The next chance for SCAs will be Fri night as SW/S winds increase behind a warm front with strong WAA. A strong cold front moves through Sat night with SCA conditions likely with NW winds 15-25 kt. Seas may increase to 5-6 ft S and 5-8 ft N Sat into Sun with the highest seas Sat night.

Seas are 2-3 ft N and 3-5 ft S this afternoon, diminishing to 2-3 ft tonight, before building to 3-4 ft Wed night. Waves remain 1-2 ft through Wed before building to 2-3 ft Wed night..

AKQ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. MD . None. NC . None. VA . None. MARINE . Small Craft Advisory from 10 PM Wednesday to 7 AM EST Thursday for ANZ630>632-634. Small Craft Advisory from 1 AM to 7 AM EST Thursday for ANZ633- 638.

SYNOPSIS . ERI/RHR NEAR TERM . LKB/RHR SHORT TERM . ERI/RHR LONG TERM . ERI/RHR AVIATION . LKB/RHR MARINE . RMM


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
YRSV2 - Chesapeake Bay,VA 31 mi76 min SE 1 39°F 1023 hPa26°F
YKTV2 - 8637689 - Yorktown, VA 45 mi148 min E 9.9G11 51°F1022.6 hPa

Wind History for Yorktown USCG Training Center, VA
(wind in knots)    EDIT      (on/off)   Help
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This daySW8
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NW24
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Richmond, Richmond International Airport, VA8 mi52 minE 610.00 miPartly Cloudy37°F18°F46%1023.1 hPa
Chesterfield County Airport, VA12 mi50 minVar 610.00 miFair36°F20°F52%1023.6 hPa
Petersburg, Dinwiddie County Airport, VA19 mi51 minN 010.00 miFair29°F22°F72%1022.3 hPa
Ashland, Hanover County Municipal Airport, VA22 mi52 minENE 310.00 miFair34°F20°F56%1022.9 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KRIC

Wind History from RIC (wind in knots)
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This daySW9SW6NW19
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NW10N11N8N12N10N6N7NE7NE7N8N43NW300000E6
1 day agoNE3N40W3W4S3SE3SW40S7S5S6S6S6S12S14S11S21
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2 days ago000000N300N300N6NE5NE9E10E5E7NE5NE6NE7E7NE7NE4

Tide / Current Tables for Curles, 1 mile north of, James River, Virginia
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Curles
Click for Map
Tue -- 12:43 AM EST     -0.36 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 05:57 AM EST     2.76 feet High Tide
Tue -- 07:10 AM EST     Sunrise
Tue -- 10:46 AM EST     Moonrise
Tue -- 12:41 PM EST     -0.26 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 04:51 PM EST     Sunset
Tue -- 06:13 PM EST     3.20 feet High Tide
Tue -- 08:33 PM EST     Moonset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

Curles, 1 mile north of, James River, Virginia, Tide feet
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0.7


Tide / Current Tables for City Point (Hopewell), James River, Virginia
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City Point (Hopewell)
Click for Map
Tue -- 05:27 AM EST     2.58 feet High Tide
Tue -- 07:10 AM EST     Sunrise
Tue -- 10:46 AM EST     Moonrise
Tue -- 11:55 AM EST     -0.25 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 04:51 PM EST     Sunset
Tue -- 05:43 PM EST     2.98 feet High Tide
Tue -- 08:33 PM EST     Moonset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

City Point (Hopewell), James River, Virginia, Tide feet
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NOTE: This section has been updated as of 1/26/2021. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may use the EDIT function to update your location.
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