Thursday, October28, 2021
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Marine Weather and Tides
Wilroads Gardens, KS

Version 3.4
NOTICE
3/30/2021 -- ANZ330 has been split into ANZ331 and ANZ332. Click EDIT in Marine Forecast and select your new zone.
1/26/2021 -- The West Coast Satellite images havd been updated. They now use GEOS-17.
1/1/2021 -- The 7 day forecast are now working well. Thank you NOAA for your support.

Sunrise 8:00AMSunset 6:47PM Thursday October 28, 2021 3:11 PM CDT (20:11 UTC) Moonrise 11:54PMMoonset 2:05PM Illumination 46% Phase: Third Quarter Moon; Moon at 23 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Wilroads Gardens, KS
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location: 37.64, -100     debug


Area Discussion for - Dodge City, KS
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FXUS63 KDDC 281825 AFDDDC

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Dodge City KS 125 PM CDT Thu Oct 28 2021

. Updated Long Term .

SHORT TERM. (This evening through Friday) Issued at 1221 PM CDT Thu Oct 28 2021

Primary weather element of concern this afternoon and evening continues to be the very strong north winds across all of southwest KS behind Tuesday evening's cold front, with sustained winds of 30-40 mph and gusts up to 60 mph that will continue at least through sunset. As a result, a High Wind Warning is in effect for all 27 counties of our FA through 00Z Friday. Additionally, very dry air over far southwest KS with afternoon highs in the low to mid 60s will allow relative humidity to drop into the 15-18% range, and in combination with the strong winds, will foster critical fire weather danger. A Red Flag Warning has been issued for Hamilton, Kearny, Stanton, Grant, Haskell, Morton, Stevens, Seward, and Meade counties through 00Z Friday.

Otherwise, 500-mb heights will be on the rise over the central plains as a potent upper level trough moves into the Ozarks/Mississippi Valley region, and weak ridging builds across the western CONUS, bringing clear skies to southwest KS today. Overnight, winds will begin to decrease from west to east, but should stay in the 10-20 mph range for most of southwest KS with the exception of Hamilton County and adjacent areas. This will limit radiational cooling and only allow temperatures to fall into the 30s to near 40.

Mid-level heights will continue to rise on Friday, bringing another day of clear skies to the central plains. North winds will be much weaker, but will still follow the typical diurnal trend, maxing out in the afternoon across our eastern zones and sustained at 15-25 mph with gusts up to 35 mph. Afternoon temperatures will be warmer underneath the ridge aloft, especially for far southwest KS, with highs ranging from the low to upper 60s.

LONG TERM. (Friday night through Thursday) Issued at 114 PM CDT Thu Oct 28 2021

Weak upper level ridging will be in place over the western CONUS at the beginning of the long term period, with a strong cut-off low centered over the Smoky Mountains. Saturday will be the warmest day of the foreseeable future by a comfortable margin, as subsidence fosters clear skies and afternoon highs in the low to mid 70s. This warmth will be short lived, however, as a deep upper level trough over the far northern plains/south-central Canada pushes a dry cold front south through southwest KS Saturday night. The nocturnal timing of frontal passage will limit the strength of the post-frontal winds, however plenty of cold air behind the front will filter into the central plains knocking afternoon highs on Sunday into the 50s, and this cool air will be here to stay through the end of the long term period.

By Monday morning, upper level longwave troughing will cover essentially the entire CONUS, with the primary jet max encompassing the northern plains, upper Midwest, and Great Lakes regions. 12Z deterministic runs of the ECMWF and GFS are in good agreement suggesting a subtle shortwave trough embedded within the broader trough will provide enough forcing for ascent to promote a chance of rain along our northern zones, and possibly even a rain/snow mix near the I-70 corridor during the early morning. Regardless of precipitation, skies will be mostly cloudy during the day Monday despite surface high pressure building into the northern and central plains, with afternoon high ranging from the mid 40s north to mid 50s south. Tuesday and beyond, shortwave impulses will continue to propagate through the base of the longwave trough, bringing reinforcing surges of cold air into southwest KS, along with slight chances of rain during the day and rain/snow mix during the overnight periods. Daytime temperatures will remain in the 40s and 50s under mostly cloudy skies.

AVIATION. (For the 18Z TAFS through 18Z Friday afternoon) Issued at 1147 AM CDT Thu Oct 28 2021

VFR/SKC flying conditions are expected this TAF period for all terminals. Very strong north winds continue across all of southwest KS, sustained at 30-35 kts with gusts of 45-55 kts. These winds will continue through around sunset before beginning to weaken through the overnight period, reaching around 15 kts by the 06-10Z time frame where they will remain until late in the period.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS. DDC 62 37 63 37 / 0 0 0 0 GCK 60 34 64 34 / 0 0 0 0 EHA 62 34 68 36 / 0 0 0 0 LBL 63 35 67 34 / 0 0 0 0 HYS 63 37 61 35 / 0 0 0 0 P28 64 40 63 35 / 0 0 0 0

DDC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. High Wind Warning until 7 PM CDT /6 PM MDT/ this evening for KSZ030-031-043>046-061>066-074>081-084>090.

Red Flag Warning until 7 PM CDT /6 PM MDT/ this evening for KSZ061-062-074>076-084>087.



SHORT TERM . Springer LONG TERM . Springer AVIATION . Springer


Weather Reporting Stations
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Dodge City, Dodge City Regional Airport, KS10 mi20 minN 32 G 4810.00 miFair and Windy62°F24°F23%1014 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KDDC

Wind History from DDC (wind in knots)
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2 days agoSE16
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NOTE: This section has been updated as of 1/26/2021. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may use the EDIT function to update your location.
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