Friday, January28, 2022
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Marine Weather and Tides
Lexington Park, MD

Version 3.4
NOTICE
3/30/2021 -- ANZ330 has been split into ANZ331 and ANZ332. Click EDIT in Marine Forecast and select your new zone.
1/26/2021 -- The West Coast Satellite images havd been updated. They now use GEOS-17.
1/1/2021 -- The 7 day forecast are now working well. Thank you NOAA for your support.

Sunrise 7:14AMSunset 5:26PM Friday January 28, 2022 7:28 AM EST (12:28 UTC) Moonrise 3:54AMMoonset 1:27PM Illumination 16% Phase: Waning Crescent; Moon at 26 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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ANZ542 Patuxent River To Broomes Island Md- 635 Am Est Fri Jan 28 2022
.small craft advisory in effect from 6 pm est this evening through this evening...
.gale warning in effect from late tonight through late Saturday night...
Today..NW winds 5 kt. Waves less than 1 ft. Snow with a chance of rain this afternoon with vsby 1 to 3 nm.
Tonight..N winds 15 to 20 kt with gusts to 35 kt. Waves 1 ft. Snow. Vsby 1 to 3 nm.
Sat..NW winds 20 to 25 kt with gusts to 40 kt. Waves 2 ft. Snow likely. Vsby 1 to 3 nm.
Sat night..NW winds 20 to 25 kt with gusts to 35 kt. Waves 2 ft.
Sun..W winds 5 to 10 kt. Gusts up to 20 kt in the morning. Waves 1 ft.
Sun night..S winds 5 kt. Waves less than 1 ft.
Mon..NE winds around 5 kt. Waves 1 ft.
Tue..SE winds 5 kt. Waves less than 1 ft.
ANZ500 635 Am Est Fri Jan 28 2022
Synopsis for the tidal potomac and md portion of the chesapeake bay.. Strong low pressure will develop off the carolinas and move northward off the coast tonight into Saturday. High pressure is expected to return Sunday through Tuesday.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Lexington Park, MD
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location: 38.27, -76.46     debug


Area Discussion for - Baltimore, MD/Washington
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FXUS61 KLWX 280918 AFDLWX

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC 418 AM EST Fri Jan 28 2022

SYNOPSIS. A cold front will approach the area today, then a rapidly deepening area of low pressure will pass offshore tonight into Saturday. High pressure is then expected to return Sunday through Tuesday. A low pressure system will approach from the west Wednesday and Thursday.

NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/. A positively tilted trough currently situated over the Great Lakes will become more neutrally tilted as it approaches the Appalachians this evening. Eventually the trough will take on a negative tilt as it moves overhead later tonight. As the trough approaches, a zone of weak low-level frontogenesis will develop across the area later this afternoon into this evening. This will lead to a prolonged period of light precipitation across the forecast area this afternoon through this evening. Precipitation will initially start off as a rain/snow mix in many locations (outside of the mountains), before rapidly transitioning over to all snow. Temperatures will make it into the mid to even upper 30s in many spots prior to the snow starting, so it may have trouble accumulating initially over the lower elevations. Temperature will drop below freezing in all locations this evening. All locations should see at least some accumulating snow. A widespread 1-3 inches of snow is expected across most of the area. Some locations in the mountains could see slightly more due to cooler surface temperatures at the start and resultant higher snow to liquid ratios. Snow to liquid ratios may be higher than climatology everywhere once surface temperatures drop below freezing (and surface melting ends), as it will be very cold aloft, with ample ascent through the dendritic snow growth zone. Locations across north central MD and eastern WV along the I-81 corridor may see slightly less than other locations, as the best frontogenesis will reside to their south. For locations west of I-95 the light snow should wind down by around midnight. However, snow may linger through the duration of the night along the bay as a coastal low forms offshore in response to the approaching negatively tilted trough. With the snow continuing through the duration of the night, locations along the bay should see the highest totals, with 3-5 inches expected across St. Mary's, Calvert, and Cecil Counties. Winds will also start to become gusty out of the northwest during the second half of the night as the coastal low strengthens offshore.

SHORT TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT/. By daybreak Saturday, the mid-upper level trough axis will be situated directly overhead and the rapidly deepening coastal low will be located at our latitude well offshore. Throughout the day, the coastal low will continue to rapidly strengthen as it lifts off toward the northeast. Snow will likely continue through the first half of the morning for counties directly adjacent to the bay, but elsewhere snow will have moved out prior to daybreak. Additional minor accumulations may be possible along the bay. Any snow should depart the area by late morning.

