Friday, September24, 2021
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Marine Weather and Tides
Deltaville, VA

Version 3.4
NOTICE
3/30/2021 -- ANZ330 has been split into ANZ331 and ANZ332. Click EDIT in Marine Forecast and select your new zone.
1/26/2021 -- The West Coast Satellite images havd been updated. They now use GEOS-17.
1/1/2021 -- The 7 day forecast are now working well. Thank you NOAA for your support.

Sunrise 6:53AMSunset 7:00PM Friday September 24, 2021 1:36 AM EDT (05:36 UTC) Moonrise 8:03PMMoonset 9:19AM Illumination 92% Phase: Waning Gibbous; Moon at 17 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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ANZ631 Chesapeake Bay From Windmill Point To New Point Comfort Va- 1232 Am Edt Fri Sep 24 2021
.small craft advisory in effect until 10 am edt this morning...
Rest of tonight..N winds 5 to 10 kt, increasing to 15 to 20 kt late. Waves 1 to 2 ft, building to 2 to 3 ft.
Fri..N winds 15 to 20 kt, diminishing to 10 to 15 kt. Waves 2 to 3 ft.
Fri night..N winds 10 kt. Waves around 2 ft.
Sat..N winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 foot.
Sat night..W winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 to 2 ft.
Sun..NW winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves 1 to 2 ft.
Sun night..NW winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 foot.
Mon..W winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 foot.
Mon night..SW winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 foot.
ANZ600 1232 Am Edt Fri Sep 24 2021
Synopsis for fenwick island de to currituck beach light nc out 20 nautical miles including virginia portion of the chesapeake bay, currituck sound and portions of the james, york, and rappahannock rivers.. High pressure builds over the local waters through the weekend.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Deltaville, VA
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location: 37.56, -76.27     debug


Area Discussion for - Wakefield, VA
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FXUS61 KAKQ 240524 AFDAKQ

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION National Weather Service Wakefield VA 124 AM EDT Fri Sep 24 2021

SYNOPSIS. A cold front will gradually push off the coast early this evening. Cool high pressure builds in from the west Friday into Saturday. A dry cold front crosses the area Saturday night, with high pressure returning Sunday and Monday.

NEAR TERM /THROUGH TODAY/. As of 1005 PM EDT Thursday .

The latest analysis indicates strong sfc low pressure occluded over Lake Huron, with a sfc cold front now located just off the immediate coast and expected to gradually move east overnight. Meanwhile, a post-frontal boundary is nearly stationary in eastern Virginia and marks the edge of the cloud shield. Temps as of 1000 PM ranged from the mid 50s NW to the upper 60s SE.

Clouds and some light showers/drizzle will linger into the evening near the coast and across the Eastern Shore through tonight, but otherwise clear and cool conditions will prevail inland. Post- frontal CAA brings cool lows in the mid-upper 40s/near 50F in the Piedmont under a clear sky. It will remain much warmer closer to the coast due to clouds and better mixing, with lows generally 60-65F.

Mostly sunny Fri other than some morning clouds near the coast (as the front and a trough of low pressure lingers offshore). A northerly wind of 5-10 mph is expected inland, with 10-15 mph at the coast. Highs will be mainly in the mid 70s CWA- wide as sfc high pressure expand NE into the local area from the Tn Valley.

SHORT TERM /TONIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY/. As of 330 PM EDT Thursday .

Clear/cool Fri night as sfc high pressure settles over the local area. Have continued to go on cool side of guidance for most areas given a dry airmass and sfc high pressure over the region. Expect lows in the mid/upper 40s to lower 50s across the inland 2/3 of the CWA (low- mid 50s urban areas). Near the coast lows will be 55-60F. Mostly sunny and pleasant Sat with highs in the mid to upper 70s. A bit more in the way of clouds as the next shortwave aloft moves across at least northern sections of the CWA Sat night. Lows mainly in the 50s. This pushes a reinforcing but dry cold front through the area by Sun morning. Mostly sunny on Sunday with highs in the mid to upper 70s

LONG TERM /SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY/. As of 300 PM EDT Thursday .

