Thursday, January20, 2022
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Marine Weather and Tides
Crisfield, MD

Version 3.4
NOTICE
3/30/2021 -- ANZ330 has been split into ANZ331 and ANZ332. Click EDIT in Marine Forecast and select your new zone.
1/26/2021 -- The West Coast Satellite images havd been updated. They now use GEOS-17.
1/1/2021 -- The 7 day forecast are now working well. Thank you NOAA for your support.

Sunrise 7:14AMSunset 5:12PM Thursday January 20, 2022 6:17 PM EST (23:17 UTC) Moonrise 7:55PMMoonset 9:12AM Illumination 88% Phase: Waning Gibbous; Moon at 18 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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ANZ543 Tangier Sound And The Inland Waters Surrounding Bloodsworth Island- 341 Pm Est Thu Jan 20 2022
.small craft advisory in effect through Friday afternoon...
Rest of this afternoon..N winds 20 kt with gusts to 25 kt. Waves 2 ft. A chance of snow showers. Vsby 1 to 3 nm.
Tonight..N winds 15 to 20 kt with gusts to 25 kt. Waves 2 ft. A chance of snow showers. Vsby 1 to 3 nm.
Fri..N winds 15 to 20 kt with gusts to 25 kt. Waves 2 ft. A chance of snow. Vsby 1 to 3 nm.
Fri night..N winds 15 to 20 kt. Waves 2 ft. A chance of snow.
Sat..N winds 15 to 20 kt. Waves 1 to 2 ft.
Sat night..NW winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft.
Sun..NW winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft.
Mon..N winds 5 to 10 kt...becoming s. Waves 1 ft.
ANZ500 341 Pm Est Thu Jan 20 2022
Synopsis for the tidal potomac and md portion of the chesapeake bay.. High pressure will gradually build across the waters tonight and Friday. A coastal low is expected to form off the carolinas which may bring strong winds to our waters Friday night into Saturday. Small craft advisories will be needed Friday night into this weekend.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Crisfield, MD
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location: 37.98, -75.86     debug


Area Discussion for - Wakefield, VA
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FXUS61 KAKQ 202059 AFDAKQ

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION National Weather Service Wakefield VA 359 PM EST Thu Jan 20 2022

SYNOPSIS. An arctic cold front crosses the area today, then stalls along the southeast coast tonight. Low pressure develops along this front then tracks east and off the North Carolina coast Saturday morning. High pressure builds into the area early next week.

NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM FRIDAY MORNING/. As of 400 PM EST Thursday .

As of 330 pm this aftn, latest radar showed pcpn covering the entire CWA except the extrm SE VA and NE NC. Latest obs showed rain has changed to snow or a mix of snow/rain over NNW portions of the area. Temps were falling into the lower to mid 30s in these areas, with temps dropping into the upper 30s to lower 40s down into SE VA and inland NE NC. Temps were still in the mid 40s to lower 50s over coastal NE NC.

Temps will continue to drop into the 20s and 30s from NNW to SE from late this aftn into early Fri morning, with pcpn changing to snow, and even a mixture possibly of snow/sleet/freezing rain late tonight over extrm SE VA and NE NC. Snow will end during this evening/early tonight over NNW counties, with 0.5 inch to around 1 inch of snow possible. One to two inches of snow may occur farther SE from around Dinwiddie county/Petersburg, ENE to near SBY/OXB/WAL this evening into the overnight hours. An inch or less of snow/sleet could occur over SE VA and NE NC along with a light glaze of ice for later this evening into early Fri morning.

So, Winter Weather Advisories will remain in effect until at least 700 pm this evening for nrn/wrn/sw counties, and until 700 am Fri morning for SE VA and NE NC.

SHORT TERM /6 AM FRIDAY MORNING THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT/. As of 400 PM EST Thursday .

Still looking at a significant winter storm for portions of southeastern Virginia and northeastern North Carolina beginning late Friday morning and lasting through Friday night/early Saturday morning.

Precipitation likely starts out fairly light Friday morning near the Albemarle Sound/NE NC and may start as light freezing rain or drizzle. Precipitation will slowly spread to the NW Friday late morning, into the early afternoon hours. Model soundings show that precipitation may even start out as some light freezing rain or freezing drizzle up into southeast Virginia, but ice accumulation is not anticipated (outside of a light glaze). The wintry precipitation will continue to spread to the NW through the afternoon and evening hours. It is appears it is going to be tough for precipitation to spread much further NW then the Hampton Roads region due to very dry/cold Arctic airmass that will be in place to our NW. The highest snowfall rates will occur Friday evening into Friday night before tapering down by Saturday morning. Snowfall ends from west to east through early Saturday morning, completely ending around 7 AM (12z) Saturday.