Winds will be the main story through the remainder of the day. Strong northwesterly winds will filter into the area as the powerful coastal low lifts off to our northeast. Winds may gust in excess of 40 mph through much of the day. When coupled with temperatures holding in the 20s, it will be very cold. Winds chills will hold in the single digits to lower teens across the lower elevations, and will stay below zero the entire day in the mountains. Wind chill headlines may eventually be needed, especially in the mountains. Winds will remain elevated, but gradually weaken throughout the night Saturday night. Wind chills will bottom out in the single digits to below zero everywhere.

Troughing will continue to reside along the East Coast on Sunday, leading to continued below average temperatures. With weaker winds, wind chills will make it into the 20s. Most of the area should remain dry, but a few snow showers may be possible in the mountains as a shortwave descends down the backside of the trough and approaches the area in northwesterly flow.

LONG TERM /MONDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/. A large area of high pressure will extend along the eastern seaboard Monday and Tuesday while the upper level pattern becomes more zonal and eventually anticyclonic. Dry weather and a steady warming trend can be expected.

Moisture will begin to advect toward the area in the southwest flow aloft Wednesday, although the bulk of precipitation chances likely hold off until at least Wednesday night when low pressure will be near or approaching the Ohio Valley. Rain should prevail for most of the area as we will be entrenched in the warm sector with above normal temperatures. Moderate rainfall will be possible at times with seasonably high precipitable water values. Model spread increases by Thursday in regards to the evolution of the system, but the most likely outcome points to continued rain chances with above normal temperatures.

AVIATION /09Z FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/. VFR conditions are expected through this morning. Precipitation will move in this afternoon, with a mix of light rain and snow initially at most terminals. This should go over to all snow by mid-late afternoon, with light snow continuing through the first half of the overnight. A prolonged period of MVFR is likely with the snow and associated low clouds, with intermittent drops to IFR. Conditions should improve back to VFR later tonight, but winds will start to pick up out of the northwest. Winds should gust to in excess of 30 knots throughout the day Saturday, with gusts to over 40 knots even possible at times. Winds should drop off Saturday night into early Sunday, with continued VFR conditions.

No significant weather expected Monday and Tuesday under high pressure.

MARINE. Winds are out of the south early this morning, but will turn northerly this morning. The winds will pick up this evening out of the north to northwest, and Gales are in effect for the second half of tonight through tomorrow and into the first half of Saturday night. SCA conditions may linger through Saturday night into at least the morning hours of Sunday.

Light northwest winds on Monday will become southerly on Tuesday as high pressure departs. Winds appear to remain below advisory criteria at this time.

TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING. Anomalies will crash tonight into Saturday as strong low pressure offshore generates a strong north flow. Some locations, especially the northern part of the bay, could reach blowout levels. Tides are forecast to quickly snap back Sunday into Monday, although most guidance is not forecasting any flooding at this time.

LWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. DC . Winter Weather Advisory from 4 PM this afternoon to 4 AM EST Saturday for DCZ001. MD . Winter Weather Advisory from 4 PM this afternoon to 10 AM EST Saturday for MDZ011-013-016-506. Winter Weather Advisory from 4 PM this afternoon to 4 AM EST Saturday for MDZ504. Winter Weather Advisory from 4 PM this afternoon to 1 PM EST Saturday for MDZ008-014-017-018-508. VA . Winter Weather Advisory from 10 AM this morning to 4 AM EST Saturday for VAZ503-504-507-508. Winter Weather Advisory from 4 PM this afternoon to 10 AM EST Saturday for VAZ055>057. Winter Weather Advisory from 4 PM this afternoon to 4 AM EST Saturday for VAZ025-026-029-036>040-050>054-502. WV . Winter Weather Advisory from 10 AM this morning to 4 AM EST Saturday for WVZ505-506. MARINE . Small Craft Advisory from 6 PM this evening to midnight EST tonight for ANZ531>534-537-539>543. Gale Warning from midnight tonight to 4 AM EST Sunday for ANZ531>534-537-539>543. Small Craft Advisory from 6 PM this evening to 6 AM EST Saturday for ANZ530-535-536-538. Gale Warning from 6 AM Saturday to 4 AM EST Sunday for ANZ530- 535-536-538.