The extended continues to look fairly quiet and seasonable. Early next week, the models are in good agreement in showing a trough across the east and ridging to the west. By the end of the week, the pattern across North America becomes very blocky with a 2-3 sigma ridge extending northward into central Canada and a upper low over/near the east coast. Exact placement of this upper low will be critical in the precip and temperature forecast for Thu/Friday. The 12z GFS is significantly different from the previous run and shows the upper low moving southward along the east coast. Meanwhile, the ECMWF shows the upper low further west and becoming cut off from the main flow over the Ohio Valley by the end of the week. With all of this said, will continue with the warmest temps of the week on Tuesday and Wednesday ahead of a weak cold front. Lower to mid 80s expected. Temperature forecast becomes a little more problematic for Thu depending on the exact placement of the upper low. Will cool off temps back to mid-upper 70s for now, but I could certainly see cooler temps if the upper low is further east. Overall most of the area will stay dry next week, although there is a small chance for rain ahead of a weak cold front Tue night.

AVIATION /05Z FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/. As of 125 AM EDT Friday .

VFR flying weather will largely prevail through the period but occasional MVFR/IFR CIGs are possible near the coastal terminals this morning. Will handle these restrictions with TEMPO groups at PHF, SBY, and ORF. Guidance is a bit more bullish on a few hour period of prevailing MVFR this morning at ECG. Conditions continue to improve today with VFR prevailing at all terminals after mid-morning. Winds within a few degrees of northerly through the period, generally 5-10 kt but closer to 10 kt with gusts nearing 20 kt for ORF and ECG into this afternoon.

Outlook: Dry with VFR conditions are to persist over the weekend and through Mon/Tue as high pressure builds into the area and then slides offshore.

MARINE. As of 1015 PM EDT Thursday .

A well defined area of low pressure at the surface and aloft is located over the Great Lakes/Michigan this afternoon. Its trailing cold front has just about crossed the waters, with winds now NW at 5- 15 kt. Seas are still 5-7 ft, and did approach 8 ft off the VA/MD coast earlier. Have dropped the SCAs for the rivers and Currituck Sound. Winds will generally be NW at 5-15 kt through the first part of tonight. A secondary CAA surge arrives from the NNW during the latter part of the night . and winds become NNW with speeds increasing to 15-20 kt on the bay/ocean as cooler/drier air arrives (wind speeds are expected to be slightly less on the rivers). Have extended the SCAs for the Ches Bay until 14-17z Fri, and SCA flags have been added to the Currituck Sound from 09z tonight through 20z Friday afternoon. In addition, seas will likely remain elevated through much of Fri, so have extended the SCAs for the ocean until 17-20z for now (these may need to be extended further for the srn coastal waters). Seas will diminish to ~5 ft by late tonight, but will remain 4-5 ft through much of Fri (especially south) thanks to the increasing NNW winds.

Sub-SCA conditions are expected from Fri evening through at least Sat evening as high pressure builds into the area. Could see a brief uptick in NW winds (to near 15 kt) Sat night-Sun AM as a second cold front crosses the waters. Sub-SCA conditions are expected early next week. Seas will diminish to 3-4 ft Saturday and 2-3 ft Sunday into next week.

TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING. As of 1015 PM EDT Thursday .

Tidal anomalies continue to fall this evening as high tide has passed and a robust ebb tide has developed. All Coastal Flood hazards have expired. With the increasing NNW winds overnight, no additional coastal flooding is expected after this evening's high tide.

A moderate rip current risk is forecast for Friday.

AKQ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. MD . None. NC . None. VA . None. MARINE . Small Craft Advisory until 1 PM EDT this afternoon for ANZ632- 634-650-652-654. Small Craft Advisory until 4 PM EDT this afternoon for ANZ633- 656-658. Small Craft Advisory until 10 AM EDT this morning for ANZ630- 631.

SYNOPSIS . LKB NEAR TERM . LKB/RMM SHORT TERM . LKB/MAM LONG TERM . MRD AVIATION . RHR MARINE . AJZ/ERI TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING .


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
44058 - Stingray Point, VA 1 mi43 min N 19 G 29 67°F 1016.4 hPa
RPLV2 - 8632837 - Rappahannock Light, VA 14 mi67 min NW 18 G 21 1015.6 hPa
YKRV2 - 8637611 - York River East Rear Range Light, VA 22 mi67 min NW 8 G 8.9 69°F
44072 25 mi43 min NNW 14 G 14 69°F 77°F1 ft
YRSV2 - Chesapeake Bay,VA 26 mi67 min N 4.1 65°F 1016 hPa61°F
YKTV2 - 8637689 - Yorktown, VA 26 mi67 min W 6 G 7 68°F 78°F1014.8 hPa
WAHV2 - 8631044 - Wachapreague, VA 31 mi67 min Calm G 1 65°F 76°F1015.1 hPa
KPTV2 - 8632200 - Kiptopeke, VA 31 mi67 min ENE 1.9 G 1.9 78°F
LWTV2 - 8635750 - Lewisetta, VA 32 mi67 min NNE 8 G 12 66°F 76°F1016.1 hPa
44042 - Potomac, MD 33 mi43 min NNW 12 G 16 63°F 77°F1 ft
CHBV2 38 mi67 min NNW 5.1 G 6 72°F 1013.9 hPa
44087 38 mi71 min 77°F2 ft
WDSV2 - 8638614 - Willoughby Deguassing , VA 40 mi67 min NW 5.1 G 6 70°F 1015.3 hPa
DOMV2 - 8638511 - Dominion Terminal Association, VA 42 mi67 min NW 6 G 8 69°F 1015.2 hPa
PPTM2 - 8578240 - Piney Point, MD 42 mi67 min NNE 11 G 13
SWPV2 - 8638610 - Sewells Point, VA 43 mi67 min 78°F1015.1 hPa
CHYV2 - 8638999 - Cape Henry, VA 46 mi67 min S 2.9 G 4.1 68°F 1015.3 hPa
CRYV2 - 8638595 - South Craney Island, VA 47 mi67 min W 2.9 G 4.1 68°F 1015 hPa
BISM2 - 8571421 - Bishops Head, MD 47 mi67 min N 8 G 11 66°F 74°F1015.8 hPa

Wind History for Rappahannock Light, VA
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
West Point, Middle Peninsula Regional Airport, VA26 mi42 minN 0 mi60°F57°F89%1015.9 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KFYJ

Wind History from FYJ (wind in knots)
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Tide / Current Tables for Stingray Point, Chesapeake Bay, Virginia
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Stingray Point
Click for Map
Fri -- 12:48 AM EDT     1.37 feet High Tide
Fri -- 06:54 AM EDT     Sunrise
Fri -- 07:13 AM EDT     0.18 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 10:18 AM EDT     Moonset
Fri -- 01:09 PM EDT     1.53 feet High Tide
Fri -- 06:58 PM EDT     Sunset
Fri -- 07:55 PM EDT     0.26 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 09:03 PM EDT     Moonrise
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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1.31.41.31.10.80.50.30.20.20.50.81.11.41.51.51.31.10.80.50.30.30.40.60.9

Tide / Current Tables for Mill Creek, Rappahannock River, Virginia
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Mill Creek
Click for Map
Fri -- 02:06 AM EDT     1.48 feet High Tide
Fri -- 06:55 AM EDT     Sunrise
Fri -- 08:23 AM EDT     0.20 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 10:19 AM EDT     Moonset
Fri -- 02:27 PM EDT     1.65 feet High Tide
Fri -- 06:59 PM EDT     Sunset
Fri -- 09:03 PM EDT     Moonrise
Fri -- 09:05 PM EDT     0.28 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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1.11.41.51.41.20.90.60.40.20.20.40.81.11.51.61.61.51.20.90.60.40.30.30.6

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NOTE: This section has been updated as of 1/26/2021. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may use the EDIT function to update your location.
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