It is very likely there will be a tight gradient of snowfall totals, across the Tidewater region and even into interior Hampton Roads. Snow lovers in the RIC metro will not be happy as we are only expecting a Trace to maybe 1" of snowfall with this system (and these amounts could drop further). At this time, it is looking like the best chance to see the highest snow amounts will end up being near or right along the coast (Virginia Beach/Chesapeake) and points southward into NE NC. It is also possible that moisture from the Chesapeake Bay may help to locally enhance snow totals across coastal southeast Virginia and northeast North Carolina. Right now we have roughly 4-7" in the forecast for interior Hampton Roads/NE NC and quickly dropping as you head off to the NW. As a result, Winter Storm Warnings have been issued for the Hampton Roads metro area as well as for much of northeast North Carolina. Held onto the watches for the western Tidewater as there still remains some uncertainty regarding the snow gradient. It is likely these watches will be at least converted to Winter Weather Advisories later tonight or early tomorrow.

Temperature-wise, very cold tomorrow area wide with temperatures likely not getting out of the 20s for most of the area (far SE may briefly start out in the lower 30s). For reference, Richmond has not had a high temperature below 32 in 3 years (January 21, 2019 - 28 degrees). It should also be noted that it will be fairly breezy tomorrow as well, wind chill values will start out in the single digits for much of the NW and stay in the teens (area wide) for much of the day. Very cold Friday night, with lows in the teens for much of the NW half of the area and 20s at the coast. Wind chills will be in the single digits and teens overnight Friday

Much calmer Saturday after the storm (but still cold) as high pressure builds across the region. Skies clear out from west to east with the sun making an appearance by late Saturday morning. Despite sunshine, highs will struggle to get much above freezing. Expect highs in the low to mid 30s. Another very cold night Saturday night with lows dropping into the teens for much of the area away from the immediate coast, lower teens or even some instances of single digits will be possible in areas that see snowfall on Friday night.

LONG TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/. As of 215 PM EDT Thursday .

Hi pres weakens over the FA Sat night. A reinforcing cold shot of air is expected Sun w/ limited moisture. Dry/cold Sun night-Mon as hi pres moves across the local area. Lows Sat night in the teens-around 20F inland . 20-25F at the immediate coast. Highs Sun in the u30s-l40s. Lows Sun night in the upper teens-l20s inland . l-m20s at the immediate coast. Highs Mon in the u30-l40s.

In quickening zonal flow aloft . lo pres and its associated cold front are still forecast to track through the mid-Atlantic region Tue-Tue evening then off the coast. Will continue to CHC PoPs (mainly RA) . lowering Tue night. Moderation of temperatures expected Tue . then dry and colder wx Wed-Thu. Lows Mon night mainly in the m20s inland to the u20s-around 30F at the immediate coast. Highs Tue in the l-m40s N to the u40s- around 50F S. Lows tue night in the l-m20s inland . u20s-around 30F at the immediate coast. Highs Wed from the u30s N and NW to the m40s in NE NC. Highs Thu in the l-m30s N to the u30s NE NC.

AVIATION /21Z THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/. As of 110 PM EST Thursday .

Precipitation associated with a cold front is currently moving through the area. Rain should begin at ORF between 18-19z and ECG around 20z. Rain will become a rain-snow mix (already starting at RIC) before switching completely to snow as cold air fills in behind the front. Visibilities will drop as precip becomes heavier and switches to snow (~1-2SM). Ceilings will hover between MVFR/IFR for most of today and will improve from NW to SE as the front moves offshore. ECG will probably not see this improvement, however. N winds will be gusty (15-25kt), especially near the coast.

Flight conditions will deteriorate Friday evening, especially for PHF, ORF, and ECG as a low pressure system tracks NE offshore. Precipitation will end Saturday morning and VFR returns by Sunday.

MARINE. As of 230 PM EST Thursday .

Cold front is expected to clear the far srn waters by 21-22Z/20. Elevated N winds are beginning spread S across the Ches Bay/rivers attm and are about to begin on the nrn ocean waters. N winds strengthen further over the local waters this evening w/ most conditions 20-25 kt . gusts to 30 kt. Would not rule out briefly higher speeds (gales) w/ this initial surge of CAA. Stronger/prolonged period of CAA expected as Arctic air pushes S into/across the FA Fri into Sat morning as lo pres tracks by (well) SSE (off coastal NC). High end SCAs and low end gales are expected. Conditions slowly improve by late Sat-Sat night w/ winds lowering as hi pres build into the mid-Atlantic region. Another brief surge of CAA and increased winds (WNW) expected Sun before hi pres returns for Mon.

Have upgraded to a gale warning on the ocean S of Cape Charles VA and the Currituck Sound as wind probs jump to AOA 40-60% for gusts > 35 kt from tonight into Sat morning. Keeping the gale watch for the mouth of the Ches Bay and ocean waters Parramore Isl to Cape Charles VA as there appears to be a delay in arrival of potential gale conditions until Fri morning or afternoon. Added a gale watch for the ocean N of Parramore Isl VA for the potential of gale gusts . esp late Fri into Sat morning. OTW . SCAs 15-30 kt through Sat morning.