SYNOPSIS . ADS NEAR TERM . KJP SHORT TERM . KJP LONG TERM . ADS AVIATION . ADS/KJP MARINE . ADS/KJP TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING . ADS


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
SLIM2 - 8577330 - Solomons Island, MD 4 mi59 min SSE 2.9G2.9 32°F 37°F1020.3 hPa
COVM2 - 8577018 - Cove Point LNG Pier, MD 10 mi59 min S 5.1G7 33°F 1020.6 hPa
PPTM2 - 8578240 - Piney Point, MD 10 mi59 min SSW 11G13
44042 - Potomac, MD 18 mi47 min S 16G18 32°F 37°F
LWTV2 - 8635750 - Lewisetta, VA 19 mi59 min SW 6G7 32°F 36°F1020.8 hPa
BISM2 - 8571421 - Bishops Head, MD 23 mi59 min S 8G9.9 34°F 34°F1020.4 hPa
CA2 - 8571892 - Cambridge, MD 30 mi59 min SSE 5.1G6 30°F 35°F1020.8 hPa
NCDV2 31 mi59 min 0G1 30°F 36°F1020.2 hPa
BSLM2 - Chesapeake Bay, MD 38 mi59 min 0 29°F 1020 hPa25°F
TPLM2 - Thomas Point, MD 43 mi89 min SE 1.9G2.9 33°F 36°F1021 hPa (-1.4)
44063 - Annapolis 48 mi47 min WSW 1.9G1.9 32°F 35°F1021.4 hPa
APAM2 - 8575512 - Annapolis, MD 49 mi59 min N 1G1.9 33°F 36°F1020 hPa

Wind History for Solomons Island, MD
(wind in knots)    EDIT      (on/off)   Help
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Last 24 hrNE4
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G16

Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Patuxent River, Naval Air Station, MD3 mi37 minSSW 310.00 miMostly Cloudy28°F22°F78%1020.8 hPa
St Marys County Airport, MD6 mi34 minN 010.00 miMostly Cloudy30°F25°F80%1021.3 hPa
St. Inigoes, Webster Field, Naval Electronic Systems Engineering Activity, MD9 mi36 minS 310.00 miOvercast35°F27°F72%1020.4 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KNHK

Wind History from NHK (wind in knots)
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Last 24 hrE6E6E4SE7SE9SE8SE11SE9SE9SE8SE3S3S4S4S4SE30000SE3SE3SE4S3
1 day agoN10N13N12N15
G18
N11N14NE12NE10N9N7N7N6NE7NE10NE10NE9NE6NE8NE6NE7E7E8E7E5
2 days agoSW4SW30W4NW8NE6NE4N4N7N5N11N10N9N10NW13NW12N12N15NW15
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Tide / Current Tables for Solomons Island, Patuxent River, Maryland (3)
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Solomons Island
Click for Map
Fri -- 03:24 AM EST     -0.50 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 03:53 AM EST     Moonrise
Fri -- 07:13 AM EST     Sunrise
Fri -- 10:33 AM EST     1.39 feet High Tide
Fri -- 01:26 PM EST     Moonset
Fri -- 05:23 PM EST     Sunset
Fri -- 05:56 PM EST     -0.04 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 10:25 PM EST     0.55 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

Solomons Island, Patuxent River, Maryland (3), Tide feet
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Tide / Current Tables for Point Patience, 0.1 mile southwest of, Maryland Current
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Point Patience
Click for MapFlood direction 315 true
Ebb direction 145 true

Fri -- 12:45 AM EST     -0.59 knots Max Ebb
Fri -- 03:54 AM EST     Moonrise
Fri -- 04:25 AM EST     0.00 knots Slack
Fri -- 07:14 AM EST     Sunrise
Fri -- 07:22 AM EST     0.72 knots Max Flood
Fri -- 10:34 AM EST     -0.00 knots Slack
Fri -- 01:26 PM EST     Moonset
Fri -- 02:36 PM EST     -0.94 knots Max Ebb
Fri -- 05:23 PM EST     Sunset
Fri -- 07:31 PM EST     0.00 knots Slack
Fri -- 08:20 PM EST     0.16 knots Max Flood
Fri -- 09:45 PM EST     -0.00 knots Slack
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

Point Patience, 0.1 mile southwest of, Maryland Current, knots
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NOTE: This section has been updated as of 1/26/2021. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may use the EDIT function to update your location.
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