AKQ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. MD . Winter Weather Advisory until 7 PM EST this evening for MDZ022>024. NC . Winter Storm Watch from Friday morning through Saturday morning for NCZ012. Winter Weather Advisory until 7 AM EST Friday for NCZ012>017- 030>032-102. Winter Storm Warning from 7 AM Friday to 10 AM EST Saturday for NCZ013>017-030>032-102. VA . Winter Weather Advisory until 7 PM EST this evening for VAZ064>068-075>086-088>090-099-511>522. Winter Storm Watch from Friday morning through Saturday morning for VAZ084-086>090-092-099. Winter Weather Advisory until 7 AM EST Friday for VAZ087-092- 093-095>098-100-523>525. Winter Storm Warning from 7 AM Friday to 10 AM EST Saturday for VAZ093-095>098-100-523>525. MARINE . Gale Watch from Friday morning through Saturday afternoon for ANZ634-650-652-654. Small Craft Advisory until 7 AM EST Friday for ANZ634-650-652- 654. Gale Warning until 1 PM EST Saturday for ANZ656-658. Small Craft Advisory until 1 PM EST Saturday for ANZ630>632- 635>638. Gale Warning until 10 AM EST Saturday for ANZ633.

SYNOPSIS . AJB NEAR TERM . CP/TMG SHORT TERM . AJB LONG TERM . ALB AVIATION . AM MARINE . ALB


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
BISM2 - 8571421 - Bishops Head, MD 19 mi48 min N 6G11 32°F 38°F1024 hPa
44042 - Potomac, MD 25 mi42 min N 16G23 31°F 40°F
WAHV2 - 8631044 - Wachapreague, VA 27 mi48 min N 6G8.9 34°F 42°F1022.7 hPa
44089 32 mi52 min 43°F3 ft
LWTV2 - 8635750 - Lewisetta, VA 32 mi48 min NNE 8G15 34°F 40°F1024 hPa
RPLV2 - 8632837 - Rappahannock Light, VA 32 mi48 min N 27G30 1023.3 hPa
44058 - Stingray Point, VA 35 mi42 min N 25G33 32°F 41°F
PPTM2 - 8578240 - Piney Point, MD 37 mi48 min NNE 7G9.9
SLIM2 - 8577330 - Solomons Island, MD 39 mi48 min N 8.9G12 34°F 40°F1024 hPa
COVM2 - 8577018 - Cove Point LNG Pier, MD 40 mi48 min NNW 20G25 34°F 1024.2 hPa
CA2 - 8571892 - Cambridge, MD 43 mi48 min N 12G16 34°F 36°F1024.4 hPa
OCIM2 - 8570283 - Ocean City Inlet, MD 47 mi48 min N 15G19 33°F 41°F1024.4 hPa
44062 - Gooses Reef, MD 49 mi42 min N 21G31 33°F 39°F1016.3 hPa

Wind History for Bishops Head, MD
(wind in knots)    EDIT      (on/off)   Help
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Last 24 hrS13
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NW10
G13

Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Wallops Flight Facility Airport, VA21 mi2.4 hrsNNW 94.00 miRain Fog/Mist37°F34°F89%1021.3 hPa
Melfa / Accomack Airport, VA23 mi2.4 hrsNNW 54.00 miLight Rain0°F0°F%1021.3 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KWAL

Wind History from WAL (wind in knots)
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Last 24 hrS10SW9S9S8S8S7S5S5S6S7SW6SW10
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SW8SW7W8NW7N11N8N7N11
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1 day ago0000000S3SW4S5S6SW8S11S11SW16S16
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2 days agoW17
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6W3

Tide / Current Tables for Crisfield, Little Annemessex River, Chesapeake Bay, Maryland
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Crisfield
Click for Map
Thu -- 02:07 AM EST     1.71 feet High Tide
Thu -- 07:16 AM EST     Sunrise
Thu -- 08:15 AM EST     -0.06 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 09:11 AM EST     Moonset
Thu -- 02:23 PM EST     2.10 feet High Tide
Thu -- 05:13 PM EST     Sunset
Thu -- 07:55 PM EST     Moonrise
Thu -- 08:58 PM EST     -0.07 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

Crisfield, Little Annemessex River, Chesapeake Bay, Maryland, Tide feet
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0.3
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0.8
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Tide / Current Tables for Long Point, Big Annemessex River, Chesapeake Bay, Maryland
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Long Point
Click for Map
Thu -- 02:36 AM EST     1.80 feet High Tide
Thu -- 07:15 AM EST     Sunrise
Thu -- 08:56 AM EST     -0.06 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 09:11 AM EST     Moonset
Thu -- 02:52 PM EST     2.20 feet High Tide
Thu -- 05:12 PM EST     Sunset
Thu -- 07:54 PM EST     Moonrise
Thu -- 09:39 PM EST     -0.07 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

Long Point, Big Annemessex River, Chesapeake Bay, Maryland, Tide feet
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0.2


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